Interests Represented by Parties

Sep 1, 2015

Q. Which political party do you think best represents the interests of –

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

Net (Labor- Liberal

Net Nov 2011

Big business

9%

61%

3%

27%

-52

-57

Working people on high incomes

11%

59%

3%

26%

-48

-54

Small businesses and self-employed

25%

40%

4%

31%

-15

-29

Rural and regional Australians

19%

27%

13%

41%

-8

-13

The next generation of Australians

22%

27%

12%

39%

-5

-11

Indigenous people

22%

21%

16%

41%

+1

+11

Ethnic communities

21%

19%

17%

43%

+2

+8

Families with young children

37%

24%

6%

33%

+13

+11

Pensioners

37%

22%

8%

33%

+15

+12

Students

36%

20%

11%

33%

+16

+10

Working people on average incomes

42%

26%

5%

27%

+16

+11

Working people on low incomes

44%

21%

6%

28%

+23

+25

People on welfare

41%

18%

10%

31%

+23

+26

The Labor Party is considered the party which best represents the interests of families with young children, students, working people on low and average incomes, people on welfare and pensioners. The Liberal Party is considered substantially better at representing the interests of people on high incomes, big business and small business and self-employed.

Since this question was asked in November 2011, the Labor Party has improved its position on representing the interests of small business and self- employed (up 14), students (up 6), the next generation (up 6) and people on high incomes (up 6). The Liberal Party has improved its position on representing the interests of indigenous people (up 10) and ethnic communities (up 6).

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 25, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,781 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/7/15

2 weeks ago 11/8/15

Last week 18/8/15

This week 25/8/15

Liberal

36%

38%

38%

38%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

11%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

9%

10%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/7/15

2 weeks ago 11/8/15

Last week 18/8/15

This week 25/8/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

47%

48%

49%

Labor

46.5%

53%

53%

52%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Same sex marriage

Aug 25, 2015

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Jul 2011

Sep 2012

Oct 2013

Jun 2014

Dec 2014

Feb 2015

Jun 2015

Should be allowed to marry

60%

73%

45%

91%

42%

 

54%

55%

57%

60%

55%

59%

59%

Should not be allowed to marry

31%

20%

44%

7%

45%

 

35%

36%

31%

28%

32%

28%

28%

Don’t know

10%

7%

11%

1%

13%

 

11%

9%

12%

12%

14%

13%

14%

`

Total

Men

Women

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Should be allowed to marry

60%

56%

63%

68%

60%

50%

Should not be allowed to marry

31%

34%

27%

21%

30%

43%

Don’t know

10%

10%

10%

11%

10%

7%

60% agreed that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 31% think they should not. This represents little change since this question was last asked in June.

Support for same sex marriage is 56% among men and 63% among women. 68% of under 35’s support same sex marriage – while those aged 65+ split 42% in favour/49% against.

Decision on same sex marriage

Aug 25, 2015

Q. Do you think the issue of same sex marriage should be decided by Parliament or should there be a national vote?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Should be allowed to marry

Should not be allowed to marry

Should be decided by Parliament

22%

29%

20%

20%

24%

25%

19%

Should have a national vote

66%

62%

69%

73%

68%

69%

68%

Don’t know

12%

9%

11%

7%

8%

6%

13%

66% favour a national vote on same sex marriage and 22% think the issue should be decided by Parliament.
Support for a national vote is over 60% for all key demographic groups and similar for those in favour and those opposed to same sex marriage.

National vote on same sex marriage

Aug 25, 2015

Q. If the Government decides to hold a national vote on same sex marriage, should it be held before the next election, on the same day as the next election or after the next election?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Should be allowed to marry

Should not be allowed to marry

Before the next election

35%

43%

28%

39%

30%

47%

19%

Same day as the next election

43%

44%

46%

46%

49%

41%

48%

After the next election

11%

5%

17%

8%

15%

5%

21%

Don’t know

11%

8%

9%

7%

6%

7%

11%

78% think that a national vote should be held before or on the same day as the next election. Only 11% think it should be held after the election. Among those in favour of same sex marriage, 47% want the national vote held before the next election – compared to 19% of those opposed.

Royal Commission into trade unions

Aug 25, 2015

Q. Do you think the Royal Commission into Trade Unions is a legitimate investigation into union practices or is it a political attack on unions and the Labor Party?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

A political attack on Labor and the unions

27%

52%

6%

42%

25%

A legitimate investigation of union practices

39%

17%

70%

14%

41%

Don’t know

34%

31%

24%

44%

34%

39% think the that the Trade Union Royal Commission is a legitimate investigation of union practices and 27% think that it is a political attack on Labor and the unions. 34% did not know.

Views were related to voting intention – 70% of Liberal/National voters think it is a legitimate investigation of union practices while 52% of Labor voters think it is a political attack on Labor and the unions.

40% of full-time workers and 35% of part-time workers think it is a legitimate investigation of union practices.

Royal Commissioner – conflict of interest

Aug 25, 2015

Q. Reports that the Trade Union Royal Commissioner, Dyson Heydon, had accepted an invitation to speak at Liberal Party event has led to allegations of conflict of interest. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

There is a conflict of interest and he should step down as Royal Commissioner

38%

56%

18%

55%

45%

There is no conflict of interest and he should continue as Royal Commissioner

25%

9%

50%

6%

21%

Don’t know

37%

35%

32%

39%

34%

38% think there is a conflict of interest and Dyson Heydon should step down as Royal Commissioner and 25% think there is no conflict of interest and he should continue as Royal Commissioner.

Views were related to voting intention – 50% of Liberal/National voters think there is no conflict of interest and he should continue as Royal Commissioner and 56% of Labor voters and 55% of Greens voters think there is a conflict of interest and he should step down as Royal Commissioner.

36% of full-time workers and 39% of part-time workers think there is a conflict of interest and he should step down as Royal Commissioner.

Carbon emission target

Aug 25, 2015

Q. The Federal Government has proposed a target of 26-28% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030. The Climate Change Authority has recommended a 40-60% reduction by 2030. Which proposal do you favour most?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Liberal Government’s 26-28% reduction

23%

12%

43%

5%

17%

Climate Change Authority’s 40-60% reduction

50%

65%

27%

89%

57%

Don’t need to reduce carbon emissions

10%

6%

17%

2%

13%

Don’t know

17%

16%

13%

4%

14%

50% favour the Climate Change Authority’s recommendation of a 40-60% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 and 23% favour the Liberal Government’s 26-28% reduction target.

The Climate Change Authority’s recommendation has highest support from Greens voters (89%), Labor voters (65%), aged 18-24 (68%) and university educated (58%).

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