Impact on house prices

Feb 28, 2017

Q. What do you think would be the impact on house prices of limiting negative gearing and reducing the concession on Capital Gains Tax?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
House prices would fall 19%   22% 17% 17% 21%
House prices would continue to rise but at a slower rate 32%   34% 34% 40% 27%
House prices would continue to rise at the same rate 17%   14% 22% 16% 21%
Don’t know 32%   30% 27% 26% 31%

 

51% think that limiting negative gearing and reducing the concession on Capital Gains Tax would have an impact on house prices. 19% think house prices would fall and 32% think they would rise at a slower rate. Only 17% think house prices would continue to rise at the same rate.

There were not major differences across demographic and voter groups.

Most important issue

Feb 28, 2017

Q. Which issue do you think is more important for the Federal government to address – rising energy prices or housing affordability?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Rising energy prices 44%   39% 51% 27% 56%   29% 46% 59%
Housing affordability 46%   51% 43% 65% 39%   57% 44% 36%
Don’t know 10%   10% 6% 8% 5%   14% 10% 5%

 

46% think housing affordability is a more important issue and 44% think rising energy prices are a more important issue.

Those most likely to think housing affordability is more important were Greens voters (65%), aged 18-34 (58%) and those with university education (54%)

Those most likely to think energy prices are more important were Liberal/National voters (51%) and those aged 55+ (59%).

Royal Commission into banking

Feb 28, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry?

  Total

 

  Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   April 2016 Aug 2016
Total support 64%   74% 56% 76% 62%   59% 64%
Total oppose 16%   6% 26% 10% 20%   15% 13%
Strongly support 33%   40% 22% 54% 38%   27% 28%
Support 31%   34% 34% 22% 24%   32% 36%
Oppose 11%   5% 17% 9% 14%   11% 9%
Strongly oppose 5%   1% 9% 1% 6%   4% 4%
Don’t know 21%   19% 17% 13% 18%   25% 23%

 

There was majority support for holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector – 64% supported a Royal Commission and 16% opposed. This is no significant change since August last year.

Those most likely to support a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector were Labor voters (74%) and Greens voters 76%).

Federal voting intention

Feb 21, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 14/2/17 2 weeks ago 31/1/17 4 weeks ago 24/1/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   34% 33% 33%    
National 3%   3% 2% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 36% 35%   42.0%
Labor 34%   35% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 8% 10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 4%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 10%   10% 10% 9%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   48% 47% 46%   50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 53% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,803. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Climate change

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2009 Dec 2010 Jun 2011 Oct 2012 Oct 2013 Dec 2014 Nov 2015 Aug 2016 Dec 2016
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 60% 75% 49% 90% 44% 53% 45% 50% 48% 52% 57% 56% 57% 54%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 25% 14% 37% 3% 41% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 29% 32% 26% 27%
Don’t know 14% 10% 13% 7% 15% 13% 19% 12% 13% 12% 14% 12% 17% 18%

 

60% (up 6% since December) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 25% (down 2%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 70%/15% and those aged 55+ split 47%/40%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 72%/19%.

50% renewable energy target

Feb 21, 2017

Q. The Labor Party has committed to a target of 50% renewable energy by 2030. Do you approve or disapprove of this policy?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015
Total approve 65%   82% 55% 89% 56%   65%
Total disapprove 18%   5% 32% 1% 29%   16%
Strongly approve 25%   43% 11% 49% 17%   25%
Approve 40%   39% 44% 40% 39%   40%
Disapprove 9%   4% 16% 1% 10%   9%
Strongly disapprove 9%   1% 16% 19%   7%
Don’t know 16%   13% 13% 10% 15%   19%

 

65% approve of the Labor Party commitment to a target of 50% renewable energy by 2030 and 18% disapprove. These figures are little changed since the question was asked in 2015.

 

A very high majority of Labor voters (82%) and Greens voters (89%) approve.

 

Liberal/National voters were split but more likely to approve (55%) than disapprove (32%).

Cause of black outs

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Some people have said recent power black outs are a result of too much reliance on renewable energy. Others have said they have occurred because of failures in the way the energy market responds to extreme weather events (i.e. storms and high temperatures) or that privatization of services is the problem. Which is closest to your view?

 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
The power black outs are the result of too much reliance on renewable energy 16%   13% 26% 4% 17%
The power black outs are due mainly to failures of the energy market in responding to extreme weather events 45%   45% 45% 64% 38%
The power black outs are due mainly to the privatization of electricity supply 19%   24% 13% 22% 25%
Don’t know 20%   18% 15% 10% 20%

 

45% believe that recent blackouts are due mainly to failures of the energy market in responding to extreme weather events, 19% think they are mainly due to privatization of electricity supply and 16% think they are a result of too much reliance on renewable energy.

26% of Liberal National voters think they are due to a reliance on renewable energy.

51% of those with university education think they are due mainly to failures of the energy market.

Although a small sample, 36% of South Australians think they are due to privatization.

Renewable energy

Feb 21, 2017

Q. Do you think renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs or is renewable energy a threat to our future energy supply?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2016
The solution to our energy needs 64%   72% 58% 90% 55%   60%
A threat to future energy supply 14%   10% 20% 6% 20%   16%
Don’t know 22%   17% 22% 4% 24%   24%

64% (up 4% since October) agree more that renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs and 14% (down 2%) think it is a threat to future energy supply.

72% of Labor voters and 90% of Greens voters think it is the solution to future energy needs.

Although a small sample, 51% of South Australians think it is the solution and 19% think it is a threat.

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