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  • Feb, 2015

    Relations with Indonesia

    Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Nov 2013

    May 2014

    Oct 2014

    Total good

    24%

    9%

    47%

    9%

    17%

    29%

    25%

    32%

    Total poor

    42%

    62%

    16%

    70%

    42%

    42%

    43%

    39%

    Very good

    8%

    3%

    16%

    5%

    11%

    8%

    12%

    Good

    16%

    6%

    31%

    9%

    12%

    18%

    17%

    20%

    Neither good nor poor

    27%

    24%

    32%

    15%

    31%

    21%

    19%

    22%

    Poor

    16%

    21%

    10%

    19%

    19%

    16%

    19%

    18%

    Very poor

    26%

    41%

    6%

    51%

    23%

    26%

    24%

    21%

    Don’t know

    7%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    13%

    8%

     

    24% (down 8% since October) of respondents rate Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government handling of relations with Indonesia as good. 42% (up 3%) rate them as poor. This represents a decline of 11 points from net -7 to net -18 (the same as recorded in May last year).

    47% of Liberal/National voters rate the Government’s performance as “good”  – compared to 71% in October.

  • Feb, 2015

    Attributes of Malcolm Turnbull

    Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Minister for Communications (Opposition Leader), Malcolm Turnbull?

     

    June 2009

     

    Feb 2015

     

    Difference

    Intelligent

    75%

    74%

    -1

    Hard-working

    68%

    66%

    -2

    A capable leader

    39%

    60%

    +21

    Good in a crisis

    32%

    56%

    +24

    Understands the problems facing Australia

    48%

    55%

    +7

    Arrogant

    69%

    48%

    -21

    Out of touch with ordinary people

    65%

    48%

    -17

    Visionary

    26%

    44%

    +18

    Trustworthy

    na

    44%

    na

    Superficial

    51%

    41%

    -10

    More honest than most politicians

    16%

    40%

    +24

    Narrow-minded

    51%

    36%

    -15

    Aggressive

    na

    35%

    na

    Intolerant

    na

    31%

    na

    Erratic

    na

    24%

    na

    Demanding

    62%

    na

    na

    Down to earth

    25%

    na

    na

  • Feb, 2015

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,796 respondents 

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/1/15

    2 weeks ago 3/2/15

    Last week

    10/2/15

    This week 17/2/15

    Liberal

     

    36%

    35%

    36%

    36%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    40%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    20/1/15

    2 weeks ago 3/2/15

    Last week

    10/2/15

    This week 17/2/15

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    54%

    54%

    54%

     

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Feb, 2015

    ,

    Approval of rejecting spill motion

    Q. This week the Liberal Party MPs rejected a motion to hold an election for leadership positions. Do you approve or disapprove of their decision?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    Total approve

    40%

    21%

    71%

    22%

    37%

    Total disapprove

    40%

    63%

    18%

    55%

    42%

    Strongly approve

    16%

    8%

    33%

    5%

    11%

    Approve

    24%

    13%

    38%

    17%

    26%

    Disapprove

    22%

    30%

    13%

    32%

    22%

    Strongly disapprove

    18%

    33%

    5%

    23%

    20%

    Don’t know

    20%

    15%

    11%

    23%

    21%

     

    40% approve of the Liberal Party’s rejection of motion to spill the leadership positions and 40% disapprove.

    71% of Liberal/National voters approve.

  • Feb, 2015

    Leadership options for Liberal Party

    Q. Which of the following options for the leadership of the Liberal Party do you favour? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

    Replace Tony Abbott as soon as possible

    39%

    63%

    14%

    50%

    46%

    Give Tony Abbott six months to improve his performance

    22%

    15%

    34%

    16%

    19%

    Keep Tony Abbott as leader until the next election

    28%

    15%

    48%

    24%

    25%

    Don’t know

    11%

    7%

    5%

    10%

    10%

     

    39% think that Tony Abbott should be replaced as leader of the Liberal Party as soon as possible and 22% think he should be given six months to improve his performance. 28% think he should remain leader until the next election.

    48% of Liberal/National voters think he should remain leader until the next election and 34% think he should be given six months to improve his performance.

  • Feb, 2015

    Next election

    Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Total Dec 2014

    Labor Party

    49%

    87%

    18%

    62%

    44%

    46%

    Liberal/National Party

    23%

    3%

    57%

    11%

    10%

    27%

    Can’t say

    28%

    10%

    26%

    27%

    46%

    27%

     

    49% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 23% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 28% could not give an opinion. This represents a shift toward the Labor Party since this question was asked in December.

    87% (up 3%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 57% (down 7%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.

  • Feb, 2015

    Tony Abbott leader at next election

    Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Total Dec 2014

    Likely

    20%

    12%

    36%

    12%

    12%

    29%

    Unlikely

    61%

    79%

    40%

    70%

    80%

    51%

    Don’t know

    19%

    9%

    23%

    18%

    8%

    20%

     

    61% (up 10% since December) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 20% (down 9%) think it is likely.

    79% (up 7%) of Labor voters and 70% (up 2%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 36% (down 14%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.

  • Feb, 2015

    , , , ,

    Party Trust to Handle Issues

    Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

     

    Liberal

    Labor

    Greens

    Don’t know

     

    Difference

     

    Difference

    June 2014

    Management of the economy

    42%

    25%

    5%

    28%

    +17

    +13

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    28%

    38%

    8%

    26%

    -10

    -15

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    28%

    38%

    7%

    27%

    -10

    -13

    Protecting the environment

    17%

    16%

    42%

    25%

    -25

    -22

    A fair industrial relations system

    28%

    38%

    6%

    28%

    -10

    -11

    Political leadership

    32%

    25%

    5%

    37%

    +7

    +6

    Addressing climate change

    18%

    19%

    36%

    28%

    -17

    -12

    Controlling interest rates

    36%

    23%

    5%

    37%

    +13

    +12

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    28%

    37%

    6%

    29%

    -9

    -12

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    25%

    19%

    26%

    31%

    +6

    +5

    Housing affordability

    25%

    31%

    7%

    37%

    -6

    -4

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    31%

    33%

    6%

    31%

    -2

    +1

    Security and the war on terrorism

    41%

    22%

    4%

    33%

    +19

    +16

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    33%

    20%

    18%

    29%

    +13

    +17

    Managing population growth

    32%

    20%

    9%

    39%

    +12

    +10

    Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Labor % from Liberal % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Liberal minus Greens.

    The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle security and the war on terrorism (+19), management of the economy (+17), controlling interest rates (+13) and treatment of asylum seekers (+13). The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (-10), ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  (-10), a fair industrial relations system (-10) and Australian jobs and protection of local industries (-9).

    There have been no substantial movements since this question was asked in June. Main changes have been an improvement for the Liberal Party on education (up net 5 points), the economy (up 4) and treatment of asylum seekers (down 4).

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