Belief in Santa Claus

Dec 20, 2016

Q. Do you or did you encourage your children to believe in Santa Claus/Father Christmas? (Based on those who have children)

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   2015
Yes 78%   77% 82% 60% 84% 76% 79% 69% 78% 83% 80%
No 19%   19% 14% 36% 15% 20% 17% 24% 20% 14% 16%
Not sure 4% 4% 3% 5% 1% 4% 4% 7% 2% 3% 4%

78% of those who have or had children say they encouraged their children to believe in Santa Claus or Father Christmas. 19% said they did not.

These results are similar to those when this question was asked 12 months ago.

69% of those aged under 35 say they encouraged their children to believe in Santa Claus or Father Christmas compared to 83% of those aged 55+.

Federal voting intention

Dec 13, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week

6/12/16

2 weeks ago

29/11/16

4 weeks ago

15/11/16

  Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   35% 36% 34%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   38% 39% 37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   36% 36% 37%   34.7%
Greens 9%   9% 9% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   8% 7% 6%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   48% 49% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   52% 51% 53%   49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,796 The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016 Nov 2016
Total approve 34%   19% 65% 24% 17%   56% 45% 38% 35% 38% 36%
Total disapprove 46%   66% 20% 62% 63%   23% 35% 40% 43% 41% 44%
Strongly approve 5% 2% 11% 2% 3% 13% 6% 6% 4% 5% 6%
Approve 29% 17% 54% 22% 14% 43% 39% 32% 31% 33% 30%
Disapprove 30% 39% 17% 43% 41% 16% 24% 24% 27% 25% 26%
Strongly disapprove 16% 27% 3% 19% 22% 7% 11% 16% 16% 16% 18%
Don’t know 20% 14% 15% 14% 20% 21% 21% 21% 22% 20% 21%

34% (down 2% from 5 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net approval rating from -8 to -12. This is Malcolm Turnbull’s lowest approval and net rating since becoming Prime Minister.

65% (down 3%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 20% (up 4%) disapproving. 19% (down 4%) of Labor voters and 24% (up 6%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

By gender, men were 39% approve/49% disapprove and women 30% approve/42% disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016 Nov 2016
Total approve 35%   62% 21% 46% 22%   31% 35% 27% 27% 34% 36% 37% 34%
Total disapprove 38%   16% 61% 32% 57%   27% 39% 47% 47% 40% 41% 40% 43%
Strongly approve 6% 15% 2% 7% 5% 7% 4% 3% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Approve 29% 47% 19% 39% 22% 26% 28% 23% 24% 27% 30% 32% 28%
Disapprove 21% 13% 30% 23% 26% 17% 23% 26% 29% 22% 24% 23% 26%
Strongly disapprove 17% 3% 31% 9% 31% 10% 16% 21% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17%
Don’t know 25% 22% 18% 22% 20% 43% 26% 25% 26% 25% 22% 22% 23%

35% (up 1% in last 5 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 38% (down 5%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -9 to -3.

62% (up 1%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 16% (down 5%) disapprove.

41% of men and 30% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 43% of men and 34% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016  Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Oct 2016 Nov 2016
Malcolm Turnbull 39%   15% 76% 25% 34%   53% 54% 48% 40% 41% 41% 40%
Bill Shorten 28%   56% 7% 44% 19%   17% 15% 19% 29% 26% 28% 28%
Don’t know 33%   29% 17% 31% 47%   30% 31% 33% 32% 33% 31% 32%

39% (down 1% in last 5 weeks) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 28% (no change) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

43% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

35% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 25% prefer Bill Shorten.

The Liberal Party

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you think the Liberal Party is becoming more progressive or more conservative?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015
More progressive 14%   8% 26% 9% 13%   27%
More conservative 37%   48% 29% 63% 32%   24%
Neither 30%   28% 34% 19% 40%   27%
Don’t know 18%   16% 11% 10% 14%   22%

37% think the Liberal Party is becoming more conservative and 14% think it is becoming more progressive. 30% think it is neither.

Among Liberal/National voters, 29% think it is becoming more conservative and 26% more progressive.

43% of those aged 55+ think the Liberal Party is becoming more conservative compared to 30% of those aged 18-34.

Compared to 12 months ago, there has been an increase in those thinking the Liberal Party is becoming more conservative (up 13%)

The Labor Party

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you think the Labor Party is becoming more progressive or more conservative?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015
More progressive 21%   38% 11% 19% 19%   14%
More conservative 21%   16% 27% 42% 19%   24%
Neither 37%   31% 46% 25% 46%   39%
Don’t know 21%   15% 16% 14% 16%   24%

 21% think the Labor Party is becoming more conservative and 21% think it is becoming more progressive. 37% think it is neither.

Among Labor voters, 16% think it is becoming more conservative and 38% more progressive.

52% of those aged 55+ think the Labor Party is becoming neither more conservative nor more conservative.

Compared to 12 months ago, there has been an increase in those thinking the Labor Party is becoming more progressive (up 7%)

The Greens

Dec 13, 2016

Q. Do you think the Greens are becoming more progressive or more conservative?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
More progressive 21%   24% 16% 48% 21%
More conservative 15%   17% 17% 15% 17%
Neither 36%   37% 44% 25% 37%
Don’t know 28%   23% 24% 13% 24% 

21% think the Greens are becoming more progressive and 15% think they are becoming more conservative. 36% think they are neither.

Among Greens voters, 15% think they are becoming more conservative and 48% more progressive.

There were no major differences across age groups.

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