US Presidential election

Jun 21, 2016

Q. If you had a vote in the US Presidential election, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Hillary Clinton 71%   77% 70% 88% 66%
Donald Trump 15%   12% 19% 6% 20%
Don’t know 14%   11% 12% 6% 14%

71% would vote for Hillary Clinton for US President and 15% would vote for Donald Trump. All voter groups would strongly vote for Hillary Clinton.

Spending promises

Jun 21, 2016

Q. Thinking about the Federal election campaign, as far as you are aware, which party seems to be making the most spending promises?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Labor 39%   45% 48% 29% 32%
Liberal 13%   10% 21% 8% 10%
No difference 29%   29% 17% 40% 46%
Don’t know 20%   16% 13% 24% 11%

 39% think that Labor has made the most spending promises during the election campaign and 13% think the Liberals have made the most.

There was little difference between Labor and Liberal voters in their views about the Labor Party but 21% of Liberal voters thought the Liberal Party had made the most spending promises.

Federal voting intention

Jun 15, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

7/6/16

2 weeks ago

31/5/16

4 weeks ago

17/5/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 37%   37% 38% 39%    
National 4%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 41%   41% 41% 42%   45.6%
Labor 37%   36% 35% 38%   33.4%
Greens 10%   10% 9% 9%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   4% 4% 3%  
Other/Independent 9%   10% 10% 8%   12.4%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   50% 51% 49%   53.5%
Labor 51%   50% 49% 51%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,787. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Total approve 38%   20% 72% 14% 25%   47% 56% 51% 51% 45% 39% 40% 41%
Total disapprove 40%   63% 19% 60% 59%   17% 23% 25% 27% 35% 39% 42% 39%
Strongly approve 6%   3% 13% 1% 1%   11% 13% 9% 8% 6% 7% 7% 9%
Approve 32%   17% 59% 13% 24%   36% 43% 42% 43% 39% 32% 33% 32%
Disapprove 24%   36% 16% 26% 33%   11% 16% 16% 18% 24% 23% 26% 22%
Strongly disapprove 16%   27% 3% 34% 26%   6% 7% 9% 9% 11% 16% 16% 17%
Don’t know 21%   17% 10% 26% 17%   35% 21% 23% 21% 21% 22% 17% 19%

38% (down 3% from 2 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (up 1%) disapprove – a net approval rating of -2 (down 4).

72% (down 7%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 19% (up 10%) disapproving. 20% (down 2%) of Labor voters and 14% (down 3%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

By gender, men were 43% approve/42% disapprove and women 34% approve/39% disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Total approve 34%   61% 22% 28% 20%   31% 35% 27% 27% 27% 27% 30% 34% 34%
Total disapprove 40%   17% 62% 41% 60%   27% 39% 47% 47% 48% 47% 44% 43% 44%
Strongly approve 7%   18% 1% 6% 1%   5% 7% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5% 6% 7%
Approve 27%   43% 21% 22% 19%   26% 28% 23% 23% 22% 24% 25% 28% 27%
Disapprove 22%   15% 27% 28% 34%   17% 23% 26% 28% 26% 29% 22% 26% 26%
Strongly disapprove 18%   2% 35% 13% 26%   10% 16% 21% 19% 22% 18% 22% 17% 18%
Don’t know 25%   21% 16% 31% 20%   43% 26% 25% 26% 25% 26% 25% 23% 23%

34% (no change in last 2 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 40% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -10 to -6.

61% (down 5%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 17% (down 1%) disapprove.

36% of men and 33% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 44% of men and 37% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Malcolm Turnbull 40% 12% 79% 17% 33% 53% 54% 51% 52% 48% 44% 43% 40%
Bill Shorten 29% 59% 10% 31% 15% 17% 15% 18% 15% 19% 22% 28% 27%
Don’t know 32% 28% 11% 52% 52% 30% 31% 31% 33% 33% 34% 29% 33%

40% (no change) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 29% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

43% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

37% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.

Attributes of the Labor Party

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% +2   57% 72% 65% 64% 62%
Looks after the interests of working people 56% +6     39% 53% 55% 50%
Moderate 54% +7   65% 51% 48% 56% 47%
Divided 49% -5   30% 66% 66% 58% 54%
Understands the problems facing Australia 49% +6   62% 40% 50% 48% 43%
Have a vision for the future 48% +8     43% 49% 42% 40%
Out of touch with ordinary people 46% -7   44% 61% 51% 52% 53%
Have good policies 46% +8       46% 42% 38%
Trust to manage a fair superannuation system 45%              
Clear about what they stand for 43% +8     28% 38% 37% 35%
Has a good team of leaders 39% +9   60% 34% 36% 33% 30%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 35%     46% 31% 37% 35%
Trustworthy 33% +4       30% 34% 29%
Keeps its promises 31% +3   44% 20% 27% 29% 28%
Extreme 30% -5   25% 38% 34% 30% 35%

The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (64%), looks after the interests of working people (56%) and moderate (54%).

Since this question was asked in March, the main changes have been for has a good team of leaders (up 9%), have a vision for the future (up 8%), have good policies (up 8%) and clear about what they stand for (up 8%).

Attributes of the Liberal Party

Jun 15, 2016

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 66% +4     60% 60% 67% 62%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 65% +2   67% 65% 65% 68% 63%
Out of touch with ordinary people 63% +5   62% 54% 58% 62% 58%
Divided 52% -9   74% 49% 31% 56% 61%
Have a vision for the future 51% +5     48% 51% 54% 46%
Moderate 47%   50% 55% 48% 51% 47%
Clear about what they stand for 46% +7     44% 45% 46% 39%
Understands the problems facing Australia 44% +3   44% 51% 48% 46% 41%
Has a good team of leaders 42% +1   29% 40% 36% 48% 41%
Have good policies 41% +2       38% 43% 39%
Trust to manage a fair superannuation system 39%              
Extreme 38% +2   36% 36% 39% 39% 36%
Looks after the interests of working people 31%     38% 36% 32% 31%
Trustworthy 30% +2       30% 29% 28%
Keeps its promises 30% +3   28% 33% 32% 25% 27%

The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – too close to the big corporate and financial interest (66%), will promise anything to win votes (65%) and out of touch with ordinary people (63%).

Main changes since March were – divided (down 9%) and clear about what they stand for (up 7%).

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