The Greens

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you think the Greens are becoming more progressive or more conservative?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
More progressive 21%   24% 16% 48% 21%
More conservative 15%   17% 17% 15% 17%
Neither 36%   37% 44% 25% 37%
Don’t know 28%   23% 24% 13% 24% 

21% think the Greens are becoming more progressive and 15% think they are becoming more conservative. 36% think they are neither.

Among Greens voters, 15% think they are becoming more conservative and 48% more progressive.

There were no major differences across age groups.

Voting for a new conservative party

Dec 13, 2016

Q. If a new conservative party was formed and included people like Tony Abbott, how likely would you be to vote for them? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015
Total likely 23%   13% 41% 11% 25%   20%
Total unlikely 58%   74% 41% 80% 63%   65%
Very likely 7%   4% 11% 2% 13%   9%
Somewhat likely 16%   9% 30% 9% 11%   11%
Not very likely 16%   16% 20% 12% 17%   16%
Not at all likely 42%   58% 21% 68% 46%   49%
Don’t know 19%   14% 19% 9% 13%   15%

 23% say they would be very or somewhat likely to vote for a new conservative party and 58% would be not very or not at all likely.

41% of Liberal/National voters and 32% of those aged 65+ say they would be likely to vote for a new conservative party.

Compared to 12 months ago, likelihood of voting for a new conservative party has increased a little.

Statements about voting

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements about voting?

Q       Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
Each election I decide on which party is offering me the most 66% 23%   16% 50% 15% 8% 10%
I always vote for the same party at every election 46% 47%   13% 33% 37% 10% 7%
I’m more likely to vote for an independent or minor party than I used to be 43% 44%   10% 33% 28% 16% 13%
I am less likely to vote for the same party every election than I was in the past 41% 43%   7% 34% 31% 12% 16%
I don’t look at the party, I look at the individual candidate 39% 52%   7% 32% 39% 13% 9%
I usually vote for an independent or minor party 20% 67%   4% 16% 44% 23% 13%

  

Q       Total agree   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Each election I decide on which party is offering me the most 66%   70% 63% 73% 79%
I always vote for the same party at every election 46%   57% 57% 40% 19%
I’m more likely to vote for an independent or minor party than I used to be 43%   40% 36% 62% 71%
I am less likely to vote for the same party every election than I was in the past 41%   38% 40% 50% 61%
I don’t look at the party, I look at the individual candidate 39%   34% 40% 48% 47%
I usually vote for an independent or minor party 20%   15% 13% 52% 36%

A majority (66%) agree they vote according to “which party is offering me the most”. 71% of women agree compared to 62% of men.

46% agree they always vote for the same party – including 57% of Labor and Liberal/National voters.

43% agree they are more likely to vote for an independent or minor party than they used to be. Although 71% of independent/other party voters agree, only 36% say they usually vote for an independent or minor party.

41% agree they are less likely to vote for the same party – including 61% of other/independent voters.

Increasing wages

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of the following actions to increase the wages of Australian workers?

Q       Total approve Total dis-approve   Strongly approve Approve Dis-approve Strongly dis-approve Don’t know
Increasing the minimum wage 80% 11%   28% 52% 9% 2% 9%
Cutting personal income taxes 71% 17%   25% 46% 14% 3% 12%
Reducing the number of foreign workers on 457 visas 70% 13%   36% 34% 11% 2% 17%
Stronger regulation of labor hire companies 69% 8%   24% 45% 6% 2% 22%
Cutting company taxes so that business invest and give workers pay rises 61% 24%   16% 45% 15% 9% 15%
Giving more power to unions to negotiate pay rises 43% 41%   13% 30% 22% 19% 16%

 

Q       Total approve   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time
Increasing the minimum wage 80%   88% 76% 82% 86%   76% 83%
Cutting personal income taxes 71%   74% 74% 61% 72%   78% 62%
Reducing the number of foreign workers on 457 visas 70%   75% 74% 53% 80%   70% 62%
Stronger regulation of labor hire companies 69%   74% 72% 67% 79%   72% 65%
Cutting company taxes so that business invest and give workers pay rises 61%   55% 72% 51% 65%   64% 61%
Giving more power to unions to negotiate pay rises 43%   63% 24% 53% 39%   45% 40%

There was substantial majority agreement with all suggested actions to increase wages – except giving more power to unions to negotiate pay rises (43% approve, 41% disapprove). This was mainly due to strong disapproval from Liberal/National voters (24% approve/64% disapprove).

80% approved of increasing the minimum wage, including at least three-quarters of all voter groups.

There were similar levels of approval of cutting personal income taxes (71%), reducing the number of workers on 457 visas (70%) and stronger regulation of labor hire companies (69%).

Cutting personal income taxes was more favoured by fulltime workers (78%) than part time workers (62%).

83% of part time workers approved increasing the minimum wage.

Federal voting intention

Dec 6, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

29/11/16

2 weeks ago

22/11/16

4 weeks ago

8/11/16

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   36% 36% 35%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 38%   39% 38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   36% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 9%   9% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   7% 6% 6%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   49% 48% 47%   50.4%
Labor 52%   51% 52% 53%   49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,833 The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Party trust to handle issues

Dec 6, 2016

Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Liberal Labor Don’t know   NET NET

Aug 2016

Security and the war on terrorism 39% 22% 39%   +17 +18
Management of the economy 41% 27% 32%   +14 +15
Controlling interest rates 33% 26% 41%   +7 +12
Managing population growth 32% 25% 42%   +7 +10
Treatment of asylum seekers 34% 28% 39%   +6 +6
Political leadership 33% 27% 40%   +6 +9
Ensuring a fair taxation system 32% 33% 35%   -1 -4
Ensuring a quality water supply 27% 30% 43%   -3
A fair industrial relations system 30% 37% 33%   -7 -8
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 28% 37% 35%   -9 -8
Housing affordability 25% 34% 40%   -9 -10
Ensuring a quality education for all children 28% 39% 33%   -11 -8
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 28% 40% 32%   -12 -8
Addressing climate change 23% 37% 40%   -14 -10
Protecting the environment 23% 37% 40%   -14 -11

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle security and the war on terrorism (+17) and management of the economy (+14).

The Labor Party is trusted more to handle protecting the environment (-14), addressing climate change (-14), the health system (-12) and education (-11).

Since this question was asked in August, the Labor Party has improved its position against the Liberal Party on controlling interest rates (up 5), climate change (up 4) and the health system (up 4).

Party best at looking after the economy

Dec 6, 2016

Q. Which party – Labor or Liberal – do you think is best when it comes to:

  Liberal Labor No Diff-erence Don’t Know   Diff-erence Liberal – Labor Mar 2016 diff-erence
Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests 48% 15% 22% 15%   +33 +37
Handling the economy overall 35% 24% 25% 16%   +11 +13
Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business 33% 24% 25% 18%   +9 +13
Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class 30% 30% 24% 15%   +3
Handling the economy in a way that helps you and people like you the most. 28% 30% 25% 17%   -2 -4
Representing the interests of you and people like you 27% 35% 23% 15%   -8 -6
Standing up for the middle class in Australia 26% 34% 24% 15%   -8 -7
Handling the economy in a way that tries to take the interests of working families into consideration as much as it takes the interests of the large corporate and financial groups 24% 33% 25% 17%   -9 -7
Representing the interests of Australian working families 20% 42% 23% 14%   -22 -21
Being more concerned about the interests of working families in Australia than the rich and large business and financial interests 18% 43% 24% 14%   -25 -22

Labor was more likely to be selected as the party best at all of the items, except for ‘Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests’ (48% Liberal, 15% Labor), ‘Handling the economy overall’ (35% Liberal, 24% Labor), ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business’ (33% Liberal, 24% Labor) and ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps the middle class’ (30% Liberal, 30% Labor).

Since this question was asked in March, the main shifts have been for ‘Handling the economy in a way that best helps small business’ (4% to Labor) and “Representing the interests of the large corporate and financial interests” (4% to Labor).

Approval of Government Ministers

Dec 6, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job the following people are doing as Government Ministers?

  Total approve Total dis-approve   Strongly approve Approve Dis-approve Strongly dis-approve Don’t know   Net score Net LNP voters
Julie Bishop – Foreign Affairs 52% 23% 18% 34% 12% 11% 25% +29 +66
Christopher Pyne – Defence Industry 35% 34% 7% 28% 16% 18% 32% +1 +55
Barnaby Joyce – Deputy Prime Minister 34% 33% 7% 27% 18% 15% 33% +1 +48
Greg Hunt – Industry, Innovation and Science 28% 27% 5% 23% 14% 13% 46% +1 +43
Peter Dutton – Immigration and Border Protection 33% 35%   11% 21% 15% 20% 32% -2 +47
Scott Morrison – Treasurer 33% 36% 6% 27% 18% 18% 31% -3 +50
George Brandis – Attorney General 26% 34% 4% 22% 14% 20% 40% -8 +32

 Of the Government Ministers listed, Julie Bishop has the best approval rating by a considerable margin (52% approve/23% disapprove). Opinions are almost evenly divided on all other ministers except George Brandis with 26% approve/34% disapprove.

Among Liberal/National voters, approval ranges from 75% for Julie Bishop to 49% for George Brandis.

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