Malcolm Turnbull

Jul 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   June 2017 May 2017 Apr 2017 Mar 2017 Feb 2017 Jan 2017 June 2016 Dec 2015
Total Approve 37% 20% 71% 18% 24%   36% 37% 35% 33% 34% 37% 38% 56%
Total Disapprove 49% 68% 20% 68% 59%   45% 48% 47% 50% 49% 48% 40% 23%
Strongly approve 6% 2% 14% 1% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 13%
Approve 31% 18% 57% 17% 21% 31% 32% 30% 28% 29% 31% 32% 43%
Disapprove 30% 39% 17% 43% 30% 28% 29% 29% 30% 28% 30% 24% 16%
Strongly disapprove 19% 29% 3% 25% 29% 17% 19% 18% 20% 21% 18% 16% 7%
Don’t know 15%   12% 10% 13% 17%   19% 15% 17% 18% 16% 16% 21% 21%

37% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 1% from last month), and 49% disapproved (up 4% from last month).

71% of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 20% of ALP voters and 18% of Greens voters.

Bill Shorten

Jul 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   June 2017 May 2017 Apr 2017 Mar 2017 Feb 2017 Jan 2017 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
Total Approve 36%   66% 23% 36% 19%   34% 34% 33% 30% 30% 37% 27% 35%
Total Disapprove 44%   19% 61% 51% 61%   43% 45% 46% 49% 47% 44% 47% 39%
Strongly approve 6%   14% 3% 7% 2%   5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 7%
Approve 30%   52% 20% 29% 17%   29% 28% 28% 26% 25% 30% 23% 28%
Disapprove 24%   17% 25% 41% 28%   28% 26% 26% 26% 27% 25% 26% 23%
Strongly disapprove 20%   2% 36% 10% 33%   15% 19% 20% 23% 20% 19% 21% 16%
Don’t know 20%   15% 17% 13% 20%   23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 20% 25% 26%

36% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Prime Minister (up 2% from last month), and 44% disapproved (up 1%).

66% of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 36% of Greens voters and 23% of Liberal/National voters.

Preferred Prime Minister

Jul 11, 2017

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   June 2017 May 2017 Apr 2017 Mar 2017 Feb 2017 Jan 2017 Jun 2016 Dec 2015
Malcolm Turnbull 41% 15% 83% 18% 38%   39% 39% 39% 38% 39% 39% 40% 54%
Bill Shorten 27% 58% 5% 40% 12%   26% 31% 28% 26% 25% 28% 29% 15%
Don’t know 31%   27% 12% 42% 50%   34% 30% 32% 36% 36% 33% 32% 31%


41% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (up 2% from last month), and 27% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 1%). 31% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister (down 3%).

The results were split by party, with 83% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 58% of ALP voters saying the Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (40% preferred) to Turnbull (18%), although the largest proportion did not know who would make a better Prime Minister (42%).

Trust in organisation to store data

Jul 11, 2017

Q. Under national security laws, phone and internet records of all Australians are held for two years. How much trust do you have in the following organisations to store your personal data safely and in a way that would prevent abuse?

 

 

Total lot/some trust Total little/no trust   A lot of trust Some trust Little trust No trust Don’t know A lot/some trust (Oct 2015) A lot/some trust (Nov 2014)
Security agencies such as the Australian Federal Police, local police and ASIO 64% 32%   21% 43% 20% 12% 5% 49% 53%
The Government 43% 52%   9% 34% 31% 21% 5% 40% 42%
Telecommunications companies and internet service providers 29% 67%   4% 25% 36% 31% 4% 31% 32%
Other private companies 24% 69%   2% 22% 35% 34% 7% 20% 20%

 

64% have a lot or some trust in security agencies to store personal data safely and in a way that would prevent abuse – a 15% increase from when this question was last asked in October 2015. For each other organisations, a majority had little or no trust.

Overall, trust has increased for most organisations since this question was asked in 2015, with the exception of telecommunication companies and ISPs, for whom trust fell 2% to 29%.

Note: When these questions were asked in 2015 and 2014, they referred to ‘new national security laws’, rather than ‘national security laws’, and said that data “will be held for two years”, rather than “are held for two years”. This wording has been changed to reflect that the laws have now come into effect.

Cyber Crimes

Jul 11, 2017

Q. Have you ever been the victim of any of the following crimes?

  Total   Men Women Aged
18-34
Aged 35-54 Aged 55+ Oct 2012
Had a computer virus that damaged your computer or data 33%   34% 31% 35% 37% 24% 29%
Had your credit card number stolen 22%   19% 24% 19% 26% 20% 16%
Been the victim of online fraud 14%   15% 12% 15% 13% 13% 10%
Cyber bullying 10%   8% 12% 20% 8% 2% 3%
Online stalking, invasion of privacy or high levels of harassment 9%   8% 11% 16% 8% 2% 4%
Had your identity stolen 6%   6% 6% 9% 5% 4% 1%
No, none of them 50%   51% 50% 47% 49% 56% 56%

33% say they have had a computer virus that caused damage to their computer or data, 22% have had their credit card number stolen, and 14% have been the victim of online fraud. The incidence of each type of crime has risen by at least 4% since this question was last asked in October 2012. The proportion who have not experienced any of these types of crime fell 6% to 50%.

Those aged under 35 are more likely than other age groups to have been a victim of each type of crime, other than credit card theft and a computer virus.

Women are more likely than men to have been a victim of credit card theft (24% to 19%), cyber bullying (12% to 8%) and online stalking (11% to 8%), while men were more likely than women to get a computer virus (34% to 31%) and fall victim to online fraud (15% to 12%).

Disagreement among Australians

Jul 11, 2017

Q. What level of disagreement do you think exists among Australians over the following issues?

 

 

Total high Total low   Very high disagreement High disagreement Moderate disagreement Low disagreement Very low disagreement Don’t know
Allowing foreign investors to buy Australian farming land 42% 23%   23% 19% 22% 14% 9% 12%
Whether increased Muslim immigration poses a threat to the safety and security of the community 39% 22%   15% 24% 28% 11% 11% 11%
Offshore detention of asylum seekers 37% 24%   12% 25% 28% 13% 11% 11%
The need to legislate for same sex marriage 31% 34%   14% 17% 27% 18% 16% 9%
Paying penalty rates for working on Sundays and public holidays 30% 32%   14% 16% 29% 17% 15% 10%
What constitutes ‘fair pay’ 29% 24%   9% 20% 32% 16% 8% 15%
Whether we should open new coal mines 28% 25%   10% 18% 33% 15% 10% 14%
The immediate impact of climate change 26% 27%   7% 19% 36% 18% 9% 11%
Whether Australia should be a republic 20% 37%   7% 13% 27% 21% 16% 15%
Significant public investment in higher education 16% 38%   4% 12% 29% 26% 12% 16%
The need for Australia to focus on building renewable energy 15% 44%   4% 11% 30% 25% 19% 11%
Formally recognizing Aboriginal people in our constitution 14% 45%   5% 9% 28% 22% 23% 12%

 

The issues with the highest level of perceived disagreement were “allowing foreign investors to buy Australian farming land” (42% high disagreement), “whether increased Muslim immigration poses a threat to the safety and security of the community” (39%), and “offshore detention of asylum seekers” (37%).

The issues with the lowest level of perceived disagreement were “formally recognising Aboriginal people in our constitution” (45% low disagreement), the need for Australia to focus on building renewable energy (44%), “significant public investment in higher education (38%) and “whether Australia should become a republic (37%).

Federal voting intention

Jul 4, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 27/6/17 2 weeks ago 20/6/17 4 weeks ago 6/6/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   35% 35% 36%    
National 3%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 38%   39% 38% 39%   42.0%
Labor 36%   36% 35% 37%   34.7%
Greens 11%   10% 9% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   7% 9% 6%    
Other/Independent 5%   5% 5% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   48% 48% 48%   50.4%
Labor 53%   52% 52% 52%   49.6%
  1. Sample = 1,797. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Same sex marriage

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other Oct 2013 Jun 2014 Oct 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Aug 2016 Jun 2017
Should be allowed to marry l 63% 75% 52% 86% 51% 57% 60% 59% 64% 58% 62% 60%
Should not be allowed to marry 25% 15% 35% 11% 36% 31% 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 26%
Don’t know 12% 9% 13% 3% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 14% 12% 14%

63% thought that people of the same sex should be able to marry (up 3% since June 6), and 25% thought that they should not (down 1%).

Women (70% support) were more likely than men (56%) to support same sex marriage.

74% of 18-24 year olds supported same sex marriage, compared to 48% of over 65 year olds.

This poll represents the highest level of support for same sex marriage in over a year – since 64% support was recorded in March 2016.

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