Federal voting intention

Nov 29, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

22/11/16

2 weeks ago

15/11/16

4 weeks ago

1/11/16

  Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 36%   36% 34% 36%    
National 3%   3% 3% 2%    
Total Liberal/National 39%   38% 37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 9%   10% 11% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   6% 6% 6%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   48% 47% 48%   50.4%
Labor 51%   52% 53% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,842 The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Social Class

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Do you believe social classes still exist in Australia? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Income under $1,000pw Income $1,000 – $1,500pw Income $1,500 – $2,000pw Income $2,000+   Aug 2014 May 2016
Yes 79% 86% 75% 87% 81% 75% 81% 79% 84% 79% 81%
No 10% 5% 16% 7% 7% 10% 10% 8% 10% 7% 8%
Don’t know 12% 9% 9% 6% 12% 15% 9% 13% 6% 14% 11%

79% agreed that social class still exists in Australia – only 10% disagreed. These results are very similar to those of 2014 and earlier this year.

87% of Greens voters think that social class still exists compared to 75% of Liberal/National voters.

82% of those aged 45+ think that social class still exists compared to 75% of those aged under 45.

Those earning $2,000+ pw (84%) were a little more likely to think social class exists than those earning less than $1,000 pw (75%).

Social Class Identification

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Do you consider yourself –

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Income under $1,000pw Income $1,000 – $1,500pw Income $1,500 – $2,000pw Income $2,000+   Aug 2014 May 2016
Working class 31%   34% 24% 32% 40%   40% 41% 32% 19%   31% 34%
Middle class 51%   51% 60% 52% 34%   35% 48% 57% 68%   49% 48%
Upper class 3%   1% 5% 5% 2%   2% 2% 2% 5%   2% 2%
None of them 9%   10% 7% 8% 12%   18% 6% 3% 4%   13% 10%
Don’t know 6%   4% 4% 4% 2%   5% 4% 6% 3%   6% 5%

51% of respondents described themselves as “middle class” and 31% as “working class” – only 3% claimed to be “upper class”.

Those on higher incomes were more likely to identify as “middle class” while those on lower incomes were more likely to identify as “working class”.

The results are not substantially different from those when this question was asked in 2014 and earlier in 2016.

Labor Party and Social Class

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Whose interests do you think the Labor Party mainly represent?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Working class Middle class   Apr

2013

Aug 2014 May 2016
Working class 41%   52% 46% 33% 28%   43% 43%   30% 41% 39%
Middle class 16%   23% 11% 29% 12%   11% 21%   16% 14% 17%
Upper class 7%   2% 8% 9% 16%   13% 4%   13% 8% 10%
All of them 6%   10% 4% 11% 3%   4% 7%   8% 8% 8%
None of them 17%   4% 23% 6% 33%   16% 17%   22% 16% 13%
Don’t know 13%   9% 8% 12% 9%   13% 8%   11% 13% 13%

41% believe that the Labor Party mainly represents working class people and 16% think they represent the middle class. 52% of Labor voters think the Labor Party mainly represents the working class and 29% of Greens voters think they mainly represent the middle class. 23% of Liberal/National voters don’t think they represent any class.

43% of respondents who describe themselves as working class and 43% of those who say they are middle class think the Labor Party mainly represents the working class.

The results are not substantially different from those when this question was asked in 2014 and earlier in 2016.

Liberal Party and Social Class

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Whose interests do you think the Liberal Party mainly represent?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Working class Middle class   Apr

2013

Aug 2014 May 2016
Working class 3%   4% 4% 3% 2%   4% 2%   5% 4% 4%
Middle class 17%   7% 32% 8% 8%   13% 20%   20% 17% 15%
Upper class 52%   77% 29% 73% 60%   55% 54%   40% 47% 53%
All of them 10%   2% 21% 1% 9%   7% 11%   17% 14% 12%
None of them 8%   4% 7% 4% 16%   10% 6%   8% 8% 4%
Don’t know 11%   5% 7% 12% 6%   12% 6%   9% 11% 11%

 

52% believe that the Liberal Party mainly represents upper class people and 17% think they represent the middle class. 77% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters think the Liberal Party mainly represent the upper class. 32% of Liberal/National voters think they represent the middle class and 29% think they represent the upper class.

55% of respondents who describe themselves as working class and 54% of those who say they are middle class think the Liberal Party mainly represents the upper class.

The results are not substantially different from those when this question was asked earlier in 2016.

The Greens and Social Class

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Whose interests do you think the Greens mainly represent?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Working class Middle class
Working class 8%   11% 9% 10% 4%   11% 8%
Middle class 15%   23% 8% 33% 8%   13% 17%
Upper class 6%   5% 5% 6% 13%   9% 5%
All of them 15%   19% 11% 42% 9%   12% 16%
None of them 33%   21% 45% 2% 49%   28% 37%
Don’t know 24%   21% 23% 6% 18%   27% 17%

 

33% don’t think that the Greens represent any particular class of people and 24% don’t know. Among Greens voters, 42% think they represent all classes and 33% think they represent the middle class.

One Nation and Social Class

Nov 29, 2016

Q. Whose interests do you think Pauline Hanson’s One Nation mainly represent?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote One Nation   Working class Middle class
Working class 31%   30% 34% 28% 38%   36% 33%
Middle class 7%   6% 9% 6% 6%   5% 10%
Upper class 3%   4% 3% 11%   4% 3%
All of them 11%   9% 6% 2% 49%   12% 10%
None of them 27%   31% 30% 34% 1%   19% 30%
Don’t know 21%   21% 17% 18% 6%   24% 14%

31% think that One Nation represents the working class and 27% think they represent none of them.

Among One Nation voters, 49% think they represent all classes and 38% think they represent the working class.

Political parties and Social Class – summary

Nov 29, 2016
  Labor Lib/Nat Greens One Nation
Working class 41% 3% 8% 31%
Middle class 16% 17% 15% 7%
Upper class 7% 52% 6% 3%
All of them 6% 10% 15% 11%
None of them 17% 8% 33% 27%
Don’t know 13% 11% 24% 21%

 

  Labor by Labor voters Lib/Nat by Lib/Nat voters Greens by Greens voters One Nation by One Nation voters
Working class 52% 4% 10% 38%
Middle class 23% 32% 33% 6%
Upper class 2% 29% 6%
All of them 10% 21% 42% 49%
None of them 4% 7% 2% 1%
Don’t know 9% 7% 6% 6%
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