Federal voting intention

Mar 21, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 14/3/17 2 weeks ago 7/3/17 4 weeks ago 21/2/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 31% 32% 34% 33%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 34%   35% 37% 36%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37% 34%   34.7%
Greens 9% 9% 9% 10% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3% 3% 3% 4%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 10% 11% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 5% 6% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 45%   47% 47% 48%   50.4%
Labor 55%   53% 53% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,803. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Attributes of the Labor Party

Mar 21, 2017

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016
Will promise to do anything to win votes 63% -1   57% 72% 65% 64% 62% 64%
Looks after the interests of working people 61% +5     39% 53% 55% 50% 56%
Moderate 58% +4   65% 51% 48% 56% 47% 54%
Understands the problems facing Australia 52% +3   62% 40% 50% 48% 43% 49%
Have a vision for the future 52% +4     43% 49% 42% 40% 48%
Out of touch with ordinary people 50% +4   44% 61% 51% 52% 53% 46%
Have good policies 50% +4       46% 42% 38% 46%
Divided 49%   30% 66% 66% 58% 54% 49%
Clear about what they stand for 47% +4     28% 38% 37% 35% 43%
Has a good team of leaders 41% +2   60% 34% 36% 33% 30% 39%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 40% +5     46% 31% 37% 35% 35%
Trustworthy 35% +2       30% 34% 29% 33%
Keeps its promises 34% +3   44% 20% 27% 29% 28% 31%
Extreme 28% -2   25% 38% 34% 30% 35% 30%

 

The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (63%), looks after the interests of working people (61%) and moderate (58%).

Since this question was asked in June last year, overall there has been a small improvement in most positive attributes. The main changes have been for looks after the interest of working people (up 5%) and too close to the big corporate and financial interests (up 5+).

Attributes of the Liberal Party

Mar 21, 2017

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 71% +5   60% 60% 67% 62% 66%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 71% +6   67% 65% 65% 68% 63% 65%
Out of touch with ordinary people 68% +5 62% 54% 58% 62% 58% 63%
Divided 68% +16 74% 49% 31% 56% 61% 52%
Moderate 49% +2 50% 55% 48% 51% 47% 47%
Have a vision for the future 45% -6 48% 51% 54% 46% 51%
Clear about what they stand for 41% -5 44% 45% 46% 39% 46%
Understands the problems facing Australia 41% -3 44% 51% 48% 46% 41% 44%
Have good policies 36% -5 38% 43% 39% 41%
Extreme 36% -2 36% 36% 39% 39% 36% 38%
Has a good team of leaders 33% -9 29% 40% 36% 48% 41% 42%
Looks after the interests of working people 30% -1 38% 36% 32% 31% 31%
Trustworthy 28% -2 30% 29% 28% 30%
Keeps its promises 25% -5 28% 33% 32% 25% 27% 30%

 

The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – too close to the big corporate and financial interest (71%), will promise anything to win votes (71%), out of touch with ordinary people (68%) and divided (68%).

 

Main changes since June last year were – divided (up 16%) and has a good team of leaders (down 9%).

Attributes – Liberal vs labor

Mar 21, 2017
  Liberal Labor Difference
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 71% 40% +31
Divided 68% 49% +19
Out of touch with ordinary people 68% 50% +18
Will promise to do anything to win votes 71% 63% +8
Extreme 36% 28% +8
Clear about what they stand for 41% 47% -6
Have a vision for the future 45% 52% -7
Trustworthy 28% 35% -7
Has a good team of leaders 33% 41% -8
Moderate 49% 58% -9
Keeps its promises 25% 34% -9
Understands the problems facing Australia 41% 52% -11
Have good policies 36% 50% -14
Looks after the interests of working people 30% 61% -31

Change in Gas/Electricity Costs

Mar 21, 2017

Q. Over the last few years, have your gas and/or electricity costs increased, decreased or stayed much the same?

  Total   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Dec 2012
Total increased 77%   71% 78% 83%   86%
Total decreased 2%   2% 3% 3%   2%
Increased a lot 32% 25% 35% 37% 45%
Increased a moderate amount 24% 23% 23% 27% 26%
Increased a little 21% 23% 20% 19% 15%
Stayed about the same 13% 14% 14% 12% 8%
Decreased a little 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Decreased a moderate amount 1% <1% <1% 1% *
Decreased a lot <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
Don’t know 7% 13% 5% 1% 5%

 

77% say their power costs have increased over the last few years including 32% who say their costs have increased a lot (down from 45% in 2012).

Gas reservation policy

Mar 21, 2017

Q. It has been said that one of the reasons for increasing gas prices is that Australian gas exports have increased so much it is causing domestic shortages. Would you approve or disapprove of the Government legislating a reservation policy where a percentage of gas is reserved for domestic use?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 75%   76% 82% 79% 77%
Total disapprove 6%   6% 5% 5% 7%
Strongly approve 39%   39% 42% 35% 47%
Approve 36%   37% 40% 44% 30%
Disapprove 4%   4% 4% 3% 4%
Strongly disapprove 2%   2% 1% 2% 3%
Don’t know 19%   17% 13% 16% 16%

 

75% approve of the Government legislating a reservation policy where a percentage of gas is reserved for domestic use and 6% disapprove. More than three-quarters of all voter groups approve.

Reducing power bills

Mar 21, 2017

Q. Which of the following would be the best way to reduce power bills? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
More Government control of the power companies 29%   31% 32% 40% 27%
More private power companies to increase competition 17%   12% 23% 14% 17%
More Government ownership of energy production 29% 34% 26% 22% 34%
Don’t know 25% 23% 18% 23% 22%

 

29% think the best way to reduce power bills is more Government ownership of energy production, 29% favour more Government control of the power companies and only 17% want more private power companies to increase competition.

SA energy plan

Mar 21, 2017

Q. The South Australian Government has announced it intends to build, own and operate a new gas–fired electricity plant and build Australia’s largest battery storage plant to address energy supply issues in South Australia. Do you approve of disapprove of the approach South Australia is taking on energy issues? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 68%   76% 71% 73% 62%
Total disapprove 11%   5% 14% 12% 15%
Strongly approve 28%   37% 21% 31% 29%
Approve 40%   39% 50% 42% 33%
Disapprove 8%   4% 10% 8% 8%
Strongly disapprove 3%   1% 4% 4% 7%
Don’t know 21%   19% 15% 15% 23%

 

68% approve of the approach South Australia is taking on energy issues and 11% disapprove. In South Australia, 59% approve and 17% disapprove.

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