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  • Sep, 2012

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    Attitudes to decriminalization or legalization

    Q. Thinking about the issue of illegal drugs in Australia, which has one of the highest per capita illicit drug use in the world, please indicate which position is closer to your view:

    Sample B (N=501)

    Total

     

    Have a close friend or relative

    (n=69)

    No close friend or relative

    (n=417)

    Vote Labor

    (n=159)

    Vote Lib/Nat

    (n=205)

    Vote Greens

    (n=40)

    We should legalise all illegal drugs (including production and trafficking within Australia) to reduce the unregulated black market trade in these substances.

    7%

    12%

    6%

    10%

    5%

    13%

    We should legalise small scale illegal drug use and possession, but maintain criminal prohibitions on production and trafficking.

    30%

    41%

    26%

    35%

    22%

    40%

    We should prohibit all activities related to illegal drugs in Australia, including production, trafficking, large and small-scale production and use.

    57%

     

    45%

    59%

    50%

    67%

    30%

    None of the above

    7%

    3%

    8%

    5%

    6%

    18%

    The largest portion of those respondents with a close friend or relative that regularly uses believe in prohibiting all activities related to illegal drugs in Australia (45%), followed by legalizing small scale illegal drug use and possession (41%), however this difference may be on account of margin of error in the small sub-sample size.

    Once again, Coalition voters were the most likely to take the view that ‘we should prohibit all activities related to illegal drugs in Australia…’ (67%) compared to the rest of the sample by voting intention.

  • Sep, 2012

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    Attitudes to decriminalization of specific drugs

    Q. Would you support decriminalisation of any of the following illegal drugs in Australia:

    Yes

    No

    Don’t know

    Cannabis

    38%

    49%

    13%

    Ecstasy

    14%

    78%

    7%

    Cocaine

    13%

    80%

    7%

    Heroin

    11%

    83%

    6%

    Amphetamines (such as speed or ice)

    10%

    83%

    7%

    For all drugs except cannabis, the vast majority of respondents believed in maintaining prohibitions on the drug.

    Support for decriminalisation of cannabis is the strongest at 38% in favour (49% opposed).

    Respondents are most strongly against decriminalisation of heroin (83%) and amphetamines (83%).

    Male respondents are more likely to favour decriminalisation of cannabis (42%) compared to females (35%).   They are also more likely to favour decriminalisation of ecstasy (17%) compared to female respondents (12%).

    By voting intention, the majority of Greens voters were in favour of decriminalizing cannabis (56%).

  • Sep, 2012

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    Trolling

    Q. Would you support the introduction of government legislation to prevent people from using social media to attack and bully individuals (known as ‘trolling’)?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total Support

    83%

    84%

    85%

    82%

    Total Oppose

    9%

    9%

    9%

    12%

    Strongly support

    55%

    58%

    55%

    45%

    Support

    28%

    26%

    30%

    37%

    Oppose

    6%

    8%

    6%

    6%

    Strongly oppose

    3%

    1%

    3%

    6%

    Don’t know

    7%

    7%

    6%

    7%

    The vast majority of respondents support the introduction of government legislation to prevent people from trolling (83%), whilst 9% oppose any such introduction.

    There are no significant variations by voting intention.

    Female respondents are far more likely to strongly support a ban on trolling (61%) compared with male respondents (48%).

    Looking at the results by age, those aged 45-54 (61%), 55-64 (61%) and 65+ (69%) were all significantly more likely to strongly support a ban.

  • Sep, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 2,077 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    13/8/12

    2 weeks ago

    27/8/12

    Last week

    3/9/12

    This week

    10 Sept 2012

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    32%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

     

    2 weeks ago

     

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Sep, 2012

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19 Jul 2010

    14 June 2011

    12 Dec 2011

    16 Jan 2012

    16 Apr 2012

    16 Jul 2012

    Last month 13 Aug 2012

    This week  10 Sept 2012

    Total approve

    52%

    34%

    34%

    37%

    32%

    32%

    31%

    35%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    54%

    54%

    52%

    58%

    58%

    57%

    54%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    7%

    5%

    7%

    7%

    Approve

    41%

    28%

    28%

    31%

    25%

    27%

    24%

    28%

    Disapprove

    17%

    29%

    25%

    27%

    31%

    26%

    25%

    27%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    25%

    29%

    25%

    27%

    32%

    32%

    27%

    Don’t know

    18%

    13%

    11%

    12%

    10%

    10%

    13%

    11%

    Approval of Julia Gillard climbed 4 points from 31% last month to 35% approving of the job she is doing as Prime Minister this month, whilst her disapproval fell 3 points in the same time. In the 2 years since July 2010, Gillard’s disapproval has risen 24 points from 30% to 54%.

    By state, approval for Gillard was strongest in South Australia (46%) and Victoria (44%) and weakest in Western Australia (66%, however this Western Australian sample size is considerably smaller at n=64).

    Approval for Gillard was significantly stronger amongst female respondents (40% approve, 47% disapprove) compared to male respondents (31% approve/ 60% disapprove).

  • Sep, 2012

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    19 Jul 2010

    14 June 2011

    12 Dec 2011

    16 Jan 2012

    16 Apr 2012

    16 Jul 2012

    Last month 13 Aug 2012

    This week   10 Sept 2012

    Total approve

    40%

    38%

    32%

    35%

    38%

    35%

    36%

    32%

    Total disapprove

    44%

    48%

    53%

    51%

    50%

    53%

    51%

    55%

    Strongly approve

    6%

    6%

    6%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    6%

    Approve

    34%

    32%

    26%

    28%

    31%

    28%

    28%

    26%

    Disapprove

    22%

    25%

    25%

    25%

    23%

    23%

    22%

    26%

    Strongly disapprove

    22%

    23%

    28%

    26%

    27%

    30%

    29%

    29%

    Don’t know

    16%

    15%

    14%

    13%

    13%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    Tony Abbott’s approval fell 4 points within the last month, from 36% approval in August to 32% this week.  His disapproval picked up 4 points from 51% to 55% in the same period.   Over the 2 years since July 2010, his disapproval has risen 11 points from 44% to 55%.

    There were few significant variations by state, save that respondents in South Australia were significantly more likely to disapprove of the job Abbot is doing as Opposition leader (63%).

    Male respondents were more likely to approve of Abbott’s performance (36% approve / 55% disapprove) compared to female respondents (28% approve / 54% disapprove).

  • Sep, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    19 July 2010

    14 Jun 2011

    12 Dec 2011

    16 Jan 2012

    16 Apr 2012

    16 Jul 2012

    Last month 13 Aug 2012

    This week  10 Sept 2012

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    50%

    41%

    39%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    36%

    40%

    87%

    4%

    80%

    Tony Abbott

    27%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    36%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    3%

    76%

    5%

    Don’t know

    23%

    24%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    26%

    26%

    24%

    10%

    20%

    15%

    Forty percent (40%) of respondents believe that Julia Gillard would make a better Prime Minister than Tony Abbott, up 4% from the last time the question was polled in August 2012.   Gillard has resumed the lead on Abbott as preferred Prime Minister, having dropped behind him after April 2012.

    There was little change in favour of Abbott, with belief that Abbott would make a better Prime Minister changing just 1% from last month, down to 37%.

    This week’s figures are fairly consistent with the results from the beginning of the year (39% in favour of Gillard, 36% in favour of Abbott).

    Over the two years since July 2010, belief that Gillard would make a better Prime Minister has dropped 10 points from 50% to 40%, whilst belief that Abbott would make a better Prime Minister has equally increased 10 points from 27% to 37%.

    Female respondents were more likely to regard Gillard as the better Prime Minister (44% Gillard / 30% Abbott) whereas male respondents were more likely to regard Abbott as the better Prime Minister (36% Gillard / 44% Abbott).

  • Sep, 2012

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    Troops in Afghanistan

    Q. Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –

     

    21 Jun 2010

    9 May 2011

    21 Nov 2011

    19 Mar 2012

    This week  10 Sept 2012

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan

    7%

    6%

    3%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    3%

    Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan

    24%

    36%

    22%

    22%

    23%

    23%

    27%

    20%

    Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan

    61%

    48%

    64%

    64%

    62%

    60%

    58%

    65%

    Don’t know

    8%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    9%

    12%

    There is little change in respondents’ positions on troops in Afghanistan. Compared to the last time the question was polled six months ago in March 2012, 4% still believe that we should increase the number of troops. Belief that we should maintain the same number of troops increased 1% to 23% and belief that we should withdraw troops fell just 2 points from 64% in March 2012 to 62%.

    Looking at the results by voting intention, Coalition voters were the most in favour of maintaining troop numbers (27%) compared to Labor voters (23%) and Greens voters (20%).   Greens voters were the most likely to want to withdraw troops from Afghanistan (65%) when compared with Labor voters (60%) and Coalition voters (58%).

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