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  • Feb, 2013

    , , ,

    Elections

    Q. Would you favour fixed term Federal Elections where elections are held on a set date or the current system where the Government chooses the date of each election?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Fixed term elections

    63%

    66%

    66%

    57%

    Current system

    23%

    23%

    21%

    27%

    Don’t know

    14%

    11%

    13%

    16%

    63% favour fixed term Federal Elections where elections are held on a set date and 23% favour the current system where the Government chooses the date of each election. There was majority support for fixed term elections across all demographic and voter groups. Strongest support came from older respondents with 73% of those aged 55+ preferring fixed term elections.

  • Feb, 2013

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    Important election issues

    Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

     

    Total

    11 Feb 13

    19 Nov 12

    30 Jul 12

    5 Dec 11

    6 June 11

    25 Jan 10

    Management of the economy

    62%

    66%

    64%

    62%

    61%

    63%

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    29%

    35%

    26%

    22%

    26%

    23%

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    52%

    57%

    47%

    47%

    49%

    48%

    Protecting the environment

    14%

    14%

    11%

    13%

    15%

    16%

    A fair industrial relations system

    12%

    8%

    12%

    11%

    8%

    na

    Political leadership

    14%

    15%

    25%

    18%

    17%

    23%

    Addressing climate change

    9%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    15%

    16%

    Controlling interest rates

    9%

    11%

    9%

    11%

    13%

    15%

    Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    40%

    32%

    41%

    36%

    32%

    33%

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    4%

    5%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    12%

    Housing affordability

    11%

    14%

    13%

    13%

    16%

    14%

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    21%

    17%

    18%

    16%

    17%

    14%

    Security and the war on terrorism

    6%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    8%

    9%

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    6%

    6%

    10%

    8%

    5%

    na

    Managing population growth

    9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    12%

    na

    *Not asked

    62% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 52% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 40% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 29% ensuring a quality education for all children.

    Since November, there has been an increase in the importance of Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+8%) and a decline in the importance of ensuring a quality education for all children (-6%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (-5%).

  • Feb, 2013

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    Party trust to handle important election issues

    Q.  Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

     

    Labor

    Liberal

    Greens

    Don’t know

    Diff
    11
    Feb
    13

    Diff
    19
    Nov
    12

    Diff
    18
    Jun
    12

    Management of the economy

    31%

    46%

    3%

    21%

    -15

    -14

    -18

    Ensuring a quality education for all children

    37%

    35%

    6%

    22%

    +2

    +5

    -2

    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

    33%

    36%

    6%

    25%

    -3

    -3

    -6

    Protecting the environment

    20%

    21%

    39%

    20%

    +18

    +16

    +17

    A fair industrial relations system

    39%

    33%

    4%

    23%

    +6

    +9

    +6

    Political leadership

    29%

    37%

    6%

    29%

    -8

    -12

    -16

    Addressing climate change

    21%

    24%

    29%

    26%

    +5

    +9

    +7

    Controlling interest rates

    27%

    41%

    3%

    30%

    -14

    -11

    -18

    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries

    33%

    36%

    4%

    27%

    -3

    -2

    -6

    Ensuring a quality water supply

    21%

    27%

    23%

    29%

    -6

    -7

    -12

    Housing affordability

    27%

    33%

    5%

    35%

    -6

    -5

    -11

    Ensuring a fair taxation system

    31%

    37%

    4%

    28%

    -6

    -9

    -10

    Security and the war on terrorism

    25%

    38%

    4%

    33%

    -13

    -15

    -22

    Treatment of asylum seekers

    20%

    37%

    14%

    30%

    -17

    -18

    -20

    Managing population growth

    21%

    33%

    7%

    39%

    -12

    -15

    -19

    Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.

    Labor has a significant lead over the  Liberal Party only on ensuring a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.

    There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since November, there has been very little shift on any issue.

  • Feb, 2013

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    Party with better policies

    Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?

     

    Labor Party

    Liberal Party

    No difference

    Don’t know

    Net

    11 Feb 13

    Net

    6 Aug 12

    Pensioners

    32%

    23%

    31%

    15%

    +9

    +11

    Unemployed people

    34%

    21%

    30%

    15%

    +13

    +18

    People with disabilities

    35%

    20%

    29%

    17%

    +15

    +16

    Carers

    30%

    22%

    30%

    19%

    +8

    +12

    People on low incomes

    37%

    21%

    26%

    16%

    +16

    +22

    All working people

    32%

    31%

    23%

    14%

    +1

    -1

    The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (37% Labor/21% Liberal), unemployed people (34%/21%) and people with disabilities (35%/20%).

    Of those aged 55+, 31% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 30% thought the Liberals had better policies.

    32% think Labor has better policies for all working people and 31% think the Liberals have better policies. Employed people are more likely to think the Liberals have the better policies (35% Liberal/31% Labor).

  • Feb, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,928 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    21/1/13

    Last week

    29/01/13

    This week

    5/02/13

    Liberal

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    35%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    54%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

     

  • Feb, 2013

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    Election date announcement

    Q.The Prime Minister Julia Gillard has announced the Federal Election will be held on September 14 this year. Do you approve or disapprove of the election date being announced nearly 8 months in advance?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total approve

    48%

    73%

    35%

    45%

    Total disapprove

    34%

    13%

    50%

    35%

    Strongly approve

    15%

    24%

    10%

    16%

    Approve

    33%

    49%

    25%

    29%

    Disapprove

    19%

    10%

    25%

    26%

    Strongly disapprove

    15%

    3%

    25%

    9%

    Don’t know

    19%

    14%

    16%

    20%

    48% approve of the announcement of the next Federal election date and 34% disapprove. 73% of Labor voters approve compared to 45% of Greens voters and 35% of Liberal/National voters. 50% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.

    There were no major differences by demographics – although men were a little more likely to approve (53%) and women a little more likely to disapprove (38%).

  • Feb, 2013

    , , ,

    Budget surplus

    Q. Thinking about the Federal Government budget, how important do you believe it is for the budget to be in surplus…?

     

    Total impor
    -tant

    Total
    not impor
    -tant

    Very impor
    -tant

    Quite Impor
    -tant

    Not very impor
    -tant

    Not
    at all impor
    -tant

    Don’t know

    Total impor
    -tant
    2 Oct
    12

    …for the country as a whole

    69%

    26%

    28%

    41%

    22%

    4%

    5%

    68%

    …for you personally

    54%

    39%

    20%

    34%

    29%

    10%

    7%

    46%

    A clear majority of respondents (69%) regard having a Federal Government budget surplus to be important for the country as a whole, whereas a somewhat smaller majority regard it to be important for them personally (54%).

    39% of respondents believe having a Federal Government budget surplus was not important for them personally.

    Since this question was last asked in October, those who think a budget surplus is important for them personally has increased from 46% to 54%.

    Those most likely to think a budget surplus is important to them personally were Liberal/National voters (67%) and full-time workers (60%).

  • Feb, 2013

    , ,

    Approval of budget surplus

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s decision not to return the budget to surplus this financial year?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total approve

    42%

    64%

    29%

    55%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    12%

    57%

    25%

    Strongly approve

    9%

    18%

    5%

    8%

    Approve

    33%

    46%

    24%

    47%

    Disapprove

    27%

    11%

    39%

    22%

    Strongly disapprove

    10%

    1%

    18%

    3%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    14%

    20%

    42% approve of the Government’s decision not to return the budget to surplus this financial year and 37% disapprove.

    Those most likely to approve were Labor voters (64%), Greens voters (55%), men (51%), aged 55+ (50%) and people on incomes under $600pw (50%).

    57% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.

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