Federal voting intention

Dec 11, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 5/12/17 2 weeks ago 28/11/17 4 weeks ago 14/11/17   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   32% 33% 33%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 35%   35% 36% 36%   42.0%
Labor 38%   38% 38% 38%   34.7%
Greens 10%   9% 9% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 2%   2% 2% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   8% 8% 8%    
Other/Independent 7%   8% 7% 7%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   45% 46% 46%   50.4%
Labor 54%   55% 54% 54%   49.6%

 

  1. Sample = 1,831. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Malcolm Turnbull

Dec 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec  2016 June 2016 Dec 2015
Total Approve 41% 26% 74% 34% 25%   37% 42% 41% 36% 33% 34% 38% 56%
Total Disapprove 44% 60% 21% 50% 67%   49% 43% 46% 45% 50% 46% 40% 23%
Strongly approve 8% 3% 20% 1% 2% 6% 10% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% 13%
Approve 33% 23% 54% 33% 22% 31% 32% 34% 31% 28% 29% 32% 43%
Disapprove 27% 34% 17% 30% 44% 30% 28% 28% 28% 30% 30% 24% 16%
Strongly disapprove 17% 26% 4% 20% 23% 19% 15% 18% 17% 20% 16% 16% 7%
Don’t know 15%   14% 6% 16% 8%   14% 15% 14% 19% 18% 20% 21% 21%

41% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 4% from last month), and 44% disapproved (down 5%) – a change in net approval rating from -12 to -3.

74% (up 4%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 26% of ALP voters and 34% of Greens voters.

By gender, men were 47% approve/46% disapprove and women 36% approve/43% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Dec 11, 2017

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
Total Approve 36%   64% 21% 47% 19%   35% 37% 36% 34% 30% 35% 27% 35%
Total Disapprove 45%   19% 69% 32% 69%   48% 44% 47% 43% 49% 38% 47% 39%
Strongly approve 7%   15% 4% 4% 4%   7% 8% 7% 5% 4% 6% 4% 7%
Approve 29%   49% 17% 43% 15%   28% 29% 29% 29% 26% 29% 23% 28%
Disapprove 23%   17% 28% 28% 34%   27% 27% 25% 28% 26% 21% 26% 23%
Strongly disapprove 22%   2% 41% 4% 35%   21% 17% 22% 15% 23% 17% 21% 16%
Don’t know 19%   17% 10% 20% 12%   17% 19% 17% 23% 22% 25% 25% 26%

36% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 1% from last month), and 45% disapproved (down 3%) – a change in net approval rating from -13 to -9.

64% (no change) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 47% of Greens voters and 21% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 40% approve/49% disapprove and women 33% approve/40% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Dec 11, 2017

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2017 Oct 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017 Dec 2016 Jun 2016 Dec 2015
Malcolm Turnbull 42%   19% 80% 29% 35%   40% 42% 43% 39% 38% 39% 40% 54%
Bill Shorten 28%   55% 5% 51% 20%   28% 28% 29% 26% 26% 28% 29% 15%
Don’t know 31%   27% 15% 21% 45%   33% 31% 28% 34% 36% 33% 32% 31%


42% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (up 2% from last month), and 28% thought Bill Shorten would be better (no change). 31% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 80% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 55% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (51%) to Turnbull (29%).

49% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.

35% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 27% prefer Bill Shorten.

Sexual harassment

Dec 11, 2017

Q. Over the last few months there has been a lot of media attention on sexual harassment and sexual discrimination in the workplace, particularly in certain industries such as the media, film and television (both in Australia and internationally). Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
It is important that these cases of harassment and discrimination are exposed and those involved take responsibility for their past behavior. 71%   76% 70% 81% 60%   69% 73% 75% 68% 71%
Exposing these cases could unfairly harm reputations for things that happened in the past and claims that may be exaggerated. 17%   14% 20% 11% 30%   19% 15% 14% 17% 21%
Not sure 12%   10% 10% 8% 10%   125 12% 11% 15% 8%

 

71% agree it is important to expose cases of sexual harassment and discrimination and 17% think exposing these cases could cause harm. There were not major differences by demographics. Greens voters (81%) were more likely to favour exposing these cases and other party voters less likely (60%).

Impact of sexual harassment media coverage

Dec 11, 2017

Q. And which of the following statements is closest to your view?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
The current media attention on sexual harassment and discrimination will bring about lasting change to the Australian workplace. 55%   57% 58% 67% 44%   53% 56% 55% 53% 57%
The current media attention on sexual harassment and discrimination will soon be forgotten and bring little change to the Australian workplace 30%   26% 32% 23% 44%   32% 27% 30% 30% 29%
Not sure 16%   16% 10% 10% 12%   14% 17% 16% 17% 14%

 

 

55% think that the current attention on sexual harassment and discrimination will bring about lasting change and 30% think it will soon be forgotten.

There were not major differences by demographics. Greens voters (67%) were more likely think it will bring lasting change and other party voters less likely (44%).

Statements about sexual harassment

Dec 11, 2017

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know   Men agree Women agree
Men and women are generally treated equally in the workplace these days 45% 47%   9% 36% 35% 12% 8%   62% 28%
Workplace hiring policies often favour men over women 53% 32%   14% 39% 25% 7% 15%   46% 61%
Sexual harassment is widespread in the Australian workplace. 46% 32%   12% 34% 25% 7% 22%   37% 55%
Women often exaggerate stories about sexual harassment in the workplace. 31% 45%   8% 23% 30% 15% 24%   40% 21%
Sexual harassment in the workplace limits women’s career opportunities. 60% 24%   13% 47% 20% 4% 15%   53% 66%
Discrimination against women is no longer a serious problem in Australian workplaces. 27% 58%   6% 21% 39% 19% 15%   38% 17%
Because company boards and upper management positions are often dominated men, sexual harassment is not addressed or covered up. 49% 27%   13% 38% 21% 6% 21%   46% 57%
Compared to previous generations women have little to complain about in the workplace. 41% 44%   8% 33% 33% 11% 14%   51% 32%

 

There was majority agreement with the statements that sexual harassment in the workplace limits women’s career opportunities (60%) and workplace hiring policies often favour men over women (53%).

A majority (58%) disagreed that discrimination against women is no longer a serious problem in Australian workplaces.

 

There were substantial differences between the answers of men and women on most of these measures, in particular –

  • Men and women are generally treated equally in the workplace these days (62% of men agree, 28% of women agree).
  • Discrimination against women is no longer a serious problem in Australian workplaces (38% of men agree, 17% of women agree).
  • Sexual harassment is widespread in the Australian workplace (37% of men agree, 55% of women agree).
  • Women often exaggerate stories about sexual harassment in the workplace (40% of men agree, 21% of women agree).
  • Compared to previous generations women have little to complain about in the workplace (40% of men agree, 21% of women agree).

Energy policy

Dec 11, 2017

Q. When considering the outcomes of government energy policy, which out of cost, reliability and emissions reduction do you think should be prioritised?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2017
Keeping the cost of energy down should be prioritised 37%   40% 39% 16% 40%   28%
Maintaining the reliability of energy supply should be prioritised 18%   12% 30% 11% 20%   21%
Reducing carbon emissions should be prioritised 15%   18% 12% 38% 7%   19%
We do not need to prioritise – all can be achieved 22%   23% 14% 31% 27%   21%
Don’t know 7%   7% 5% 4% 6%   12%

 

 

37% thought that keeping the costs of energy down should be prioritised over reducing emissions and maintaining network reliability. This was the most popular option for Liberal/National voters (39%), ALP voters (40%) and other party voters (40%). The most popular option among Greens voters was to prioritise the reduction of carbon emissions (38%).

Since this question was asked in June, there has been a substantial increase in those favouring keeping the cost of energy down – up from 28% to 37%.

There were not significant differences across states.

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