Federal voting intention

Apr 19, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 11/4/17 2 weeks ago 4/4/17 4 weeks ago 21/3/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   35% 35% 31%    
National 3%   3% 2% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   37% 37% 34%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 10%    
Other/Independent 7%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   47% 47% 45%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 53% 55%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,804. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Approval of bombing Syria

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the US bombing of Syria in response to the Syrian Governments reported use of chemical weapons which killed civilians?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 41%   41% 55% 16% 41%
Total disapprove 36%   38% 26% 63% 39%
Strongly approve 14%   14% 20% 1% 15%
Approve 27%   27% 35% 15% 26%
Disapprove 21%   22% 16% 36% 21%
Strongly disapprove 15%   16% 10% 27% 18%
Don’t know 23%   21% 20% 20% 19%

 

41% approve of the US bombing of Syria and 36% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (55%), men (50%) and aged 65+ (58%).

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (63%) and aged 18-34 (43%).

Approval of sending troops into Syria

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of the US sending ground troops into Syria?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 37%   41% 45% 14% 36%
Total disapprove 39%   38% 31% 69% 44%
Strongly approve 11%   14% 13% 10%
Approve 26%   27% 32% 14% 26%
Disapprove 25%   25% 20% 40% 27%
Strongly disapprove 14%   13% 11% 29% 17%
Don’t know 24%   21% 24% 16% 20%

 

37% would approve of the US sending ground troops into Syria and 39% would disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (45%) and men (42%).

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (63%) and university educated (45%).

Approval of Australian military support

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of the Australian Government providing military support to US actions in Syria?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total approve 31%   34% 36% 14% 30%
Total disapprove 50%   50% 43% 74% 55%
Strongly approve 8%   8% 12% 1% 7%
Approve 23%   26% 24% 13% 23%
Disapprove 26%   26% 27% 33% 19%
Strongly disapprove 24%   24% 16% 41% 36%
Don’t know 20%   15% 21% 11% 15%

 

31% would approve of the Australian Government providing military support to US actions in Syria and 50% would disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (36%) and men (37%).

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (74%).

Threats to global stability

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Which of the following do you think is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Terrorism 49%   48% 59% 22% 55%
US aggression 15%   18% 8% 32% 14%
Climate change 11%   13% 7% 33% 5%
Russian aggression 8%   7% 11% 7% 10%
China aggression 5%   4% 7% 1% 9%
Don’t know 11%   10% 8% 4% 6%

 

49% think that terrorism is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace, 15% think the biggest threat is US aggression and 11% climate change.

Terrorism was thought to be the biggest threat by a majority of Liberal/National voters (59%), other party voters (55%) and aged over 65 (60%).

US aggression was thought to be the biggest threat by 32% of Greens voters and 19% of those aged 18-34.

Climate change was thought to be the biggest threat by 33% of Greens voters and 15% of university educated.

Housing affordability

Apr 19, 2017

Q. The leader of the National Party, Barnaby Joyce, has suggested that people who cannot afford housing in Sydney and Melbourne should consider moving and buying a home in a country town or rural area. Do you think this would be a good idea or a bad idea?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total good idea 36%   33% 48% 29% 36%
Total bad idea 24%   31% 14% 37% 26%
A very good idea 12%   9% 18% 10% 13%
A good idea 24%   24% 30% 19% 23%
Neither a good nor bad idea 31%   29% 31% 30% 34%
A bad idea 12%   13% 10% 23% 11%
A very bad idea 12%   18% 4% 14% 15%
Don’t know 9%   7% 6% 6% 3%

 

36% think it would be a good idea for people who cannot afford a house in Sydney or Melbourne to move to the country. 24% think it is a bad idea and 31% think it is neither.

Those most likely to think it is a good idea were Liberal/National voters (48%) and aged 65+ (46%).

Those most likely to think it is a bad idea were Greens voters (37%).

Accessing super to buy a home

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Do you think people should be allowed to access their superannuation to buy a home or should superannuation be preserved for retirement?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   May 2015
Should be allowed to use to buy a home 38%   43% 34% 28% 44%   41%
Should be preserved for retirement 50%   46% 58% 60% 46%   46%
Don’t know 12%   11% 8% 13% 9%   13%

 

38% think that people should be allowed to access their superannuation to buy a home and 50% think superannuation should be preserved for retirement. This represents a shift in opinion toward preserving superannuation for retirement since this question was asked in May 2015.

 

Those most likely to think people should be allowed to access their superannuation to buy a home were Labor voters (43%, other party voters (44%) and aged 35-44 (46%).

Approval ratings of Senators

Apr 19, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of the following minor party and independent Senators?

  Total approve Total dis-approve   Strongly approve Approve Dis-approve Strongly dis-approve Not sure Don’t know enough about them   Net

Total voters

Net other party voters
Nick Xenophon 35% 25%   7% 28% 16% 9% 15% 26%   +10 +18
Derryn Hinch 35% 27%   6% 29% 17% 10% 17% 21%   +8 +30
Jacquie Lambie 32% 30%   8% 24% 17% 13% 15% 23%   +2 +25
Pauline Hanson 32% 48%   9% 23% 15% 33% 10% 11%   -16 +27
David Leyonhjelm 9% 28%   2% 7% 15% 13% 14% 50%   -19 -14
Cory Bernardi 10% 34%   2% 8% 15% 19% 15% 41%   -24 -15

 

Cross-bench Senators with positive approval ratings were Nick Xenophon 35% approve/25% disapprove), Derryn Hinch (35%/27%) and Jacquie Lambie (32%/30%). While Pauline Hanson had a similar level of approval (32%), nearly half (48%) disapproved.

David Leyonhjelm (net -19) and Cory Bernardi (-24) had substantial negative ratings.

Among other party voters, those with most positive ratings were Derryn Hinch (50% approve/20% disapprove), Pauline Hanson (58%/31%) and Jacquie Lambie (48%/23%).

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