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  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Policies of the major parties

    Q. In general, do you think the policies of the Liberal/National Coalition and the policies of Labor favour the rich, favour the middle class, favour the poor, or do they treat all groups equally?

     

    Favour the rich

    Favour the average Australian

    Favour the poor

    Treat all groups equally

    Don’t know

    The policies of the Liberal/National Coalition…

    54%

    16%

    5%

    13%

    12%

    The policies of Labor…

    16%

    34%

    22%

    11%

    17%

    Just over half (54%) of Australians believe that the policies of the Lib/Nat Coalition favour the rich. 16% think they favour the average Australian, 5% think they favour the poor and 13% think they favour all groups equally.

    The largest proportion of Australians (34%) think that the policies of Labor favour the average Australian. 16% think they favour the rich, 22% think they favour the poor and 11% think they treat all groups equally.

    Labor and Green voters were more likely to think that the Lib/Nat’s favour the rich (81% each), and that Labor favour the average Australian (53% of Labor voters and 57% of Green voters).

    There were no significant differences based on gender.

    For a more detailed breakdown of this question, please download the Essential Report.

  • May, 2014

    Federal Budget

    Q. In general, do you think the next Federal Budget, to be announced on Tuesday 13th May 2014 will be good or bad for?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    You personally

    8%

    55%

    2%

    6%

    28%

    36%

    19%

    9%

    Average working people

    9%

    63%

    2%

    7%

    19%

    45%

    18%

    9%

    Australian business

    25%

    33%

    3%

    22%

    28%

    25%

    8%

    14%

    The economy over all

    28%

    36%

    6%

    22%

    24%

    22%

    14%

    12%

    People who are well off

    40%

    23%

    14%

    26%

    27%

    18%

    5%

    11%

    People on lower incomes

    12%

    60%

    2%

    10%

    17%

    33%

    27%

    10%

    Australian families

    11%

    59%

    2%

    9%

    20%

    37%

    22%

    10%

    Older Australians

    8%

    67%

    1%

    7%

    18%

    34%

    33%

    9%

    Younger Australians

    11%

    49%

    2%

    9%

    28%

    29%

    20%

    12%

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Green

    Vote Other

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    7%

    70%

    11%

    38%

    4%

    69%

    5%

    67%

    6%

    77%

    15%

    44%

    3%

    81%

    5%

    72%

    28%

    34%

    27%

    30%

    17%

    40%

    20%

    40%

    11%

    55%

    54%

    14%

    11%

    14%

    15%

    47%

    50%

    20%

    26%

    28%

    56%

    12%

    47%

    20%

    9%

    79%

    21%

    39%

    1%

    78%

    7%

    74%

    6%

    77%

    20%

    37%

    2%

    78%

    5%

    71%

    6%

    78%

    14%

    47%

    76%

    5%

    79%

    11%

    65%

    15%

    30%

    1%

    70%

    6%

    58%

    Over half (54%) of Australians believe that the budget will be bad for them personally.  67% think it will be bad for older Australians, 63% for average working people and 60% for people on lower incomes.

    The only group that more Australians thought the budget would be good for rather than bad was ‘people who are well off’ (40% good, 23% bad).

    Just 25% think the budget will be good for Australian business and 28% for the economy overall.

    Labor voters are most likely to think that the budget will be bad for ‘people on lower incomes’ (79%), ‘older Australians’ (78%), ‘average working people’ (77%) and ‘Australian families’ (77%).

    The only area where Lib/Nat voters were more likely to think that the budget would be good rather than bad was for ‘the economy overall’ (54% think it will be good, 14% think it will be bad).

    In terms of the impact for them personally, there was no difference between males and females. Those aged 30-55 were the most likely to think that the budget would be bad for them personally (61% compared to 46% for those under 30 and 51% for those aged 55+).

  • May, 2014

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,929 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    22/4/14

    Last week

    29/4/14

    This week

    06/05/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    3%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    6%

    6%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    22/4/14

    Last week

    29/4/14

    This week

    06/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Management of the Australian economy

    Q. How would you rate the Government’s management of the Australian economy compared to how governments in other countries around the world have managed their economies?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    6 May 2013

    (Labor Government)

    Total Good

    40%

    24%

    68%

    22%

    30%

    39%

    Total Poor

    31%

    47%

    6%

    55%

    43%

    32%

    Very good

    9%

    3%

    17%

    6%

    7%

    11%

    Good

    31%

    21%

    51%

    16%

    23%

    28%

    Neither good nor poor

    24%

    26%

    23%

    24%

    25%

    24%

    Poor

    14%

    20%

    4%

    20%

    18%

    17%

    Very poor

    17%

    27%

    2%

    35%

    25%

    15%

    Don’t know

    5%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    5%

    40% of Australians would rate the government’s management of the economy, compared to other countries around the world, as good.

    31% would rate their management of the economy as poor.

    There has been no major shift in attitudes since the last time this question was asked in May 2013 (for the then Labor Government).

    Labor (24%), Green (22%) and other (30%) voters were less likely to rate the government’s management of the economy as ‘good’. Lib/Nat voters (64%) were more likely to rate the government’s management of the economy as ‘good’.

    Those aged 65+ were more likely to rate the government’s management of the economy as ‘good’ (55%).

  • May, 2014

    , ,

    Trust to handle the economy

    Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – The Treasurer Joe Hockey or the Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Joe Hockey

    33%

    6%

    73%

    1%

    21%

    Chris Bowen

    27%

    53%

    5%

    42%

    22%

    Don’t know

    41%

    41%

    22%

    57%

    57%

    33% of Australians most trust Joe Hockey to handle Australia’s economy. 27% most trust Chris Bowen. The largest proportion of Australian’s selected ‘don’t know’ (41%).

    Although Labor voters were more likely to select Chris Bowen (53%), 41% still selected ‘don’t know’.

    Lib/Nat voters were more likely to select Joe Hockey (73%), but 22% still picked ‘don’t know’.

    Green voters were more likely to select Chris Bowen, with the majority (57%) selecting don’t know.

  • May, 2014

    , , ,

    Party best at looking after the economy

    Q. Which party – Labor or Liberal – do you think is best when it comes to:

     

    Labor

    Liberal

    No Difference

    Don’t Know

    Difference (Labor v. Liberal)

    Representing the interests of Australian working families

    47%

    20%

    26%

    7%

    27%

    Representing the interests of you and people like you

    39%

    29%

    24%

    8%

    10%

    Standing up for the middle class in Australia

    38%

    24%

    29%

    9%

    14%

    Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests

    13%

    54%

    22%

    11%

    -41%

    Being more concerned about the interests of working families in Australia than the rich and large business and financial interests

    46%

    17%

    26%

    10%

    29%

    Handling the economy overall

    26%

    40%

    23%

    10%

    -14%

    Handling the economy in a way that tries to take the interests of working families into consideration as much as it takes the interests of the large corporate and financial groups

    37%

    27%

    23%

    13%

    10%

    Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business

    27%

    32%

    28%

    13%

    -5%

    Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class

    31%

    30%

    27%

    12%

    1%

    Handling the economy in a way that helps you and people like you the most.

    37%

    29%

    23%

    11%

    8%

    Labor was more likely to be selected as the party best at all of the items, except for ‘Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests’ (54% Liberal, 13% Labor), ‘Handling the economy overall’ (40% Liberal, 26% Labor) and ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business’ (32% Liberal, 27% Labor).

  • May, 2014

    Concern about job losses

    Q. How concerned are you that you or some member of your immediate family will lose their job in the next year or so: very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned?

     

    Total

     

     

    Male

    Female

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Aug 2012

    Feb 2014

    Total Concerned

    57%

    54%

    60%

    68%

    47%

    58%

    63%

    47%

    55%

    Very concerned

    23%

    22%

    25%

    31%

    15%

    23%

    30%

    13%

    22%

    Somewhat concerned

    34%

    32%

    35%

    37%

    32%

    35%

    33%

    34%

    33%

    Not at all concerned

    29%

    31%

    28%

    18%

    45%

    25%

    23%

    37%

    31%

    Don’t know

    7%

    8%

    5%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    7%

    8%

    6%

    No employees in the immediate family

    7%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    4%

    11%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    Just over half (57%) of Australians are concerned that they, or a member of their immediate family will lose their jobs in the next year or so.

    This is an increase of +3% from when the question was last asked in February 2014, and an increase of +10% from August 2013.

    Females (60%) are more likely to be concerned than males (54%).

    Labor (68%) and Other (63%) voters are more likely to be concerned. Lib/Nat (47%) are less likely to be concerned. Lib/Nat voters are the group most likely to indicate that they are not at all concerned (45% compared to 29% for the overall sample).

    Those aged 35-54 were the most likely to be concerned (62%).

    Those in VIC were the least likely to be concerned (53%). Those in QLD (63%) and NSW (59%) were more likely.

  • May, 2014

    Gap between rich and poor

    Q.  In the past 10 years, do you believe the gap between the rich and everyone else has increased, decreased or stayed the same?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total increased

    77%

    84%

    68%

    87%

    80%

    Total decreased

    3%

    1%

    4%

    1%

    6%

    Increased a lot

    47%

    58%

    32%

    56%

    58%

    Increased a little

    30%

    26%

    36%

    31%

    22%

    Stayed the same

    15%

    11%

    23%

    8%

    12%

    Decreased a little

    2%

    1%

    4%

    1%

    3%

    Decreased a lot

    1%

    3%

    Don’t know

    5%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    Over three-quarters (77%) of Australians believe that the gap between the rich and everyone else has increased. Just 3% believe it has decreased.

    Labor (84%) and Greens (87%) voters were more likely to think that it had increased, while Lib/Nat voters were less likely (68%).

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