Federal politics – voting intention

May 14, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,904 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

16/4/12

2 weeks ago

30/4/12

Last week

7/5/12

This week

14/5/12

Liberal

45%

46%

47%

47%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

50%

50%

50%

Labor

38.0%

31%

31%

29%

30%

Greens

11.8%

11%

11%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

58%

57%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

42%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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