diplomacy, diplomatic connections, performance as prime minister, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. When you think of Tony Abbott representing Australia at international conferences and meetings, how confident are you that he will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Kevin Rudd 5 Oct 09 |
|
| Total very/somewhat confident |
45% |
15% |
91% |
14% |
44% |
74% |
||
| Very confident |
18% |
3% |
46% |
2% |
6% |
31% |
||
| Somewhat confident |
27% |
12% |
45% |
12% |
38% |
43% |
||
| Not at all confident |
50% |
81% |
8% |
85% |
54% |
18% |
||
| Don’t know |
5% |
% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
8% |
45% say they are very or somewhat confident that Tony Abbott will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community and 50% say they are not at all confident.
When this question was asked about Kevin Rudd in 2009, 74% said they were very/somewhat confident and only 18% said they were not at all confident.
Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Nov 09 |
Dec 10 |
Jun 11 |
Oct 12 |
Oct 13 |
Jan 14 |
Apr 14 |
|
| Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity |
53% |
69% |
31% |
88% |
44% |
53% |
45% |
50% |
48% |
52% |
51% |
56% |
||
| We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate |
35% |
20% |
57% |
11% |
43% |
34% |
36% |
39% |
39% |
36% |
39% |
34% |
||
| Don’t know |
12% |
11% |
12% |
1% |
13% |
13% |
19% |
12% |
13% |
12% |
11% |
10% |
53% (down 3% since April) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 35% (up 1%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate.
By age groups, those aged under 35 split 61%/23% and those aged 55+ split 42%/48%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 62%/27%.
carbon tax opposition, carbon tax support
Q. On his recent trip to Canada the Prime Minister Tony Abbott proposed that Australia and Canada should take the lead internationally in opposing carbon taxes and emission trading schemes to address climate change. Do you agree or disagree with proposal?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total agree |
38% |
19% |
65% |
21% |
43% |
|
| Total disagree |
39% |
59% |
14% |
67% |
39% |
|
| Strongly agree |
13% |
4% |
24% |
8% |
17% |
|
| Agree |
25% |
15% |
41% |
13% |
26% |
|
| Disagree |
17% |
19% |
13% |
17% |
21% |
|
| Strongly disagree |
22% |
40% |
1% |
50% |
18% |
|
| Don’t know |
24% |
22% |
21% |
12% |
19% |
38% agreed with Tony Abbott’s proposal that Australia and Canada should take the lead internationally in opposing carbon taxes and emission trading schemes to address climate change and 39% disagreed.
34% of those with university degrees agreed and 46% disagreed.
Q. In November, Australia will host the G20, an annual meeting of the leaders of the 20 major economies of the world to discuss economic issues. How important do you think the G20 meeting is to Australia’s economy?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total important |
72% |
71% |
79% |
74% |
65% |
|
| Total not important |
20% |
21% |
16% |
20% |
29% |
|
| Very important |
29% |
29% |
31% |
28% |
27% |
|
| Somewhat important |
43% |
42% |
48% |
46% |
38% |
|
| Not very important |
14% |
14% |
13% |
10% |
20% |
|
| Not at all important |
6% |
7% |
3% |
10% |
9% |
|
| Don’t know |
9% |
8% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
72% think the G20 meeting is very or somewhat important to Australia’s economy and 20% think it is not very or not at all important.
A substantial majority of all voters groups think it is very/somewhat important. There were no major demographic differences.
Q. The G20 was established to discuss world economic issues. Some have proposed that climate change should be included in G20 discussions because it is an economic issue as well as an environmental issue. Do you think climate change should be discussed at the G20 meeting?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Should be discussed |
67% |
80% |
54% |
93% |
58% |
|
| Does not need to be discussed |
19% |
10% |
31% |
4% |
31% |
|
| Don’t know |
13% |
10% |
15% |
4% |
11% |
67% think that climate change should be discussed at the G20 meeting and 19% think it does not need to be discussed.
Liberal/National voters were more likely to be opposed (31%), although more than half (54%) thought it should be discussed.
Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
15 Nov 10 |
4 Jul 11 |
13 Aug 12 |
24 Sep 12 |
6 May 13 |
22 Oct 13 |
|
| Should be allowed to marry |
60% |
73% |
45% |
79% |
56% |
53% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
58% |
57% |
||
| Should not be allowed to marry |
28% |
18% |
43% |
14% |
31% |
36% |
35% |
33% |
36% |
32% |
31% |
||
| Don’t know |
12% |
9% |
13% |
7% |
13% |
11% |
11% |
13% |
9% |
10% |
12% |
60% agree that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 28% think they should not. This is the highest support for same sex marriage recorded since this question was first asked in 2010.
Support for same sex marriage is 54% among men but 66% among women. 68% of under 35’s support same sex marriage – compared to 36% of those aged 65+.
2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,916 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 27/05/14 |
Last week 3/6/14 |
This week 11/6/14 |
| Liberal |
|
38% |
37% |
35% |
35% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 13/5/14 |
2 weeks ago 27/05/14 |
Last week 3/6/14 |
This week 11/6/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Total |
Vote ALP |
Vote |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Tony Abbott as Opp. Leader |
Tony Abbott as PM |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2014 |
11 Mar |
8 April |
13 May |
|
| Total approve |
35% |
10% |
82% |
5% |
18% |
40% |
41% |
45% |
47% |
40% |
41% |
35% |
| Total disapprove |
58% |
88% |
12% |
94% |
78% |
49% |
36% |
46% |
43% |
47% |
47% |
55% |
| Strongly approve |
10% |
4% |
24% |
– |
1% |
13% |
14% |
12% |
13% |
11% |
13% |
12% |
| Approve |
25% |
6% |
58% |
5% |
17% |
27% |
27% |
33% |
34% |
29% |
28% |
23% |
| Disapprove |
18% |
17% |
10% |
17% |
41% |
19% |
13% |
20% |
18% |
20% |
17% |
18% |
| Strongly disapprove |
40% |
71% |
2% |
77% |
37% |
30% |
23% |
26% |
25% |
27% |
30% |
37% |
| Don’t know |
7% |
3% |
6% |
1% |
4% |
10% |
23% |
9% |
11% |
12% |
12% |
10% |
58% of Australian’s disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister, an increase of 3% since the last time this question was asked in May – 35% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (no change).
82% (up 2%) of Lib/Nat voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with just 12% disapproving. 88% of Labor voters and 94% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.
By gender men were 38% approve/56% disapprove and women 33% approve/60% disapprove.