Gun laws

Jul 21, 2015

Q. Do you think Australian gun ownership laws are too strong, not strong enough or about right?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Too strong

6%

5%

6%

1%

13%

Not strong enough

45%

47%

48%

30%

47%

About right

40%

37%

41%

61%

35%

Don’t know

10%

11%

5%

8%

6%

45% think Australia’s gun laws are not strong enough and 40% think they are about right. Only 6% think they are too strong.

Those most likely to think the gun laws are not strong enough were aged 55+ (64%) and live in NSW (52%).

Those most likely to think the gun laws are about right were women (45%), aged 18-34 (53%), Greens voters (61%) and live in Victoria (48%).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

Sample size = 1,771 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal   39% 38% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 42% 41% 41% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 38%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 8% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago16/6/15 2 weeks ago 30/6/15 Last week7/7/15 This week 14/7/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Approval of Tony Abbott

Jul 14, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
Nat
Vote GRN Vote Other   Sep 13 Mar 14 June 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15
Total approve 37% 12% 81% 1% 26%   41% 40% 35% 32% 31% 33% 36% 39%
Total disapprove 53% 83% 13% 93% 63%   36% 47% 58% 55% 56% 58% 54% 50%
Strongly approve 11% 2% 26% 1% 5% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 7% 10% 11%
Approve 26% 10% 55% 21% 27% 29% 25% 24% 24% 26% 26% 28%
Disapprove 24% 32% 11% 28% 36% 13% 20% 18% 22% 22% 28% 25% 23%
Strongly disapprove 29% 51% 2% 65% 27% 23% 27% 40% 33% 34% 30% 29% 27%
Don’t know 10% 5% 5% 6% 11% 23% 12% 7% 12% 12% 9% 11% 12%

37% of respondents approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – down 2% since the last time this question was asked in June – and 53% disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing (up 3%). This represents a 5-point change in his net rating from -11 to -16.

81% (no change) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 13% (up 2%) disapproving. 83% of Labor voters and 93% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.

By gender men were 38% approve/56% disapprove and women 35% approve/51% disapprove.

Approval of Bill Shorten

Jul 14, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
Nat
Vote
GRN
Vote Other   Nov 13 Mar 14 June 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15
Total approve 27% 50% 16% 20% 19% 31% 32% 38% 35% 34% 33% 32% 32%
Total disapprove 52% 29% 70% 62% 68% 27% 39% 40% 39% 39% 42% 41% 45%
Strongly approve 5% 12% 1% 2% 1% 5% 4% 7% 7% 5% 6% 4% 6%
Approve 22% 38% 15% 18% 18% 26% 28% 31% 28% 29% 27% 28% 26%
Disapprove 28% 22% 28% 48% 30% 17% 24% 22% 23% 21% 25% 23% 27%
Strongly disapprove 24% 7% 42% 14% 38% 10% 15% 18% 16% 18% 17% 18% 18%
Don’t know 21% 21% 14% 19% 13% 43% 29% 22% 26% 27% 25% 27% 22%

27% (down 5%) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 52% (up 7%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -13 to -25, his lowest since becoming leader.

50% (down 8%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 29% (up 6%) disapprove.

28% of men and 26% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 57% of men and 47% of women disapprove.

Better Prime Minister

Jul 14, 2015

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten? 

  Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/
Nat
Vote GRN Vote Other   Oct 13 Mar 14 June 14 Sep 14 Dec 14 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15
Tony Abbott 37% 9% 83% 1% 33% 41% 39% 36% 35% 31% 33% 32% 35% 38%
Bill Shorten 30% 61% 3% 54% 23% 22% 33% 40% 36% 36% 37% 35% 32% 33%
Don’t know 33% 30% 14% 45% 44% 37% 28% 24% 30% 33% 30% 33% 33% 29%

37% (down 1% since June) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 30% (down 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister. This is Tony Abbott’s best result since April last year.

38% of men prefer Tony Abbott and 31% prefer Bill Shorten – and women prefer Tony Abbott 36% to 29%.

Australian Constitution

Jul 14, 2015

Q. If a referendum was held to include recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the Australian Constitution, would you vote for or against?

   Total    Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2014
Vote for 61% 70% 54% 88% 48% 58%
Vote against 16% 13% 21% 3% 27% 10%
Not sure 23% 17% 25% 9% 24% 32%

61% would vote in a referendum to include recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the Australian Constitution and only 16% would vote against. 23% were not sure how they would vote.

This represents an increase since last August for both the yes vote (+3%) and the no vote (+6%) with “not sure” dropping from 32% to 23%.

88% of Greens voters and 70% of Labor voters would vote for the change compared to 54% of Liberal/National voters.

Climate change

Jul 14, 2015

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

  Total   Vote Lab Vote Lib/ Nat Vote GRN Vote other   Nov 2009 Dec 2010 Jun 2011 Oct 2012 Oct 2013 Dec 2014 Mar 2015
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 56% 70% 40% 95% 43% 53% 45% 50% 48% 52% 57% 54%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 31% 20% 50% 5% 42% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 29% 31%
Don’t know 12% 10% 10% 15% 13% 19% 12% 13% 12% 14% 15%

56% (up 2% since March) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 31% (no change) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is the second highest belief in climate change recorded over the last 6 years.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 63%/21% and those aged 55+ split 47%/45%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 68%/22%.

Countries doing enough on climate change

Jul 14, 2015

Q. As far as you know, do you think the following countries are doing enough, not enough or too much to address climate change?

  Doing enough Not doing enough Doing too much Don’t know   Doing enough

Dec 2014

Not doing enough Dec 2014
Australia 28% 53% 6% 14% 26% 51%
USA 18% 57% 3% 23% 17% 53%
China 11% 69% 1% 19% 9% 63%

53% of respondents think Australia is not doing enough to address climate change – while 57% think the USA is not doing enough and 69% think China is not doing enough. Only 28% think that Australia is doing enough.

Those most likely to think Australia is not doing enough were aged 18-34 (60%), Greens voters (95%), Labor voters (69%) and people with university education (65%).

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