Federal voting intention

Sep 11, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 5/9/17 2 weeks ago 29/8/17 4 weeks ago 15/8/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   33% 34% 34%    
National 3%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 37% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   37% 36% 39%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   2% 3% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 9%   8% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   47% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,826. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Malcolm Turnbull

Sep 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Aug 2017 July 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 June 2016 Dec 2015
Total Approve 41% 21% 75% 23% 28%   38% 37% 36% 33% 34% 38% 56%
Total Disapprove 46% 68% 16% 62% 65%   46% 49% 45% 50% 46% 40% 23%
Strongly approve 7% 4% 16% 1% 1% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 13%
Approve 34% 17% 59% 22% 27% 34% 31% 31% 28% 29% 32% 43%
Disapprove 28% 36% 14% 36% 41% 27% 30% 28% 30% 30% 24% 16%
Strongly disapprove 18% 32% 2% 26% 24% 19% 19% 17% 20% 16% 16% 7%
Don’t know 14%   11% 10% 15% 7%   16% 15% 19% 18% 20% 21% 21%

41% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 3% from last month), and 46% disapproved (no change) – a change in net approval rating from -8 to -5 (his best net rating since October last year).

75% (up 2%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 21% of ALP voters and 23% of Greens voters.

By gender, men were 45% approve/45% disapprove and women 36% approve/46% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Sep 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2017 July 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
Total Approve 36%   65% 23% 40% 17%   35% 36% 34% 30% 35% 27% 35%
Total Disapprove 47%   21% 65% 37% 71%   42% 44% 43% 49% 38% 47% 39%
Strongly approve 7%   15% 3% 9% 1%   6% 6% 5% 4% 6% 4% 7%
Approve 29%   50% 20% 31% 16%   29% 30% 29% 26% 29% 23% 28%
Disapprove 25%   17% 31% 28% 32%   24% 24% 28% 26% 21% 26% 23%
Strongly disapprove 22%   4% 34% 9% 39%   18% 20% 15% 23% 17% 21% 16%
Don’t know 17%   14% 11% 23% 13%   22% 20% 23% 22% 25% 25% 26%

36% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 1% from last month), and 47% disapproved (down 5%) – a change in net approval rating from -7 to -11.

65% (no change) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 40% of Greens voters and 23% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 39% approve/50% disapprove and women 34% approve/43% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Sep 11, 2017

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2017 July 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Jun 2016 Dec 2015
Malcolm Turnbull 43%   18% 79% 25% 39%   41% 41% 39% 38% 39% 40% 54%
Bill Shorten 29%   62% 7% 42% 14%   27% 27% 26% 26% 28% 29% 15%
Don’t know 28%   21% 14% 33% 47%   32% 31% 34% 36% 33% 32% 31%


43% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (up 2% from last month), and 29% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 2%). 28% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 79% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 62% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (42%) to Turnbull (25%).

47% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 30% prefer Bill Shorten.

39% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.

Actions on energy

Sep 11, 2017

Q. Would you approve of disapprove of the Government taking the following actions to ensure affordable, reliable and clean energy for Australian households and businesses?

  Total approve Total dis-approve   Strongly approve Approve Dis-approve Strongly dis-approve Don’t know
Regulate electricity and gas prices 86% 5%   39% 47% 3% 2% 8%
Increase investment in renewable energy and smart solutions like energy storage 81% 10%   40% 41% 6% 4% 10%
Restrict gas exports to make more gas available in Australia 77% 9%   34% 43% 7% 2% 14%
Clean up existing coal power stations 77% 10%   29% 48% 7% 3% 13%
Force energy companies to help their customers to use less power 65% 21%   25% 40% 16% 5% 15%
Buy back ownership of coal-fired power stations from private companies 56% 22%   21% 35% 14% 8% 23%
Stop coal-fired power stations from closing down 51% 30%   19% 32% 18% 12% 20%
Allow more onshore gas exploration 48% 26%   15% 33% 17% 9% 25%
Build or subsidise new coal-fired power stations 48% 34%   19% 29% 17% 17% 18%

There was substantial support for all listed actions to ensure affordable, reliable and clean energy.

The ones with highest approvals were to regulate electricity and gas prices (86%), increase investment in renewable energy and smart solutions like energy storage (81%), restrict gas exports to make more gas available in Australia (77%) and clean up existing coal power stations (77%).

Although slightly less than majority approval, allowing more onshore gas exploration (48%) and building/subsidizing new coal-fired power stations (48%) were much more likely to be approved than disapproved.

Renewables vs fossil fuels

Sep 11, 2017

Q. As far as you know, which energy source – renewable energy like solar and wind OR fossil fuels like coal and gas – is better for each of the following?

  Renewable energy better Fossil fuels better No difference Don’t know   May 2015 Renewable May 2015 Fossil fuels
The environment 73% 8% 10% 10%   69% 5%
Electricity costs 41% 27% 14% 18%   47% 18%
The economy 40% 28% 14% 18%   42% 20%
Jobs 34% 26% 20% 20%   37% 20%

 

Overall, respondents think that renewable energy is better for the environment (73%), electricity costs (41%), the economy (40%) and jobs (34%). Since this question was asked in May 2015, main changes are an increase for renewables being better for the environment (from 69% to 73%) and a decline for renewables being better for electricity costs (from 47% to 41%).

 

There were few substantial differences across demographic groups – other than for men who were more likely to believe fossil fuels were better for the economy (36%), jobs (32%) and electricity costs (33%).

 

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think fossil fuels are better for the economy (39%), jobs (37%) and electricity costs (35%).

Lower energy prices

Sep 11, 2017

Q. Which party do you think would be more likely to deliver lower energy prices?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
A Coalition Government 19%   5% 43% 7% 11%
A Labor Government 28%   60% 10% 32% 10%
No difference 35%   23% 35% 34% 64%
Don’t know 18%   12% 12% 27% 15%

 

28% think that a Labor Government would be more likely to deliver lower energy prices and 19% think a Coalition Government would deliver lower prices. However, more than half either thought there would be no difference (35%) or could not give an opinion (18%).

Federal voting intention

Sep 5, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 29/8/17 2 weeks ago 22/8/17 4 weeks ago 8/8/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   34% 34% 34%    
National 4%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   37% 37% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 37% 39%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 9% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 5%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   47% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,784. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Pages:«1234567...414»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.