Attributes of the Liberal Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Jun 2016 Nov 2017
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 67% +2     60% 60% 67% 66% 65%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% -3   67% 65% 65% 68% 65% 67%
Out of touch with ordinary people 64% -2   62% 54% 58% 62% 63% 66%
Divided 56% -8   74% 49% 31% 56% 52% 68%
Moderate 56% +3   50% 55% 48% 51% 47% 53%
Have a vision for the future 52% +4     48% 51% 54% 51% 48%
Have good policies 46% +1       38% 43% 41% 45%
Clear about what they stand for 45% +5     44% 45% 46% 46% 40%
Has a good team of leaders 45% +8   29% 40% 36% 48% 42% 37%
Understands the problems facing Australia 42% +1   44% 51% 48% 46% 44% 41%
Looks after the interests of working people 37% +1     38% 36% 32% 31% 36%
Extreme 34% -3   36% 36% 39% 39% 38% 37%
Trustworthy 34%       30% 29% 30% 34%
Keeps its promises 33% +1   28% 33% 32% 25% 30% 32%

 

The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – too close to the big corporate and financial interest (67%), will promise anything to win votes (64%) and out of touch with ordinary people (64%).

Main changes since November last year, were – divided (down 8%), has a good team of leaders (up 8%) and clear about what they stand for (up 5%).

Attributes of the Labor Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Jun 2016 Nov 2018
Will promise to do anything to win votes 68% -1   57% 72% 65% 64% 64% 69%
Looks after the interests of working people 57% -1     39% 53% 55% 56% 58%
Divided 56% +5   30% 66% 66% 58% 49% 51%
Moderate 53% +1   65% 51% 48% 56% 54% 52%
Have a vision for the future 50% +1     43% 49% 42% 48% 49%
Understands the problems facing Australia 50% +2   62% 40% 50% 48% 49% 48%
Out of touch with ordinary people 48% -4   44% 61% 51% 52% 46% 52%
Clear about what they stand for 46% +1     28% 38% 37% 43% 45%
Have good policies 45% +1       46% 42% 46% 44%
Has a good team of leaders 38% -1   60% 34% 36% 33% 39% 39%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 37% -5     46% 31% 37% 35% 42%
Extreme 34% -7   25% 38% 34% 30% 30% 41%
Keeps its promises 34% +3   44% 20% 27% 29% 31% 31%
Trustworthy 33% +1       30% 34% 33% 32%

 

The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (68%), looks after the interests of working people (57%), divided (56%) and moderate (53%).

Since this question was asked in November last year, the main changes have been for extreme (down 7%), divided (up 5%) and too close to the big corporate and financial interests (down 5%).

Party Attributes Comparison – Labor vs Liberal

Aug 1, 2018
  Liberal Labor   Difference
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 67% 37% +30
Out of touch with ordinary people 64% 48% +16
Has a good team of leaders 45% 38% +7
Moderate 56% 53% +3
Have a vision for the future 52% 50% +2
Have good policies 46% 45% +1
Trustworthy 34% 33% +1
Divided 56% 56%
Extreme 34% 34%
Clear about what they stand for 45% 46% -1
Keeps its promises 33% 34% -1
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% 68% -4
Understands the problems facing Australia 42% 50% -8
Looks after the interests of working people 37% 57% -20

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably in terms of looking after the interests of working people (-20) and not being too close to the big corporate and financial interests (+30) or out of touch with ordinary people (+16).

The Labor Party is also more likely to understand the problems facing Australia (-8) and the Liberal Party more likely to have a good team of leaders (+7).

Statements about party leaders

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

 

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
Political parties should not change leaders before elections 64% 21%   21% 43% 17% 4% 14%
Political parties have every right to change leaders before elections 46% 42%   10% 36% 27% 15% 12%
Political parties should replace their leader if they are unpopular with voters 56% 29%   13% 43% 22% 7% 15%
If one of the major parties changed their leader I would be more likely to support them 24% 49%   5% 19% 35% 14% 27%
If one of the major parties changed their leaders I would be less likely to support them 30% 44%   6% 24% 33% 11% 26%
The leader of a party has little impact on my vote 41% 49%   9% 32% 34% 15% 9%

 

While 64% agreed that political parties should not change leaders before elections, 46% agreed they have the right to change leaders and 56% agreed that they should replace a leader who is unpopular.

Nearly half (49%) rejected the statement that the leader of the party has little impact on their vote, while 30% said changing leaders would make them less likely to vote for a party and 24% said it would make them more likely.

Labor voters were divided over voting for a party that changed leaders (28% more likely/30% less likely) while Liberal National voters were much less likely to support them (23% more likely/37% less likely).

Best leader of the Liberal Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2014 Aug 2015 Mar 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017 Aug 2017 Dec 2017 Apr 2018
Malcolm Turnbull 28% 22% 51% 13% 9% 31% 24% 39% 21% 20% 25% 21% 24%
Tony Abbott 10% 9% 11% 5% 18% 18% 18% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10% 11%
Julie Bishop 16% 16% 14% 29% 17% 4% 17% 12% 20% 17% 20% 19% 17%
Christopher Pyne 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Scott Morrison 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Peter Dutton 5% 2% 7% 10% 2% 3% 4% 3%
Someone else 14% 22% 3% 27% 24% 19% 13% 15% 18% 18% 13% 15% 14%
Don’t know 24% 24% 11% 23% 16% 21% 22% 21% 25% 28% 25% 27% 27%

 

28% (up 4% since April) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 16% prefer Julie Bishop (down 1%) and 10% prefer Tony Abbott (down 1%). 14% (no change) prefer someone else.

Among Liberal/National voters, 51% (up 6%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 14% (up 1%) Julie Bishop and 11% (down 6%) prefer Tony Abbott.

Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 30% (+2%), Julie Bishop 13% (-3%) and Tony Abbott 13% (-).

Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 26% (+5%), Julie Bishop 18% (+1%) and Tony Abbott 6% (-3%).

Best leader of the Labor Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017 Aug 2017
Bill Shorten 19%   37% 12% 18% 7%   16% 13% 15% 27% 17% 21% 20%
Anthony Albanese 19%   17% 27% 14% 20%   12% 14% 14% 11% 12% 11% 13%
Tanya Plibersek 12%   13% 10% 28% 9%   13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 13% 13%
Chris Bowen 3%   3% 3% 3% 3%   5% 3% 7% 3% 4% 3% 4%
Tony Burke 2%   3% 2% 1% 4%   2% 2% 3%
Someone else 13%   5% 17% 12% 28%   18% 17% 18% 17% 18% 16% 13%
Don’t know 31%   22% 29% 23% 27%   36% 38% 32% 30% 32% 35% 34%

 

19% (down 1% since August) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 19% (up 6%) prefer Anthony Albanese and 12% (down 1%) Tanya Plibersek. 13% prefer someone else and 31% don’t know.

Among Labor voters, 37% (up 3%) prefer Bill Shorten, 17% (up 2%) Anthony Albanese and 13% (down 2%) Tanya Plibersek.

Preferences of men were Bill Shorten 21% (-2%), Anthony Albanese 24% (+7%) and Tanya Plibersek 12% (+1%).

Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 17% (-), Anthony Albanese 14% (+4%) and Tanya Plibersek 12% (-2%).

Federal voting intention

Jul 16, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago

3/718

4 weeks ago 19/6/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 37%   36% 35%    
National 4%   4% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 40%   40% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 35%   34.7%
Greens 10%   11% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1%   1% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 7%    
Other/Independent 6%   5% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 49%   48% 48%   50.4%
Labor 51%   52% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Coal vs renewables

Jul 16, 2018

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jul 2015 Apr 2018
Governments should prioritise support for the coal industry over the renewable energy industry 16%   13% 24% 8% 22%   6% 13%
Government should prioritise support for the renewable energy industry over the coal industry 38%   48% 28% 67% 34%   50% 37%
The Government should treat both industries equally 34%   30% 42% 16% 36%   28% 35%
Don’t know 12%   9% 6% 9% 8%   15% 15%

 

 

38% (up 1% since April) of respondents agree more with the statement that the Government should prioritise support for the renewable energy industry over the coal industry and only 16% (up 3%) think they should prioritise coal over renewables. 34% (down 1%) think they should treat both industries equally.

 

Those most likely to think the Government should give priority to renewable energy were Greens voters (67%), Labor voters (48%) and respondents with university education (45%).

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