Federal voting intention

Apr 26, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 18/4/17 2 weeks ago 11/4/17 4 weeks ago 28/3/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   33% 35% 32%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   36% 37% 35%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 4%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 6%   7% 6% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   46% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 53%   54% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,809. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Changes to 457 visas

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Under 457 visas, businesses could employ foreign workers for up to 4 years in more than 650 occupations. The Federal Government is proposing to replace the 457 visas with new visas which are more restrictive and reduce the number of occupations that foreign workers can apply for. Do you think these changes –

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Go too far in regulating foreign workers 16%   22% 12% 27% 11%
Don’t go far enough in regulating foreign workers 28%   27% 30% 21% 42%
Are about right 39%   34% 47% 35% 36%
Don’t know 17%   17% 11% 17% 11%

39% think that the proposed changes to the 457 visa program are about right.

Those most likely to think the changes are about right were Liberal/National voters (47%) and those aged 55-64 (45%).

Those most likely to think the changes go too far are those aged 18-24 (34%) and Greens voters (27%).

Those most likely to think changes do not go far enough were those aged 65+ (43%), other party/independent voters (42%) and those earning less than $31,200 per year (40%).

Importance of issues

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Please rank the following issues in order of importance from 1 to 4 where 1 is the most important, 2 the second most important, etc.

Most important issue Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Restricting Australian businesses’ use of foreign workers 26%   26% 24% 29% 25%
Protecting local industries from cheap imports 22%   23% 21% 20% 22%
Making companies pay tax in Australia by preventing them from shifting profits offshore 14%   14% 15% 12% 14%
Enforcing local content rules on Australian projects 38%   37% 40% 39% 38%

 

38% think that enforcing local content rules on Australian projects is the most important issue. Those most likely to think this were those earning less than $31,200 (45%).

Those most likely to think that restricting Australian businesses’ use of foreign workers is the most important issue were South Australians (34%) and those aged 65+ (30%).

Permanent residency changes

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Under the 457 visa system, visa holders could be eligible for permanent residency after 2 years. Under the new visa system, those on 4-year visas with high level skills will be eligible for permanent residency after 3 years. Do you approve or disapprove of allowing workers on visas to apply for permanent residency? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 59%   60% 68% 65% 48%
Total disapprove 23%   23% 21% 16% 35%
Strongly approve 13%   17% 13% 18% 5%
Approve 46%   43% 55% 47% 43%
Disapprove 13%   13% 14% 10% 16%
Strongly disapprove 10%   10% 7% 6% 19%
Don’t know 18%   16% 11% 20% 17%

 

59% approve of allowing workers on visas to apply for permanent residency, and 23% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (68%) and those aged 18-24 (66%).

Those most likely to disapprove were those aged 65+ (36%) other party/independent voters (35%).

Permanent residency probationary visa

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Do you agree or disagree that people applying for permanent residency in Australia should be first put on a probationary visa before being granted citizenship?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total agree 78%   79% 84% 62% 87%
Total disagree 10%   10% 9% 22% 6%
Strongly agree 37%   34% 43% 22% 51%
Agree 41%   45% 41% 40% 36%
Disagree 6%   7% 7% 11% 1%
Strongly disagree 4%   3% 2% 11% 5%
Don’t know 12%   11% 8% 16% 7%

 

78% agree with putting people applying for permanent residency on a probationary visa, and 10% disagree.

Those most likely to agree were those aged 65+ (89%), those voting other party/independent (87%) and those voting Liberal/National (84%).

Those most likely to disagree were those voting Greens (27%) and those aged 25-34 (17%).

Tony Abbott

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott should –

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2016
Stay in Parliament on the backbench 17%   17% 22% 10% 20%   21%
Stay in Parliament and be given a Ministry 17%   8% 27% 14% 21%   25%
Resign from Parliament 40%   54% 31% 57% 32%   37%
Don’t know 26%   21% 20% 18% 26%   17%

 

40% think that Tony Abbott should resign from parliament, a slight increase from 37% when this question was last asked in August 2016.

Those most likely to think that Tony Abbott should resign were those voting Greens (57%) and Labor (54%), and South Australians (54%).

49% of Liberal/National voters think that Tony Abbott should stay in parliament, whether in the ministry or on the backbench, while 31% think that he should resign.

Government responsibilities

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Which of the following should be mainly the responsibility of the Federal Government and which should be mainly the responsibility of the State Governments – or should they have equal responsibility?

  Mainly Federal Mainly State Both

equally

Don’t know
Constructing new roads and highways 17% 29% 44% 10%
Investing in public transport 10% 45% 36% 8%
Improving the health system 36% 11% 47% 7%
Improving the education system 30% 14% 48% 7%
Managing mining projects and mining profits 35% 19% 34% 11%
Investing in regional areas 16% 33% 42% 8%
Managing the environment 28% 11% 53% 8%
Managing our water resources 21% 18% 52% 8%
Addressing climate change 35% 6% 48% 11%
Industrial relations issues 36% 14% 40% 10%
Reliable and affordable electricity and gas supply 27% 17% 48% 8%
Housing affordability 25% 18% 49% 9%

45% think that investing in public transport is mainly the responsibility of state governments, and 35% think that managing mining projects and mining profits is mainly the responsibility of the federal government. For all other responsibilities, the largest proportion think that responsibility should be shared equally between state and federal government.

Voting behaviour

Apr 26, 2017

Q. Thinking about your voting in Federal and State elections, which of the following parties have you voted for over the last 10 years?

  Total   Liberal Nation-al Labor Greens One Nation PUP Nick Xeno-phon Team Family First Other party Indep-endent
Liberal or National Party 48%   100% 27% 26% 52% 61% 53% 44% 37% 47%
Labor Party 47%   26% 100% 58% 43% 52% 55% 49% 60% 57%
The Greens 18%   10% 22% 100% 16% 21% 30% 43% 33% 32%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   9% 8% 7% 100% 47% 6% 13% 20% 14%
Palmer United Party 1%   2% 1% 2% 7% 100% 4% 9% 6% 3%
Nick Xenophon Team 5%   5% 5% 8% 3% 15% 100% 27% 5% 10%
Family First 3%   3% 3% 8% 5% 22% 19% 100% 7% 7%
Some other minor party 3%   3% 4% 6% 8% 17% 4% 7% 100% 12%
An independent 11%   11% 13% 19% 19% 22% 24% 23% 39% 100%
Not sure 7%  

 

48% of voters said they had voted Liberal/National in the past 10 years, 47% have voted Labor and 18% for the Greens.

13% of voters have voted for both Labor and Liberal/National in last 10 years.

29% have only voted Liberal/National, 23% have only voted Labor and 5% have only voted Greens

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