Better Prime Minister

Sep 2, 2013

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?

 

Gillard/ Abbott

11 Jun 13

 

Rudd/ Abbott

15 Jul

 

Rudd/ Abbott

13 Aug

 

Rudd/ Abbott

26 Aug

 

Rudd/ Abbott

2 Sep

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard/Kevin Rudd

39%

50%

47%

43%

44%

91%

5%

74%

Tony Abbott

40%

35%

35%

34%

38%

1%

80%

6%

Don’t know

21%

15%

18%

23%

18%

8%

16%

20%

44% (up 1%) believe Kevin Rudd would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (up 4%) prefer Tony Abbott.

Men prefer Kevin Rudd 44%/40% and women prefer Kevin Rudd 44%/37%.

Leader attributes – Kevin Rudd

Sep 2, 2013

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd?

 

8 Jul 13

 

2 Sep 13

Change

Intelligent

77%

74%

-3

Hard-working

70%

70%

Arrogant

49%

60%

+11

A capable leader

58%

54%

-4

Superficial

44%

54%

+10

Understands the problems facing Australia

57%

53%

-4

Aggressive

43%

53%

+10

Good in a crisis

53%

52%

-1

Erratic

45%

51%

+6

Out of touch with ordinary people

39%

46%

+7

Intolerant

37%

46%

+9

Visionary

43%

42%

-1

Narrow-minded

34%

38%

+4

Trustworthy

42%

35%

-7

More honest than most politicians

41%

35%

-6

Kevin Rudd’s key attributes were intelligent (74%), hard-working (70%), arrogant (60%), a capable leader (54%) and superficial (54%).

Since this question was asked in July, there have been significant changes for arrogant (up 11%), superficial (up 10%), aggressive (up 10%) and intolerant (up 9%).

Leader attributes – Tony Abbott

Sep 2, 2013

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 10

27 Jun 11

2 Apr 12

14 Jan 13

2 Apr

23 Jun

8 Jul

 

2 Sep

Change

Hard-working

76%

75%

68%

70%

70%

68%

65%

71%

+6

Intelligent

70%

61%

56%

64%

63%

62%

60%

63%

+3

Narrow-minded

56%

54%

54%

56%

53%

55%

55%

55%

Arrogant

59%

60%

61%

61%

56%

59%

54%

52%

-2

Out of touch with ordinary people

57%

57%

54%

54%

52%

52%

50%

52%

+2

Superficial

49%

49%

48%

49%

49%

47%

48%

+1

Aggressive

55%

49%

51%

50%

47%

-3

Intolerant

49%

48%

48%

46%

47%

+1

Understands the problems facing Australia

50%

48%

49%

47%

49%

44%

45%

46%

+1

A capable leader

47%

45%

41%

43%

47%

44%

42%

46%

+4

Erratic

51%

45%

47%

45%

43%

-2

Good in a crisis

40%

40%

36%

39%

44%

38%

38%

39%

+1

Trustworthy

33%

32%

32%

33%

36%

31%

32%

38%

+6

Visionary

32%

27%

26%

28%

37%

30%

26%

35%

+9

More honest than most politicians

33%

32%

30%

29%

36%

29%

30%

34%

+4

Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (71%), intelligent (63%), narrow-minded (55%), arrogant (52%) and out of touch with ordinary people (52%).

Since July, the largest shifts have been for visionary (+9), hard-working (+6) and trustworthy (+6).

Leader attributes – comparisons

Sep 2, 2013
 

Rudd

Abbott

 

Difference

Good in a crisis

52%

39%

+13

Intelligent

74%

63%

+9

Arrogant

60%

52%

+8

A capable leader

54%

46%

+8

Erratic

51%

43%

+8

Visionary

42%

35%

+7

Understands the problems facing Australia

53%

46%

+7

Superficial

54%

48%

+6

Aggressive

53%

47%

+6

More honest than most politicians

35%

34%

+1

Hard-working

70%

71%

-1

Intolerant

46%

47%

-1

Trustworthy

35%

38%

-3

Out of touch with ordinary people

46%

52%

-6

Narrow-minded

38%

55%

-17

Compared to Tony Abbott, Kevin Rudd is much likely to be considered good in a crisis (+13), intelligent (+9), arrogant (+8), a capable leader (+8), erratic (+8), visionary (+7) and understands the problems facing Australia (+7).

Tony Abbott is regarded by more respondents to be narrow-minded (-17) and out of touch with ordinary people (-6).

Party trust to handle issues

Sep 2, 2013

Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

 

Difference 2 Sep 13

Difference 23 Jul 13

Management of the economy

32%

47%

4%

18%

-15

-15

Ensuring a quality education for all children

42%

32%

8%

19%

+10

+9

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

37%

34%

8%

21%

+3

+1

Protecting the environment

19%

21%

43%

17%

+22

+18

A fair industrial relations system

41%

31%

7%

21%

+10

+11

Political leadership

31%

40%

6%

23%

-9

-7

Addressing climate change

24%

23%

32%

21%

+9

+7

Controlling interest rates

29%

41%

4%

26%

-12

-14

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

38%

36%

5%

21%

-2

-1

Ensuring a quality water supply

22%

30%

22%

26%

-8

-7

Housing affordability

30%

32%

7%

31%

-2

-2

Ensuring a fair taxation system

32%

37%

6%

26%

-5

-2

Security and the war on terrorism

27%

38%

5%

30%

-11

-15

Treatment of asylum seekers

23%

36%

16%

26%

-13

-11

Managing population growth

24%

33%

9%

34%

-9

-13

Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+10) and a fair industrial relations system (+10).

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-15), treatment of asylum seekers (-13), controlling interest rates (-12) and security and the war on terrorism (-11).

There have been no major changes since this question was last asked in July.

Economic issue of most concern

Sep 2, 2013

Q. Which of the following economic issues are you personally most concerned about?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Unemployment

23%

28%

22%

20%

Wealth disparity

19%

29%

7%

43%

Tax levels

15%

8%

21%

12%

Inflation

13%

13%

14%

5%

Budget surplus

11%

3%

20%

3%

Interest rates

9%

10%

10%

8%

None of them

7%

6%

6%

9%

Don’t know

3%

4%

1%

23% were most concerned about unemployment, 19% about wealth disparity and 15% about tax levels. Only 11% were most concerned about a budget surplus.

Labor voters were most concerned about wealth disparity (29%) and unemployment (28%), while Liberal/National voters were most concerned about unemployment (22%), tax levels (21%) and a budget surplus (20%).

Other issue of most concern

Sep 2, 2013

Q. And which of these other issues are you personally most concerned about?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Border security

30%

20%

48%

5%

Climate change

16%

23%

5%

45%

Population growth

12%

10%

13%

4%

Marriage equality

9%

11%

4%

24%

Treatment of the aged

17%

21%

16%

12%

Treatment of the disabled

7%

10%

4%

7%

None of them

5%

3%

7%

4%

Don’t know

4%

2%

3%

30% were most concerned about border security, 17% treatment of the aged and 16% climate change.

Border security (48%) was the main issue of concern to Liberal/National voters and 45% of Greens voters nominated climate change.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 26, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,795 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

29/7/13

2 weeks ago

13/8/13

Last week

19/8/13

This week

26/8/13

Liberal

 

41%

40%

41%

40%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

44%

43%

44%

43%

Labor

38.0%

39%

39%

40%

38%

Greens

11.8%

9%

8%

8%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

10%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

21 Aug 10

 

4 weeks ago

29/7/13

2 weeks ago

13/8/13

Last week

19/8/13

This week

26/8/13

Liberal National

49.9%

51%

51%

50%

50%

Labor

50.1%

49%

49%

50%

50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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