Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Total approve 38%   20% 72% 14% 25%   47% 56% 51% 51% 45% 39% 40% 41%
Total disapprove 40%   63% 19% 60% 59%   17% 23% 25% 27% 35% 39% 42% 39%
Strongly approve 6%   3% 13% 1% 1%   11% 13% 9% 8% 6% 7% 7% 9%
Approve 32%   17% 59% 13% 24%   36% 43% 42% 43% 39% 32% 33% 32%
Disapprove 24%   36% 16% 26% 33%   11% 16% 16% 18% 24% 23% 26% 22%
Strongly disapprove 16%   27% 3% 34% 26%   6% 7% 9% 9% 11% 16% 16% 17%
Don’t know 21%   17% 10% 26% 17%   35% 21% 23% 21% 21% 22% 17% 19%

38% (down 3% from 2 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (up 1%) disapprove – a net approval rating of -2 (down 4).

72% (down 7%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 19% (up 10%) disapproving. 20% (down 2%) of Labor voters and 14% (down 3%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

By gender, men were 43% approve/42% disapprove and women 34% approve/39% disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Total approve 34%   61% 22% 28% 20%   31% 35% 27% 27% 27% 27% 30% 34% 34%
Total disapprove 40%   17% 62% 41% 60%   27% 39% 47% 47% 48% 47% 44% 43% 44%
Strongly approve 7%   18% 1% 6% 1%   5% 7% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5% 6% 7%
Approve 27%   43% 21% 22% 19%   26% 28% 23% 23% 22% 24% 25% 28% 27%
Disapprove 22%   15% 27% 28% 34%   17% 23% 26% 28% 26% 29% 22% 26% 26%
Strongly disapprove 18%   2% 35% 13% 26%   10% 16% 21% 19% 22% 18% 22% 17% 18%
Don’t know 25%   21% 16% 31% 20%   43% 26% 25% 26% 25% 26% 25% 23% 23%

34% (no change in last 2 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 40% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -10 to -6.

61% (down 5%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 17% (down 1%) disapprove.

36% of men and 33% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 44% of men and 37% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Jan 2016 Feb 2016 Mar 2016 Apr 2016 17 May 2016 31 May 2016
Malcolm Turnbull 40% 12% 79% 17% 33% 53% 54% 51% 52% 48% 44% 43% 40%
Bill Shorten 29% 59% 10% 31% 15% 17% 15% 18% 15% 19% 22% 28% 27%
Don’t know 32% 28% 11% 52% 52% 30% 31% 31% 33% 33% 34% 29% 33%

40% (no change) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 29% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

43% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

37% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.

Attributes of the Labor Party

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% +2   57% 72% 65% 64% 62%
Looks after the interests of working people 56% +6     39% 53% 55% 50%
Moderate 54% +7   65% 51% 48% 56% 47%
Divided 49% -5   30% 66% 66% 58% 54%
Understands the problems facing Australia 49% +6   62% 40% 50% 48% 43%
Have a vision for the future 48% +8     43% 49% 42% 40%
Out of touch with ordinary people 46% -7   44% 61% 51% 52% 53%
Have good policies 46% +8       46% 42% 38%
Trust to manage a fair superannuation system 45%              
Clear about what they stand for 43% +8     28% 38% 37% 35%
Has a good team of leaders 39% +9   60% 34% 36% 33% 30%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 35%     46% 31% 37% 35%
Trustworthy 33% +4       30% 34% 29%
Keeps its promises 31% +3   44% 20% 27% 29% 28%
Extreme 30% -5   25% 38% 34% 30% 35%

The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (64%), looks after the interests of working people (56%) and moderate (54%).

Since this question was asked in March, the main changes have been for has a good team of leaders (up 9%), have a vision for the future (up 8%), have good policies (up 8%) and clear about what they stand for (up 8%).

Attributes of the Liberal Party

Jun 15, 2016

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Mar 2016
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 66% +4     60% 60% 67% 62%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 65% +2   67% 65% 65% 68% 63%
Out of touch with ordinary people 63% +5   62% 54% 58% 62% 58%
Divided 52% -9   74% 49% 31% 56% 61%
Have a vision for the future 51% +5     48% 51% 54% 46%
Moderate 47%   50% 55% 48% 51% 47%
Clear about what they stand for 46% +7     44% 45% 46% 39%
Understands the problems facing Australia 44% +3   44% 51% 48% 46% 41%
Has a good team of leaders 42% +1   29% 40% 36% 48% 41%
Have good policies 41% +2       38% 43% 39%
Trust to manage a fair superannuation system 39%              
Extreme 38% +2   36% 36% 39% 39% 36%
Looks after the interests of working people 31%     38% 36% 32% 31%
Trustworthy 30% +2       30% 29% 28%
Keeps its promises 30% +3   28% 33% 32% 25% 27%

The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – too close to the big corporate and financial interest (66%), will promise anything to win votes (65%) and out of touch with ordinary people (63%).

Main changes since March were – divided (down 9%) and clear about what they stand for (up 7%).

Party Attributes Comparison – Labor vs Liberal

Jun 15, 2016
  Liberal Labor   Difference
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 66% 35%   +31
Out of touch with ordinary people 63% 46%   +17
Extreme 38% 30%   +8
Has a good team of leaders 42% 39%   +3
Divided 52% 49%   +3
Have a vision for the future 51% 48%   +3
Clear about what they stand for 46% 43%   +3
Will promise to do anything to win votes 65% 64%   +1
Keeps its promises 30% 31%   -1
Trustworthy 30% 33%   -3
Have good policies 41% 46%   -5
Understands the problems facing Australia 44% 49%   -5
Trust to manage a fair superannuation system 39% 45%   -6
Moderate 47% 54%   -7
Looks after the interests of working people 31% 56%   -25

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably in terms of looking after the interest of working people (-25) and not being too close to the big corporate and financial interests (+31) or out of touch with ordinary people (+17).

Changes to superannuation

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the changes to superannuation made in the Budget, which includes capping tax concessions for those with more than $1.6 million in superannuation?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Super no payments Super

pre-tax payments

Super after tax payments No super
Total approve 47%   48% 57% 50% 40%   46% 51% 60% 53%
Total disapprove 22%   24% 20% 22% 28%   23% 28% 28% 14%
Strongly approve 13%   15% 14% 24% 10%   14% 17% 14% 14%
Approve 34%   33% 43% 26% 30%   32% 34% 46% 39%
Disapprove 15%   16% 16% 12% 17%   17% 15% 19% 9%
Strongly disapprove 7%   8% 4% 10% 11%   6% 13% 95 5%
Don’t know 31%   29% 22% 29% 32%   31% 21% 13% 33%

47% approve of the changes to superannuation made in the Federal Budget and 22% disapprove.

Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (57%), full-time workers (53%), those earning $1,500-2,000 pw (57%) and those making after-tax super contributions (60%).

Voting

Jun 15, 2016

Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on July 2, do you intend to vote at a polling booth on election day or will you be casting your vote before election day?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Vote on election day 64% 70% 63% 69% 71% 63% 65% 65%
Vote before election day 23% 22% 28% 17% 23% 19% 23% 27%
Not sure 13% 8% 9% 14% 6% 18% 12% 8%

64% say they will be voting at a polling booth on election day, 23% intend to cast their vote before the election and 13% are not sure. There were few differences across demographic groups.

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