Opinion of Leaders

Jun 15, 2010

Q. From the following list of current and recent leaders of the Liberal/Labor Party – rate each in terms of whether you think they were a good or poor leader of their party.

Total good Total poor Very good Good Average Poor Very poor Don’t know
Tony Abbott 30% 34% 7% 23% 29% 14% 20% 7%
Malcolm Turnbull 28% 33% 6% 22% 32% 20% 13% 8%
Brendan Nelson 13% 44% 2% 11% 33% 28% 16% 11%
John Howard 51% 26% 27% 24% 18% 11% 15% 5%
Kevin Rudd 38% 34% 10% 28% 23% 15% 19% 4%
Kim Beazley 29% 29% 7% 22% 36% 17% 12% 6%
Mark Latham 7% 62% 2% 5% 23% 26% 36% 8%
Simon Crean 9% 47% 2% 7% 32% 29% 18% 12%
Paul Keating 40% 26% 14% 26% 27% 12% 14% 8%

Overall, John Howard (51% good/26% poor) was considered the best Liberal Party leader of recent times and Paul Keating (40%/26%) the best Labor leader.

However the current leaders – Kevin Rudd (38% good/34% poor) and Tony Abbott (30%/34%) – were both considered better than the leaders they succeeded.

Among Liberal/National voters Tony Abbott was rated good by 63%, compared to John Howard at 86% and Malcolm Turnbull at 37%.

Among Labor voters Kevin Rudd was rated good by 78%, compared to Paul Keating at 58% and Kim Beazley at 40%. Comments »

Asylum Seekers

Jun 15, 2010

Q. Which of the following comes is closest to your view?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
All asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat should be sent back to the country they came from even if they are genuine refugees 31% 26% 38% 22%
Asylum seekers arriving by boat should only be allowed to stay in Australia if they are found to be genuine refugees 59% 67% 56% 66%
All asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat should be allowed to stay 4% 4% 2% 10%
Don’t know 6% 3% 4% 2%

59% agreed with the statement that “asylum seekers arriving by boat should only be allowed to stay in Australia if they are found to be genuine refugees” and 31% agreed that “all asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat should be sent back to the country they came from even if they are genuine refugees”. Only 4% (including 10% of Greens voters) agreed that “all asylum seekers arriving in Australia by boat should be allowed to stay”.

Women were more likely to think genuine refugees should be allowed to stay (61% compared to 57% of men). 28% of those aged 55+ thought all asylum seekers should be sent back compared to 33% of those aged under 55. Comments »

Buckets of Gold and Fifty Paces

Jun 9, 2010

The last time a determined interest group took on a federal government, EMC was behind the wheel – driving the ACTU Rights at Work campaign.

This time the attack is coming from the mining industry, and if reports are to be believed, the miners are forking out in three months $100 million – about four times the three year budget for the Rights at Work campaign.

Having worked on a campaign that most agree shifted government, it’s worth asking – is the Miners campaign as effective? Are the winning the hearts and minds of the battlers? In short, are they going to change the government?

Here are few lessons we learned from Rights at Work, and my initial reactions on how the mining lobby is faring. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 7, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?   

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

 1,872 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Liberal 30% 39% 39% 39% 38%
National 4% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 34% 42% 41% 41% 40%
Labor 46% 37% 40% 39% 37%
Greens 9% 11% 10% 9% 12%
Family First 3% 2% 2% 2% 3%
Other/Independent 8% 8% 7% 8% 7%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

 

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 48% 49% 48%
Labor 58% 50% 52% 51% 52%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.   Comments »

Best Leadership Team

Jun 7, 2010

 Q. Thinking about the Government Ministers and the Opposition Shadow Ministers in Federal Parliament, who has the best leadership team – Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party or Tony Abbott and the Coalition?

Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party 47%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 31%
Don’t know 23%

47% think that Kevin Rudd and the Labor Party have the best leadership team and 31% prefer Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party team.

95% of Labor voters think the Labor team is better and 75% of Liberal/National voters prefer the Liberal team. Greens voters prefer the Labor team over the Liberal team (by 55% to 13%), as do other party and independent voters (45% to 24%).

 People aged under 35 prefer the Labor team 47% to 18%. Comments »

Asylum Seekers – Awareness of Annual Intake

Jun 7, 2010

 Q. From what you have read and heard, what percentage of Australia’s annual immigration intake are asylum seekers arriving by boat?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
50% or more 10% 10% 12% 6%
About 25% 15% 15% 17% 8%
About 10% 13% 12% 15% 13%
About 5% 15% 12% 17% 18%
1% or less 18% 21% 17% 26%
Don’t know 30% 30% 22% 28%

 38% of respondents think asylum seekers arriving by boat make up at least 10% of Australia’s immigration intake – 15% think it about 5% and 18% think it is 1% or less.

 26% of Greens voters think it is 1% or less and 44% of Liberal/National voters think it is 10% or more.

26% of people aged 45-64 think it is 1% or less. Comments »

Mining Tax Advertising

Jun 7, 2010

 Q. Thinking about the proposed resources super profits tax and the current advertising by the Government and the mining companies, who is more believable – the Government or the mining companies?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other/Ind.
The Government 33% 62% 9% 51% 28%
The mining companies 36% 11% 68% 20% 37%
Don’t know 31% 28% 23% 29% 35%

 Respondents were divided over the believability of advertising by the Government and the mining industry of the proposed resources super profits tax.

 36% think the mining companies’ advertising is more believable and 33% think the Government’s is more believable. 31% don’t know which is more believable.

 Opinions are closely associated with voting intention. 62% of Labor voters think the Government’s advertising is more believable and 68% of Liberal/National voters favour the mining companies’. Greens voters are more likely to believe the Government (51%/20%).

There is a significant difference in opinion by gender – men are more likely to believe the Government (Govt. 41%/Mining cos. 36%/Don’t know 24%) and women more likely to believe the mining companies or say they don’t know (26%/35%/38%). Comments »

John Howard as Head of ICC

Jun 5, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the former Prime Minister John Howard becoming head of the International Cricket Council?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Total approve 32% 18% 56%
Total disapprove 18% 31% 6%
Strongly approve 8% 4% 15%
Approve 24% 14% 41%
Disapprove 10% 19% 4%
Strongly disapprove 8% 12% 2%
No opinion 50% 51% 38%

 Exactly half the respondents have no opinion about John Howard becoming head of the International Cricket Council – 32% approve and 18% disapprove.

56% of Liberal/National voters approve but 31% of Labor voters disapprove and 18% approve.

 57% of women and 60% of people aged under 35 have no opinion. Men approve 35% to 22%.

Comments »

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