Best leader of the Liberal Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2014 Aug 2015 Mar 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017 Aug 2017 Dec 2017 Apr 2018
Malcolm Turnbull 28% 22% 51% 13% 9% 31% 24% 39% 21% 20% 25% 21% 24%
Tony Abbott 10% 9% 11% 5% 18% 18% 18% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10% 11%
Julie Bishop 16% 16% 14% 29% 17% 4% 17% 12% 20% 17% 20% 19% 17%
Christopher Pyne 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Scott Morrison 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Peter Dutton 5% 2% 7% 10% 2% 3% 4% 3%
Someone else 14% 22% 3% 27% 24% 19% 13% 15% 18% 18% 13% 15% 14%
Don’t know 24% 24% 11% 23% 16% 21% 22% 21% 25% 28% 25% 27% 27%

 

28% (up 4% since April) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 16% prefer Julie Bishop (down 1%) and 10% prefer Tony Abbott (down 1%). 14% (no change) prefer someone else.

Among Liberal/National voters, 51% (up 6%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 14% (up 1%) Julie Bishop and 11% (down 6%) prefer Tony Abbott.

Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 30% (+2%), Julie Bishop 13% (-3%) and Tony Abbott 13% (-).

Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 26% (+5%), Julie Bishop 18% (+1%) and Tony Abbott 6% (-3%).

Best leader of the Labor Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017 Aug 2017
Bill Shorten 19%   37% 12% 18% 7%   16% 13% 15% 27% 17% 21% 20%
Anthony Albanese 19%   17% 27% 14% 20%   12% 14% 14% 11% 12% 11% 13%
Tanya Plibersek 12%   13% 10% 28% 9%   13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 13% 13%
Chris Bowen 3%   3% 3% 3% 3%   5% 3% 7% 3% 4% 3% 4%
Tony Burke 2%   3% 2% 1% 4%   2% 2% 3%
Someone else 13%   5% 17% 12% 28%   18% 17% 18% 17% 18% 16% 13%
Don’t know 31%   22% 29% 23% 27%   36% 38% 32% 30% 32% 35% 34%

 

19% (down 1% since August) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 19% (up 6%) prefer Anthony Albanese and 12% (down 1%) Tanya Plibersek. 13% prefer someone else and 31% don’t know.

Among Labor voters, 37% (up 3%) prefer Bill Shorten, 17% (up 2%) Anthony Albanese and 13% (down 2%) Tanya Plibersek.

Preferences of men were Bill Shorten 21% (-2%), Anthony Albanese 24% (+7%) and Tanya Plibersek 12% (+1%).

Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 17% (-), Anthony Albanese 14% (+4%) and Tanya Plibersek 12% (-2%).

The Internet

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Overall do you think the internet has been good or bad for the following:

  Total good Total bad   Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know   Good Aged 18-34 Good Aged 35-54 Good Aged 55+
Jobs 64% 9%   20% 44% 22% 7% 2% 5%   72% 62% 59%
Education 69% 9%   25% 44% 18% 7% 2% 4%   74% 64% 71%
Health 52% 12%   13% 39% 31% 9% 3% 5%   55% 45% 57%
The media 44% 28%   14% 30% 25% 18% 10% 4%   53% 39% 44%
Entertainment 73% 7%   33% 40% 16% 5% 2% 3%   77% 70% 75%
Global relations 51% 11%   15% 36% 32% 8% 3% 7%   58% 48% 46%
Your life in general 65% 6%   20% 45% 26% 4% 2% 3%   67% 65% 64%
Society in general 49% 20%   11% 38% 28% 14% 6% 3%   50% 45% 54%

 

A substantial majority believe the internet has been good for entertainment (73%), education (69%) and jobs (64%).

65% think it has been good for their life in general and 49% for society in general.

The only issue in some dispute was whether the internet was good or bad for the media (44% good/28% bad).

Those aged under 35 were more likely to think the internet had been good for jobs, education and the media while those aged 55+ were more likely to think it had been good for health and society in general.

Attributes of the Liberal Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Jun 2016 Nov 2017
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 67% +2     60% 60% 67% 66% 65%
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% -3   67% 65% 65% 68% 65% 67%
Out of touch with ordinary people 64% -2   62% 54% 58% 62% 63% 66%
Divided 56% -8   74% 49% 31% 56% 52% 68%
Moderate 56% +3   50% 55% 48% 51% 47% 53%
Have a vision for the future 52% +4     48% 51% 54% 51% 48%
Have good policies 46% +1       38% 43% 41% 45%
Clear about what they stand for 45% +5     44% 45% 46% 46% 40%
Has a good team of leaders 45% +8   29% 40% 36% 48% 42% 37%
Understands the problems facing Australia 42% +1   44% 51% 48% 46% 44% 41%
Looks after the interests of working people 37% +1     38% 36% 32% 31% 36%
Extreme 34% -3   36% 36% 39% 39% 38% 37%
Trustworthy 34%       30% 29% 30% 34%
Keeps its promises 33% +1   28% 33% 32% 25% 30% 32%

 

The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – too close to the big corporate and financial interest (67%), will promise anything to win votes (64%) and out of touch with ordinary people (64%).

Main changes since November last year, were – divided (down 8%), has a good team of leaders (up 8%) and clear about what they stand for (up 5%).

Attributes of the Labor Party

Aug 1, 2018

Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?

  Total Change   Jul 2009 April 2011 Aug 2013 Nov 2015 Jun 2016 Nov 2018
Will promise to do anything to win votes 68% -1   57% 72% 65% 64% 64% 69%
Looks after the interests of working people 57% -1     39% 53% 55% 56% 58%
Divided 56% +5   30% 66% 66% 58% 49% 51%
Moderate 53% +1   65% 51% 48% 56% 54% 52%
Have a vision for the future 50% +1     43% 49% 42% 48% 49%
Understands the problems facing Australia 50% +2   62% 40% 50% 48% 49% 48%
Out of touch with ordinary people 48% -4   44% 61% 51% 52% 46% 52%
Clear about what they stand for 46% +1     28% 38% 37% 43% 45%
Have good policies 45% +1       46% 42% 46% 44%
Has a good team of leaders 38% -1   60% 34% 36% 33% 39% 39%
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 37% -5     46% 31% 37% 35% 42%
Extreme 34% -7   25% 38% 34% 30% 30% 41%
Keeps its promises 34% +3   44% 20% 27% 29% 31% 31%
Trustworthy 33% +1       30% 34% 33% 32%

 

The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (68%), looks after the interests of working people (57%), divided (56%) and moderate (53%).

Since this question was asked in November last year, the main changes have been for extreme (down 7%), divided (up 5%) and too close to the big corporate and financial interests (down 5%).

Party Attributes Comparison – Labor vs Liberal

Aug 1, 2018
  Liberal Labor   Difference
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests 67% 37% +30
Out of touch with ordinary people 64% 48% +16
Has a good team of leaders 45% 38% +7
Moderate 56% 53% +3
Have a vision for the future 52% 50% +2
Have good policies 46% 45% +1
Trustworthy 34% 33% +1
Divided 56% 56%
Extreme 34% 34%
Clear about what they stand for 45% 46% -1
Keeps its promises 33% 34% -1
Will promise to do anything to win votes 64% 68% -4
Understands the problems facing Australia 42% 50% -8
Looks after the interests of working people 37% 57% -20

The Labor Party is viewed more favourably in terms of looking after the interests of working people (-20) and not being too close to the big corporate and financial interests (+30) or out of touch with ordinary people (+16).

The Labor Party is also more likely to understand the problems facing Australia (-8) and the Liberal Party more likely to have a good team of leaders (+7).

Statements about party leaders

Aug 1, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

 

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
Political parties should not change leaders before elections 64% 21%   21% 43% 17% 4% 14%
Political parties have every right to change leaders before elections 46% 42%   10% 36% 27% 15% 12%
Political parties should replace their leader if they are unpopular with voters 56% 29%   13% 43% 22% 7% 15%
If one of the major parties changed their leader I would be more likely to support them 24% 49%   5% 19% 35% 14% 27%
If one of the major parties changed their leaders I would be less likely to support them 30% 44%   6% 24% 33% 11% 26%
The leader of a party has little impact on my vote 41% 49%   9% 32% 34% 15% 9%

 

While 64% agreed that political parties should not change leaders before elections, 46% agreed they have the right to change leaders and 56% agreed that they should replace a leader who is unpopular.

Nearly half (49%) rejected the statement that the leader of the party has little impact on their vote, while 30% said changing leaders would make them less likely to vote for a party and 24% said it would make them more likely.

Labor voters were divided over voting for a party that changed leaders (28% more likely/30% less likely) while Liberal National voters were much less likely to support them (23% more likely/37% less likely).

Federal voting intention

Jul 16, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago

3/718

4 weeks ago 19/6/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 37%   36% 35%    
National 4%   4% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 40%   40% 38%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 35%   34.7%
Greens 10%   11% 11%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 1%   1% 2%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 7%    
Other/Independent 6%   5% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 49%   48% 48%   50.4%
Labor 51%   52% 52%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.