Federal Budget

May 16, 2017

Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Budget that was handed down on Tuesday 9th May?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total Approve 41%   32% 66% 33% 31%
Total Disapprove 33%   45% 16% 39% 50%
Strongly approve 5%   2% 11% 4% 2%
Approve 36%   30% 55% 29% 29%
Disapprove 23%   30% 13% 31% 30%
Strongly disapprove 10%   15% 3% 8% 20%
Don’t know 25%   23% 19% 29% 18%

 

Overall, more people approved of the budget (41%) than disapproved (33%). Approval for the budget was highest among Liberal/National voters (66% support) and those aged 65+ (57%). Disapproval was highest amongst other party/independent voters (50% disapprove) and ALP voters (45%).

Confidence in Economy

May 16, 2017

Q. Does this budget make you feel more confident or less confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other  
Total more confident 27%   18% 48% 20% 17%  
Total less confident 29%   38% 12% 33% 44%  
A lot more confident 5%   3% 9% 4% 3%  
A little more confident 22%   15% 39% 16% 14%  
Makes no difference 33%   34% 33% 35% 35%  
A little less confident 15%   18% 9% 18% 20%  
A lot less confident 14%   20% 3% 15% 24%  
Don’t know 12%   10% 8% 11% 4%  

More people said that the budget made them less confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy (29%) than said that it made them more confident (27%), although 33% said that it made no difference.

Those most likely to say that the budget made them more confident were Liberal/National voters (48%) and those aged over 65 (40%).

Those most likely to say that the budget made them less confident were other part/independent voters (44%), ALP voters (38%) and those aged 45-54 (36%).

Budget Measures

May 16, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the following measures contained in the budget?

  Total approve Total disapprove   Strongly Approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
A levy on vacant properties owned by foreign investors 82% 7%   51% 31% 5% 2% 11%
Payment reductions for jobseekers who fail to attend Centrelink appointments 76% 14%   43% 33% 9% 5% 9%
A levy on businesses who hire foreign workers on permanent and temporary work visas 71% 16%   35% 36% 12% 4% 14%
A one-off cash payment for single parents and pensioners to compensate for increased energy prices 69% 19%   27% 42% 14% 5% 12%
A trial of drug testing for jobseekers receiving unemployment benefits 69% 22%   42% 27% 13% 9% 9%
A levy on big banks which will raise $6.2bn over four years 66% 19%   38% 28% 12% 7% 14%
Building a second airport in Sydney at Badgerys Creek 54% 18%   15% 39% 13% 5% 28%
A 0.5% increase to the Medicare levy to fund the National Disability Insurance Scheme 49% 39%   15% 34% 22% 17% 13%

All but one measure, the increase to the Medicare levy to fund the NDIS, received majority approval.

The most popular measure was a levy of vacant properties owned by foreign investors (82% approve). Support for this measure was highest among those aged 65+ (94% approve), and lowest among those aged 18-24 (63%).

The least popular measure was the Medicare levy to fund the NDIS, although this still received 49% approval, and only 39% disapproval. Support for this measure was highest among Greens voters (68% approve) and Liberal/National voters (59%), and was lowest among those aged 35-44 (34% disapprove) and ALP voters (42%).

While 54% supported the Badgerys Creek airport, 67% of those living in NSW, where the airport would be located, supported the measure.

Budget Impact

May 16, 2017

Q. In general, do you think the Federal Budget, will be good or bad for?

  Total good Total bad   Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
People who are well off 51% 5%   22% 29% 30% 4% 1% 14%
Australian business 45% 8%   9% 36% 32% 7% 1% 16%
The economy overall 38% 17%   6% 32% 31% 13% 4% 14%
First home-buyers 31% 18%   5% 26% 36% 10% 8% 14%
Australian families 25% 32%   3% 22% 31% 24% 8% 12%
Older Australians 25% 30%   3% 22% 31% 21% 9% 14%
Job seekers 23% 30%   4% 19% 34% 20% 10% 12%
Average working people 22% 36%   3% 19% 30% 25% 11% 12%
Primary/secondary students 21% 24%   3% 18% 39% 17% 7% 16%
People on lower incomes 20% 41%   4% 16% 27% 24% 17% 12%
You personally 18% 32%   4% 14% 39% 21% 11% 11%
University students 12% 49%   3% 9% 26% 30% 19% 13%

 

51% thought that the budget would be good for people who are well off. Only 43% of Liberal/National voters thought this, compared to 67% of Greens voters and 63% of ALP voters.

Only 12% thought that the budget would be good for University students. 22% of Liberal/National voters thought the budget would be good for University students, compared to 6% of ALP voters and 8% of Greens voters.

Budget Statements

May 16, 2017

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the Federal budget that was handed down on Tuesday 9th May?

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know  
This budget is more about improving the Government’s popularity than improving the economy 51% 27%   19% 32% 23% 4% 21%
This budget favours businesses over workers 48% 28%   16% 32% 24% 4% 24%
Overall, the budget is fair and balanced 43% 38%   6% 37% 27% 11% 19%
This budget does not do enough to reduce the deficit 41% 31%   10% 31% 27% 4% 27%
This was the budget Australia needs at this time 39% 36%   8% 31% 26% 10% 25%

More people agreed than disagreed with each statement about the budget.

The most widely agreed with statement was that the budget is more about improving the Government’s popularity than improving the economy (51% agree). 66% of ALP voters agreed with this statement, as did 64% of other party/independent voters, compared to 37% of Liberal/National voters.

The least widely agreed with statement was that this was the budget Australia needs at this time, with 39% agreement. 43% of men agreed with this statement, compared to only 34% of women. 51% of those aged 65+ agreed, compared to 38% of those aged 18-24.

Preferred Treasurer

May 16, 2017

Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Scott Morrison or the Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Scott Morrison 26%   8% 57% 7% 18%
Chris Bowen 22%   43% 5% 31% 20%
Don’t know 52%   49% 37% 62% 61%

 

26% trusted Scott Morrison to handle the economy, and 22% trusted Chris Bowen. 52% did not know who they trusted more.

Scott Morrison was most favoured by Liberal/National voters (57%) and those aged 65+ (45%). Chris Bowen was most favoured by ALP voters (43%).

64% of women said that they did not know who they trusted more, compared to 40% of men.

NDIS Funding

May 16, 2017

Q. The federal budget includes a 0.5% increase to the Medicare levy for all taxpayers in order to fund the National Disability Insurance Scheme. Do you think that this is the right approach, or that high income earners should bear a greater share of the cost of funding the NDIS? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Higher income earners should bear a greater share of the cost 56%   69% 44% 58% 62%
Increasing the Medicare levy for all taxpayers is the right approach 27%   15% 45% 23% 20%
Don’t know 17% 16% 11% 19% 17%

 

56% thought that higher income earners should bear a greater share of the cost of funding the NDIS. Those most likely to think this were ALP voters (69%), those earning between $78k and $104k per year (63%), and other party/independent voters (62%).

Those who thought that increasing the Medicare levy was the right approach were Liberal/National voters (45%), those aged 65+ (35%) and those earning over $104k per year (34%).

Federal voting intention

May 9, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 2/5/17 2 weeks ago 25/4/17 4 weeks ago 11/4/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   35% 34% 35%    
National 2%   2% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 37% 37%   42.0%
Labor 38%   37% 36% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   7% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   47% 47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 53% 53%   49.6%

Sample = 1,795. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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