Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 13, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,868 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

16/7/12

2 weeks ago

30/7/12

Last week

6/8/12

This week

13/8/12

Liberal

46%

45%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

31%

33%

33%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 13, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

 

19 Jul 2010

20 Dec

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

16 Jul

13 Aug

Total approve

52%

43%

41%

34%

28%

34%

32%

32%

32%

31%

Total disapprove

30%

40%

46%

54%

64%

54%

61%

56%

58%

57%

Strongly approve

11%

10%

7%

6%

5%

6%

8%

6%

5%

7%

Approve

41%

33%

34%

28%

23%

28%

24%

26%

27%

24%

Disapprove

17%

24%

22%

29%

28%

25%

29%

22%

26%

25%

Strongly disapprove

13%

16%

24%

25%

36%

29%

32%

34%

32%

32%

Don’t know

18%

17%

13%

13%

8%

11%

7%

12%

10%

13%

Julia Gillard’s approval rating has changed little since last month. 31% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 57% (down 1%) disapprove – no change in net rating of -26.

73% of Labor voters approve (no change) and 17% disapprove (down 2%).

By gender – men 31% approve/60% disapprove, women 31% approve/52% disapprove.

Approval of Tony Abbott

Aug 13, 2012

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

 

18 Jan

2010

5 Jul

 

20 Dec

14 Mar

2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

16 Jul

13 Aug

Total approve

37%

37%

39%

38%

38%

39%

32%

36%

32%

35%

36%

Total disapprove

37%

47%

39%

47%

48%

50%

53%

52%

54%

53%

51%

Strongly approve

5%

8%

9%

7%

6%

8%

6%

7%

6%

7%

8%

Approve

32%

29%

30%

31%

32%

31%

26%

29%

26%

28%

28%

Disapprove

20%

23%

21%

24%

25%

23%

25%

23%

24%

23%

22%

Strongly disapprove

17%

24%

18%

23%

23%

27%

28%

29%

30%

30%

29%

Don’t know

26%

16%

22%

16%

15%

11%

14%

12%

13%

12%

13%

Tony Abbott’s approval rating has improved marginally over the last month. 36% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 51% (down 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -18 to -15 over the last 4 weeks.

70% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (down 5%) disapprove.

By gender – men 40% approve/51% disapprove, women 32% approve/52% disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Aug 13, 2012

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

 

5 Jul 2010

14 Mar 2011

14 June

12 Sept

12 Dec

12 Mar 2012

12 Jun

16 Jul

Total 13 Aug

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Julia Gillard

53%

44%

41%

36%

39%

40%

37%

37%

36%

78%

4%

78%

Tony Abbott

26%

33%

36%

40%

35%

37%

37%

38%

38%

8%

77%

4%

Don’t know

21%

23%

24%

24%

26%

23%

26%

26%

26%

13%

18%

18%

36% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 38% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott.

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/33% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/35%.

Same Sex Marriage

Aug 13, 2012

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

 

15 Nov 2010

14 Mar 2011

4 Jul 11

13 Aug 12

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Should be allowed to marry

53%

49%

54%

54%

65%

42%

83%

Should not be allowed to marry

36%

40%

35%

33%

27%

44%

11%

Don’t know

11%

10%

11%

13%

8%

14%

6%

54% think that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 33% think they should not – a very similar result to last year when this question was last asked.

Strongest support came from women (61%), people aged 35-54 (59%), aged under 35 (56%) and those on incomes over $1,600pw (59%).

Checking Emails

Aug 13, 2012

Q. With regard to work emails, how often do you check them in each of the following circumstances?

 

Regularly

Sometimes

Occasion-ally

Never

Out of work hours

46%

18%

18%

18%

On weekends

44%

16%

18%

22%

On holidays

31%

19%

22%

27%

* Based on the 68% of respondents who receive work emails.

46% say they regularly check their work emails out of hours, 44% on weekends and 31% on holidays.

Those most likely to check their emails regularly out of hours were women (52%) and aged 45-54 (57%). Those earning under $1,000pw (54%) were more likely to check emails out of work hours than those earning over $1,000pw (44%).

However, there were no major differences across demographics on checking work emails on weekends or holidays.

Frequency of Checking Emails and Social Media

Aug 13, 2012

Q. How often do you check any of the following technologies?

 

At least once every 15 minutes

At least once an hour

Every few hours

At least once a day

Less often

Don’t know

Don’t use

Text messages

7%

16%

28%

27%

13%

2%

7%

Mobile phone calls

7%

16%

28%

28%

14%

2%

5%

Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

3%

10%

16%

27%

21%

*

23%

Personal e-mail

6%

13%

29%

45%

6%

*

1%

Work email

12%

14%

15%

14%

5%

*

39%

Voice mail

3%

5%

9%

15%

29%

2%

38%

 

 

Total at least once every 15 minutes

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Text messages

7%

19%

11%

Mobile phone calls

7%

13%

10%

Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

3%

9%

7%

Personal e-mail

6%

10%

12%

Work email

12%

11%

22%

Voice mail

3%

1%

7%

 

 

Total at least once an hour

Aged 18-24

Aged 25-34

Text messages

23%

59%

33%

Mobile phone calls

23%

46%

34%

Social media (e.g. Facebook, Twitter)

13%

42%

24%

Personal e-mail

19%

33%

29%

Work email

26%

30%

42%

Voice mail

8%

10%

13%

12% say they check work emails ever 15 minutes and 26% check them at least once an hour. 23% check text messages and mobile phone calls at least once an hour.

Respondents aged under 35 were by far the most frequent users of mobile phones and social media.

19% of those aged 18-24 check their text messages and 13% check their mobile phone calls at least once every 15 minutes.

22% of those aged 25-34 check their work emails at least every 15 minutes.

At least every hour, 59% of those aged 18-24 check their text messages, 46% check their mobile phone calls and 42% check social media.

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