Federal voting intention

Apr 24, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago 10/4/18 4 weeks ago 27/3/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   35% 35%    
National 3%   3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 11%   10% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   2% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   7% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   7% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 47%   47% 48%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Important issues

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Which of the following issues are the most important for the Federal Government to address over the next 12 months? Select up to 3. 

  Total   1st 2nd 3rd   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Cost of living 51%   22% 14% 15%   52% 44% 42% 57%
Improving our health system 36%   12% 12% 12%   40% 35% 32% 32%
Creating jobs and reducing unemployment 32%   13% 11% 8%   29% 33% 31% 36%
Housing affordability 29%   7% 10% 12%   29% 26% 28% 26%
Improving workers wages and conditions 22%   7% 8% 7%   29% 18% 20% 20%
National security and terrorism 21%   7% 8% 6%   14% 26% 10% 34%
Promoting economic growth 21%   7% 7% 7%   18% 31% 12% 15%
Tax avoidance by big companies 20%   5% 7% 8%   23% 16% 29% 21%
Promoting renewable energy 19%   7% 6% 6%   19% 12% 49% 13%
Income tax cuts 15%   4% 6% 5%   17% 15% 4% 11%
Reducing the budget deficit 14%   4% 5% 5%   7% 23% 4% 22%
More funds for education 13%   2% 5% 6%   15% 13% 28% 9%
Business tax cuts 6%   2% 2% 2%   4% 7% 6% 3%

The most important issues for the Federal Government to address over the next 12 months were –

 

  • Cost of living (51%)
  • Improving our health system (36%)
  • Creating jobs and reducing unemployment (32%)
  • Housing affordability (29%)

Labor voters were more likely to think Improving workers wages and conditions (29%) was important.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think promoting economic growth (31%) and reducing the budget deficit (23%) were important.

Greens voters were more likely to think tax avoidance by big companies (29%), promoting renewable energy (49%) and more funds for education (28%) were important.

Other voters were more likely to think cost of living (57%), national security and terrorism (34%) and reducing the budget deficit (22%) were important.

Population growth

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Australia’s population has nearly reached 25 million and is growing by about 400,000 a year. Do you think Australia’s population growth rate is too fast, too slow or about right?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Apr 2013
Too fast 54%   53% 50% 44% 77%   45%
Too slow 4%   6% 4% 3% 1%   5%
About right 31%   31% 38% 44% 10%   37%
Don’t know 11%   10% 8% 9% 11%   13%

 

54% think that Australia’s population growth rate is too fast – up from 45% recorded 5 years ago. 31% think the growth rate is about right and 4% think it is too slow.

A majority of most voter groups believed the growth rate was too fast although Greens voters were divided 44% too fast/44% about right.

Immigration level

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Overall, do you think the level of immigration into Australia over the last ten years has been too high, too low or about right? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Oct 2016
Total too high           64%   62% 68% 35% 86%   50%
Total too low 5%   6% 4% 21% 2%   12%
Much too high 37%   34% 37% 17% 64%   28%
A little too high 27%   28% 31% 18% 22%   22%
About right 23%   24% 26% 37% 9%   28%
A little too low 4%   5% 3% 16% 1%   8%
Much too low 1%   1% 1% 5% 1%   4%
Don’t know 7%   7% 3% 8% 3%   10%

 

64% think that the level of immigration into Australia over the last ten years has been too high – up from 50% recorded in October 2016. 23% think it is about right and only 5% think it is too low. Over 60% of both Labor and Liberal National voters think it is too high.

57% of those aged under 45 think it is too high compared to 71% of those aged 45+.

Types of immigration

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Australia migration intake is currently made up of about 190,000 permanent migrants each year and more than one million people here on temporary visas at any given time. For each of the following classes of migration would you like to see more or fewer?

  More Fewer No change Don’t know
Short-term business visas 13% 34% 36% 16%
Short-term student visas 19% 29% 39% 13%
Short-term working holiday visas 16% 33% 38% 13%
Skilled working visas 22% 36% 29% 13%
Short-term working visas (eg 457s) 12% 47% 26% 15%
Permanent  family reunion 22% 34% 30% 14%
Permanent refugee 19% 46% 21% 14%

 

 

47% think there should be fewer short-tern working visas and 46% want fewer permanent refugees. About one third wanted fewer in each of the other visa categories. Respondents were more likely to want no change in short-term student visas (39%), short-term working holiday visas (38%) and short-term business visas (36%).

Statements about immigration

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
Bringing in foreign workers on short-term visas undermines local jobs 63% 25%   26% 37% 20% 5% 12%
Our cities can’t cope with further population growth and we should reduce immigration until the infrastructure in in place 62% 25%   30% 32% 19% 6% 13%
Overall immigration has made a positive contribution to Australian society 61% 26%   17% 44% 16% 10% 13%
Immigration should be slowed as it causes too much change to our society 55% 33%   23% 32% 24% 9% 14%
Australia has a fragile environment that cannot bear further increases in population 51% 34%   20% 31% 27% 7% 16%
Migrants provide skills we need in the workforce to keep the economy strong. 49% 40%   9% 40% 28% 12% 11%
With an aging population, we need immigration to ensure we have enough younger, working age people to pay taxes and deliver services. 42% 45%   10% 32% 31% 14% 13%
Australia has the space and resources to cope with a much larger population 37% 51%   8% 29% 31% 20% 13%
Without immigration the rate of economic growth will fall, reducing living standards for all of us. 31% 51%   8% 23% 33% 18% 18%

 

A solid majority agreed that –

 

  • Bringing in foreign workers on short-term visas undermines local jobs (63% agree)
  • Our cities can’t cope with further population growth and we should reduce immigration until the infrastructure in in place (62%)
  • Overall immigration has made a positive contribution to Australian society (61%)
  • Immigration should be slowed as it causes too much change to our society (55%)

 

A majority disagreed that –

  • Without immigration the rate of economic growth will fall, reducing living standards for all of us. (51% disagree)
  • Australia has the space and resources to cope with a much larger population (51%)

Problems for cities

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Which of the following are the main problems for our major cities? Rank your top 3 from 1 to 3 where 1 = the most important, 2 = second and 3 = third.

  Total   1st 2nd 3rd   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Housing affordability pushing people to the fringes of major cities 66%   24% 24% 18%   68% 65% 70% 51%
Lack of government investment in infrastructure like roads and public transport 62%   28% 15% 19%   62% 60% 63% 59%
The lack of employment opportunities in the regions, driving people to the cities 62%   18% 23% 21%   58% 66% 59% 61%
Poor planning that means people live too far from where they work 45%   9% 18% 18%   46% 42% 54% 37%
Excessive levels of immigration 37%   15% 9% 13%   34% 40% 16% 62%
Lack of regulations for property developers 29%   7% 11% 11%   32% 26% 39% 30%

 

The main problems for major cities (each nominated by around two thirds of respondents) were – Housing affordability pushing people to the fringes of major cities, Lack of government investment in infrastructure like roads and public transport and The lack of employment opportunities in the regions, driving people to the cities.

Lack of regulations for property developers (29%) was the least important problem.

Multiculturalism

Apr 24, 2018

Q. Which of the following statements do you most agree with?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Mar 2015
Multiculturalism and cultural diversity has enriched the social and economic lives of all Australians 55%   59% 57% 84% 29%   55%
Multiculturalism has failed and caused social division and dangerous extremism in Australia 32%   31% 31% 11% 60%   33%
Don’t know 13%   10% 13% 5% 11%   12%

 

A majority (55%) agree more that “Multiculturalism and cultural diversity has enriched the social and economic lives of all Australians” while 32% agree more that “Multiculturalism has failed and caused social division and dangerous extremism in Australia”.

Those most likely to agree that multiculturalism has enriched Australia were aged under 35 (62%), Greens voters (84%) and university educated (72%).

Those most likely to agree that multiculturalism has failed were aged 65+ (47%) and other party voters (60%).

Overall results were unchanged since this question was asked in March 2015.

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