Reducing the deficit

Jun 21, 2016

Q. If elected, which party would be most likely to reduce Australia’s deficit?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Labor 14%   35% 2% 18% 3%
Liberal 37%   9% 79% 12% 39%
No difference 30%   39% 11% 49% 45%
Don’t know 18%   18% 8% 20% 13%

37% think the Liberal Party would be more likely to reduce the deficit and 14% think the Labor Party would be more likely. Nearly half either don’t know or thought there would be no difference.

79% of Liberal voters think the Liberal Party would be most likely to reduce the deficit while 39% of Labor voters think there would be no difference.

Colonisation of Australia

Jun 21, 2016

Q. Do you agree or disagree that it is reasonable to describe the British colonisation of Australia as an invasion?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Total agree 40%   49% 30% 70% 38%   47% 40% 33%
Total disagree 41%   36% 56% 16% 48%   25% 41% 59%
Strongly agree 10%   16% 3% 28% 7%   12% 10% 7%
Agree 30%   33% 27% 42% 31%   35% 30% 26%
Disagree 21%   23% 25% 12% 21%   13% 23% 29%
Strongly disagree 20%   13% 31% 4% 27%   12% 18% 30%
Don’t know 19%   16% 14% 14% 14%   28% 19% 8%

40% think it is reasonable to describe the British colonisation of Australia as an invasion and 41% disagree.

Those most likely to agree were Greens voters (70%), Labor voters (49%), aged 18-34 (47%) and those with university education (52%).

 

Securing jobs

Jun 21, 2016

Q. Which party would you trust most to secure local jobs in your area and nationally?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Labor 27%   68% 1% 19% 12%
Liberal 28%   1% 70% 6% 15%
National 3%   1% 6% 1% 5%
Greens 4%   2% 37% <1%
Xenophon Team 3%   1% 1% 2% 14%
Pauline Hanson 5%   2% 4% 2% 18%
Don’t know 30%   24% 18% 34% 34%

27% would most trust the Labor Party to secure local jobs in your area and nationally and 28% would most trust the Liberal Party.

 

Securing jobs

Jun 21, 2016

Q. How important are each of the following for ensuring Australia grows local jobs?

  Total important   Very important Somewhat important Not so important Not at all important Don’t know
Local jobs and local content rules for Government funded infrastructure projects 83%   48% 35% 5% 1% 11%
Better funding of TAFE programs to give people the skills to get jobs of the future 83%   43% 40% 8% 1% 8%
Government support for local manufacturing industries like the steel industry 80%   42% 38% 9% 2% 9%
More investment in renewable energy 76%   43% 33% 10% 4% 10%
Opening up investment for foreign companies so they bring the technology and skills to Australia 47%   15% 32% 27% 13% 13%
Tax cuts for large companies 29%   10% 19% 28% 30% 13%

The most important factors in ensuring Australia grows local jobs were “local jobs and local content rules for Government funded infrastructure projects” (83%), “better funding of TAFE programs to give people the skills to get jobs of the future” (83%) and “Government support for local manufacturing industries like the steel industry” (80%).

Only 29% think “tax cuts for large companies” is important – 58% think it is not important.

Brexit vote

Jun 21, 2016

Q. Next week the United Kingdom will hold a referendum to decide whether to leave or stay in the European Union. Do you think the United Kingdom should leave or stay in the European Union?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Stay in the EU 38%   41% 42% 46% 31%
Leave the EU 22%   23% 23% 18% 26%
Don’t know 40%   37% 34% 37% 44%

38% think the United Kingdom should stay in the EU and 22% think they should leave. 40% don’t know. There was little difference between Liberal and Labor voters.

US Presidential election

Jun 21, 2016

Q. If you had a vote in the US Presidential election, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Hillary Clinton 71%   77% 70% 88% 66%
Donald Trump 15%   12% 19% 6% 20%
Don’t know 14%   11% 12% 6% 14%

71% would vote for Hillary Clinton for US President and 15% would vote for Donald Trump. All voter groups would strongly vote for Hillary Clinton.

Spending promises

Jun 21, 2016

Q. Thinking about the Federal election campaign, as far as you are aware, which party seems to be making the most spending promises?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Labor 39%   45% 48% 29% 32%
Liberal 13%   10% 21% 8% 10%
No difference 29%   29% 17% 40% 46%
Don’t know 20%   16% 13% 24% 11%

 39% think that Labor has made the most spending promises during the election campaign and 13% think the Liberals have made the most.

There was little difference between Labor and Liberal voters in their views about the Labor Party but 21% of Liberal voters thought the Liberal Party had made the most spending promises.

Federal voting intention

Jun 15, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

7/6/16

2 weeks ago

31/5/16

4 weeks ago

17/5/16

  Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 37%   37% 38% 39%    
National 4%   4% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 41%   41% 41% 42%   45.6%
Labor 37%   36% 35% 38%   33.4%
Greens 10%   10% 9% 9%   8.6%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   4% 4% 3%  
Other/Independent 9%   10% 10% 8%   12.4%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 49%   50% 51% 49%   53.5%
Labor 51%   50% 49% 51%   46.5%

NB. Sample = 1,787. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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