Decision on same sex marriage

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you think the issue of same sex marriage should be decided by Parliament or should there be a national vote?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Sep 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Aug 2016 June 2017 Vote “Yes” Vote “No”
Should be decided by Parliament 29% 35% 23% 53% 25% 21% 23% 25% 25% 27% 35% 19%
Should have a national vote 59% 54% 68% 43% 68% 67% 66% 60% 59% 61% 57% 74%
Don’t know 12% 11% 9% 4% 8% 12% 11% 15% 16% 12% 8% 7%

 

59% thought that same sex marriage should be decided by a national vote (down 2% since June 6), and 29% thought it should be decided by parliament (up 2%).

Those who do not support same sex marriage were much more likely to prefer a national vote (74% prefer, compared to 57% of same sex marriage supporters).

Men were more likely to prefer a vote in parliament (34% prefer) than women (24%).

Housing affordability

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you think housing in your area is affordable or unaffordable for someone on an average income?

Support by party preference Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Capital Cities Regional NSW VIC June 2015
Affordable 25%   27% 26% 23% 24% 21% 32% 17% 27% 33%
Unaffordable 66%   67% 67% 67% 63% 72% 56% 76% 68% 60%
Don’t know 9%   6% 7% 10% 12% 7% 12% 7% 5% 7%

25% thought that housing in their area is affordable for someone on an average income (down 8% since June 2015), and 66% thought it is unaffordable (up 6%).

Those most likely to think housing was unaffordable were those from NSW (76%), those aged 45-54 (75%) and 55-64 (73%), and those earning less than $31k per year (72%).

Those most likely to think housing is affordable were South Australians (36%) and Queenslanders (30%).

There was little difference between Labor, Liberal/National and Greens voters on this question.

Change in housing affordability

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you think housing in your area has become more affordable or less affordable over the last few years?

Support by party preference Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Capital Cities Regional NSW VIC June 2015
Total more affordable 12%   13% 13% 13% 10% 11% 13% 7% 7% 11%
Total less affordable 72%   74% 73% 74% 70% 76% 66% 82% 81% 75%
A lot more affordable 3%   4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1%
A little more affordable 9%   9% 11% 11% 9% 9% 10% 6% 4% 10%
A little less affordable 26%   25% 27% 29% 27% 25% 27% 22% 25% 33%
A lot less affordable 46%   49% 46% 45% 43% 51% 39% 60% 56% 42%
No change 9%   7% 9% 6% 16% 7% 12% 5% 6% 10%
Don’t know 7%   5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 9% 5% 6% 5%

 

72% thought that housing in their area has become less affordable over the last few years (up 1% from June 2015) – including 46% who though it was a lot less affordable.

82% of residents of NSW and 81% of Victorians thought housing has become less affordable.

A majority of each demographic group thought that housing has become less affordable.

There was little difference between Labor, Liberal/National and Greens voters on this question.

Importance of home ownership

Jul 4, 2017

Q. How important do you feel home ownership is to a person’s financial security?

Support by party preference Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total important 89%   90% 92% 87% 91%
Total not important 8%   6% 7% 10% 6%
Very important 51%   55% 51% 44% 53%
Somewhat important 38%   35% 41% 43% 38%
Not very important 6%   6% 5% 9% 4%
Not important at all 2%   2% 1% 2%
Don’t know 4%   4% 1% 4% 3%

89% think that home ownership is important to a person’s financial security, including 51% who think it is very important.

Over 80% of each demographic group think home ownership is important to a person’s financial security

Cost of housing

Jul 4, 2017

Q. If house prices were to rise in the future, do you think the following groups would be better or worse off?

  Total better off Total worse off Much better off Better off No change Worse off Much worse off Don’t know
Current home owners 41% 22% 12% 29% 31% 13% 9% 7%
People living in regional areas 12% 50% 2% 10% 30% 30% 20% 9%
People living in the inner city 11% 56% 2% 9% 22% 29% 27% 10%
People living in the outer suburbs 11% 57% 2% 9% 23% 36% 21% 10%
People receiving the age pension 5% 71% 1% 4% 18% 26% 45% 6%
Renters 4% 77% 1% 3% 14% 41% 36% 5%
Young people 4% 83% 1% 3% 10% 35% 48% 4%
People on low incomes 2% 85% 1% 1% 8% 26% 59% 3%

The only group who respondents thought would be better off if house prices were to rise in the future were those who currently own homes (41% better off). For all other groups, a majority thought they will be worse off.

Over 80% thought that young people and people on low incomes would be worse off if house prices were to rise.

Housing affordability measures

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you support or oppose the following measures to increase housing affordability?

  Total support Total oppose Strongly support Support Neither support nor oppose Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
Increasing restrictions on foreign nationals purchasing existing residential property 74% 6% 51% 23% 13% 3% 3% 7%
Providing tax incentives for older residents to sell their family home and “downsize” 56% 11% 19% 37% 24% 6% 5% 9%
Make more land on city fringes available for housing development 53% 14% 19% 34% 23% 8% 6% 11%
A ban on “interest only” loans for property investors 44% 17% 21% 23% 23% 10% 7% 16%
Allowing first home buyers to withdraw a portion of their superannuation for a house deposit 44% 30% 14% 30% 17% 16% 14% 9%
Remove negative gearing tax concessions for property investors 43% 23% 21% 22% 18% 12% 11% 15%

Each measure receive greater support than opposition, with three receiving majority support – increasing restrictions of foreign nationals purchasing property (74% support), providing tax incentives for downsizers (56%), and making more land available for development on city fringes (53%).

The most polarising measure was allowing first home buyers to use their superannuation for a house deposit, which received 44% support and 30% opposition.

 

 

Tony Abbott

Jul 4, 2017

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott should:

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Aug 2016 April 2017
Stay in parliament on the backbench 14%   13% 19% 10% 15% 21% 17%
Stay in parliament and be given a ministry 18%   12% 25% 9% 34% 25% 17%
Resign from parliament 43%   54% 35% 68% 36% 37% 40%
Don’t know 24%   21% 22% 13% 15% 17% 26%

43% think Tony Abbott should resign from parliament (up 3% from April), while 32% think he should stay in parliament in some capacity (down 2%).

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think Tony Abbott should stay in parliament (44%) than Labor voters (25%) and Greens voters (19%).

Other party/independent voters were most likely to think he should stay in parliament (49%).

Since this questions was first asked in August 2016, the proportion of those who think Tony Abbott should stay in parliament has fallen from 46% to 32%.

Federal voting intention

Jun 27, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 20/6/17 2 weeks ago 13/6/17 4 weeks ago 30/5/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 35%   35% 35% 35%    
National 4%   3% 3% 2%    
Total Liberal/National 39%   38% 38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   35% 36% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 10% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   9% 8% 5%    
Other/Independent 5%   5% 5% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 48% 47%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 52% 53%   49.6%
  1. Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
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