Same-sex marriage

Aug 22, 2017

 Q. Do you support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Will

def-initely vote

Will prob-ably vote Will not vote
Yes 57% 71% 49% 69% 43% 48% 65% 65% 56% 50% 67% 57% 22%
No 32% 20% 42% 17% 49% 40% 24% 25% 30% 42% 30% 29% 59%
Don’t know 11% 9% 10% 14% 8% 12% 11% 10% 14% 8% 3% 15% 19%

 

57% support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry and 32% are opposed.

Those most in favour of changing the marriage laws are Labor voters (71%), Greens voters (69%), women (65%) and those aged 18-34 (65%).

Those who would definitely vote in the national survey are more likely to support same-sex marriage (67%).

A somewhat differently worded question asked in July showed 61% support for allowing same-sex couples to marry, 26% opposed and 13% don’t know.

National vote on same-sex marriage

Aug 22, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s decision to hold a national voluntary postal vote on the issue of same-sex marriage?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Total approve 39%   37% 48% 31% 30%   41% 36% 41% 35% 39%   41% 39%
Total disapprove 49%   53% 42% 56% 61%   46% 53% 44% 52% 53%   50% 54%
Strongly approve 13%   13% 16% 7% 8%   14% 11% 14% 11% 12%   15% 12%
Approve 26%   24% 32% 24% 22%   27% 25% 27% 24% 27%   26% 27%
Disapprove 21%   23% 21% 20% 20%   18% 24% 24% 22% 17%   21% 22%
Strongly disapprove 28%   30% 21% 36% 41%   28% 29% 20% 30% 36%   29% 32%
Don’t know 12%   11% 9% 14% 9%   13% 11% 15% 13% 8%   9% 7%

 

 

39% approve of the Government’s decision to hold a national voluntary postal vote on the issue of same-sex marriage and 49% disapprove.

These figures are very similar to the results of a similar question asked last week (39% approve/47% disapprove).

Those most likely to disapprove were Labor voters (53%) and Greens voters (56%).

Younger people were less likely to disapprove of the national vote than older people.

There was little difference between those who support and oppose same sex marriage in terms of approval of the national vote.

Enrolled to vote

Aug 22, 2017

Q. Are you enrolled to vote at your current address?

  Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Yes 88%   86% 91% 79% 91% 96%   92% 86%
No 7%   7% 7% 10% 7% 2%   5% 9%
Not sure 5%   8% 2% 11% 2% 2%   2% 5%

 

88% say they are enrolled to vote at their current address, 7% are not enrolled and 5% are not sure.

79% of those aged 18-34 say they are enrolled compared to 96% of those aged 55+.

Those who support same-sex marriage are a little more likely to be enrolled than those who are opposed (92% compared to 86%).

Likelihood of voting

Aug 22, 2017

Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Total will vote 81%   84% 84% 89% 81%   78% 84% 78% 79% 87%   92% 74%
Total will not vote 10%   8% 10% 4% 12%   12% 10% 11% 12% 7%   4% 19%
Will definitely vote 63%   63% 70% 57% 65%   59% 67% 55% 63% 72%   74% 58%
Will probably vote 18%   21% 14% 32% 16%   19% 17% 23% 16% 15%   18% 16%
Will probably not vote 4%   4% 3% 1% 7%   5% 4% 7% 4% 2%   2% 7%
Will definitely not vote 6%   4% 7% 3% 5%   7% 6% 4% 8% 5%   2% 12%
Not sure 9%   8% 6% 7% 8%   10% 7% 10% 9% 6%   4% 7%

 

63% say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 18% will probably vote.

A similar question asked in August 2016 showed – Definitely vote 48%, Probably vote 24%, Probably not vote 13%, Definitely not vote 6%, Not sure 8%.

Those most likely to definitely vote are Liberal/National voters (70%), women (67%) and aged 55+ (72%).

74% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 58% of those opposed.

Threats to global stability

Aug 22, 2017

Q. Which of the following do you think is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   April 2017
Terrorism 52%   50% 61% 31% 54%   49%
North Korea aggression 14%   15% 16% 8% 15%   na
Climate change 13%   15% 9% 24% 13%   11%
US aggression 9%   10% 7% 23% 8%   15%
China aggression 2%   1% 1% 2% 4%   5%
Russian aggression 1%   1% 2% 2% 1%   8%
Don’t know 8%   8% 4% 10% 5%   11%

 

52% think that terrorism is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace, 14% think the biggest threat is North Korea aggression and 13% climate change.

Terrorism was thought to be the biggest threat by a majority of Liberal/National voters (61%).

Support US

Aug 22, 2017

Q. If the US becomes involved in a war with North Korea, should Australia commit military support to the US?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Should commit military support 35%   34% 45% 18% 39%
Should not commit military support 38%   43% 32% 57% 38%
Don’t know 26%   23% 23% 25% 23%

 

35% think that Australia should commit military support if the US becomes involved in a war with North Korea, 38% think they should not and 26% don’t know.

Those most in favour of committing military support were Liberal/National voters (45%), men (43%) and aged 65+ (50%).

Decision on declaration of war

Aug 22, 2017

Q. Should the decision about whether or not to declare war be made by the Prime Minister or should it be debated and voted on by Parliament?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Should be made by Prime Minister 22%   17% 33% 13% 21%
Should be voted on by Parliament 61%   68% 56% 71% 63%
Don’t know 17%   16% 11% 16% 17%

 

61% believe that the decision about whether or not to declare war should it be debated and voted on by Parliament and 22% think it should be made by the Prime Minister.

Those most likely to favour a vote in Parliament were aged 65+ (72%), Greens voters (71%) and Labor voters (68%).

Federal voting intention

Aug 15, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 8/8/17 2 weeks ago 1/8/17 4 weeks ago 18/7/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   34% 36% 33%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 38% 36%   42.0%
Labor 39%   39% 36% 38%   34.7%
Greens 9%   9% 10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   3% 4% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 7%    
Other/Independent 6%   5% 4% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 48% 46%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 52% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,815. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Pages:«12345678...414»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.