Approval of Bill Shorten

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

 

 

Dec 2014

Mar 2015

Jun 2015

Sep 2015

Oct 2015

Nov 2015

Total approve

27%

52%

18%

24%

16%

 

 

35%

34%

32%

29%

30%

27%

Total disapprove

47%

27%

66%

48%

65%

 

 

39%

39%

45%

50%

42%

47%

Strongly approve

4%

10%

2%

1%

3%

 

 

7%

5%

6%

5%

6%

4%

Approve

23%

42%

16%

23%

13%

 

 

28%

29%

26%

24%

24%

23%

Disapprove

26%

21%

29%

35%

34%

 

 

23%

21%

27%

27%

25%

25%

Strongly disapprove

21%

6%

37%

13%

31%

 

 

16%

18%

18%

23%

17%

22%

Don’t know

25%

22%

16%

17%

19%

 

 

26%

27%

22%

21%

27%

26%

27% (no change) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 47% (no change) disapprove – no change in his net rating of -20.

52% (up 4%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 27% (up 2%) disapprove. 29% of men and 26% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 54% of men and 42% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Sep 2015

Oct 2015

Nov 2015

Malcolm Turnbull

54%

31%

86%

38%

42%

53%

48%

55%

Bill Shorten

15%

36%

3%

23%

5%

17%

19%

14%

Don’t know

31%

33%

11%

39%

53%

30%

33%

31%

54% (down 1%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 15% (up 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

58% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten. 50% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten.

Tony Abbott’s future

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott should –

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Stay in Parliament on the back bench

14%

14%

17%

13%

13%

Stay in Parliament and be given a Ministry

18%

7%

31%

4%

35%

Resign from Parliament now

30%

42%

18%

59%

22%

Resign from Parliament at the next election

19%

22%

19%

14%

21%

Don’t know

19%

15%

16%

9%

9%

32% think that Tony Abbott should stay in Parliament – 14% on the back bench and 18% as a minister.
49% think he should resign from Parliament with 30% thinking he should resign now and 19% at the next election.
Among Liberal/National voters, 48% think he should stay in Parliament (31% as a minister) and 37% think he should resign.

Aid to Pacific islands

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Australia using $1 billion of our foreign aid budget over the next 5 years to help Pacific Island nations address the impacts of climate change?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Total approve

44%

48%

42%

61%

39%

Total disapprove

40%

35%

47%

28%

50%

Strong approve

12%

16%

8%

28%

12%

Approve

32%

32%

34%

33%

27%

Disapprove

21%

18%

25%

19%

23%

Strongly disapprove

19%

17%

22%

9%

27%

Don’t know

17%

17%

11%

12%

11%

44% approve of Australia using $1 billion of our foreign aid budget over the next 5 years to help Pacific Island nations address the impacts of climate change and 40% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Greens voters (61%), men (50%) and university educated (55%). Those most likely to disapprove were Liberal/National voters (47%), women (45%) and aged 65+ (48%).

Confidence in Malcolm Turnbull representing Australia

Dec 8, 2015

Q. When you think of Malcolm Turnbull representing Australia at international conferences and meetings, how confident are you that he will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Very confident

20%

14%

33%

10%

6%

Somewhat confident

44%

45%

51%

45%

41%

Not very confident

14%

19%

7%

26%

15%

Not at all confident

9%

9%

4%

11%

27%

Don’t know

13%

12%

5%

7%

11%

20% say they are very confident and 44% somewhat confident that Malcolm Turnbull will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community. 23% are not very or not at all confident.

Those most confident were aged 55+ (74%) and Liberal/National voters (84%).

Best leader of the Liberal Party

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

Total

Male

Female

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Jun 2014

Feb 2015

Aug 2015

Sep 2015

Malcolm Turnbull

42%

46%

38%

38%

57%

37%

20%

31%

24%

24%

37%

Tony Abbott

9%

11%

8%

4%

14%

2%

21%

18%

11%

18%

9%

Joe Hockey

na

6%

5%

3%

2%

Julie Bishop

13%

10%

16%

15%

14%

16%

13%

4%

21%

17%

14%

Christopher Pyne

2%

2%

2%

4%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

1%

Scott Morrison

2%

3%

1%

1%

3%

3%

2%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Someone else

9%

9%

10%

14%

2%

16%

15%

19%

13%

13%

10%

Don’t know

22%

20%

25%

24%

9%

25%

29%

21%

24%

22%

21%

42% (up 5% since September) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 13% prefer Julie Bishop (down 1%) and 9% prefer Tony Abbott (no change)

Among Liberal/National voters, 57% (up 10%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 14% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott and 14% (up 4%) Julie Bishop.

Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 46% (+2%), Tony Abbott 11% (+1%) and Julie Bishop 10% (-1%). Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 38% (+8%), Julie Bishop 16% (-1%) and Tony Abbott 8% (no change).

Best leader of the Labor Party

Dec 8, 2015

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

Total

Men

Women

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Aug 2015

Bill Shorten

13%

11%

15%

27%

7%

14%

4%

16%

Anthony Albanese

14%

18%

11%

19%

16%

12%

10%

12%

Tanya Plibersek

14%

14%

14%

18%

9%

30%

17%

13%

Chris Bowen

3%

4%

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

5%

Someone else

17%

21%

14%

9%

22%

16%

30%

18%

Don’t know

38%

31%

45%

24%

42%

25%

36%

36%

13% (down 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 14% (up 1%) prefer Tanya Plibersek and 14% (up 2%) Anthony Albanese. 17% prefer someone else and 38% don’t know.

Among Labor voters, 27% (-7%) prefer Bill Shorten, 19% (+6%) Anthony Albanese and 18% (+3%) Tanya Plibersek.

Preferences of men were Anthony Albanese 18%, Tanya Plibersek 14% and Bill Shorten 11%. Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 15%, Tanya Plibersek 14% and Anthony Albanese 11%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 1, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,771 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 3/11/15

2 weeks ago 17/11/15

Last week 24/11/15

This week 1/12/15

Liberal

41%

41%

41%

41%

National

4%

4%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

45%

45%

44%

44%

Labor

33.4%

34%

36%

35%

35%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

9%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 3/11/15

2 weeks ago 17/11/15

Last week 24/11/15

This week 1/12/15

Liberal National

53.5%

53%

52%

52%

51%

Labor

46.5%

47%

48%

48%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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