Groups that benefit from free trade agreements

Jan 31, 2017

Q. How much do you think the following benefit from Free Trade agreements with other countries? 

  Total some/a lot   A lot of benefit Some benefit Little benefit No benefit Don’t know   Nov 2014 some/a lot
The Australian Government 59%   20% 39% 14% 5% 22%   52%
Australian businesses overall 59%   19% 40% 14% 5% 22%   44%
Mining companies 58%   26% 32% 12% 6% 24%   48%
The Australian economy in general 51%   13% 38% 20% 7% 21%   37%
Manufacturing firms 50%   16% 34% 18% 10% 23%   34%
Tourism operators 48%   17% 31% 19% 9% 25%   41%
Farmers 45%   16% 29% 19% 13% 22%   37%
Working people 41%   11% 30% 22% 16% 22%   25%

A majority think that there are some or a lot of benefit from free trade for the Australian Government (59%), businesses overall (59%), mining companies (58%), the Australian economy in general (51%) and manufacturing companies (50%).

There was least benefit for working people (41% benefit/38% little or no benefit).

There have been substantial increases in perceptions of benefit from free trade for all groups since this question was asked in November 2014.

Level of taxation

Jan 31, 2017

Q. Do you think the following pay too much tax, not enough tax or about the right amount?

  Pay too much Don’t pay enough Pay about right amount Don’t know   Mar 2015 Pay too much Mar 2015 Don’t pay enough Mar 2015 Pay about right amount Mar 2015 Don’t know
Large businesses 6% 65% 13% 16%   3% 64% 14% 19%
Small businesses 37% 8% 39% 17%   41% 6% 34% 19%
People on low incomes 46% 7% 34% 13%   47% 5% 36% 13%
People on average incomes 43% 6% 39% 12%   43% 5% 41% 11%
People on high incomes 11% 59% 18% 12%   10% 59% 19% 12%
You personally 39% 5% 42% 14%   36% 4% 47% 13%
Mining companies 5% 61% 13% 21%   4% 67% 12% 17%
Retirees on large incomes 13% 31% 31% 24%   15% 29% 30% 26%
Large international companies (such as Google and Apple) 2% 72% 9% 17%   2% 73% 8% 18%
Religious organisations 3% 58% 18% 21%   5% 53% 16% 26%

From the groups listed, people on low income (46%), people on average incomes (43%), you personally (39%) and small businesses (37%) and were the groups respondents were most likely to think pay too much tax.

More than half of respondents believe that large international companies (72%), large businesses (65%), mining companies (61%), people on high incomes (59%) and religious organisations (58%) do not pay enough tax.

Overall, Labor voters were more likely than Liberal voters to think the following groups pay too much tax – low incomes (Labor 55%/LNP37%) and average incomes (48%/39%).

Labor voters were also more likely to think the following don’t pay enough tax – large businesses (73%/57%), people on high incomes (66%/50%) and mining companies (68%/55%).

Results were very similar to when this question was asked in March 2015.

Impact of higher tax on multinational corporations

Jan 31, 2017

Q. Do you think that making big multinational corporations pay more tax would be good for the economy because it would increase Government revenue or bad for the economy because these companies would stop investing in Australia?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Mar 2015
Good for the economy 60%   64% 57% 75% 64%   60%
Bad for the economy 11%   10% 14% 4% 12%   13%
Don’t know 29%   27% 29% 22% 23%   27%

60% think that making big multinational corporations pay more tax would be good for the economy because it would increase Government revenue and 11% think it would be bad for the economy because these companies would stop investing in Australia. These results are much the same when this question was asked in March 2015.

A majority of all voter groups believe it would be good for the economy. 67% of respondents aged 55+ and 66% of those with university degrees think it would be good for the economy.

Federal voting intention

Jan 24, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   5 weeks ago 20/12/16   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   34%    
National 3%   2%    
Total Liberal/National 35%   37%   42.0%
Labor 37%   37%   34.7%
Greens 10%   10%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 9%   8%    
Other/Independent 6%   6%   13.1%
2 party preferred          
Liberal National 46%   47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53%   49.6%
  1. Sample = 1,813. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Australia Day

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Thursday 26th January is Australia Day. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jan 2010 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016
Doing something to celebrate Australia Day 34%   35% 38% 26% 33%   40% 41% 37% 40% 38%
Just a public holiday 46%   46% 47% 59% 44%   40% 43% 44% 41% 44%
Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday 5%   5% 2% 55 8%   6% 7% 7% 7% 6%
Don’t know 15%   14% 13% 11% 16%   14% 9% 11% 12% 12%

 

 

34% said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 46% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 5% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. This is the lowest proportion celebrating Australia Day over the last 7 years.

 

38% of Liberal/National voters and 41% of those with children say they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day. 59% of Greens treat it as just another public holiday.

Feelings about Australia Day

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Which of the following best describes how you feel about Australia Day?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Jan 2016
A day of national pride 60%   61% 73% 26% 65% 55% 60% 65% 56%
A day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people 12%   12% 4% 46% 9% 15% 14% 8% 14%
It’s irrelevant in the 21st century 7% 5% 85 6% 12% 6% 7% 9% 8%
None of these 15% 16% 11% 17% 13% 14% 14% 16% 16%
Don’t know 6%   5% 4% 5% 2% 10% 5% 2% 6%

 

60% regard Australia Day as a day of national pride and 12% think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people. Only 7% think it is irrelevant.

 

Those most likely to regard it as a day of national pride were Liberal/National voters (73%) and aged 55+ (65%). 46% of Greens voters think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people.

Republic

Jan 24, 2017

Q. Would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Total support 44%   50% 41% 52% 43%
Total oppose 30%   24% 41% 18% 38%
Strongly support 21%   29% 14% 30% 23%
Support 23%   21% 27% 22% 20%
Oppose 18%   14% 27% 12% 20%
Strongly oppose 12%   10% 14% 6% 18%
No opinion 26%   26% 18% 31% 19%

 44% support Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state and 30% oppose. 26% have no opinion.

Those most likely to support were Labor voters (50%), Greens voters (52%), men (53%) and university educated (52%).

Those most likely to oppose were Liberal/National voters (41%) and aged 65+ (44%).

Trust in Institutions

Jan 24, 2017

Q. How much trust do you have in the following institutions and organisations?

  Total

trust

  A lot of trust Some trust A little trust No trust Don’t know % change   Total trust Jun 12 Total trust Mar 13 Total trust Jul 14 Total trust Oct 15 Total trust Sep 16
Federal police 69% 29% 40% 19% 7% 5% +6 67% 63%
State police 67% 25% 42% 23% 6% 4% +4 68% 63%
The High Court 62%   23% 39% 23% 8% 6% +5   60% 74% 57% 60% 57%
The ABC 53%   15% 38% 26% 12% 9%   54% 70% 54% 55% 53%
The Reserve Bank 51%   15% 36% 31% 10% 8% +4   49% 64% 52% 51% 47%
Charitable organisations 45%   8% 37% 36% 14% 5% +2   50% 52% 45% 49% 43%
Environment groups 39%   8% 31% 34% 21% 7%   32% 41% 31% 42% 39%
Your local council 38%   5% 33% 37% 19% 5% +2   34% 33% 40% 36%
The Commonwealth Public Service 36%   5% 31% 37% 16% 10%   30% 36% 31% 38% 36%
State Parliament 31%   5% 26% 32% 31% 6% +5   30% 24% 32% 26%
Federal Parliament 30%   5% 25% 32% 33% 6% +4   22% 34% 25% 32% 26%
Religious organisations 28%   5% 23% 27% 38% 6% +2   27% 27% 26% 30% 26%
Trade unions 27%   5% 22% 30% 34% 9% +2   22% 25% 22% 27% 25%
Business groups 27%   3% 24% 44% 23% 7%   22% 26% 22% 30% 27%
Political parties 17% 3% 14% 34% 44% 6% +3 12% 12% 13% 16% 14%

Note: ‘Total Trust’ is an aggregate figure achieved by adding ‘A lot of trust’ and ‘Some trust’

 

Overall, trust in institutions has increased a little since this question was asked last September.

Respondents had most trust in the Federal police (69%), State police (67%), the High Court (62%), the ABC (53%) and the Reserve Bank (51%). They had least trust in political parties (17%), business groups (27%), trade unions (27%) and religious organisations (28%).

The main changes since the last poll were for Federal Police (up 6%), the High Courts (up 5%) and State Parliament (up 5%).

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