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  • Aug, 2013

    , , ,

    Importance of reducing debt

    Q. Do you think it is more important to reduce Australia’s national debt or to maintain government spending on services and projects?

     

    6
    May 13

     

     

    Total

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Australia’s debt higher

    Australia’s debt about the same

    Australia’s debt lower

    More important to reduce debt

    46%

    48%

    28%

    72%

    23%

    76%

    48%

    37%

    More important to maintain spending

    40%

    35%

    51%

    20%

    60%

    18%

    32%

    49%

    Don’t know

    14%

    17%

    21%

    9%

    17%

    6%

    20%

    14%

    48% think it is more important to reduce Australia’s debt and 35% think it is more important to maintain Government spending on services and projects. This represents a shift away from maintaining spending since this question was previously asked in May.

    51% (down 10%) of Labor voters and 60% (up 1%) of Greens voters favour maintaining spending while 72% (up 5%) of Liberal/National voters think it is more important to reduce debt.

    76% of those who think Australia’s debt is higher compared to other countries think we should reduce debt while 49% of those who think our debt is lower think we should maintain spending.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , ,

    Raise taxes or cut spending

    Q. Do you think the Government should raise taxes or cut spending to reduce the national debt or should they do neither?

     

    6 May 13

     

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Raise taxes

    13%

    6%

    7%

    3%

    14%

    Reduce spending

    55%

    45%

    32%

    64%

    24%

    Both

    na

    21%

    21%

    21%

    22%

    Neither

    20%

    18%

    28%

    9%

    29%

    Don’t know

    12%

    10%

    12%

    4%

    10%

    In order to reduce debt, 45% think the Government should reduce spending, 6% think they should raise taxes and 21% think they should do both. 18% think they should do neither.

    64% of Liberal/National voters think the Government should reduce spending compared to 32% of Labor voters and 24% of Greens voters.

    (Note the category “both” has been added to this question since it was previously asked)

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Where Government should reduce spending

    If “Reduce spending” or “both” –

    Q. In which of the following areas should the Government reduce spending?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Foreign aid

    76%

    72%

    82%

    43%

    The arts

    70%

    65%

    76%

    29%

    Subsidies for business

    59%

    65%

    57%

    58%

    Private schools

    59%

    63%

    56%

    38%

    Welfare support

    43%

    33%

    53%

    17%

    The environment

    36%

    22%

    49%

    12%

    Defence

    34%

    36%

    30%

    68%

    Support for manufacturing industries

    32%

    31%

    34%

    37%

    Border security

    18%

    18%

    17%

    43%

    Universities

    18%

    12%

    25%

    9%

    Public transport

    14%

    11%

    18%

    14%

    Roads

    12%

    10%

    11%

    33%

    Public schools

    9%

    7%

    12%

    12%

    Pensions

    9%

    6%

    11%

    15%

    Health and hospitals

    5%

    6%

    5%

    9%

    Of those who think spending should be reduced, 76% think spending on foreign aid should be reduced, 70% the arts, 59% subsidies for business and 59% private schools.

    The areas least likely to be nominated for spending cuts were health and hospitals, pensions and public schools.

  • Aug, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,903 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    23/7/13

    Last week

    29/7/13

    This week

    5/8/13

    Liberal

     

    42%

    42%

    41%

    40%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    46%

    45%

    44%

    43%

    Labor

    38.0%

    38%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    10%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    8/7/13

    2 weeks ago

    23/7/13

    Last week

    29/7/13

    This week

    5/8/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    52%

    51%

    51%

    51%

    Labor

    50.1%

    48%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Aug, 2013

    , , ,

    Firmness of voting intention

    Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held this year?

     

    Total

    Gave voting intention

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Other party/ Independent

    I will definitely not change my mind

    44%

    40%

    59%

    23%

    18%

    It is very unlikely I will change my mind

    30%

    35%

    25%

    36%

    25%

    It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops

    21%

    18%

    14%

    35%

    49%

    Don’t know

    5%

    7%

    3%

    3%

    9%

    44% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 30% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 21% say it is quite possible they will change.

    Those most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind were Greens voters (35%), other party and independent voters (49%), aged 18-24 (32%) and women (25%).

  • Aug, 2013

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    Party leader trust most on issues

    Q.  Which party leader – Kevin Rudd or Tony Abbott – would you trust most to handle the following issues?

     

    Kevin Rudd

    Tony Abbott

    No difference

    Don’t know

    Net difference

    Difference for parties

    23 Jul 13

    Management of the economy

    32%

    35%

    21%

    11%

    -3

    -15

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    41%

    25%

    24%

    10%

    +16

    +9

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    37%

    27%

    25%

    11%

    +10

    +1

    Protecting the environment

    33%

    22%

    31%

    14%

    +11

    na

    A fair industrial relations system

    41%

    28%

    19%

    12%

    +13

    +11

    Political leadership

    37%

    32%

    22%

    9%

    +5

    -7

    Addressing climate change

    35%

    21%

    31%

    13%

    +14

    na

    Controlling interest rates

    24%

    32%

    32%

    12%

    -8

    -14

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    32%

    30%

    25%

    13%

    +2

    -1

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    26%

    23%

    36%

    15%

    +3

    -7

    Housing affordability

    26%

    25%

    34%

    15%

    +1

    -2

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    31%

    32%

    26%

    11%

    -1

    -2

    Security and the war on terrorism

    25%

    29%

    33%

    13%

    -4

    -15

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    26%

    31%

    32%

    11%

    -5

    -11

    Managing population growth

    21%

    28%

    37%

    15%

    -7

    -13

    Substantially more respondents said they would trust Kevin Rudd more than Tony Abbott to handle a quality education for all children, a fair industrial relations system, addressing climate change, protecting the environment and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system. Tony Abbott is more trusted to control interest rates and manage population growth.

    When compared with a similar question about trust in the parties asked last month, Kevin Rudd rates considerably better that the Labor Party on management of the economy, political leadership and security and the war on terrorism.

  • Aug, 2013

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    Approach to handling asylum seekers

    Q. The Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and the Opposition leader Tony Abbott have both recently made statements about the handling of asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat.

    Do you think Kevin Rudd’s approach to handling asylum seekers is too harsh, too soft or about right?

    Do you think Tony Abbott’s approach to handling asylum seekers is too harsh, too soft or about right?

     

    Kevin Rudd

     

    Tony Abbott

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Too harsh

    20%

    19%

    18%

    49%

    21%

    38%

    5%

    42%

    Too soft

    24%

    12%

    35%

    13%

    20%

    21%

    16%

    21%

    About right

    40%

    53%

    33%

    25%

    31%

    11%

    61%

    7%

    Don’t know

    16%

    16%

    14%

    13%

    27%

    31%

    18%

    30%

    40% of respondents think Kevin Rudd’s approach to handling asylum seekers is about right and 31% think Tony Abbott’s approach is about right. Views are similar for both approaches in terms of whether they are too soft or too harsh – about one in five selected each option.

    Kevin Rudd’s approach was more favoured by Labor voters (53%), aged 45-64 (45%) and tradespeople (51%). Tony Abbott’s approach was more favoured by Liberal/National voters (61%), men (37%), aged 65+ (46%) and tradespeople (40%).

  • Aug, 2013

    , , , ,

    Voting decision

    Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held this year, when do you expect you will make your final decision about who you will vote for?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Other party

    Don’t know

    I have already decided

    53%

    55%

    69%

    36%

    29%

    8%

    During the election campaign

    15%

    19%

    12%

    24%

    18%

    6%

    In the last week before the election

    12%

    11%

    9%

    15%

    25%

    7%

    The day before the election

    3%

    4%

    2%

    9%

    1%

    2%

    On the day of the election

    8%

    7%

    4%

    9%

    20%

    18%

    Don’t know

    9%

    5%

    4%

    8%

    7%

    60%

    53% say they have already decided who they will be voting for in the Federal election, 30% will finally make up their mind at some stage before election day and 8% will decide on election day.

    Those least likely to have made up their mind were aged 18-24 (33%), Greens voters (36%), other party/independent voters (29%) and respondents with university education (48%).

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