Same-sex marriage

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Do you support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Will

def-initely vote

Will prob-ably vote Will not vote
Yes 59% 73% 47% 82% 48% 52% 65% 69% 57% 49% 69% 60% 16%
No 31% 18% 42% 14% 46% 38% 24% 20% 33% 39% 28% 27% 72%
Don’t know 11% 8% 12% 3% 6% 10% 11% 11% 10% 12% 2% 13% 12%

 

59% (up 2% from 2 weeks ago) support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry and 31% (down 1%) are opposed.

Those most in favour of changing the marriage laws are Labor voters (73%), Greens voters (82%), women (65%) and those aged 18-34 (69%).

Those who would definitely vote in the national survey are more likely to support same-sex marriage (69%).

Likelihood of voting

Sep 5, 2017

Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Will definitely vote 62%   68% 59% 74% 68%   58% 66% 58% 58% 72%   74% 58%
Will probably vote 16%   15% 22% 17% 15%   19% 14% 18% 16% 14%   17% 14%
Will probably not vote 4%   4% 6% 1% 4%   6% 2% 5% 5% 2%   2% 8%
Will definitely not vote 3%   4% 2% 3% 1%   3% 3% 4% 4% 3%   <1% 9%
Not sure 10%   7% 10% 5% 7%   9% 10% 9% 12% 7%   4% 6%
I am not enrolled to vote at my current address 4%   1% 1% 5%   4% 5% 7% 5% 2%   4% 5%

 

62% (down 1% from 2 weeks ago) say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 16% (down 2%) will probably vote.

Those most likely to definitely vote are Greens voters (74%), women (66%) and aged 55+ (72%).

74% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 58% of those opposed. (Note: these figures are identical to 2 weeks ago)

Date of Australia Day

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Australia Day is celebrated annually on 26thJanuary, which is the anniversary of the 1788 arrival of the First Fleet of British ships at Sydney Cove, New South Wales. Would you support or oppose changing the date on which Australia Day is celebrated?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total support 26%   34% 23% 44% 18%   31% 23% 38% 25% 17%
Total oppose 54%   44% 68% 33% 72%   53% 56% 42% 53% 71%
Strongly support 14%   18% 10% 34% 13%   16% 13% 21% 13% 9%
Support 12%   16% 13% 10% 5%   15% 10% 17% 12% 8%
Oppose 16%   19% 18% 13% 9%   16% 17% 19% 15% 16%
Strongly oppose 38%   25% 49% 20% 63%   37% 39% 23% 38% 55%
No opinion 19%   22% 10% 23% 9%   17% 21% 20% 22% 12%

 

26% would support changing the date of Australia Day and 54% are opposed (including 38% strongly opposed).

Those most likely to support changing the date were Greens voters (44%), aged 18-34 (38%) and university educated (35%).

Celebrating Australia Day

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Do you think holding Australia Day on the 26th January means it can be celebrated by all Australians?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Yes, can be celebrated by all Australians 70%   65% 82% 48% 80%   73% 68% 65% 70% 77%
No, cannot be celebrated by all Australians 18%   23% 12% 42% 10%   16% 20% 19% 20% 15%
Don’t know 12%   12% 6% 10% 9%   11% 12% 16% 11% 8%

 

70% believe that Australia Day can be celebrated by all Australians and 18% think it cannot.

Those most likely to think it cannot be celebrated by all Australians were Greens voters (42%) and university educated (25%).

Power prices

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Who or what do you mostly blame most for rising power prices?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Private power companies trying to maximise profits 49%   50% 53% 47% 54%   49% 50% 44% 54% 51%
The Turnbull Government for failing to have a long-term energy plan 22%   31% 11% 31% 23%   24% 20% 23% 21% 21%
Environmentalists for pushing for action on climate change 9%   4% 16% 5% 10%   11% 6% 7% 8% 11%
Renewable energy companies for producing higher-cost power 5%   3% 7% 6% 3%   5% 5% 4% 4% 8%
Don’t know 15%   12% 13% 11% 9%   11% 18% 22% 13% 9%

 

49% think private power companies trying to maximise profits are most to blame for rising power prices and 22% think the Turnbull Government is most to blame. 9% blame environmentalists pushing for action on climate change and only 5% blame renewable energy costs.

Public statues

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Some people have recently suggested that statues of Australian historical figures should have their inscriptions changed if they don’t give a complete history. Would you approve or disapprove of changing inscriptions on public statues?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total approve 29%   39% 20% 43% 23%   30% 27% 39% 27% 19%
Total disapprove 42%   34% 54% 19% 59%   45% 39% 25% 40% 61%
Strongly approve 8%   10% 4% 17% 6%   8% 7% 12% 6% 5%
Approve 21%   29% 16% 26% 17%   22% 20% 27% 21% 14%
Disapprove 21%   19% 26% 13% 26%   22% 20% 17% 22% 24%
Strongly disapprove 21%   15% 28% 6% 33%   23% 19% 8% 18% 37%
Don’t know 30%   27% 24% 39% 17%   26% 34% 36% 33% 20%

 

29% approve of changing inscriptions on public statues where they don’t give a complete history and 42% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Labor voters (39%), Greens voters (43%) and aged 18-34 (39%).

Those most likely to disapprove were Liberal/National voters (54%), other party voters (59%) and aged 55+ (61%).

Being Australian

Sep 5, 2017

Q. Which of the following characteristics do you see as being especially ‘Australian’?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Belief in the fair go 89%   91% 92% 83% 94%   88% 90% 81% 90% 96%
Love of the great outdoors 89%   91% 88% 81% 93%   87% 91% 83% 91% 94%
A sense of humour 89%   91% 89% 84% 94%   87% 91% 85% 89% 92%
Interest in sports 82%   80% 87% 73% 86%   83% 82% 77% 81% 89%
Helping those less fortunate 79%   80% 80% 72% 87%   78% 81% 73% 81% 84%
Diversity of background 78%   81% 77% 78% 74%   75% 80% 78% 77% 79%
Hard working 78%   82% 76% 82% 79%   77% 78% 77% 79% 77%
Acceptance of different views 71%   75% 71% 60% 73%   70% 72% 72% 70% 69%
Individual enterprise 55%   50% 63% 45% 63%   60% 51% 43% 54% 69%
Respect for authority 54%   55% 59% 39% 53%   54% 54% 57% 54% 52%
Suspicion of authority 31%   33% 25% 34% 38%   36% 26% 28% 29% 34%

 

The main characteristics of Australians were thought to be the belief in a fair go (89%), love of the great outdoors (89%) and a sense of humour (89%).

Views tended to be relatively consistent across demographic groups.

Federal voting intention

Aug 29, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 22/8/17 2 weeks ago 15/8/17 4 weeks ago 1/8/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   34% 34% 36%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 39% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 9% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 2% 4%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 4%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   47% 46% 48%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 54% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,776. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
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