Assessment of Leaders

Sep 13, 2010

 Q. Which leader – Julia Gillard or Tony Abbott – would you say has shown more leadership abilities during the period since the election?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 47% 92% 10% 73%
Tony Abbott 35% 2% 75% 4%
Don’t know 18% 6% 15% 23%

 47% think Julia Gillard has shown more leadership abilities during the period since the election and 35% favour Tony Abbott.

By gender – men favour Julia Gillard 47%/38%, women 48%/31%. Comments »

Increased Strength of the Greens

Sep 13, 2010

Q. Some people have suggested that the party which increased its strength most in the recent election was the Greens.  Do you think the increased strength of the Greens is good or bad for Australia?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 45% 68% 19% 96%
Total bad 38% 15% 70% 2%
Very good 13% 18% 2% 60%
Good 32% 50% 17% 36%
Bad 18% 11% 30%
Very bad 20% 4% 40% 2%
Don’t know 17% 17% 11% 3%

45% believe the increased strength of the Greens is good for Australia and 38% bad. 68% of Labor voters think it is good and 70% of Coalition voters think it is bad (40% say very bad). Comments »

Power of the Independents

Sep 13, 2010

Q. Do you think the independents will hold too much power in the next Federal Government?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote ind/other
Yes 44% 36% 63% 21% 16%
No 36% 40% 27% 57% 64%
Don’t know 20% 25% 10% 22% 20%

Overall, respondents more likely to think the independents will hold too much power in the next Federal; Government – 44% agree and 36% disagree. 63% of Coalition voters agree but Labor voters are split 36% yes/40% no.

Greens voters and other voters are more likely to think the independents will not hold too much power. Comments »

The Punch: 10 reasons we want to go back to the polls

Sep 7, 2010

First Published on The Punch 07/09/2010

Just when it looked like the prospect of a hung Parliament had taken us to a new paradigm of political discourse, where nice trumps nasty and diversity of opinion is respected, the public has sent a clear message: enough already!

After railing against stage-managed elections, two weeks of introspection and pandering to the wishes of non-aligned members has the public calling for a recommencement of hostilities.

According to this week’s Essential Report, a majority of voters want a new election – and even more (70 per cent) believe a new poll is inevitable.

Essential Media Communications

Q. Do you think Australia should have another Federal election in the next 12 months?

Comments »

Federal Politics – voting intention

Sep 6, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

2,106 sample size

First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 37% 39% 42% 41% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 40% 42% 45% 44% 43%
Labor 43% 41% 38% 38% 39%
Greens 9% 10% 11% 11% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 5% 4% 5% 6%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 46% 48% 50% 50% 49%
Labor 54% 52% 50% 50% 51%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

Minority Government

Sep 6, 2010

Q. After the election neither the Labor Party nor the Coalition has a majority in the House of Representatives – they need the support of independents to govern. Do you think this will result in a better or worse Government for Australia?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total better 30% 37% 19% 47%
Total worse 42% 33% 62% 30%
A lot better 8% 10% 3% 12%
A little better 22% 27% 16% 35%
A little worse 22% 19% 28% 23%
A lot worse 20% 14% 34% 7%
Make no difference 15% 16% 11% 10%
Don’t know 13% 14% 8% 13%

42% believe that a minority Government supported by the independents will result in a worse Government for Australia and 30% think it will be a better Government. Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it would be a worse Government (62%) while 47% of Greens voters think it would be a better Government. Labor voters are split – 37% better/33% worse.

Older voters are most likely to think it would be a worse Government – of those aged 55+, 47% say worse and 28% better. Comments »

New Election in next 12 months

Sep 6, 2010

Q. How likely is it that Australia will need to have another Federal election within the next 12 months?

Total likely 70%
Total unlikely 16%
Very likely 27%
Quite likely 43%
Not very likely 13%
Not at all likely 3%
Don’t know 14%

70% of respondents think it likely that Australia will need to have another Federal election within the next 12 months and only 16% think it is unlikely.

A majority of all voters types believe it is likely. Comments »

Need for a New Election

Sep 6, 2010

Q. Do you think Australia should have another Federal election in the next 12 months?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Yes 52% 48% 65% 45%
No 33% 38% 25% 35%
Don’t know 15% 14% 10% 20%

52% think that Australia should have another election in the next 12 months and 33% disagree. Support for another election is strongest among Liberal/National voters (65%) although all voter types are more likely to support another election than oppose it.  Women (yes 53%/no 29%) are more likely to support another election than men (50%/38%). Comments »

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