Bill Shorten

Aug 14, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jul 2018 Jun 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017
Total Approve 34%   65% 18% 45% 13%   31% 33% 37% 36% 36% 34% 30%
Total Disapprove 44%   14% 69% 33% 69%   47% 46% 44% 45% 47% 43% 49%
Strongly approve 7%   17% 3% 5% 1%   5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4%
Approve 27%   48% 15% 40% 12%   26% 27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26%
Disapprove 22%   11% 29% 22% 33%   25% 23% 23% 23% 25% 28% 26%
Strongly disapprove 22%   3% 40% 11% 36%   22% 23% 21% 22% 22% 15% 23%
Don’t know 22%   21% 12% 21% 18%   21% 21% 19% 19% 17% 23% 22%

34% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 3% from last month), and 44% disapproved (down 3%) – a change in net approval rating from -16 to -10.

65% (up 7%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 45% of Greens voters and 18% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 37% approve/47% disapprove and women 30% approve/40% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Aug 14, 2018

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jul 2018 Jun 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016
Malcolm Turnbull 41%   14% 84% 28% 34%   42% 41% 41% 42% 43% 39% 38% 39%
Bill Shorten 27%   59% 4% 40% 19%   25% 27% 26% 28% 29% 26% 26% 28%
Don’t know 31%   26% 12% 32% 47%   34% 32% 33% 31% 28% 34% 36% 33%


41% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister (down 1% from last month), and 27% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 2%). 31% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 84% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 59% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (40%) to Malcolm Turnbull (28%).

45% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

38% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 23% prefer Bill Shorten.

 

 

Drought and climate change

Aug 14, 2018

Q. Do you think that the current drought across eastern Australia is likely or unlikely to be linked to climate change?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other  
Likely to be linked to climate change 54%   64% 47% 80% 40%  
Unlikely to be linked to climate change 25%   17% 33% 13% 45%  
Don’t know 21%   19% 19% 7% 15%  

 

 

54% think that the current drought is likely to be linked to climate change and 25% think it is unlikely to be linked to climate change.

Those most likely to think it is linked to climate change were Greens voters (80%), Labor voters (64%), aged under 35 (62%) and university educated (62%).

Those thinking it is not linked to climate change were more likely to be other party voters (45%) and aged 65+ (40%).

Government support for industries

Aug 14, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of governments giving the following types of financial support to these industries?

  Total approve Total disapprove   Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know   2014 approve
Agriculture – drought relief 88% 5%   52% 36% 3% 2% 6%   83%
Renewable energy – subsidies for wind and solar power 76% 15%   39% 37% 8% 7% 9%  
Health care – private health rebate 73% 14%   30% 43% 9% 5% 12%   72%
Tourism – development grants 63% 22%   11% 52% 18% 4% 16%   61%
Food processing – production subsidies 55% 24%   12% 43% 19% 5% 21%   55%
Film – production grants 45% 36%   8% 37% 25% 11% 19%   46%
Banks – guaranteeing debt 37% 42%   9% 28% 23% 19% 20%   36%
Real estate investment – negative gearing 36% 42%   9% 27% 22% 20% 22%   35%
Mining industry – fuel rebate 33% 44%   8% 25% 27% 17% 23%   26%

There was majority approval of the Government giving financial support to agriculture (88% approve), renewable energy (76%), health care (73%), tourism (63%) and food processing (55%). Approval of drought relief has increased 5% since this question was asked in 2014.

Liberal/National voters are more likely than Labor voters to approve support for tourism (72% to 58%), food processing (62%/52%), banks (47%/33%), real estate (49%/32%) and mining (43%/30%).

Merger of Nine and Fairfax

Aug 14, 2018

Q. Do you think the merger of the media companies Nine and Fairfax will be good or bad for the following?

  Total good Total bad   Very good Good Bad Very bad Don’t know   Vote Labor Good Vote LNP Good
Quality of news coverage 47% 28%   9% 38% 17% 11% 25%   46% 59%
Diversity of news media 42% 34%   8% 34% 21% 13% 24%   41% 49%
Jobs in the media 33% 39%   6% 27% 26% 13% 28%   36% 39%
News coverage in regional areas 38% 32%   7% 31% 19% 13% 30%   39% 47%

Overall, respondents were more likely to think the Nine/Fairfax merger would be good for quality of news coverage and diversity of news media. They were more evenly split on whether it was good or bad for jobs in media and news coverage in regional areas.

 

Liberal National voters were more likely to think it will be good for quality of news coverage, diversity of news media and news coverage in regional areas.

Free speech

Aug 14, 2018

Q. As you may be aware, there has been debate about whether or not social media platforms should be able to ban pages promoting views some people describe as hate speech.  Most recently, this has involved so-called Alt-Right speakers being banned from Facebook, Youtube, Apple and Spotify.  Which of the following is closer to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other  
Social media platforms should have to allow such people even if they don’t like what those people are saying, because those people have a right to free speech 32%   31% 35% 29% 40%  
An individual’s right to free speech doesn’t mean that social media sites must provide those individuals a platform to speak from. 48%   47% 49% 61% 49%  
Don’t know 20%   23% 16% 10% 11%  

32% agreed more with the statement that “social media platforms should have to allow such people . . . have a right to free speech”. Those most likely to support this statement were men (37%), aged under 35 (43%) and other party voters (40%).

Nearly half (48%) agreed more with the statement that the “right to free speech doesn’t mean that social media sites must provide . . . a platform”. Those most likely to support this statement were aged 55+ (57%) and Greens voters (61%).

Federal voting intention

Aug 1, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago

17/7/18

4 weeks ago

3/7/18

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 36% 37% 36%
National 4% 4% 4%
Total Liberal/National 41%   40% 40%   42.0%
Labor 36%   36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 10% 11% 10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1% 1% 1%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6% 6% 6%
Other/Independent 6% 6% 5% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 49%   49% 48%   50.4%
Labor 51%   51% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Voting

Aug 1, 2018

Q. When you vote in Federal and State elections, how important are the following in deciding who you vote for?

  Very import-ant Quite import-ant Not very import-ant Not at all import-ant Don’t know   Very import-ant Vote Labor Very import-ant Vote Lib/Nat Very import-ant Vote Greens Very import-ant Vote other
The parties’ policies 55% 32% 7% 1% 5% 58% 53% 63% 63%
The party leaders 28% 45% 17% 4% 5% 26% 32% 23% 35%
The local candidates 27% 44% 18% 5% 6% 30% 26% 27% 29%

 

55% think that the parties’ policies are very important in deciding who to vote for, while 28% think the party leaders are very important and 27% think the local candidate is very important.

Greens and other voters are more likely to think policies are very important while LNP and other voters were a little more likely to think the party leaders are very important.

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