Federal voting intention

Jan 24, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   5 weeks ago 20/12/16   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   34%    
National 3%   2%    
Total Liberal/National 35%   37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 9%   8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6%   13.1%
2 party preferred          
Liberal National 46%   47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53%   49.6%
  1. Sample = 1,813. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Australia Day

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Thursday 26th January is Australia Day. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jan 2010 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016
Doing something to celebrate Australia Day 34%   35% 38% 26% 33%   40% 41% 37% 40% 38%
Just a public holiday 46%   46% 47% 59% 44%   40% 43% 44% 41% 44%
Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday 5%   5% 2% 55 8%   6% 7% 7% 7% 6%
Don’t know 15%   14% 13% 11% 16%   14% 9% 11% 12% 12%

 

 

34% said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 46% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 5% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. This is the lowest proportion celebrating Australia Day over the last 7 years.

 

38% of Liberal/National voters and 41% of those with children say they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day. 59% of Greens treat it as just another public holiday.

Feelings about Australia Day

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Which of the following best describes how you feel about Australia Day?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Jan 2016
A day of national pride 60%   61% 73% 26% 65% 55% 60% 65% 56%
A day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people 12%   12% 4% 46% 9% 15% 14% 8% 14%
It’s irrelevant in the 21st century 7% 5% 85 6% 12% 6% 7% 9% 8%
None of these 15% 16% 11% 17% 13% 14% 14% 16% 16%
Don’t know 6%   5% 4% 5% 2% 10% 5% 2% 6%

 

60% regard Australia Day as a day of national pride and 12% think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people. Only 7% think it is irrelevant.

 

Those most likely to regard it as a day of national pride were Liberal/National voters (73%) and aged 55+ (65%). 46% of Greens voters think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people.

Republic

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total support 44%   50% 41% 52% 43%
Total oppose 30%   24% 41% 18% 38%
Strongly support 21%   29% 14% 30% 23%
Support 23%   21% 27% 22% 20%
Oppose 18%   14% 27% 12% 20%
Strongly oppose 12%   10% 14% 6% 18%
No opinion 26%   26% 18% 31% 19%

 44% support Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state and 30% oppose. 26% have no opinion.

Those most likely to support were Labor voters (50%), Greens voters (52%), men (53%) and university educated (52%).

Those most likely to oppose were Liberal/National voters (41%) and aged 65+ (44%).

Trust in Institutions

Jan 24, 2017

Q. How much trust do you have in the following institutions and organisations?

  Total

trust

  A lot of trust Some trust A little trust No trust Don’t know % change   Total trust Jun 12 Total trust Mar 13 Total trust Jul 14 Total trust Oct 15 Total trust Sep 16
Federal police 69% 29% 40% 19% 7% 5% +6 67% 63%
State police 67% 25% 42% 23% 6% 4% +4 68% 63%
The High Court 62%   23% 39% 23% 8% 6% +5   60% 74% 57% 60% 57%
The ABC 53%   15% 38% 26% 12% 9%   54% 70% 54% 55% 53%
The Reserve Bank 51%   15% 36% 31% 10% 8% +4   49% 64% 52% 51% 47%
Charitable organisations 45%   8% 37% 36% 14% 5% +2   50% 52% 45% 49% 43%
Environment groups 39%   8% 31% 34% 21% 7%   32% 41% 31% 42% 39%
Your local council 38%   5% 33% 37% 19% 5% +2   34% 33% 40% 36%
The Commonwealth Public Service 36%   5% 31% 37% 16% 10%   30% 36% 31% 38% 36%
State Parliament 31%   5% 26% 32% 31% 6% +5   30% 24% 32% 26%
Federal Parliament 30%   5% 25% 32% 33% 6% +4   22% 34% 25% 32% 26%
Religious organisations 28%   5% 23% 27% 38% 6% +2   27% 27% 26% 30% 26%
Trade unions 27%   5% 22% 30% 34% 9% +2   22% 25% 22% 27% 25%
Business groups 27%   3% 24% 44% 23% 7%   22% 26% 22% 30% 27%
Political parties 17% 3% 14% 34% 44% 6% +3 12% 12% 13% 16% 14%

Note: ‘Total Trust’ is an aggregate figure achieved by adding ‘A lot of trust’ and ‘Some trust’

 

Overall, trust in institutions has increased a little since this question was asked last September.

Respondents had most trust in the Federal police (69%), State police (67%), the High Court (62%), the ABC (53%) and the Reserve Bank (51%). They had least trust in political parties (17%), business groups (27%), trade unions (27%) and religious organisations (28%).

The main changes since the last poll were for Federal Police (up 6%), the High Courts (up 5%) and State Parliament (up 5%).

Centrelink debt recovery

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Centrelink is currently conducting a debt recovery program in which welfare recipients are being automatically sent notifications regarding possible over payments. From what you have read or heard do you approve of disapprove of the way this program has been conducted?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 36%   34% 49% 24% 30%
Total disapprove 48%   53% 38% 63% 58%
Strongly approve 13%   11% 20% 8% 13%
Approve 23%   23% 29% 16% 17%
Disapprove 19%   17% 19% 16% 24%
Strongly disapprove 29%   36% 19% 47% 34%
No opinion 16%   13% 13% 12% 12%

 

36% approve of the way the Centrelink debt recovery program has been conducted and 48% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (49%), men (43%), full-time workers (45%) and those earning over $2,000 a week (45%).

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (63%), aged 65+ (61%), people not working (58%) and those earning less than $600 a week (60%).

Centrelink debt recovery vs politicians’ entitlements

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Which of the following issues are you more concerned about – over payments to welfare recipients or how politicians use their travel expenses?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Over payments to welfare recipients 8%   5% 14% 10% 7%
Politicians travel expenses 46%   52% 35% 60% 50%
Both equally 40%   38% 48% 29% 40%
Neither 2%   3% 1% 1%
Don’t know 4%   2% 2% 1% 2%

 46% are more concerned about how politicians use their travel expenses than over payments to welfare recipients and 40% are equally concerned about both. Only 8% are more concerned about over payments to welfare recipients.

Those most concerned about how politicians use their travel expenses were Labor voters (52%), Greens voters (60%) and aged 18-34 (51%).

Politicians’ expenses

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Which of the following political expenses should politicians be reimbursed for?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015
Travel for events directly related to their electoral or parliamentary work (unlimited if work related) 68%   68% 78% 69% 67%   64%
Printing of materials to inform their electorate 54%   57% 60% 51% 50%   62%
Overseas study trips (a limited number per year) 35%   35% 45% 36% 32%   34%
Publications allowance (for books and magazines) 34%   35% 37% 36% 33%   38%
Free use of a taxpayer funded car 22%   21% 31% 19% 19%   29%
An electorate allowance that covers the cost of serving the electorate, which MP’s can keep if it is not spent 20%   19% 23% 19% 24%   21%
An allowance for nights spent in Canberra, regardless of where the MP stays 19%   19% 23% 17% 22%   26%
Social events for networking purposes 18%   205 21% 11% 16%   17%
Travel for politicians families to visit them in Canberra or interstate when they are on Government business 15%   15% 18% 14% 15%   16%
Travel for politicians spouses to accompany them on overseas trips 13%   13% 20% 13% 6%   15%

More than half approve of reimbursing politicians for travel for events directly related to their electoral or parliamentary work (68%) and printing of materials to inform their electorate (54%). A substantial minority also approve a publications allowance (34%) and limited overseas study trips (35%).

Very few supported funding for travel for spouses to accompany them on overseas trips (13%) or family travel within Australia (15%).

Since this question was asked in August 2015, support has fallen for printing of materials (down 8%), taxpayer funded car (down 7%) and allowance for spending nights in Canberra (down 7%).

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