Federal voting intention

Nov 27, 2017

 Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 21/11/17 2 weeks ago 14/11/17 4 weeks ago 31/10/17   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   32% 33% 33%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   35% 36% 36%   42.0%
Labor 38%   38% 38% 37%   34.7%
Greens 9%   9% 9% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 7%    
Other/Independent 7%   7% 7% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 46% 46%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 54% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,805. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Concern about economic issues

Nov 27, 2017

Q. How concerned are you personally about each of the following economic issues facing Australia today?

  Total

con-cerned

  Very con-cerned Some-what con-cerned Not so con-cerned Not at all con-cerned Don’t know
Energy prices 88% 56% 32% 8% 2% 1%
Food prices and inflation generally 83%   44% 39% 12% 3% 2%
Affordability of housing 80%   50% 30% 14% 5% 1%
Petrol prices 76% 39% 37% 16% 6% 2%
Improving wages for low income earners 75%   39% 36% 17% 5% 2%
Jobs going overseas 71%   39% 32% 20% 6% 3%
Excessive executive salaries 69%   39% 30% 21% 6% 3%
The age pension 68%   35% 33% 22% 8% 3%
Unemployment 68%   34% 34% 24% 6% 3%
Personal income tax rates 65%   30% 35% 24% 6% 4%
Not enough superannuation 64%   31% 33% 24% 7% 5%
Not enough regulation of large corporations 61%   30% 31% 28% 6% 4%
Interest rates 61%   28% 33% 26% 9% 4%
Government debt 60%   26% 34% 28% 8% 4%
Not enough regulation of banks 58%   27% 31% 29% 9% 4%
Cuts in penalty rates 57% 28% 29% 26% 11% 5%

 

 

Issues most concerned about were energy prices (88% concerned including 56% very concerned), affordability of housing (80%/50%) and food prices and inflation generally (83%/44%).

Issues least concerned about were cuts in penalty rates (57%/28%), regulation of banks (58%/27%) and Government debt (60%/26%).

Major differences by demographics were –

42% of aged 18-34 very concerned about energy prices compared to 65% of those aged 55+.

28% of aged 18-34 very concerned about executive salaries compared to 52% of those aged 55+.

60% of aged 18-34 very concerned about housing affordability compared to 35% of those aged 55+.

50% of women very concerned about food prices compared to 38% of men.

46% of women very concerned about wages of low income earners compared to 33% of men.

40% of women very concerned about unemployment compared to 28% of men.

Top three economic issues

Nov 27, 2017

Q. And which of these would be your top three concerns?

  Total

 

  1st 2nd 3rd
Energy prices 55%   24% 19% 12%
Affordability of housing 37%   15% 12% 10%
Food prices and inflation generally 34%   8% 12% 14%
Petrol prices 29%   11% 11% 7%
Unemployment 20%   7% 7% 6%
The age pension 17%   7% 4% 6%
Improving wages for low income earners 15%   4% 5% 6%
Personal income tax rates 14%   4% 5% 5%
Jobs going overseas 13%   3% 5% 5%
Not enough superannuation 13%   3% 4% 6%
Interest rates 11%   3% 4% 4%
Excessive executive salaries 11%   3% 4% 4%
Government debt 11%   3% 3% 5%
Cuts in penalty rates 6%   2% 1% 3%
Not enough regulation of banks 6%   1% 2% 3%
Not enough regulation of large corporations 6%   1% 2% 3%

 

Top economic issues were very similar to the rankings of issues of concern.

 

The main issues mentioned were energy prices (55%), housing affordability (37%) and food prices and inflation generally (34%).

Australia’s future energy supply

Nov 27, 2017

Q. Thinking about Australia’s future energy supply, which of the following statements best describes what you think the Federal Government should do?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Provide incentives and subsidies to speed up the transition from fossil fuels to renewables 49%   59% 44% 69% 46%
Let the market and consumers determine speed of transition from fossil fuels to renewables 16%   12% 24% 9% 18%
Take action to slow down the transition from fossil fuels to renewables 12%   8% 12% 6% 23%
Don’t know 22%   21% 20% 16% 13%

 

49% support proving incentives to speed transition to renewables, 16% think the market should determine speed of transition and 12% think transition to renewables should be slowed.

 

Those most supportive of incentives and subsidies were Labor voters (59%), Greens voters (69%) and university educated (60%).

Royal Commission into banking

Nov 27, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   April 2016 Aug 2016 Feb 2017
Total support 64%   72% 62% 62% 71%   59% 64% 64%
Total oppose 12%   9% 20% 3% 11%   15% 13% 16%
Strongly support 24%   33% 15% 30% 30%   27% 28% 33%
Support 40%   39% 47% 32% 41%   32% 36% 31%
Oppose 9%   8% 16% 2% 5%   11% 9% 11%
Strongly oppose 3%   1% 4% 1% 6%   4% 4% 5%
Don’t know 24%   20% 18% 35% 18%   25% 23% 21%

 

There was majority support for holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector – 64% supported a Royal Commission and 12% opposed.  This is similar to polls over the last 2 years.

 

A majority of all voter groups supported a Royal Commission. Those most likely to support a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector were Labor voters (72%), other voters (71%) and university educated (70%).

Same-sex marriage legislation

Nov 27, 2017

Q. Do you think the same-sex marriage legislation should include religious protections or should the Government pass the legislation allowing same-sex marriage and address the issue of religious protections in a separate process?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Same-sex marriage legislation should include religious protections 32%   27% 39% 16% 45%
Religious protections should be addressed in a separate process 47%   52% 46% 64% 38%
Don’t know 21%   21% 15% 21% 17%

 

32% think that same-sex marriage legislation should include religious protections and 47% think that religious protections should be addressed in a separate process.

There were no significant differences by age or sex. Liberal/National voters were a little more likely (39%) to support including religious protections in the same-sex marriage legislation while 64% of Greens voters thought it should be addressed in a separate process.

State of the economy

Nov 27, 2017

Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2016 May 2017
Total Good 33%   30% 46% 37% 18%   23% 30%
Total Poor 24%   25% 15% 24% 42%   36% 29%
Very good 3%   3% 4% 4% 2%   2% 3%
Good 30%   27% 42% 33% 16%   21% 27%
Neither good nor poor 38%   42% 36% 32% 37%   37% 36%
Poor 17%   19% 10% 17% 26%   28% 23%
Very poor 7%   6% 5% 7% 16%   8% 6%
Don’t know 5%   3% 2% 7% 2%   4% 5%

Overall, 33% thought that the state of the economy was good (up 3% from May). 24% thought it was bad (down 5%).

46% of Liberal/National voters thought the state of the economy was good, compared to 30% of Labor voters and 18% of other/independent voters.

Direction of the economy

Nov 27, 2017

Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2016 May 2017
The right direction 31%   26% 52% 25% 17%   26% 29%
The wrong direction 39%   41% 29% 44% 60%   45% 41%
Don’t know 30%   33% 19% 31% 23%   29% 30%


Overall, 31% thought that the economy is heading in the right direction (up 2% from May), and 39% thought it was heading in the wrong direction (down 2%).

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think the economy is heading in the right direction (52%) than Labor (26%), Greens (25%) and independent/other voters (17%).

Men were more likely to think that the economy was heading in the right direction (35%) than women (28%).

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