Voting

Apr 27, 2016

Q. When it comes to voting in the next Federal election, which of the following is closest to your view

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
I will vote for the party that I want to lead Australia 67%   73% 81% 57% 53%
I will vote against the party I don’t want to lead Australia 21%   22% 16% 38% 27%
Don’t know 13%   5% 3% 5% 20%

67% say that they will vote for the party that they want to lead Australia and 21% will vote against the party they don’t want to lead Australia.

38% of Greens voters say they are more likely to be voting against the party they don’t want to lead Australia.

Malcolm Turnbull

Apr 27, 2016

Q. Has the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leader of the Liberal Party made you more or less likely to support the Liberal National Coalition at the next federal election?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015
Total more likely 35%   24% 55% 42% 21%   34%
Total less likely 23%   31% 14% 20% 35%   14%
Much more likely 11%   7% 20% 5% 7%   15%
A little more likely 24%   17% 35% 37% 14%   19%
A little less likely 9%   8% 10% 7% 11%   5%
Much less likely 14%   23% 4% 13% 24%   9%
Makes no difference 35%   40% 28% 35% 40%   43%
Don’t know 8%   5% 2% 4% 4%   11%

 

 

35% say they are more likely to support the Liberal National Coalition since the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leaders and 23% say they are less likely. 35% say it makes no difference.

 

Since this question was asked last year, those saying “less likely” has increased from 14% to 23%.

Budget measures

Apr 27, 2016

Q: Would you support or oppose the following measures being included in the Federal Budget?

  Total support Total oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
Tighten tax exemptions for capital gains tax 52% 19%   19% 33% 14% 5% 29%
Limit negative gearing 48% 24%   17% 31% 17% 7% 27%
Reduce superannuation tax concessions for high earners 60% 22%   27% 33% 14% 8% 18%
Increase tax on cigarettes 67% 21%   36% 31% 11% 10% 13%
Cut corporate tax 22% 57%   6% 16% 28% 29% 21%
Cut personal income tax 63% 19%   23% 40% 15% 4% 17%
Increase funding to health 83% 7%   47% 36% 5% 2% 10%
Increase funding to education 80% 10%   42% 38% 7% 3% 11%

 

The most supported budget measures were increasing funding to health (83%), increasing funding to education (80%) and increasing tax on cigarettes (67%). A majority (57%) opposed cutting corporate tax.

Labor voters were more likely to support tightening tax exemptions for capital gains (58%) and limiting negative gearing (55%).

Liberal/National voters were more likely to support increasing tax on cigarettes (75%), cutting corporate taxes (31%) and cutting personal income tax (76%).

United Nations Secretary General

Apr 27, 2016

Q: The former Prime Minister of New Zealand, Helen Clark, has said she will run for the position of Secretary General of the United Nations. Former Australian Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, may also run. Who do you think would be the better Secretary General of the UN, Helen Clark or Kevin Rudd?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Helen Clark 45%   36% 55% 56% 52%
Kevin Rudd 21%   34% 17% 12% 14%
Don’t know 34%   30% 28% 32% 34%

45% think that Helen Clark would be a better Secretary General of the UN and 21% think Kevin Rudd would be better. Most voter groups strongly supported Helen Clark while Labor voters were divided – 36% preferring Helen Clark and 34% favouring Kevin Rudd.

61% of those aged 55+ prefer Helen Clark.

Corruption

Apr 27, 2016

Q. For each of the following Australian industries and organisations, please indicate how affected by corruption you think they are:

  Widespread corruption Some corruption Very little corruption Don’t know
Building industry 36% 40% 9% 16%
Unions 35% 40% 11% 14%
Banking and finance sector 25% 40% 20% 15%
Politics 40% 395 8% 13%
Large corporations 34% 43% 9% 14%
Payment of tax by large corporations 53% 27% 6% 14%

53% think there is widespread corruption concerning payment of tax by large corporations. 40% think there is widespread corruption in politics and the building industry, unions and large corporations are thought to be similarly corrupt.

53% of Liberal/National voters think there is widespread corruption in unions compared to only 19% of Labor voters.

Both Labor voters (55%) and Liberal/National voters (47%) think that there is widespread corruption concerning payment of tax by large corporations.

Federal Budget

Apr 27, 2016

Q. In general, do you think the next Federal Budget, to be announced on Tuesday 3rd May will be good or bad for the following?

  Total good Total bad   Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
You personally 10% 30%   3% 7% 42% 23% 7% 18%
Average working people 13% 37%   2% 11% 31% 29% 8% 19%
Australian business 35% 14%   5% 30% 31% 11% 3% 19%
The economy over all 21% 24%   3% 18% 37% 19% 5% 19%
People who are well off 46% 10%   17% 29% 27% 8% 2% 18%
People on lower incomes 12% 46%   2% 10% 23% 29% 17% 18%
Australian families 12% 36%   3% 9% 34% 28% 8% 18%
Older Australians 10% 44%   3% 7% 28% 29% 15% 19%
Younger Australians 11% 35%   3% 8% 34% 26% 9% 20%

46% expect that the budget will be good for people who are well off and 35% think it will be good for business. Otherwise the budget is expected to be bad for most groups – especially people on low incomes (46%) and older Australians (44%).

Federal voting intention

Apr 19, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

12/4/16

2 weeks ago

5/4/16

4 weeks ago

22/3/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 38% 39% 39% 40%
National 4% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 42%   42% 42% 43%   45.6%
Labor 36%   35% 37% 38%   33.4%
Greens 11% 11% 10% 10% 8.6%
Palmer United Party 1% 1% 1% 1% 5.5%
Other/Independent 10% 10% 10% 9% 6.9%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 50% 50% 50% 50% 53.5%
Labor 50% 50% 50% 50% 46.5%

NB: Sample = 1,753. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Royal Commission into banking

Apr 19, 2016

Q. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry? (VERSION 1)

Q. The Opposition leader Bill Shorten has called for a Royal Commission into the behaviour of the banking and financial services industry. The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull says that a Royal Commission isn’t necessary because the banks are already heavily regulated. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry? (VERSION 2)

Half the sample was asked version 1 and half was asked version 2.

  Total

VERSION 1

Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Total

VERSION 2

Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total support 59% 73% 58% 53% 56%   54% 68% 41% 66% 60%
Total oppose 15% 7% 25% 7% 15%   21% 9% 38% 15% 27%
Strongly support 27% 36% 23% 28% 30% 23% 33% 14% 43% 21%
Support 32% 37% 35% 25% 26% 31% 35% 27% 23% 39%
Oppose 11% 6% 16% 7% 14% 13% 7% 19% 13% 23%
Strongly oppose 4% 1% 9% 1% 8% 2% 19% 2% 4%
Don’t know 25% 21% 16% 40% 29% 25% 22% 21% 19% 13%

There was majority support for holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector.

When asked as an unqualified question 59% supported a Royal Commission and 15% opposed. When told that the opposition had called for the Royal Commission and the Prime Minister had opposed it, 54% supported and 21% opposed. The difference was mainly due to Liberal/National voters whose support dropped from 58% to 41% when told that the Prime Minister opposed the Royal Commission.

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