Approval of Prime Minister’s handling of Asylum Seeker Issue

Jul 12, 2010

  Q. Do you approve or disapprove the way the Prime Minister Julia Gillard is addressing the asylum seeker issue?

Total approve 42%
Total disapprove 33%
Strongly approve 7%
Approve 35%
Disapprove 23%
Strongly disapprove 10%
Don’t know 26%

 42% approved of the way the Prime Minister is addressing the asylum seeker issue and 33% disapproved. 63% of Labor voters approved and 15% disapproved. 57% Liberal/National voters disapproved and 26% approved and for Greens voters 32% approved and 41% disapproved. Comments »

Party Trust to Handle Asylum Seeker Issue

Jul 12, 2010

Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the issue of asylum seekers?

  12 July 10 4 April 10
The Labor Party 24% 23%
The Liberal Party 31% 34%
No difference 33% 28%
Don’t know 12% 15%

 24% trust the Labor Party most to handle the issue of asylum seekers, 31% trust the Liberal Party most and 45% think there is no difference or don’t know. This represents only a small change since this question was asked three months ago – the gap between Labor and Liberal has closed from 11% to 7% and the proportion that thinks there is no difference is up 5%.

54% of Labor voters trust the Labor Party most and 33% say there is no difference while 75% of Liberal/National voters trust the Liberal Party and only 18% think there is no difference. 47% of Greens voters think there is no difference, 31% trust the Labor Party most and 11% the Liberal Party. Comments »

Liberal Party and WorkChoices

Jul 12, 2010

 Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?

  12 July 10 31 May 10
Total likely 56% 58%
Total unlikely 24% 21%
Very likely 26% 28%
Quite likely 30% 30%
Not very likely 18% 18%
Not at all likely 6% 3%
Don’t know 20% 20%

 56% think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 24% think it is unlikely. These figures have only changed slightly since this question was last asked six weeks ago.

 83% of Labor voters and 71% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 37% likely to 48% unlikely. Comments »

Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

Jul 12, 2010

Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?  

 

  12 July 10 31 May 10
Very concerned 29% 28%
Quite concerned 19% 17%
A little concerned 16% 20%
Not concerned 25% 24%
Don’t know 11% 11%

 

48% would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% were only a little or not concerned. These figures are little changed since this question was last asked six weeks ago.

76% of Labor voters and 71% of Greens voters would be concerned. 77% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 17% concerned. Respondents aged 25-44 were the most concerned group – 55% very/quite concerned to 32% a little/not concerned. Comments »

The angry fish that could change Australia

Jul 6, 2010

First published on The Punch 6/7/2010

There is a wildcard hanging over the upcoming election, a factor outside the control of the any politician – it resembles an angry fish, and it is looking for someone to bite.

Question: Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions  in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same? Source:  Essential Report

Question: Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same? Source: Essential Report

It is the long-term trend line on people’s economic confidence, and it shows that after we sounded a collective sigh of relief last year, we are beginning to fear the worst again, a sense of economy insecurity that can affect our work, our home lives – and the way we look at politics.

The story of the fish charts the highs and lows of first term Labor, it also offers some tantalising clues about what happens next. Why a fish? As the graph above shows, the competing stories of confidence and despondency have taken a wild journey over the past two years.  With fear surging as the GFC hit, curtailing as stimulus stabilised the economy, but now rising again.

Kevin Rudd inherited a nation fearing the worst – the US sub-prime was not just a theory – big banks collapsed, homes were lost, mass lay-offs. As the word ‘contagion’ was bandied around – it emerged that many Australian local councils had unwittingly invested in the toxic loans to bad security risks. Economists warned us of our unsustainable levels of household debt. The notion of economic carnage in Australia was real.

Comments »

Facebook is for chicks?

Jul 6, 2010

When we set up facebook ads for the WA Prison Officers Union campaign we didn’t expect the interested audience to reflect such a polarized gender divide.

Contrary to our assumptions; that risks faced by Prison Officers would be interesting to men, the overwhelming response to our facebook ads were from women.

In the first few days, the hit rate was to 331 women : 2 men.

And this was from a pool of 260,260 possible impressions.

We’ve since lowered the budget for targeting men and upped the budget for ads targeting women with our Respect the Risk facebook ads.

One week down the track and the results continue to shine with the estrogen-domination that our political leadership change has reflected! Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 5, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,797 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 38% 37% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 40% 40% 39% 39%
Labor 47% 37% 38% 42% 42%
Greens 8% 12% 11% 9% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 8% 7% 6%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 46% 46%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 54% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 5, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26%

After one week as Prime Minister, 48% approve of Julia Gillard’s performance and 27% disapprove. 26% could not give an opinion. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is 7% higher than Kevin Rudd’s last result and 20% lower on the disapproval rating.

85% of Labor voters approved and 4% disapproved. Liberal/National voters split 19% approve and 54% disapprove.

Men split 46% approve/31% disapprove and women 50% approve/23% disapprove. Comments »

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