Trust most to handle the economy

Apr 5, 2016

Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Scott Morrison or the Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2015 Jan 2016
Scott Morrison 26%   10% 55% 9% 11%   27% 26%
Chris Bowen 23%   45% 8% 34% 19%   18% 19%
Don’t know 51%   44% 37% 57% 70%   56% 55%

26% have more trust in Scott Morrison to handle Australia’s economy and 23% have more trust in Chris Bowen. 51% don’t know who they would trust more. This represents a small improvement for Chris Bowen since January.

Job security

Apr 5, 2016

Q. In the next two years, do you expect your job to be more secure, less secure or about the same?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Work full time Work part time Oct 2014 Sep 2015
More Secure 14%   14% 15% 10% 10% 13% 14% 14% 7%
Less secure 27%   40% 20% 40% 35% 28% 29% 31% 28%
Much more secure 5%   5% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2%
Somewhat more secure 9%   9% 10% 6% 8% 8% 11% 9% 5%
About the same 49%   40% 63% 45% 45% 51% 52% 50% 50%
Somewhat less secure 19%   24% 15% 23% 17% 17% 18% 17% 16%
Much less secure 12%   16% 5% 17% 18% 11% 11% 14% 12%
Don’t know 7%   6% 2% 5% 9% 7% 5% 4% 15%

 

14% of respondents (up 7% since September) feel that their job will become more secure over the next two years. 27% (down 1%) feel it will become less secure while the largest proportion (49%) feel it will stay about the same. Liberal/National voters were more likely to say their job security would be about the same (63%).

State voting intention – NSW

Apr 4, 2016

If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Mar 2015

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

  January February March
Sample 3,205 3,220 904 1,165 1,151
First preference vote  
Liberal/National 45.6% 48% 47% 47% 46% 49%
Labor 34.1% 33% 34% 34% 34% 33%
Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 10.0% 10% 10% 9% 11% 9%
 
2PP  
Liberal/National 54.3% 56% 56% 55% 55% 57%
Labor 45.7% 44% 44% 45% 45% 43%

 

State voting intention – Victoria

Apr 4, 2016

If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Nov 2014

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

  January February March
Sample 2,402 2,383 657 886 840
First preference vote                
Liberal/National 42.0% 40% 41% 40% 43% 41%
Labor 38.1% 38% 38% 39% 37% 39%
Greens 11.5% 13% 13% 12% 13% 13%
Other/Independent 8.4% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8%
 
2PP                
Liberal/National 48.0% 47% 47% 46% 48% 47%
Labor 52.0% 53% 53% 54% 52% 53%

 

State voting intention – Queensland

Apr 4, 2016

If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Jan 2015

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

  January February March
Sample 1,873 1,893 526 673 694
First preference vote                
LNP 41.3% 42% 40% 39% 40% 40%
Labor 37.5% 39% 40% 40% 38% 41%
Greens 8.4% 8% 9% 8% 10% 8%
Palmer United Party 5.1%  
Katter Party 1.9% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 5.8% 8% 10% 12% 9% 8%
 
2PP                
LNP 48.9% 50% 48% 47% 48% 47%
Labor 51.1% 50% 52% 53% 52% 53%

State voting intention – South Australia

Apr 4, 2016

If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Mar 2014

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

Sample 797 803
First preference vote  
Liberal 44.8% 32% 29%
Labor 35.8% 39% 37%
Greens 8.7% 10% 9%
Nick Xenophon Team 15%
Other/Independent 10.7% 19% 10%
   
2PP  
Liberal 53.0% 46% 46%
Labor 47.0% 54% 54%

State voting intention – Western Australia

Apr 4, 2016

If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Mar 2013

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

Sample 946 931
First preference vote        
Liberal 47.1% 37% 40%
National 6.1% 6% 4%
Labor 33.1% 35% 34%
Greens 8.4% 12% 12%
Other/Independent 5.3% 10% 10%
 
2PP        
Liberal/National 57.3% 51% 52%
Labor 42.7% 49% 48%

Federal voting intention

Mar 30, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

22/3/16

2 weeks ago

15/3/16

4 weeks ago

1/3/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 39%   40% 39% 40%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 43%   43% 42% 43%   45.6%
Labor 38%   38% 36% 38%   33.4%
Greens 9%   10% 11% 10%   8.6%
Palmer United Party 1%   1% 1% 1%   5.5%
Other/Independent 10%   9% 9% 8%   6.9%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 50%   50% 50% 50%   53.5%
Labor 50%   50% 50% 50%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,779. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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