Concern about religious freedoms

Sep 26, 2017

Q. How concerned are you that allowing same-sex marriage may impact on religious freedoms?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Very concerned 20%   18% 24% 6% 24%   6% 47%
Concerned 15%   14% 21% 8% 15%   7% 28%
Not very concerned 16%   15% 17% 16% 18%   18% 12%
Not at all concerned 42%   48% 32% 65% 37%   65% 8%
Don’t know 7%   5% 7% 4% 5%   4% 5%

 

 

20% say they are very concerned and 15% concerned that allowing same-sex marriage may impact on religious freedoms while 58% are not concerned.

75% of those who don’t support same-sex marriage say they are concerned about religious freedoms.

Change in concern about religious freedoms

Sep 26, 2017

Q. Over the last couple of weeks, have your concerns about the impact on religious freedoms increased or decreased or stayed about the same?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
Concerns have increased 24%   20% 30% 10% 31%   9% 51%
Concerns have decreased 5%   6% 5% 11% 3%   7% 4%
Stayed about the same 61%   64% 60% 73% 61%   77% 38%
Not sure 9%   11% 5% 6% 5%   7% 7%

 

 

24% say their concerns that allowing same-sex marriage may impact on religious freedoms has increased while 65% say their concerns have stayed the same or decreased.

51% of those who don’t support same-sex marriage say their concerns have increased.

Beliefs

Sep 26, 2017

Q. Do you believe or disbelieve the following propositions?

  Total believe Total disbelieve   Strongly believe Somewhat believe Somewhat disbelieve Strongly disbelieve Not sure
Heaven and hell both exist as destinations after life. 40% 42%   20% 20% 13% 29% 19%
Angels and demons are active in the world. 39% 46%   19% 20% 14% 32% 15%
Ghosts exist and can influence their will on the living. 35% 50%   9% 26% 18% 32% 16%
Extra-terrestrials have visited the earth. 34% 44%   10% 24% 18% 26% 23%
The story of creation in the book of Genesis is a true account of the first man and woman. 34% 48%   14% 20% 13% 35% 18%
Global warming is a hoax perpetrated by scientists. 21% 68%   9% 12% 19% 49% 11%
The vibrations from wind farms cause long term health damage. 16% 58%   5% 11% 19% 39% 26%
Vaccines can cause autism. 14% 70%   4% 10% 18% 52% 16%

 

A substantial minority believe that –

  • Heaven and hell both exist as destinations after life. (40%)
  • Angels and demons are active in the world. (39%)
  • Ghosts exist and can influence their will on the living. (35%)
  • Extra-terrestrials have visited the earth. (34%)
  • The story of creation in the book of Genesis is a true account of the first man and woman. (34%)

 

A majority do not believe that –

  • Global warming is a hoax perpetrated by scientists. (68%)
  • The vibrations from wind farms cause long term health damage. (58%)
  • Vaccines can cause autism. (70%)

Health insurance

Sep 26, 2017

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements about health insurance?

  Total agree Total disagree Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
The government should do more to keep private health insurance affordable 85% 7% 49% 36% 5% 2% 7%
If the private health insurance industry wants to increase fees it should have limits to the profits it can make. 84% 8% 50% 34% 6% 2% 8%
The government should cap increases in private health insurance premiums at the level of inflation. 82% 7% 47% 35% 5% 2% 11%
Health insurance isn’t worth the money you pay for it. 60% 27%   29% 31% 20% 7% 12%
The private health industry provides value for money 31% 59% 7% 24% 31% 28% 11%

 

  Total agree Total disagree Have health insurance agree Have health insurance disagree Had health insurance agree Had health insurance disagree Never had health insurance agree Never had health insurance disagree
The government should do more to keep private health insurance affordable 85% 7% 92% 5% 77% 11% 76% 12%
If the private health insurance industry wants to increase fees it should have limits to the profits it can make. 84% 8% 88% 7% 85% 5% 76% 9%
The government should cap increases in private health insurance premiums at the level of inflation. 82% 7% 87% 7% 81% 7% 71% 9%
Health insurance isn’t worth the money you pay for it. 60% 27%   53% 37% 82% 10% 68% 12%
The private health industry provides value for money 31% 59% 42% 50% 13% 79% 14% 68%

 

There was very strong agreement with the statements that “The government should do more to keep private health insurance affordable “ (85%), “If the private health insurance industry wants to increase fees it should have limits to the profits it can make” (84%) and “The government should cap increases in private health insurance premiums at the level of inflation” (82%).

60% agreed that “Health insurance isn’t worth the money you pay for it “ and 59% disagreed that “The private health industry provides value for money”.

 

 

Federal voting intention

Sep 19, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 12/9/17 2 weeks ago 5/9/17 4 weeks ago 22/8/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   33% 33% 34%    
National 3%   3% 4% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 38%   36% 36% 37%   42.0%
Labor 36%   37% 37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10% 10% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   2% 2% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   9% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 5%   6% 6% 6%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 48%   46% 47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 52%   54% 53% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,808. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Same-sex marriage

Sep 19, 2017

Q. Do you support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Yes 55%   65% 47% 83% 44%
No 34%   28% 42% 13% 45%
Don’t know 11%   7% 12% 4% 12%

 

  Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Will

def-initely vote

Will prob-ably vote Will not vote Already voted   5 Sep
Yes 55%   47% 62% 61% 54% 51%   63% 50% 18% 59%   59%
No 34%   41% 27% 27% 33% 41%   33% 31% 56% 37%   31%
Don’t know 11%   11% 11% 12% 13% 8%   4% 19% 25% 5%   11%

 

59% (down 4% from 2 weeks ago) support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry and 34% (up 3%) are opposed.

Those most in favour of changing the marriage laws are Labor voters (65%), Greens voters (83%), women (62%) and those aged 18-34 (61%).

Those who would definitely vote in the national survey are more likely to support same-sex marriage (63%). 59% of hose who have already voted support same-sex marriage and 37% oppose.

Likelihood of voting

Sep 19, 2017

Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Will definitely vote 62%   64% 66% 68% 66%
Will probably vote 12%   12% 12% 10% 12%
Will probably not vote 2%   2% 3% 1%
Will definitely not vote 3%   3% 2% 5% 6%
Not sure 8%   7% 6% 2% 6%
I have already voted 9%   9% 10% 9% 8%
I am not enrolled to vote at my current address 5%   2% 1% 4% 2%

 

  Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage 5 Sep
Will definitely vote 62%   55% 64% 56% 61% 69%   71% 60% 62%
Will probably vote 12%   14% 10% 18% 11% 6%   11% 11% 16%
Will probably not vote 2%   2% 2% 3% 2% 1%   1% 3% 4%
Will definitely not vote 3%   4% 3% 4% 5% 1%   1% 6% 3%
Not sure 8%   9% 7% 9% 9% 5%   3% 6% 10%
I have already voted 9%   8% 9% 4% 7% 15%   9% 9%
I am not enrolled to vote at my current address 5%   4% 5% 6% 5% 3%   4% 5% 4%

 

62% (no change from 2 weeks ago) say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 12% (down 4%) will probably vote. However, 9% say they have already voted.

71% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 60% of those opposed.

Climate change

Sep 19, 2017

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2009 Dec 2010 Jun 2011 Oct 2012 Oct 2013 Dec 2014 Nov 2015 Aug 2016 Dec 2016 Feb 2017
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 64% 74% 57% 86% 54% 53% 45% 50% 48% 52% 57% 56% 57% 54% 60%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 24% 17% 34% 9% 37% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 29% 32% 26% 27% 25%
Don’t know 12% 9% 10% 6% 8% 13% 19% 12% 13% 12% 14% 12% 17% 18% 14%

60% (up 4% since February) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 24% (down 1%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate.

 

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 68%/18% and those aged 55+ split 54%/36%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 72%/18%.

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