Bill Shorten

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017
Total Approve 37% 66% 23% 39% 20%   33% 32% 36% 36%
Total Disapprove 44% 20% 67% 42% 66%   46% 49% 45% 47%
Strongly approve 8% 17% 5% 9% 3% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Approve 29% 49% 18% 30% 17% 26% 25% 29% 29%
Disapprove 23% 16% 29% 32% 30% 25% 26% 23% 25%
Strongly disapprove 21% 4% 38% 10% 36% 21% 23% 22% 22%
Don’t know 19%   14% 10% 21% 15%   21% 20% 19% 17%
  June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
Total Approve 34% 30% 35% 27% 35%
Total Disapprove 43% 49% 38% 47% 39%
Strongly approve 5% 4% 6% 4% 7%
Approve 29% 26% 29% 23% 28%
Disapprove 28% 26% 21% 26% 23%
Strongly disapprove 15% 23% 17% 21% 16%
Don’t know 23% 22% 25% 25% 26%

37% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 4% from last month), and 44% disapproved (down 2%) – a change in net approval rating from -13 to -7.

66% (up 5%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 39% of Greens voters and 23% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 44% approve/47% disapprove and women 30% approve/40% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Feb 2018 Jan 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017
Malcolm Turnbull 41% 21% 82% 25% 32%   42% 42% 42% 43%
Bill Shorten 26% 55% 5% 38% 16%   27% 25% 28% 29%
Don’t know 33%   24% 13% 37% 53%   31% 33% 31% 28%
June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Jun 2016 Dec 2015
39% 38% 39% 40% 54%
26% 26% 28% 29% 15%
34% 36% 33% 32% 31%

41% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister (down 1% from last month), and 26% thought Bill Shorten would be better (down 1%). 33% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 82% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 55% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (38%) to Malcolm Turnbull (25%).

49% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 27% prefer Bill Shorten.

33% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.

Adani coal mine

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Indian mining company Adani wants to build a large new coal mine in the Galilee Basin in Queensland which would produce coal to be exported back to India. Which of the following positions is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
The Liberal Party position – Support the mine and will allow it to go ahead 26% 15% 50% 9% 26%
The Labor Party position – Do not support the mine but will not revoke Adani’s licence to develop the mine 19% 38% 10% 10% 11%
The Greens position – Oppose the mine and will not allow it to go ahead 30% 31% 19% 69% 40%
Don’t know 24% 16% 21% 13% 24%

30% support the Greens position on the Adani coal mine – to oppose the mine and not allow it to go ahead. 26% support the Liberal Party position of supporting the coal mine and 19% support the Labor position of opposing the mine but not revoking their licence to develop the mine.

Among their own voters, the Greens have the highest support – 69% of Greens voters support the Greens position, 50% of Liberal voters support the Liberal position and 38% of Labor voters support the Labor position. 40% of minor party and independent voters and 31% of Labor voters support the Greens position.

Economic measures

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Would you support or oppose each of the following?

  Total support Total  oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
Reduce corporate tax to stimulate investment 42% 39% 11% 31% 24% 15% 19%
Increase the Newstart allowance to increase consumer spending 52% 32% 18% 34% 21% 11% 16%
Regulate energy prices to reduce cost of living pressures 83% 7% 49% 34% 5% 2% 10%
Create a partnership between business, unions and government to better share the benefits of economic growth 66% 11% 18% 48% 7% 4% 23%

There was majority support for regulating energy prices (83%), creating a partnership between business, unions and Government (66%) and increasing the Newstart allowance (52%). Respondents were divided on reducing corporate tax (42% support/39% oppose).

61% of Liberal National voters support reducing corporate tax while 52% of Labor voters and 60% of Greens voters oppose.

Benefits of economic measures

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Who do you think would benefit from each of these measures?

  Big business Small business Workers People on low incomes The economy overall None of them Don’t know
Reduce corporate tax to stimulate investment 52% 29% 21% 14% 27% 2% 14%
Increase the Newstart allowance to increase consumer spending 10% 19% 18% 53% 24% 11% 14%
Regulate energy prices to reduce cost of living pressures 20% 35% 47% 59% 43% 3% 9%
Create a partnership between business, unions and government to better share the benefits of economic growth 28% 29% 30% 19% 37% 9% 23%

A majority think that big business will benefit from corporate tax cuts but only 21% think workers will benefit.

53% think people on low incomes will benefit from increasing the Newstart allowance.

Those most likely to benefit from regulating energy prices were thought to be people on low incomes (59%), workers (47%) and small business (35%).

The benefits of a partnership between business, unions and government were spread between big business (28%), small business (29%) and workers (30%).

Actions of most benefit to the economy overall were reducing energy prices (43%) and creating a partnership between business, unions and government (37%). Only 27% think reducing corporate tax will benefit the economy overall.

Same sex marriage

Mar 13, 2018

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Oct 2013 Jun 2014 Oct 2015 Jul 2016 Jun 2017 Oct 2017
Should be allowed to marry 65% 76% 54% 89% 54%   57% 60% 59% 58% 61% 61%
Should not be allowed to marry 26% 17% 37% 5% 41%   31% 28% 30% 28% 26% 32%
Don’t know 9%   7% 9% 6% 4%   12% 12% 11% 14% 13% 7%

Support for same sex marriage appears to have increased a little since the national vote.

65% thought that people of the same sex should be able to marry and 26% thought that they should not.

Women (67% support) were more likely than men (62%) to support same sex marriage.

76% of 18-34 year olds supported same sex marriage, compared to 52% of over 65 year olds.

Federal voting intention

Feb 27, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   2 weeks ago 13/2/18 4 weeks ago 30/1/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 32%   33% 32%    
National 3%   3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 35%   36% 35%   42.0%
Labor 35%   37% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   4% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   6% 8%    
Other/Independent 10%   7% 8%   13.1%
2 party preferred            
Liberal National 47%   46% 46%   50.4%
Labor 53%   54% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Bans on sex

Feb 27, 2018

Q. Do you support or oppose the following bans on sex?

  Total support Total oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
Ban on sex between Ministers and their staff 50% 32%   24% 26% 20% 12% 19%
Ban on politicians having extra-marital sex 44% 36%   25% 19% 21% 15% 21%
Ban on sex between managers and their staff in the workplace 48% 35%   22% 26% 22% 13% 17%
Ban on sex between workmates in general 22% 55%   9% 13% 33% 22% 22%

 

  Total support   Vote Labor Vote LNP Vote Greens Vote other
Ban on sex between Ministers and their staff 50%   51% 44% 57% 58%
Ban on politicians having extra-marital sex 44%   46% 43% 45% 46%
Ban on sex between managers and their staff in the workplace 48%   49% 51% 51% 47%
Ban on sex between workmates in general 22%   23% 23% 23% 25%

 

50% support a ban on sex between Ministers and their staff and they are also more likely to support than oppose bans on politicians having extra-marital sex (44% to 36%) and bans on sex between managers and their staff in the workplace (48% to 35%).  However they do not support a ban on sex between workmates in general (55% oppose).

Liberal National voters are less likely to support a ban on sex between Ministers and their staff (44% support and 44% oppose).

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