Federal voting intention

Oct 9, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total   2 weeks ago

25/9/18

4 weeks ago 11/9/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34% 34% 32%
National 4% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 38%   37% 36%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 12% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1% 1% 2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7% 5% 8%
Other/Independent 8% 9% 7% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 47%   47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Scott Morrison

Oct 9, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Sep 2018 Turnbull Aug 2018
Total approve 43%   24% 77% 29% 41%   37% 42%
Total disapprove 28%   48% 7% 46% 31%   31% 42%
Strongly approve 10%   4% 22% 1% 9%   9% 9%
Approve 33%   20% 55% 28% 32%   28% 33%
Disapprove 17%   31% 5% 21% 19%   17% 23%
Strongly disapprove 11%   17% 2% 25% 12%   14% 19%
Don’t know 28%   28% 17% 24% 27%   33% 16%

43% approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister (up 6% from last month) and 28% disapproved (down 3%) – a change in net approval rating from +6 to +15. 28% could not give an opinion.

77% (up 14%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing, compared to 24% of ALP voters, 29% of Greens and 41% of other voters.

By gender, men were 49% approve/32% disapprove and women 38% approve/26% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Oct 9, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2018 Aug 2018 Jul 2018 Jun 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017
Total Approve 33% 63% 18% 38% 15%   35% 34% 31% 33% 37% 36% 36% 34% 30%
Total Disapprove 45% 18% 69% 36% 69%   43% 44% 47% 46% 44% 45% 47% 43% 49%
Strongly approve 8% 20% 3% 2% 1% 8% 7% 5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4%
Approve 25% 43% 15% 36% 14% 27% 27% 26% 27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26%
Disapprove 23% 16% 30% 30% 26% 21% 22% 25% 23% 23% 23% 25% 28% 26%
Strongly disapprove 22% 2% 39% 6% 43% 22% 22% 22% 23% 21% 22% 22% 15% 23%
Don’t know 23%   19% 14% 25% 17%   22% 22% 21% 21% 19% 19% 17% 23% 22%

33% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (down 2% from last month), and 45% disapproved (up 2%) – a change in net approval rating from -8 to -12.

63% (down 1%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 38% of Greens voters and 18% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 37% approve/49% disapprove and women 28% approve/41% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Oct 9, 2018

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018

Turnbull

Scott Morrison 42%   16% 79% 19% 51%   39% 39% 41%
Bill Shorten 27%   57% 6% 39% 14%   27% 29% 27%
Don’t know 31%   27% 15% 41% 35%   34% 32% 31%


42% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (up 3% from last month), and 27% thought Bill Shorten would be better (no change). 31% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 79% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister, and 57% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (39%) to Scott Morrison (19%).

46% of men prefer Scott Morrison and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

39% of women prefer Scott Morrison and 22% prefer Bill Shorten.

Trust in media

Oct 9, 2018

Q. How much trust do you have in what you read or hear in the following media?

  Total a lot /some

trust

  A lot of trust Some trust Not much trust No trust at all Don’t know Don’t use % change   Total a lot /some

Oct 17

ABC TV news and current affairs 62%   19% 43% 14% 9% 5% 10% -1   63%
SBS TV news and current affairs 61%   18% 43% 14% 6% 5% 15%   61%
ABC radio news and current affairs 57%   17% 40% 17% 8% 4% 14% -1   58%
Commercial TV news and current affairs 48%   8% 40% 29% 12% 5% 7% +3   45%
News and opinion in local newspapers 47%   6% 41% 27% 9% 4% 13% +3   44%
ABC radio talkback programs 44%   8% 36% 22% 10% 5% 20%   44%
News and opinion in daily newspapers 44%   6% 38% 28% 10% 5% 12% +2   42%
Commercial radio news and current affairs 44%   5% 39% 28% 11% 5% 13% +3   41%
News and opinion websites 39%   4% 35% 32% 11% 5% 13% -1   40%
Commercial radio talkback programs 35%   4% 31% 29% 14% 5% 18%   35%
Internet blogs 17%   2% 15% 34% 22% 6% 20% -3   20%

Overall, there has been little change in trust in media since this question was asked 12 months ago.

 

The most trusted media were ABC TV news and current affairs (62% a lot/some trust), SBS TV news and current affairs (61%) and ABC radio news and current affairs (57%).

 

The least trusted were internet blogs (17%) and commercial radio talkback programs (35%).

Trust in news sources

Oct 9, 2018

Q. How much trust do you have in what you read in the following newspapers and news websites?

  Total a lot /some

trust

  A lot of trust Some trust Not much trust No trust at all Don’t know
ABC news websites 69%   21% 48% 16% 9% 6%
The Australian 59%   12% 47% 22% 11% 9%
The Guardian Australia website 55%   10% 45% 23% 11% 12%
News.com.au 55%   10% 45% 27% 12% 7%
Sydney Morning Herald 54%   13% 41% 25% 11% 10%
The Age 53%   9% 44% 24% 13% 11%
Nine.com.au 53%   8% 45% 27% 13% 6%
The Telegraph 49%   10% 39% 26% 14% 11%
Herald Sun 46%   8% 38% 27% 15% 11%
Yahoo 7 News website 45%   6% 39% 29% 16% 9%
Courier Mail 44%   6% 38% 30% 15% 13%
Daily Mail website 39%   6% 33% 31% 21% 10%

* Note : Percentages based only on respondents who had read/used each newspaper/website

Overall, among those who have read or used them, the most trusted news sources were the ABC news websites (69%), The Australian (59%), The Guardian Australia (55%) and news.com.au (55%).

The least trusted were The Daily Mail (39%) and The Courier Mail (44%).

Government influence over ABC

Oct 9, 2018

Q. Thinking about recent events concerning the ABC CEO and board, do you think that the Government has too much or not enough influence over the ABC?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Government has too much influence 36%   54% 19% 47% 40%
Government has not enough influence 16%   7% 24% 16% 22%
Level of Government influence about right 17%   13% 29% 13% 12%
Don’t know 31%   26% 28% 25% 27%

36% think that the Government has too much influence over the ABC and 16% think they have not enough influence. 17% think they have about the right level of influence.

 

54% of Labor voters and 47% of Greens voters think the Government has too much influence compared to only 19% of LNP voters.

Independence of ABC

Oct 9, 2018

Q. Overall, do you think the news reporting and comment on the ABC is independent and unbiased?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Yes 40%   50% 40% 52% 28%
No 34%   24% 43% 23% 50%
Don’t know 26%   25% 17% 25% 22%

40% think that the news reporting and comment on the ABC is independent and unbiased and 34% think it isn’t.

 

Those most likely to think the ABC is not independent and unbiased were LNP voters (43%), other party voters (50%) and aged 55+ (40%).

Pages:1234567...451»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.