Federal voting intention

Feb 21, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 14/2/17 2 weeks ago 31/1/17 4 weeks ago 24/1/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   34% 33% 33%    
National 3%   3% 2% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 36% 35%   42.0%
Labor 34%   35% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 8% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 10%   10% 10% 9%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,803. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Climate change

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2009 Dec 2010 Jun 2011 Oct 2012 Oct 2013 Dec 2014 Nov 2015 Aug 2016 Dec 2016
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 60% 75% 49% 90% 44% 53% 45% 50% 48% 52% 57% 56% 57% 54%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 25% 14% 37% 3% 41% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 29% 32% 26% 27%
Don’t know 14% 10% 13% 7% 15% 13% 19% 12% 13% 12% 14% 12% 17% 18%

 

60% (up 6% since December) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 25% (down 2%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 70%/15% and those aged 55+ split 47%/40%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 72%/19%.

50% renewable energy target

Feb 21, 2017

Q. The Labor Party has committed to a target of 50% renewable energy by 2030. Do you approve or disapprove of this policy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015
Total approve 65%   82% 55% 89% 56%   65%
Total disapprove 18%   5% 32% 1% 29%   16%
Strongly approve 25%   43% 11% 49% 17%   25%
Approve 40%   39% 44% 40% 39%   40%
Disapprove 9%   4% 16% 1% 10%   9%
Strongly disapprove 9%   1% 16% 19%   7%
Don’t know 16%   13% 13% 10% 15%   19%

 

65% approve of the Labor Party commitment to a target of 50% renewable energy by 2030 and 18% disapprove. These figures are little changed since the question was asked in 2015.

 

A very high majority of Labor voters (82%) and Greens voters (89%) approve.

 

Liberal/National voters were split but more likely to approve (55%) than disapprove (32%).

Cause of black outs

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Some people have said recent power black outs are a result of too much reliance on renewable energy. Others have said they have occurred because of failures in the way the energy market responds to extreme weather events (i.e. storms and high temperatures) or that privatization of services is the problem. Which is closest to your view?

 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
The power black outs are the result of too much reliance on renewable energy 16%   13% 26% 4% 17%
The power black outs are due mainly to failures of the energy market in responding to extreme weather events 45%   45% 45% 64% 38%
The power black outs are due mainly to the privatization of electricity supply 19%   24% 13% 22% 25%
Don’t know 20%   18% 15% 10% 20%

 

45% believe that recent blackouts are due mainly to failures of the energy market in responding to extreme weather events, 19% think they are mainly due to privatization of electricity supply and 16% think they are a result of too much reliance on renewable energy.

26% of Liberal National voters think they are due to a reliance on renewable energy.

51% of those with university education think they are due mainly to failures of the energy market.

Although a small sample, 36% of South Australians think they are due to privatization.

Renewable energy

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Do you think renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs or is renewable energy a threat to our future energy supply?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2016
The solution to our energy needs 64%   72% 58% 90% 55%   60%
A threat to future energy supply 14%   10% 20% 6% 20%   16%
Don’t know 22%   17% 22% 4% 24%   24%

64% (up 4% since October) agree more that renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs and 14% (down 2%) think it is a threat to future energy supply.

72% of Labor voters and 90% of Greens voters think it is the solution to future energy needs.

Although a small sample, 51% of South Australians think it is the solution and 19% think it is a threat.

Doing enough about energy

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Do you think the Federal Government is doing enough, not enough or too much to ensure affordable, reliable and clean energy for Australian households and businesses?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Doing enough 12% 9% 23% 1% 9%
Not doing enough 71% 78% 62% 92% 76%
Doing too much 3%   1% 4% 3% 3%
Don’t know 14% 12% 12% 4% 11%

 

71% think the Federal Government is not doing enough to ensure affordable, reliable and clean energy for Australian households and businesses and only 12% think they are doing enough. Even 62% of Liberal Natio0nal voters think they are not doing enough.

Coal fired power stations

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose building new coal fired power stations in Australia?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total support 31%   25% 47% 7% 36%
Total oppose 45%   51% 33% 80% 42%
Strongly support 7%   3% 14% 12%
Support 24%   22% 33% 7% 24%
Oppose 25%   25% 24% 31% 25%
Strongly oppose 20%   26% 9% 49% 17%
Don’t know 24%   24% 20% 12% 22%

31% support building new coal fired power stations in Australia and 45% oppose.

Those most likely to support new coal fired power stations were Liberal/National voters (47%), men (39%) and aged 65+ (53%).

Those most likely to oppose new coal fired power stations were Greens voters (80%) and Labor voters (51%).

WA election preferences

Feb 21, 2017

Q. The WA Liberal Party has said it will direct its preferences for the upper house to Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party in this year’s state election. Do you approve or disapprove of the Liberal Party directing preferences to One Nation?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Liberal Vote Greens Vote One Nation
Total approve 29%   17% 43% 6% 75%
Total disapprove 38%   54% 25% 73% 2%
Strongly approve 11%   8% 13% 1% 37%
Approve 18%   9% 30% 5% 38%
Neither approve nor disapprove 21%   18% 25% 10% 13%
Disapprove 14%   17% 16% 10% 1%
Strongly disapprove 24%   37% 9% 63% 1%
Don’t know 14%   10% 8% 10% 11%

 

29% approve of the Liberal Party directing preferences to One Nation and 38% disapprove.

Among Liberal voters, 43% approve and 25% disapprove. 75% of One Nation voters approve.

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