Federal voting intention

Sep 25, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago

11/9/18

4 weeks ago 28/8/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   32% 32%    
National 3%   3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   36% 35%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 39%   34.7%
Greens 12%   10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1%   2% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 5%   8% 7%    
Other/Independent 9%   7% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 47%   46% 45%   50.4%
Labor 53%   54% 55%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Trust in Institutions

Sep 25, 2018

Q. How much trust do you have in the following institutions and organisations?

  Total

trust

  A lot of trust Some trust A little trust No trust Don’t know % change   Total trust Oct 15 Total trust Sep 16 Total trust Oct 17
Federal police 70% 31% 39% 18% 7% 5% -1 67% 63% 71%
State police 67% 30% 37% 22% 8% 3% 68% 63% 67%
The High Court 61%   24% 37% 22% 11% 6%   60% 57% 61%
The ABC 54%   16% 38% 26% 12% 8% +2   55% 53% 52%
The Reserve Bank 50%   15% 35% 28% 125% 8% +1   51% 47% 49%
Charitable organisations 47%   12% 35% 36% 12% 4% +1   49% 43% 46%
Environment groups 42%   10% 32% 33% 18% 6%   42% 39% 42%
Your local council 42%   9% 33% 37% 18% 4% +4   40% 36% 38%
The Commonwealth Public Service 39%   7% 32% 36% 16% 9% +1   38% 36% 38%
State Parliament 31%   7% 24% 33% 31% 6%   32% 26% 31%
Business groups 29%   3% 26% 43% 19% 9% +1   30% 27% 28%
Federal Parliament 28%   6% 22% 32% 35% 6% -2   32% 26% 30%
Religious organisations 28%   6% 22% 26% 39% 7% +2   30% 26% 26%
Trade unions 25%   5% 20% 35% 31% 9%   27% 25% 25%
Political parties 15% 2% 13% 35% 44% 6% -3 16% 14% 18%

 

Note: ‘Total Trust’ is an aggregate figure achieved by adding ‘A lot of trust’ and ‘Some trust’

 

Overall, trust in institutions has changed little since this question was asked in October, 2017.

 

Respondents had most trust in the Federal police (70%), State police (67%), the High Court (61%), the ABC (54%) and the Reserve Bank (50%). They had least trust in political parties (15%), trade unions (25%), religious organisations (28%), Federal Parliament (28%) and business groups (29%).

 

The main change since the last poll were for local council (up 4%) and political parties (down 3%).

Quotas for women

Sep 25, 2018

Q. Would you support or oppose the Liberal Party adopting quotas to increase number of Liberal women in the parliament?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Total support 61%   63% 68% 68% 50%
Total oppose 21%   18% 27% 14% 35%
Strongly support 19%   17% 21% 32% 18%
Support 42%   46% 47% 36% 32%
Oppose 14%   12% 16% 13% 23%
Strongly oppose 7%   6% 11% 1% 12%
Don’t know 18%   19% 5% 18% 15%

 

61% support the Liberal Party adopting quotas to increase number of Liberal women in the parliament and 21% oppose.

68% of Liberal National voters support quotas for women and 27% oppose.

56% of men support quotas for women compared to 65% of women.

Corruption

Sep 25, 2018

Q. For each of the following Australian industries and organisations, please indicate how affected by corruption you think they are:

  Widespread corruption Some corruption Very little corruption Don’t know   Apr 2016 Widespread corruption
Building industry 23% 47% 16% 14%   36%
Unions 29% 41% 17% 13%   35%
Banking and finance sector 36% 41% 14% 10%   25%
Politics 45% 37% 9% 8%   40%
Large corporations 26% 51% 12% 11%   34%
Law enforcement (police) 9% 42% 39% 11%  
The media 21% 47% 21% 11%  

 

45% think there is widespread corruption in politics and 36% think there is widespread corruption in the banking and finance sector.

50% of Liberal/National voters think there is widespread corruption in unions compared to only 15% of Labor voters.

49% of Labor voters think there is widespread corruption in politics compared to 31% of LNP voters.

Main changes since this question was asked in April 2016 were for banking and finance (up 11%), the building industry (down 13%) and large corporations (down 8%).

Federal ICAC

Sep 25, 2018

Would you support or oppose the establishment of an independent federal corruption body to monitor the behaviour of our politicians and public servants?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Total support 82%   82% 87% 85% 88%
Total oppose 5%   5% 6% 7% 3%
Strongly support 46%   50% 41% 53% 54%
Support 36%   32% 46% 32% 34%
Oppose 4%   4% 5% 5% 2%
Strongly oppose 1%   1% 1% 2% 1%
Don’t know 14%   14% 7% 7% 9%

 

82% support the establishment of an independent federal corruption body and only 5% oppose.

More than 80% of all party voter groups support.

Gender equality

Sep 25, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  Total  agree Total dis-agree   Strong-ly agree Agree Dis-agree Strong-ly dis-agree Don’t know   Men agree Women agree   Mar 2016 agree
Gender equality, meaning that men and women are equal, has come far enough already 47% 44% 16% 31% 32% 12% 9% 54% 39% 38%
Gender equality has already been mostly achieved 47% 46% 13% 34% 35% 11% 7% 56% 38% 41%
Work to achieve gender equality today benefits mostly well-to-do people 45% 36% 14% 31% 27% 9% 19% 49% 41% 39%
There should be laws that require equal salaries for men and women in the same position 78% 14% 39% 39% 10% 4% 8% 72% 84% 78%
Although there has been significant progress on gender equality there is still a long way to go 66% 25% 23% 43% 18% 7% 10% 60% 71%   71%

 

There was very strong agreement with the statements “there should be laws that require equal salaries for men and women in the same position” (78%) and “Although there has been significant progress on gender equality there is still a long way to go” (66%).

More than half of the men agree that gender equality has mostly been achieved and that gender equality . . .  has come far enough  but more than half of women disagree.

Representing interests of groups

Sep 25, 2018

Q. Which of the major parties would be best at representing the interests of the following groups?

  Liberal Labor No difference Don’t know
Women 15% 25% 43% 18%
Young people 14% 26% 43% 17%
People from non English speaking background 12% 26% 43% 20%
Older people 21% 24% 37% 18%
Men 22% 17% 43% 17%
Indigenous people 10% 24% 46% 20%
LGBTi 10% 23% 39% 28%
Young families 14% 28% 38% 19%
All Australians 19% 23% 41% 17%

 

Around 2 in 5 think there is no difference between the major parties in terms of whose interests they represent.

The Labor Party is thought to best represent the interests of all groups listed except for men (22% Liberal/17% Labor).

The largest gaps between the parties are for representing the interests of people from non-English speaking backgrounds (Labor 26%/Liberal 12%), indigenous people (Labor 24%/Liberal 10%) and young families (Labor 28%/Liberal 14%).

Religious freedoms

Sep 25, 2018

Q. Would you support or oppose a new law enshrining religious freedoms?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Total support 37%   34% 48% 37% 34%
Total oppose 26%   26% 22% 26% 43%
Strongly support 13%   9% 18% 10% 18%
Support 24%   25% 30% 27% 16%
Oppose 15%   16% 13% 12% 22%
Strongly oppose 11%   10% 9% 14% 21%
Don’t know 37%   39% 30% 37% 23%

 

37% support a new law enshrining religious freedoms and 26% oppose. 37% don’t know.

Strongest support came from LNP voters (48%).

Other party voters were more likely to be opposed (43%).

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