Approval of changes to negative gearing

May 3, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of changing negative gearing so that, for future purchases, investors can only claim tax deductions for investments in newly built homes? 

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Feb 2016 March 2016
Total approve 36% 42% 36% 40% 33% 37% 35%
Total disapprove 38% 30% 52% 31% 41% 32% 39%
Strongly approve 11% 16% 8% 11% 13% 19% 10%
Approve 25% 26% 28% 29% 20% 18% 25%
Disapprove 21% 19% 25% 20% 25% 18% 25%
Strongly disapprove 17% 11% 27% 11% 16% 14% 14%
Don’t know 26% 28% 12% 29% 26% 31% 26%

36% approve of changing negative gearing so that, for future purchases, investors can only claim tax deductions for investments in newly built homes and 38% disapprove. This is a similar result to when this question was asked in March.

Those most likely to approve were Labor voters (42%) and men (46%).

Impact on house prices

May 3, 2016

Q. What do you think would be the impact on house prices of limiting negative gearing?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
House prices would fall 24% 22% 34% 18% 23%
House prices would continue to rise but at a slower rate 31% 33% 31% 37% 32%
House prices would continue to rise at the same rate 13% 11% 14% 13% 18%
Don’t know 31% 34% 21% 32% 27%

31% think that limiting negative gearing would mean house prices would continue to rise but at a slower rate. 24% think house prices would fall. Only 13% think it would have no impact on house prices.

34% of Liberal/National voters think house process would fall compared to 22% of Labor voters and 18% of Greens voters.

Attributes of Malcolm Turnbull

May 3, 2016

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull?

Total Mar 2016 Difference
Intelligent 77% 79% -2
Hard-working 65% 68% -3
A capable leader 59% 64% -5
Out of touch with ordinary people 56% 53% +3
Understands the problems facing Australia 52% 53% -1
Good in a crisis 49% 52% -3
Arrogant 46% 45% +1
Superficial 46% 43% +3
Narrow-minded 41% 33% +8
Visionary 41% 44% -3
Trustworthy 40% 44% -4
More honest than most politicians 39% 41% -2
Erratic 34% 27% +7
Intolerant 34% 26% +8
Aggressive 28% 24% +4

Malcolm Turnbull’s key attributes were intelligent (77%), hard working (65%), a capable leader (59%) and out of touch with ordinary people (56%).

Since March, the main changes have been for narrow-minded (up 8%), intolerant (up 8%), erratic (up 7%) and a capable leader (down 5%).

Leader attributes – Bill Shorten

May 3, 2016

Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?

Total Mar 2016 Change
Hard working 62% 60% +2
Intelligent 60% 56% +4
Understands the problems facing Australia 50% 47% +3
Out of touch with ordinary people 44% 45% -1
Superficial 43% 45% -2
A capable leader 41% 34% +7
Narrow-minded 40% 41% -1
Arrogant 38% 41% -3
Erratic 37% 40% -3
Good in a crisis 34% 32% +2
Trustworthy 33% 31% +2
Aggressive 33% 34% -1
Intolerant 31% 32% -1
Visionary 29% 27% +2
More honest than most politicians 26% 25% +1

Bill Shorten’s key attributes were hard working (62%), intelligent (60%) and understands the problems facing Australia (50%).

Since March there has been a 7% increase in “a capable leader”.

Leader attributes – comparisons

May 3, 2016
Malcolm Turnbull Bill Shorten Difference
A capable leader 59% 41% +18
Intelligent 77% 60% +17
Good in a crisis 49% 34% +15
More honest than most politicians 39% 26% +13
Out of touch with ordinary people 56% 44% +12
Visionary 41% 29% +12
Arrogant 46% 38% +8
Trustworthy 40% 33% +7
Hard-working 65% 62% +3
Superficial 46% 43% +3
Intolerant 34% 31% +3
Understands the problems facing Australia 52% 50% +2
Narrow-minded 41% 40% +1
Erratic 34% 37% -3
Aggressive 28% 33% -5

Compared to Bill Shorten, Malcolm Turnbull is more likely to be considered a capable leader (+18%), intelligent (+17%) and good in a crisis (+15%) – although these margins have dropped considerably since March.

Federal voting intention

Apr 27, 2016

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

19/4/16

2 weeks ago

12/4/16

4 weeks ago

29/3/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 36%   38% 39% 39%    
National 4%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 40%   42% 42% 43%   45.6%
Labor 39%   36% 35% 38%   33.4%
Greens 10%   11% 11% 9%   8.6%
Palmer United Party 1%   1% 1% 1%   5.5%
Other/Independent 11%   10% 10% 10%   6.9%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   50% 50% 50%   53.5%
Labor 52%   50% 50% 50%   46.5%

NB: Sample = 1,740. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Apr 27, 2016

Q. The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has said he will call an early double dissolution election because the Senate has not passed legislation to re-establish the Australian Building and Construction Commission.

Do you approve or disapprove of Malcolm Turnbull calling an early double dissolution election?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   2 weeks ago
Total approve 40%   32% 62% 38% 31%   39%
Total disapprove 28%   38% 15% 45% 32%   24%
Strongly approve 11%   10% 17% 7% 8%   13%
Approve 29%   22% 45% 31% 23%   26%
Disapprove 18%   23% 13% 30% 17%   16%
Strongly disapprove 10%   15% 2% 15% 15%   8%
Don’t know 32%   30% 22% 18% 38%   36%

40% approve of Malcolm Turnbull calling an early double dissolution election and 28% disapprove.

62% of Liberal/National voters approve while other voters are divided. Labor voters (38%) and Greens voters (45%) are a little more likely to disapprove.

There has been little change in opinions about a double dissolution in the last two weeks.

Most likely to win election

Apr 27, 2016

Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Liberal/National 42%   20% 81% 32% 34%
Labor 28%   58% 6% 33% 16%
Don’t know 29%   22% 13% 35% 50%

42% think the Liberal/National Party are most likely to win the next election and 28% think the Labor Party are most likely to win. 29% could not give an opinion.

81% of Liberal/National voters think their party is most likely to win and 58% of Labor voters think Labor is most likely to win.

Greens voters are evenly divided.

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