State of the economy

Sep 20, 2016

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   May 2012 Apr 2013 Apr 2014 Mar 2015 Jan 2016 Jul 2016
Total good 30%   30% 36% 39% 23%   35% 45% 38% 27% 28% 30%
Total poor 27%   27% 21% 21% 37%   29% 26% 24% 33% 31% 26%
Very good 3%   3% 5% 1% 1%   6% 8% 3% 3% 4% 4%
Good 27%   27% 31% 38% 22%   29% 37% 35% 24% 24% 26%
Neither good nor poor 40%   41% 41% 37% 39%   33% 28% 34% 36% 36% 41%
Poor 20%   21% 17% 17% 25%   20% 17% 19% 24% 24% 20%
Very poor 7%   6% 4% 4% 12%   9% 9% 5% 9% 7% 6%
Don’t know 4%   3% 2% 4% 1%   2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4%

30% described the economy as good or very good and 27% poor/very poor – 40% said it was neither. This represents little change since July.

Liberal National and Greens voters were somewhat more optimistic than other voters. Among Labor voters 30% (up 4%) thought it was good and 27% (down 3%) poor; for Liberal/National voters 36% (down 8%) said it was good and 21% (up 3%) poor.

Economy heading in right or wrong direction

Sep 20, 2016

Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   May 2010 May 2011 Jun 2012 Apr 2013 Apr 2014 May 2015 Jul 2016
The right direction 33%   26% 52% 26% 25%   51% 45% 43% 36% 39% 35% 33%
The wrong direction 36%   45% 22% 40% 48%   25% 29% 32% 39% 34% 40% 35%
Don’t know 31%   29% 26% 34% 27%   24% 25% 25% 25% 26% 25% 31%

33% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction and 36% think it is heading in the wrong direction. This represents little change since July.

26% (up 4%) of Labor voters, 52% (down 7%) of Liberal/National voters and 26% (up 8%) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 45% (down 2%) of Labor voters, 22% (up 2%) of Liberal/National voters and 40% (down 4%) of Greens voters think it is heading in the wrong direction.

Job security

Sep 20, 2016

Q. In the next two years, do you expect your job to be more secure, less secure or about the same?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time   Oct 2014 Feb 2015 Sep 2015 Apr 2016
More Secure 14%   16% 17% 11% 7%   17% 11%   14% 9% 7% 14%
Less secure 27%   31% 19% 21% 32%   26% 24%   31% 29% 28% 31%
Much more secure 5%   4% 7% 3% 1%   6% 4%   5% 3% 2% 5%
Somewhat more secure 9%   12% 10% 8% 6%   11% 7%   9% 6% 5% 9%
About the same 53%   49% 60% 67% 51%   52% 58%   50% 58% 50% 49%
Somewhat less secure 16%   20% 11% 10% 16%   16% 15%   17% 17% 16% 19%
Much less secure 11%   11% 8% 11% 16%   10% 9%   14% 12% 12% 12%
Don’t know 6%   4% 3% 1% 10%   5% 7%   4% 4% 15% 7%

14% of respondents (no change since April) feel that their job will become more secure over the next two years. 27% (down 4%) feel it will become less secure while the largest proportion (53%) feel it will stay about the same. Liberal/National voters (60%) and Greens voters (67%) were more likely to say their job security would be about the same.

Work expectation

Sep 20, 2016

Q. Do you expect to be working for your current employer in 5 years time?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Yes 33%   37% 39% 23% 28%   44% 27% 33% 37% 24%
No 35%   36% 32% 45% 38%   30% 32% 38% 27% 53%
Not sure 32%   28% 29% 33% 33%   26% 41% 29% 36% 24%

33% expect to still be working for their current employer in 5 years time and 35% think they will not. 32% were not sure.

44% of fulltime workers, 42% of those earning more than $1,500 pw and 37% of those aged 35-54 think they will be working for the same employer.

41% of part-time workers were not sure compared to 26% of full-time workers.

Threats to job security

Sep 20, 2016

Q. What do you think is the biggest threat to job security in Australia?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Free trade deals that allow foreign workers into the Australian labour market 31%   33% 24% 26% 37%   28% 24% 20% 32% 42%
Companies using labour hire and contracting out 23%   24% 24% 32% 21%   27% 22% 27% 23% 17%
The impact of technological change 18%   18% 19% 22% 19%   21% 21% 23% 16% 13%
High wages 11%   8% 18% 7% 7%   11% 8% 10% 8% 16%
Not sure 18%   17% 15% 13% 16%   13% 25% 20% 20% 12%

The major threats to job security were free trade allowing in more foreign workers (31%) and companies using labour hire and contracting (23%). Only 11% think high wages are most responsible.

Statements about fairness

Sep 20, 2016

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  Total agree

 

Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know   Full time work agree Part time work agree
Fairness is a core Australian value 81% 11%   28% 53% 8% 3% 8%   80% 81%
My workplace treats people fairly (based on those working) 74% 11%   25% 49% 15% 6% 5%   72% 76%
Social and economic inequality in Australia is getter worse 68% 18%   21% 47% 16% 2% 13%   68% 65%
The Australian labour market is a fair place 40% 38%   6% 34% 29% 9% 21%   45% 43%

81% agree that “fairness is a core Australian value but 68% agree that social and economic inequality is getting worse.

Respondents were divided over whether the Australian labour market is a fair place (40% agree/38% disagree).

55% of those earning more than $2,000 pw think the Australian labour market is a fair place compared to 31% of those earning less than $1,000 pw.

Federal voting intention

Sep 13, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

6/9/16

2 weeks ago

30/8/16

4 weeks ago

16/8/16

  Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   36% 37% 36%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 38%   39% 40% 39%   42.0%
Labor 37%   37% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   3% 4% 4%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 5%   5%        
Other/Independent 7%   6% 10% 11%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 49% 48%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 51% 52%   49.6%
  1. Sample = 1,856. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

Sep 13, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Jul 2016 Aug 2016
Total approve 35%   16% 71% 23% 22%   56% 45% 38% 37% 38%
Total disapprove 43%   65% 17% 51% 59%   23% 35% 40% 48% 43%
Strongly approve 4%   1% 10% 3% 1%   13% 6% 6% 8% 6%
Approve 31%   15% 61% 20% 21%   43% 39% 32% 29% 32%
Disapprove 27%   37% 15% 31% 35%   16% 24% 24% 27% 26%
Strongly disapprove 16%   28% 2% 20% 24%   7% 11% 16% 21% 17%
Don’t know 22%   18% 11% 26% 20%   21% 21% 21% 16% 19%

35% (down 3% from 4 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 43% (no change disapprove – a change in net approval rating from -5 to -8.

71% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 17% (up 3%) disapproving. 16% (up 1%) of Labor voters and 23% (up 5%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

By gender, men were 42% approve/43% disapprove and women 30% approve/43% disapprove.

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