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  • Jun, 2012

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    Mining Investment

    Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Labour costs and taxes threaten the future of mining investment in Australia

    32%

    19%

    47%

    16%

    Mining companies want Australian resources and they will continue to invest here despite labour costs and taxes

    49%

    62%

    39%

    69%

    Don’t know

    20%

    19%

    14%

    15%

    49% agree with the statement that mining companies want Australian resources and they will continue to invest here despite labour costs and taxes and 32% agree that labour costs and taxes threaten the future of mining investment in Australia.

    Those most likely to agree that labour costs and taxes threaten the future of mining investment in Australia were Liberal/National voters (47%) and residents of Queensland (41%).

  • Jun, 2012

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    Mabo Decision

    Q. This year is the 20th anniversary of the High Court’s “Mabo” decision which established land rights for Australia’s indigenous people.

    Do you think this decision has been good or bad for the following –

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Very good

    Good

    Made no difference

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    Aboriginal people

    65%

    4%

    27%

    38%

    19%

    3%

    1%

    11%

    Farmers

    15%

    35%

    4%

    11%

    32%

    28%

    7%

    17%

    Miners

    13%

    35%

    3%

    10%

    35%

    26%

    9%

    17%

    Regional communities

    30%

    23%

    6%

    24%

    32%

    17%

    6%

    15%

    All Australians

    33%

    22%

    10%

    23%

    30%

    16%

    6%

    14%

    Two thirds (65%) believe that the “Mabo” decision has been good for aboriginal people and only 4% think it has been bad. A majority of all voter groups think it has been good for aboriginal people – 80% of Greens voters, 72% of Labor voters and 63% of Liberal/National voters.

    Respondents were also more likely to think the decision was good for regional communities (30% good/23% bad) and all Australian (33%/22%).

    35% think it has been bad for farmers and miners. However, 47% think it has been good or made no difference for farmers and 48% think it has been good or made no difference for miners.

    Liberal/National voters were more inclined to think it was bad for all groups other than aboriginal people. For all Australians, 62% of Greens voters, 44% of Labor voters and 25% of Liberal/National voters think it has been good.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Republic

    Q.  Are you in favour or against Australia becoming a republic?

     

    Jan 2010

    March 2011

    Oct 2011

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    In favour

    41%

    39%

    41%

    39%

    56%

    27%

    54%

    Against

    32%

    34%

    33%

    35%

    22%

    51%

    21%

    No opinion

    27%

    27%

    26%

    27%

    22%

    22%

    25%

    39% favour Australia becoming a republic and 35% are against – showing only a little change since this question was asked in October 2011 (from net +8 to net +4 in favour). 27% have no opinion.

    Those most in favour were respondents aged 45-64 (45%), people earning $1,600+pw (45%), Labor voters (56%) and Greens voters (54%).

    Those most against were aged 65+ (58%) and Liberal/National voters (51%).

    36% of respondents aged under 35 had no opinion.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Will Australia ever become a Republic?

    Q. Do you think that Australia is likely or unlikely to ever become a republic?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total likely

    52%

    65%

    48%

    57%

    Total unlikely

    34%

    26%

    38%

    32%

    Very likely

    12%

    16%

    9%

    16%

    Somewhat likely

    40%

    49%

    39%

    41%

    Somewhat unlikely

    25%

    21%

    26%

    28%

    Very unlikely

    9%

    5%

    12%

    4%

    Don’t know

    15%

    9%

    13%

    11%

    52% think that it is very or somewhat likely that Australia will ever become a republic – and 34% think it is somewhat or very unlikely.

    For people aged 45+, 61%+ think it is likely and 29% unlikely while for those aged under 35, 42% think it is likely and 40% unlikely.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Trust in Institutions

    Q. How much trust do you have in the following institutions and organisations?

     

    Total

    trust

    26 Sep 11

    Total

    trust

    12 Jun 12

    A lot of trust

    Some trust

    A little trust

    No trust

    Don’t know

    % change

    The High Court

    72%

    60%

    20%

    40%

    24%

    9%

    7%

    -12

    The ABC

    46%

    54%

    15%

    39%

    31%

    10%

    6%

    +8

    Charitable organisations

    61%

    50%

    8%

    42%

    35%

    10%

    5%

    -9

    The Reserve Bank

    67%

    49%

    13%

    36%

    30%

    14%

    7%

    -18

    Environment groups

    45%

    32%

    6%

    26%

    35%

    25%

    7%

    -13

    The Commonwealth Public Service

      49%*

    30%

    4%

    26%

    42%

    18%

    9%

    -19

    Religious organisations

    29%

    27%

    5%

    22%

    30%

    37%

    6%

    -2

    Newspapers

    na

    26%

    3%

    23%

    46%

    23%

    5%

    na

    Online news media

    na

    23%

    2%

    21%

    45%

    25%

    6%

    na

    Federal Parliament

    55%

    22%

    3%

    19%

    37%

    36%

    6%

    -33

    Trade unions

    39%

    22%

    3%

    19%

    32%

    37%

    9%

    -17

    Business groups

    38%

    22%

    2%

    20%

    46%

    24%

    8%

    -16

    TV news media

    na

    21%

    3%

    18%

    43%

    30%

    5%

    na

    Political parties

    na

    12%

    2%

    10%

    31%

    52%

    5%

    na

    Note: ‘Total Trust’ is an aggregate figure achieved by adding ‘A lot of trust’ and ‘Some trust’.

    * This Commonwealth Public Service figure is from a question asked in 6 Feb 12.

     

    Respondents had most trust in the High Court (60%), the ABC (54%), charitable organisations (50%) and the Reserve bank (49%). They had least trust in political parties (12%), TV news media (21%) Federal Parliament, trade unions and business groups (all 22%).

    Trust in all institutions (except the ABC) declined since this question was asked last year. The major changes were a collapse in trust in Federal Parliament (-33%) and substantial declines in trust in the Commonwealth Public Service (-19%), the Reserve Bank (-18%), trade unions (-17%) and business groups (-16%).

    Compared to the average, Labor voters had more trust in political parties (19%), Federal Parliament (34%), the High Court (67%),  the Reserve Bank (57%), the Commonwealth Public Service (42%), trade unions (36%) and  environment groups (43%).

    Liberal/National voters, compared to the average, had more trust in religious organisations (33%) and business groups (27%) but less trust in Federal parliament (17%), the ABC (46%), trade unions (14%) and environment groups (21%).

  • Jun, 2012

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    TRENDS: Feeling the pain: fair go for Tories


    Labor takes pride in being there for those up against hard luck. Targeted financial assistance comes in many forms, whether co-investment to an auto industry being hammered by the two-speed economy, childcare rebates to hard-up families, or the straight cash injection into middle Australian wallets.

    It appears there is a new victim of the Australian economy in need of a rescue package: the Coalition voter.

    With interest rates, inflation and unemployment all under the 5 per cent threshold, Australia is bucking the global trend in maintaining stability in the face of global unrest. But our polling this week shows only around one third of Australians are prepared to say the economy is performing well.

    And while many are unimpressed with Australia’s performance, Coalition voters – and that’s a lot of people these days – are feeling the economic pain more intensely.

    Read more on this at the Drum

  • Jun, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,856 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    7/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    21/5/12

    Last week

    28/5/12

    This week

    4/6/12

    Liberal

    47%

    46%

    47%

    47%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    49%

    50%

    50%

    Labor

    38.0%

    29%

    33%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    58%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    42%

    44%

    43%

    44%

     

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Awareness of Craig Thomson Issue

    Q. There have recently been allegations of corrupt behaviour by Craig Thomson, a Federal Labor politician. How much have you read or heard about this issue?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    A lot

    29%

    23%

    39%

    16%

    Some

    30%

    35%

    31%

    32%

    A little

    28%

    26%

    24%

    43%

    Nothing

    9%

    13%

    5%

    8%

    Don’t know

    4%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    29% said they have heard or read a lot about the Craig Thomson issue and 30% have heard or read some.

    Those who had read or heard most were men (66% a lot/some) and aged 45+ (71%).

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