Federal voting intention

May 23, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 16/5/17 2 weeks ago 9/5/17 4 weeks ago 25/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   34% 35% 34%    
National 3%   3% 2% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 37%   38% 38% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 6% 7%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 46% 47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 54% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,804. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Attributes of the Labor Party

May 23, 2017

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Mar 2017
Will promise to do anything to win votes 61% -2   57% 72% 65% 64% 62% 64% 63%
Looks after the interests of working people 57% -4     39% 53% 55% 50% 56% 61%
Moderate 56% -2   65% 51% 48% 56% 47% 54% 58%
Has policies that lead to a fairer Australia 51%                
Understands the problems facing Australia 51% -1   62% 40% 50% 48% 43% 49% 52%
Divided 50% +1   30% 66% 66% 58% 54% 49% 49%
Have a vision for the future 49% -3     43% 49% 42% 40% 48% 52%
Out of touch with ordinary people 47% -3   44% 61% 51% 52% 53% 46% 50%
Have good policies 45% -5       46% 42% 38% 46% 50%
Clear about what they stand for 42% -5     28% 38% 37% 35% 43% 47%
Has a good team of leaders 38% -3   60% 34% 36% 33% 30% 39% 41%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 35% -5     46% 31% 37% 35% 35% 40%
Trustworthy 34% -1       30% 34% 29% 33% 35%
Keeps its promises 32% -2   44% 20% 27% 29% 28% 31% 34%
Extreme 28%   25% 38% 34% 30% 35% 30% 28%

The attributes most commonly associated with the Labor party were “will promise to do anything to win votes” (61%), “looks after the interests of working people” (57%), and “moderate” (56%). Those least commonly associated were “extreme” (28%), “keeps its promises” (32%) and “trustworthy” (34%).

The biggest changes since this question was last asked in March were “have good policies”, “clear about what they stand for” and “too close to the big corporate and financial interests”, all of which dropped by 5%.

Attributes of the Liberal Party

May 23, 2017

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Mar 2017
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 69% -2     60% 60% 67% 62% 66% 71%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 69% -2   67% 65% 65% 68% 63% 65% 71%
Out of touch with ordinary people 68%   62% 54% 58% 62% 58% 63% 68%
Divided 64% -4   74% 49% 31% 56% 61% 52% 68%
Moderate 48% -1   50% 55% 48% 51% 47% 47% 49%
Have a vision for the future 48% +3     48% 51% 54% 46% 51% 45%
Clear about what they stand for 41%     44% 45% 46% 39% 46% 41%
Understands the problems facing Australia 39% -2   44% 51% 48% 46% 41% 44% 41%
Extreme 38% +2   36% 36% 39% 39% 36% 38% 36%
Have good policies 36%       38% 43% 39% 41% 36%
Has policies that lead to a fairer Australia 34%                
Has a good team of leaders 32% -1   29% 40% 36% 48% 41% 42% 33%
Looks after the interests of working people 28% -2     38% 36% 32% 31% 31% 30%
Trustworthy 25% -3       30% 29% 28% 30% 28%
Keeps its promises 25%   28% 33% 32% 25% 27% 30% 25%

 

The attributes most commonly associated with the Liberal party were “too close to the big corporate and financial interests” (69%), “will promise to do anything to win votes” (69%), and “out of touch with ordinary people” (68%). Those least commonly associated were “keeps its promises” (25%), “trustworthy” (25%) and “looks after the interests of working people” (28%).

The biggest changes since this question was last asked in March were “divided”, which dropped by 4%, “trustworthy”, which dropped by 3%, and “have a vision for the future”, which rose by 3%.

 

 

Trust in Parties

May 23, 2017

Q. Which party do you most trust to properly fund the following:

  Labor Coalition Don’t know
Medicare 44% 26% 29%
National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) 36% 28% 36%
Universities 41% 25% 34%
The age pension 45% 22% 33%
Public schools 45% 25% 30%
Independent/private schools 20% 44% 36%

Labor was more trusted to fund Medicare (44% trust), the NDIS (36%), universities (41%), the age pension (45%) and public schools (45%). The Coalition was more trusted to fund independent/private schools (44%).

36% did not know who they would trust more to properly fund the NDIS.

Budget Response

May 23, 2017
  • ALP leader Bill Shorten announced a number of policy measures in response to last week’s federal budget. Do you approve or disapprove of these measures?
  Total approve Total disapprove   Strongly approve Approve Neither approve nor disapprove Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
Create a $100m fund to invest in TAFE campuses 57% 10%   19% 38% 24% 6% 4% 10%  
Restrict the Medicare levy increase to taxpayers earning more than $87k per year, rather than all taxpayers 55% 21%   22% 33% 15% 12% 9% 10%  
Require at least one in ten people employed on every government infrastructure project to be an apprentice 55% 9%   17% 38% 24% 6% 3% 12%  
Continue the ‘deficit levy’ on earnings above $180k per year 54% 10%   21% 33% 18% 6% 4% 18%  
Oppose a cut to the company tax rate, which is expected to cost $65bn over ten years. 41% 23%   20% 21% 21% 14% 9% 16%  

The most popular measure was the $100m TAFE fund, which was supported by 57%. Support for this proposal was strongest amongst Labor voters (69% approve) and those aged 45-64 (63%).

The least popular measure was opposing the Coalition’s company tax cut, thought this still received 41% approval, and only 23% disapproval. Liberal/National voters were the only group in which more people disapproved (36%) than approved (25%) of this measure.

Bank Levy

May 23, 2017

Q. Last week’s Federal Budget contained a levy on the big banks, which is forecast to raise $6.2bn from Australia’s five largest banks over the next four years. What do you think is most likely to happen as a result of this levy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Banks will pass on the cost of the levy to customers through higher fees, charges and interest rates 78%   85% 72% 83% 90%
Banks will not increase fees, charges and interest rate, and will pay the cost of the levy out of their own profits 7%   4% 12% 6% 3%
Don’t know 15%   11% 16% 11% 7%

 

78% thought that the banks would pass the cost of the levy onto their customers. The most likely to think this were other party/independent voters (90%), those aged 65+ (89%) and Labor voters (85%).

Only 7% thought that the banks would not increase their fees, and would pay the levy from their own profits. The most likely to think that this would happen were Liberal/National voters (12%) and those aged 25-34 (10%).

Deficit Levy

May 23, 2017

Q. Last week’s Federal Budget contained the removal of the “deficit levy” of 2% of earnings above $180k per year. This would lower the top tax bracket from 49% to 47%. Do you approve of this measure?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 24%   19% 36% 13% 24%
Total disapprove 39%   46% 26% 53% 47%
Strongly approve 6%   3% 10% 5% 10%
Approve 18%   16% 26% 8% 14%
Neither approve nor disapprove 21%   21% 26% 12% 17%
Disapprove 21%   22% 19% 26% 21%
Strongly disapprove 18%   24% 7% 27% 26%
Don’t know 17%   14% 12% 23% 12%

 

39% disapprove of the measure to remove the deficit levy, and only 24% approved. Those most likely to disapprove of the measure were Greens voters (53% disapprove), those aged 65+ (49%), and West Australians (48%). Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (37% approve) and those earning over $104k per year (29%).

Federal voting intention

May 16, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 9/5/17 2 weeks ago 2/5/17 4 weeks ago 18/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   35% 35% 33%    
National 3%   2% 2% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 38% 36%   42.0%
Labor 38%   38% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 9% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 7% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,796. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Pages:1234567...397»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.