Federal voting intention

Dec 19, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 12/12/17 2 weeks ago 5/12/17 4 weeks ago 21/11/17   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 34%   33% 32% 32%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 37%   35% 35% 35%   42.0%
Labor 38%   38% 38% 38%   34.7%
Greens 9%   10% 9% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   2% 2% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   7% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 7%   7% 8% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 47%   46% 45% 46%   50.4%
Labor 53%   54% 55% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,817. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Political donations

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose introducing the following requirement concerning political donation?

  Total support Total oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know Total support (Jun 2017) Total oppose (Jun 2017)
Political donations to be reported immediately by political parties, compared to annual reports at the moment 84% 6% 46% 38% 5% 1% 11% 78% 5%
All politicians to publicly disclose meetings with representatives of companies, donors or unions 82% 5% 44% 38% 4% 1% 12% 79% 6%
A ban on foreign donations 67% 16% 42% 25% 12% 4% 16% 64% 15%
A cap on donations of $5000 59% 20% 27% 32% 16% 4% 22% 61% 15%
A ban on political donations by companies and unions 58% 22% 27% 31% 18% 4% 21% 60% 16%
All donations banned and all political party spending to be taxpayer funded 30% 50%   13% 17% 23% 27% 21% 30% 46%

 

 


 

 

Support by party preference Total support   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Political donations to be reported immediately by political parties, compared to annual reports at the moment 84% 87% 86% 89% 89%
All politicians to publicly disclose meetings with representatives of companies, donors or unions 82% 83% 89% 83% 86%
A ban on foreign donations 67% 66% 74% 68% 75%
A cap on donations of $5000 59% 63% 60% 58% 65%
A ban on political donations by companies and unions 58% 53% 63% 64% 65%
All donations banned and all political party spending to be taxpayer funded 30%   36% 29% 30% 25%

 

 

There was majority support for all listed reforms except taxpayer funding for political parties (30% support/50% oppose).

There was particularly strong support for immediate reporting of donations (84%, up 6% from June) and public disclosure of meetings (82%, up 3%).

There were few major differences by party preference.

Last 12 months

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Thinking about the last 12 months, has it been a good or bad year for each of the following?

  Total good Total bad NET   Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know   2013 NET 2014 NET 2015 NET 2016 NET
The Australian economy 35% 24% +11   5% 30% 35% 19% 5% 6%   -13 -13 -11 -19
Australian politics in general 18% 54% -36   3% 15% 22% 32% 22% 6%   -62 -53 -41 -53
Large companies and corporations 39% 17% +22   8% 31% 35% 13% 4% 10%   -9 +14 +5 +5
Small business 30% 32% -2   5% 25% 31% 24% 8% 8%   -45 -28 -12 -22
Trade unions 19% 26% -7   5% 14% 39% 18% 8% 17%   -25 -18 -27 -18
The average Australian 28% 34% -6   5% 23% 34% 24% 10% 6%   -22 -23 -14 -18
Your personal financial situation 32% 31% +1   4% 28% 35% 18% 13% 3%   -8 -11 -6 -8
Your workplace (workers) 50% 16% +34   10% 40% 31% 11% 5% 3%   +8 -5 +14 +12
You and your family overall 48% 21% +27   10% 38% 28% 14% 7% 3%   +18 +3 +21 +12
The planet 20% 42% -22   3% 17% 32% 29% 13% 6%     -32

 

 

 

Respondents believed that 2016 has been a relatively good year for large companies (+22), your workplace (+34), you and your family overall (+27) and the Australian economy (+11). It was considered a particularly bad year for Australian politics in general (-36).

 

Relative to 2016 (as measured in December last year), this year was considered substantially better on all measures – but especially for the economy (up 30), small business (up 20) and your workplace (up 22).

Level of taxation

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Do you think the following pay too much tax, not enough tax or about the right amount?

  Pay too much Don’t pay enough Pay about right amount Don’t know   Jan 2017 Pay too much Jan 2017 Don’t pay enough Jan 2017 Pay about right amount Jan 2017 Don’t know
People on low incomes 52% 6% 32% 10%   46% 7% 34% 13%
People on average incomes 45% 7% 40% 8%   43% 6% 39% 12%
You personally 35% 7% 46% 13%   39% 5% 42% 14%
Small businesses 41% 10% 38% 12%   37% 8% 39% 17%
Retirees on large incomes 16% 31% 32% 22%   13% 31% 31% 24%
Religious organisations 5% 53% 20% 19%   3% 58% 18% 21%
People on high incomes 9% 63% 19% 9%   11% 59% 18% 12%
Mining companies 6% 61% 17% 16%   5% 61% 13% 21%
Large businesses 7% 69% 13% 11%   6% 65% 13% 16%
Large international companies (such as Google and Apple) 5% 72% 10% 13%   2% 72% 9% 17%

 

 

From the groups listed, people on low income (52%), people on average incomes (45%), you personally (35%) and small businesses (41%) and were the groups respondents were most likely to think pay too much tax.

More than half of respondents believe that large international companies (72%), large businesses (69%), mining companies (61%), people on high incomes (63%) and religious organisations (53%) do not pay enough tax.

Results were generally similar to when this question was asked in January.

Company tax cuts

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government giving $50 billion in tax cuts to medium and large businesses?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2017
Total approve 29%   21% 46% 16% 20%   30%
Total disapprove 54%   67% 37% 70% 68%   50%
Strongly approve 8%   7% 12% 5% 5%   8%
Approve 21%   14% 34% 11% 15%   22%
Disapprove 29%   32% 25% 35% 33%   28%
Strongly disapprove 25%   35% 12% 35% 35%   22%
Don’t know 17%   12% 17% 15% 12%   20%

 

 

29% approve of the Government giving $50 billion in tax cuts to medium and large businesses and 54% disapprove (up 4% since October). Nearly half of Liberal National voters approve, and more than two-thirds of Labor, Greens and other voters disapprove.

Most important tax cuts

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Do you think it is more important to give tax cuts to businesses or to cut personal income tax? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Tax cuts for businesses 8%   10% 10% 6% 5%
Cut personal income tax 47%   52% 45% 54% 54%
Both equally important 33%   29% 39% 31% 32%
Don’t know 11%   9% 6% 9% 9%

 

47% think it is more important to cut personal income tax than to give tax cuts to businesses. Only 8% think it is more important to give tax cuts to businesses and 33% think they are both equally important.

 

More than half of Labor, Greens and other voters think personal tax cuts are more important – however, views of Liberal National voters were not very dissimilar (45%). No more than 10% of any voter group thought tax cuts for businesses was most important.

Relationships with other countries

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Do you think Australia currently has good or poor relationships with the following countries?

  Total good Total poor   Very good Good Neither good nor poor Poor Very poor Don’t know   Aug 2014

good

Aug 2014 poor
New Zealand 76% 4%   30% 46% 12% 3% 1% 7%   87% 2%
United Kingdom 72% 3%   24% 48% 15% 2% 1% 9%   86% 2%
USA 65% 7%   16% 49% 20% 6% 1% 7%   88% 2%
Japan 60% 6%   14% 46% 22% 5% 1% 13%   68% 5%
China 48% 15%   6% 42% 28% 12% 3% 8%   65% 7%
India 44% 11%   5% 39% 30% 9% 2% 14%   48% 9%
Indonesia 34% 21%   4% 30% 33% 17% 4% 13%   31% 30%
Russia 17% 28%   2% 15% 39% 21% 7% 16%   10% 48%

 

More than seven in ten think that Australia has good relationships with New Zealand and United Kingdom. About two thirds think relationships with USA and Japan are good

There were mixed opinions on the relationship with Indonesia (34% good/21% poor) and only 17% thought our relationship with Russia is “good”.

Since this question was asked in August 2014, perceptions have changed substantially for relationships with United Kingdom (down 14%), USA (down 23%) and China (down 17%).

Political interference by other countries

Dec 19, 2017

Q. Do you think that interference in Australian politics by foreign countries is a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem at all?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
A major problem 37%   37% 37% 38% 48%
A minor problem 36%   38% 40% 37% 32%
Not a problem at all 12%   13% 13% 9% 6%
Don’t know 16%   11% 10% 15% 14%

 

37% think that interference in Australian politics by foreign countries is a major problem and 36% think it is a minor problem.

Voters for other parties are more likely to think it is a major problem (48%) but Labor, LNP and Greens voters hold similar views.

49% of those aged 55+ think it is a major problem.

Pages:«1...6789101112...436»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.