Federal voting intention

Nov 14, 2017

If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 7/11/17 2 weeks ago 31/10/17 4 weeks ago 17/10/17   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 33% 34% 33% 34%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 36%   37% 36% 37%   42.0%
Labor 38%   37% 37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 9% 10% 10% 9% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3% 2% 3% 3%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8% 8% 7% 8%
Other/Independent 7% 6% 6% 7% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 46%   47% 46% 48%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 54% 52%   49.6%

Sample = 1,815. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Malcolm Turnbull

Nov 14, 2017

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
Total Approve 37% 27% 70% 24% 19%
Total Disapprove 49% 62% 20% 72% 64%
Strongly approve 6% 6% 12% 1%
Approve 31% 21% 58% 23% 19%
Disapprove 30% 33% 17% 51% 39%
Strongly disapprove 19% 29% 3% 21% 25%
Don’t know 14%   10% 10% 5% 16%

 

  Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec  2016 June 2016 Dec 2015
Total Approve 42% 41% 36% 33% 34% 38% 56%
Total Disapprove 43% 46% 45% 50% 46% 40% 23%
Strongly approve 10% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% 13%
Approve 32% 34% 31% 28% 29% 32% 43%
Disapprove 28% 28% 28% 30% 30% 24% 16%
Strongly disapprove 15% 18% 17% 20% 16% 16% 7%
Don’t know 15% 14% 19% 18% 20% 21% 21%

37% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (down 5% from last month), and 49% disapproved (up 6%) – a change in net approval rating from -1 to -12.

70% (down 4%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 27% of ALP voters and 24% of Greens voters.

By gender, men were 43% approve/46% disapprove and women 32% approve/50% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Nov 14, 2017

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total Approve 35% 67% 19% 30% 20%
Total Disapprove 48% 18% 69% 63% 65%
Strongly approve 7% 18% 2% 2% 1%
Approve 28% 49% 17% 28% 19%
Disapprove 27% 15% 36% 43% 34%
Strongly disapprove 21% 3% 33% 20% 31%
Don’t know 17%   15% 12% 8% 15%

 

  Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
Total Approve 37% 36% 34% 30% 35% 27% 35%
Total Disapprove 44% 47% 43% 49% 38% 47% 39%
Strongly approve 8% 7% 5% 4% 6% 4% 7%
Approve 29% 29% 29% 26% 29% 23% 28%
Disapprove 27% 25% 28% 26% 21% 26% 23%
Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 15% 23% 17% 21% 16%
Don’t know 19% 17% 23% 22% 25% 25% 26%

 

35% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (down 2% from last month), and 48% disapproved (up 4%) – a change in net approval rating from -7 to -13.

64% (down 1%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 38% of Greens voters and 25% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 40% approve/50% disapprove and women 30% approve/46% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Nov 14, 2017

Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Malcolm Turnbull 40% 19% 78% 31% 30%
Bill Shorten 28% 58% 5% 43% 15%
Don’t know 33%   23% 17% 26% 55%

 

  Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Jun 2016 Dec 2015
Malcolm Turnbull   42% 43% 39% 38% 39% 40% 54%
Bill Shorten   28% 29% 26% 26% 28% 29% 15%
Don’t know   31% 28% 34% 36% 33% 32% 31%

40% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (down 2% from last month), and 28% thought Bill Shorten would be better (no change). 33% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 78% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 58% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (43%) to Turnbull (31%).

48% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.

32% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.

Public funding

Nov 14, 2017

Do you think MP’s who were invalidly elected because of dual citizenship should or should not have to repay the public funding of their election campaign?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Should have to repay public funding 49% 63% 34% 55% 57%
Should not have to repay public funding 30% 22% 46% 33% 27%
Don’t know 21% 14% 21% 13% 16%

49% think that MP’s who were invalidly elected because of dual citizenship should have to repay the public funding of their election campaign and 30% think they should not have to repay public funding.

A majority of Labor (63%) and Greens (55%) voters think they should repay their public funding.

 

Dual citizenship proposal

Nov 14, 2017

To resolve the issue of dual citizenship of parliamentarians, Malcolm Turnbull has proposed that MPs provide a declaration that he or she was not, to the best of his or her knowledge and belief, a citizen of any country other than Australia. Do you think this plan goes far enough or does not go far enough?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Goes far enough 40% 34% 57% 43% 37%
Does not go far enough 44% 52% 30% 50% 51%
Don’t know 16%   13% 13% 7% 11% 

40% think that Malcolm Turnbull’s proposal that MP’s provide a declaration regarding duel citizenship goes far enough and 44% think it does not go far enough.

57% of Liberal National voters think it goes far enough and 52% of Labor voters and 50% of Greens voters think it does not go far enough.

Privatising the NBN

Nov 14, 2017

Would you approve or disapprove of privatising the NBN when it is completed in 2020?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 31%   34% 40% 26% 20%
Total disapprove 44%   45% 39% 49% 54%
Strongly approve 8% 12% 9% 4% 5%
Approve 23% 22% 31% 22% 15%
Disapprove 25% 24% 25% 21% 28%
Strongly disapprove 19% 21% 14% 28% 26%
Don’t know 26% 20% 21% 25% 25%

31% approve of privatising the NBN when it is completed in 2020 and 44% disapprove. Most voter groups were more likely to disapprove of privatization except for Liberal National voters who were split 40% approve and 39% disapprove.

Same-sex marriage survey

Nov 14, 2017

Thinking about the same-sex marriage postal survey which best reflects your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
It was a good process that should be used for informing Governments on other contentious issues in future 27%   29% 32% 16% 26%
It was a good process but should not be used in the future 19%   18% 25% 16% 14%
It was a bad process that should not be used in the future 45% 48% 37% 59% 56%
Don’t know 9% 5% 7% 8% 5%

45% think that the same-sex marriage postal survey was a bad process that should not be used in the future, 19% think it was a good process but should not be used in the future and 27% think it was a good process that should be used in future for other issues.

Those most likely to think it was a bad process were Greens voters (59%), other voters (56%).

58% of 18-34 year-olds thought it was a good process compared to 37% of those aged 35-64 and 48% of those aged 65+.

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