Selection of head of state

May 22, 2018

Q. If we had an Australian Head of State how should that person be selected?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Appointed by the Prime Minister 9%   9% 13% 6% 4%
Elected by the Australian people 65%   70% 62% 69% 75%
Appointed by a two-thirds majority of a joint sitting of the Federal Parliament 12%   12% 13% 16% 9%
Don’t know 14%   9% 12% 9% 12%

If Australia had an Australian head of state, 65% would prefer they be elected by the Australian people. 12% think they should be appointed by Parliament and 9% appointed by the Prime Minister.

Support for election of a head of state is consistent across voter and demographic groups.

Federal voting intention 

May 15, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   1 week ago 8/5/18 3 weeks ago 24/4/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   35% 35%    
National 4%   3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 38%   38% 37%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   2% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   6% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 48%   47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 52%   53% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal Budget

May 15, 2018

Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Budget that was handed down on Tuesday 8th May?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   2017
Total approve 44%   31% 76% 21% 27%   41%
Total Disapprove 28%   42% 9% 53% 44%   33%
Strongly approve 5%   6% 7% 3%   5%
Approve 39%   25% 69% 21% 24%   36%
Disapprove 19%   27% 8% 34% 28%   23%
Strongly disapprove 9%   15% 1% 19% 16%   10%
Don’t know 28%   28% 15% 27% 29%   25%

 

44% approved of the Federal Budget and 28% disapproved. This was a little more positive than the response to the 2017 budget – +3 on approval and -5 on disapproval.

76% of Liberal National voters approved compared to 31% of Labor voters. A majority (53%) of Greens voters disapproved.

Only 30% of low-income earners (less than $600 pw) approved compared to 51% of those earning $2,000+.

Confidence in Economy

May 15, 2018

Q. Does this budget make you feel more confident or less confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   2017
Total more confident 28%   17% 55% 10% 14%   27%
Total less confident 23%   34% 5% 40% 38%   29%
A lot more confident 7%   6% 14% 2% 3%   5%
A little more confident 21%   11% 41% 8% 11%   22%
Makes no difference 36%   38% 34% 40% 37%   33%
A little less confident 11%   15% 4% 16% 17%   15%
A lot less confident 12%   19% 1% 24% 21%   14%
Don’t know 12%   11% 7% 10% 11%   11%

28% said the budget makes them feel more confident in the Government’s ability to manage the economy and 23% say it makes them feel less confident. Again, this represents a slightly more positive response than last year – +1 for more confidence and -6 for less confidence.

36% say it makes no difference.

55% of Liberal National voters say if makes them more confident compared to 17% of Labor voters and 10% of Greens voters.

Impact of tax cut

May 15, 2018

Q. One of the major budget announcements was changes to income tax. From July 1st most people earning under $90,000 will receive a $10 per week tax cut. Which best describes what this will mean for you and your family?

 

  Total Men Women Age
18-34
Age 35-54 Age
55+
Income less than $600 pw $600-1,000 pw $1,000-1,500 pw $1,500-2,000 pw Over $2,000 pw
It will make a difference to my household 22% 22% 22% 35% 22% 8% 16% 19% 22% 23% 29%
It won’t make any real difference to my household 45% 46% 43% 39% 50% 45% 33% 40% 61% 49% 51%
I won’t be receiving it 25% 25% 24% 15% 18% 43% 47% 33% 13% 17% 13%
Don’t know 8% 7% 10% 11% 10% 4% 3% 7% 4% 12% 7%

Only 22% say that the tax cuts will make a difference to their household. 45% say it won’t make any real difference and 25% think they won’t receive the tax cut.

Younger respondents (35% of aged 18-35) and those on higher incomes (29% of income $2K+) were most likely to think it will make a difference to their household.

Support for tax cut

May 15, 2018

Q. And overall, how do you feel about the Government cutting income tax?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Income less than $600 pw $600-1,000 pw $1,000-1,500 pw $1,500-2,000 pw Over $2,000 pw
I support the income tax cuts 39% 34% 53% 22% 31% 24% 44% 46% 43% 42%
I would rather see the money used to reduce Government debt 18% 13% 25% 12% 19% 18% 21% 15% 15% 22%
I would rather see the money used to reverse cuts to schools and hospitals 30% 42% 14% 52% 35% 46% 26% 32% 29% 22%
Don’t know 13% 11% 8% 13% 15% 12% 8% 7% 13% 14%

46% of incomes under $600 would rather the money be spent on schools and hospitals.
39% say they support the income tax cuts over paying off debt or funding schools and hospitals. 30% would rather the money spent of schools and hospitals and 18% would rather the money be used to reduce debt.

 

 

Further changes to incomes tax rates will mean that by 2024-25, workers will receive the following tax cuts –

FUTURE TAX CUTS
INCOME TAX CUT WEEKLY
$37k $0
$50k $540 $10.38
$87k $540 $10.38
$100k $1,125 $21.63
$120k $2,025 $38.94
$180k $4,725 $90.87
$200k+ $7,225 $138.94

 

Q. Do you agree or disagree with giving higher tax cuts to those on higher incomes? 

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Income less than $600 pw $600-1,000 pw $1,000-1,500 pw $1,500-2,000 pw Over $2,000 pw
Total agree 40% 37% 56% 26% 28% 26% 31% 43% 43% 54%
Total disagree 44% 48% 32% 59% 60% 57% 52% 47% 42% 31%
Strongly agree 9% 12% 11% 7% 3% 7% 8% 13% 4% 14%
Agree 31% 25% 45% 19% 25% 19% 23% 30% 39% 40%
Disagree 19% 13% 21% 21% 25% 15% 21% 26% 20% 16%
Strongly disagree 25% 35% 11% 38% 35% 42% 31% 21% 22% 15%
Don’t know 17% 14% 12% 16% 12% 16% 17% 9% 16% 15%

40% agree with giving higher tax cuts to those on higher incomes and 44% disagree. 

Those most likely to agree were Liberal National voters (56%), incomes over $2,000pw (54%) and aged under 35 (54%).

Those most likely to disagree were Greens voters (59%) and incomes under $1,000pw (54%).

Tax rate

May 15, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree that people earning $200,000 should pay a higher rate of tax than those earning $41,000?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Income less than $600 pw $600-1,000 pw $1,000-1,500 pw $1,500-2,000 pw Over $2,000 pw
Total agree 79% 86% 76% 80% 77%   83% 81% 86% 78% 73%
Total disagree 14% 9% 17% 14% 16%   10% 12% 10% 17% 19%
Strongly agree 41% 50% 33% 55% 40%   47% 40% 44% 43% 36%
Agree 38% 36% 43% 25% 37%   36% 41% 42% 35% 37%
Disagree 10% 6% 13% 10% 9%   7% 8% 7% 13% 13%
Strongly disagree 4% 3% 4% 4% 7%   3% 4% 3% 4% 6%
Don’t know 7% 5% 6% 6% 6%   7% 7% 4% 6% 8%

79% agree that people earning $200,000 should pay a higher rate of tax than those earning $41,000.

At least three quarters of all voter groups agreed.

Descriptions of the budget

May 15, 2018

 Q. Which of the following terms do you think describe the budget?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Income less than $600 pw $600-1,000 pw $1,000-1,500 pw
In the national interest 53% 39% 81% 36% 34%   47% 55% 57%
Responsible 52% 40% 80% 33% 31%   39% 55% 56%
Competent 48% 33% 71% 34% 40%   40% 49% 55%
Disappointing 48% 62% 25% 61% 66%   65% 48% 46%
Fair 47% 34% 71% 33% 36%   31% 48% 54%
Wasteful 37% 48% 19% 50% 50%   53% 30% 36%
Visionary 31% 26% 44% 16% 24%   24% 27% 36%
Reckless 30% 39% 15% 37% 41%   41% 29% 26%

However, they were more strongly of the view that the budget was not wasteful, reckless or visionary.Respondents were fairly evenly divided over whether the budget was in the national interest, responsible, competent disappointing and fair.

Those earning less than $600 pw were most negative about the budget with 65% agreeing it was disappointing and only 31% thinking it was fair.

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