Childcare and early learning policies

Jul 16, 2018

Q. Thinking about childcare and early learning, do you agree or disagree with the following policies?

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
Ensuring all children have access to two years of early learning (e.g. kindy or preschool program) before they started school 77% 12%   32% 45% 8% 4% 11%
Removing support for children whose parents are not in the workforce and are not actively looking for work 42% 43%   16% 26% 27% 16% 14%
Ensuring children from poor or disadvantaged children get the support they need to access two years of early learning (e.g. kindy or preschool program) before they start school. 81% 9%   37% 44% 6% 3% 9%

 

There was strong agreement with the policies that all children have access to two years of early learning (77% agree) and that children from poor or disadvantaged children get the support they need to access two years of early learning (81%).

However, respondents were split over removing support for children whose parents are not in the workforce and are not actively looking for work (42% agree/43% disagree).

Households with children were more likely to agree that all children have access to two years of early learning (85%) but were also evenly divided over removing support for children whose parents are not in the workforce and are not actively looking for work (45% agree/45% disagree). Those most likely to oppose removing support were women (49% disagree), Greens voters (58%) and aged 65+ (52%).

Federal voting intention

Jul 4, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago 19/618 4 weeks ago 5/6/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 36%   35% 34%    
National 4%   3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 40%   38% 36%   42.0%
Labor 37%   35% 37%   34.7%
Greens 11%   11% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1%   2% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   7% 8%    
Other/Independent 5%   7% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 48%   48% 46%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Malcolm Turnbull

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017
Total approve 43% 28% 79% 25% 27%   42% 40% 39% 41% 41% 41% 36% 33%
Total disapprove 40% 59% 14% 58% 56%   42% 42% 42% 43% 44% 46% 45% 50%
Strongly approve 8% 3% 19% 5% 3% 7% 9% 8% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5%
Approve 35% 25% 60% 20% 24% 34% 31% 31% 32% 33% 34% 31% 28%
Disapprove 22% 28% 10% 35% 27% 23% 22% 26% 26% 27% 28% 28% 30%
Strongly disapprove 18% 31% 4% 23% 29% 18% 20% 16% 17% 17% 18% 17% 20%
Don’t know 17%   12% 7% 16% 17%   16% 19% 19% 16% 15% 14% 19% 18%

43% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 1% from last month), and 40% disapproved (down 2%) – a change in net approval rating from 0 to +3. This is Malcolm Turnbull’s first positive net approval rating since May 2016.

79% (no change) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 28% of ALP voters, 25% of Greens and 27% of other voters.

By gender, men were 49% approve/40% disapprove and women 38% approve/39% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017
Total Approve 31%   58% 18% 34% 18%   33% 37% 35% 37% 36% 36% 34% 30%
Total Disapprove 47%   23% 72% 41% 69%   46% 41% 43% 44% 45% 47% 43% 49%
Strongly approve 5%   12% 2% 4% 2%   6% 8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4%
Approve 26%   46% 16% 30% 16%   27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26%
Disapprove 25%   19% 31% 31% 27%   23% 21% 22% 23% 23% 25% 28% 26%
Strongly disapprove 22%   4% 41% 10% 42%   23% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 15% 23%
Don’t know 21%   19% 10% 24% 14%   21% 23% 23% 19% 19% 17% 23% 22%

31% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (down 2% from last month), and 47% disapproved (up 1%) – a change in net approval rating from -13 to -16.

58% (down 4%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 34% of Greens voters and 18% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 34% approve/52% disapprove and women 29% approve/44% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2018 May 2018 Apr 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016
Malcolm Turnbull 42%   16% 83% 24% 36%   41% 40% 41% 41% 42% 43% 39% 38% 39%
Bill Shorten 25%   53% 6% 39% 10%   27% 26% 26% 26% 28% 29% 26% 26% 28%
Don’t know 34%   31% 12% 37% 54%   32% 34% 33% 33% 31% 28% 34% 36% 33%


42% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister (up 1% from last month), and 25% thought Bill Shorten would be better (down 2%). 34% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 83% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 53% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (39%) to Malcolm Turnbull (24%).

46% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 24% prefer Bill Shorten.

37% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 25% prefer Bill Shorten.

Business tax cuts

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s proposal to cut the tax rate for businesses from 30% to 25% estimated to cost $80 billion over the next 10 years?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2018
Total Approve 41%   25% 69% 37% 35%   37%
Total Disapprove 36%   57% 15% 43% 44%   37%
Strongly approve 11%   6% 20% 9% 8%   11%
Approve 30%   19% 49% 28% 27%   26%
Disapprove 19%   27% 11% 24% 24%   19%
Strongly disapprove 17%   30% 4% 21% 20%   18%
Don’t know 22%   18% 16% 17% 21%   26%

 

41% (up 4% in last 4 weeks) approve of the Federal Government’s proposal for business tax cuts and 36% (down 1%) disapprove. 22% did not give an opinion.

 

69% of Liberal National voters approve but 57% of Labor voters, 43% of Greens voters and 44% of other voters disapprove. 49% of full-time workers approve and 32% disapprove.

 

 

Statements about company tax cut

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Feb 2018
Cutting the company tax rate will bring Australia’s tax base into line with other nations, attract investment and create more jobs and higher wages 34%   21% 56% 29% 29%   32%
Cutting the company tax rate will simply deliver business $80 billion more in profits – it won’t result in higher wages. 41%   59% 25% 49% 47%   38%
Not sure 25%   20% 19% 22% 24%   30%

 

Respondents were divided over these statements – but a little more likely to think that company tax cuts will not deliver higher wages. 41% (up 3% from February) agreed more that “Cutting the company tax rate will simply deliver business $80 billion more in profits . . . “ and 34% (up 2%) agreed more that “Cutting the company tax rate will bring Australia’s tax base into line with other nations  . . . “. 25% were not sure.

Those more likely to agree that  “Cutting the company tax rate will simply deliver business $80 billion more in profits . . . “ were Labor voters (59%), Greens voters (49%) and other voters (47%).

Those more likely to agree that “Cutting the company tax rate will bring Australia’s tax base into line with other nations  . . . “. were LNP voters (56%) and workers on incomes over $2,000pw. (40%).

National Energy Guarantee impact on prices

Jul 4, 2018

Q. Do you think that the Government’s energy plan – the National Energy Guarantee – will reduce or increase power prices or will it make no difference to prices?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2017
Increase prices 22%   26% 17% 23% 28%   31%
Reduce prices 15%   12% 20% 21% 11%   16%
Make no difference to prices 38%   41% 39% 28% 45%   31%
Don’t know 25%   20% 24% 27% 16%   22%

 

Only 15% think that the National Energy Guarantee will reduce power prices. 22% think the plan will increase prices and 38% think it will make no difference. Since this question was asked in October there has been a 9% drop in those who think it will increase prices and a 7% increase for those who think it will make no difference.

Among Liberal National voters, 20% think it will reduce prices, 17% increase prices and 39% make no difference.

51% of those aged 55+ think it will make no difference.

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