Voting if not compulsory

Aug 30, 2016

Q. If the national vote was not compulsory would you –

Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Vote yes Vote no
Definitely vote 48% 51% 51% 58% 51% 46% 51% 44% 46% 58% 54% 51%
Probably vote 24% 23% 27% 24% 22% 26% 22% 28% 24% 18% 27% 19%
Probably not vote 13% 14% 12% 11% 11% 12% 14% 13% 14% 12% 10% 14%
Definitely not vote 6% 4% 6% 1% 9% 8% 5% 9% 5% 5% 4% 11%
Not sure 8% 7% 5% 5% 8% 7% 9% 6% 11% 6% 5% 6%

If voting in the plebiscite on same-sex marriage was not compulsory, 48% say they would definitely vote, and 24% would probably vote. 19% would probably or definitely not vote.

81% of those voting “yes” would probably or definitely vote compared to 70% of those who would vote “no”.

Expectation of national vote

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Do you expect this national vote on same sex marriage will pass?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Vote yes Vote no
Yes 47%   48% 48% 58% 46%   48% 45% 53% 43% 46%   63% 24%
No 24%   22% 26% 17% 31%   28% 20% 18% 28% 23%   11% 55%
Not sure 30%   29% 26% 25% 23%   24% 35% 30% 29% 31%   26% 21%

47% believe that the vote on same-sex marriage will pass and 24% think it will not pass.

63% of those voting “yes” think it will pass but 55% of those voting “no” think it will not pass.

Decision on same sex marriage

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Do you think the issue of same sex marriage should be decided by Parliament or should there be a national vote?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015 Sep 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016   Vote yes Vote no
Should be decided by Parliament 25%   32% 21% 40% 25%   22% 21% 23% 25%   33% 17%
Should have a national vote 59%   55% 66% 48% 61%   66% 67% 66% 60%   58% 68%
Don’t know 16%   13% 13% 13% 14%   12% 12% 11% 15%   8% 15%

59% favour a national vote on same-sex marriage and 25% think the issue should be decided by Parliament.

This represents little change since this question was asked in July.

Life compared to 50 years ago

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Compared with 50 years ago, do you think life for people like you in Australia today is better, worse or about the same?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total better 45%   47% 54% 60% 27%   46% 46% 50% 42% 46%
Total worse 34%   32% 29% 25% 57%   36% 32% 27% 36% 40%
A lot better 18%   17% 26% 23% 8%   19% 18% 22% 15% 20%
A little better 27%   30% 28% 37% 19%   27% 28% 28% 27% 26%
About the same 14%   14% 14% 13% 13%   13% 15% 16% 16% 11%
A little worse 23%   22% 22% 18% 29%   24% 22% 21% 23% 25%
A lot worse 11%   10% 7% 7% 28%   12% 10% 6% 13% 15%
Don’t know 6%   7% 4% 3% 4%   4% 8% 8% 7% 3%

45% think that life for people in Australia today is better than 50 years ago and 34% think it is worse.

Those more likely to think it is better were Greens voters (60%), Liberal/National voters (54%), aged 18-34 (50%), incomes over $2,000 pw (51%) and university educated (54%).

Those more likely to think it is worse were independent and other party voters (57%), aged 55+ (40%), those who had not completed year 12 (40%) and those with incomes under $1,000 pw (40%)

Life for next generation

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Do you think life for the next generation of Australians will be better, worse or about the same compared with life today?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total better 24%   24% 29% 34% 15%   27% 22% 29% 24% 20%
Total worse 47%   46% 41% 32% 66%   45% 47% 36% 47% 55%
A lot better 6%   5% 9% 5% 5%   7% 5% 7% 7% 3%
A little better 18%   19% 20% 29% 10%   20% 17% 22% 17% 17%
About the same 22%   22% 24% 30% 17%   21% 23% 24% 21% 21%
A little worse 27%   25% 27% 24% 32%   24% 29% 23% 26% 31%
A lot worse 20%   21% 14% 8% 34%   21% 18% 13% 21% 24%
Don’t know 7%   8% 5% 4% 3%   6% 9% 11% 7% 4%

24% think that life for the next generation of Australians will be better than life today and 47% think it will be worse.

Those more likely to think it will be better were Greens voters (34%).

Those more likely to think it will be worse were aged 55+ (55%) and other/independent voters (66%).

Obstacles to women getting ahead

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Significant obstacles still make it harder for women to get ahead than men 46%   48% 41% 71% 46%   31% 60% 43% 45% 51%
Obstacles that made it harder for women to get ahead are largely gone 40%   39% 47% 20% 45%   53% 27% 42% 37% 40%
Don’t know 14%   13% 12% 9% 10%   16% 13% 15% 18% 9%

46% think significant obstacles still make it harder for women to get ahead than men and 40% think that those obstacles are largely gone.

Those most likely to think there are still significant obstacles were Greens voters (71%) and women (60%).

53% of men think those obstacles are largely gone.

Too soft or too tough on asylum seekers

Aug 30, 2016

Q. Do you think the Federal Liberal/National Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct  2010 Jul 2012 Jan 2014 Jul 2014 Apr 2015 Nov 2016
Too tough 21%   29% 9% 59% 15%   7% 12% 22% 27% 22% 25%
Too soft 29%   26% 29% 13% 42%   63% 60% 25% 18% 27% 29%
Taking the right approach 31%   23% 52% 13% 23%   18% 11% 35% 36% 34% 31%
Don’t know 19%   22% 10% 15% 20%   12% 17% 18% 18% 17% 15%

29% (no change since November) think the Government is too soft on asylum seekers, 21% (down 4%) think they are too tough and 31% (no change) think they are taking the right approach.

Those most likely to think they are taking the right approach were Liberal/National voters (52%) and aged 65+ (46%).

Conditions for asylum seekers

Aug 30, 2016

Q. As far as you know, are the conditions in which asylum seekers are kept on Nauru and Manus Island good or poor?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Feb 2016
Total good 28%   27% 36% 9% 35%   34%
Total poor 46%   54% 35% 74% 42%   40%
Very good 8%   7% 9% 4% 11%   9%
Good 20%   20% 27% 5% 24%   25%
Poor 23%   25% 24% 14% 21%   20%
Very poor 23%   29% 11% 60% 21%   20%
Don’t know 26%   19% 28% 17% 22%   25%

28% (down 6% since February) think that the conditions in which asylum seekers are kept on Nauru and Manus Island are good and 46% (up 6%) think they are poor.

36% of Liberal/National voters think the conditions are good while 74% of Greens voters and 54% of Labor voters think they are poor.

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