State Voting Intention NSW

Jan 9, 2018

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Mar 2015

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016
Sample 3,205 3,220 3,769 3,867 3,477
First preference vote  
Liberal/National 45.6% 48% 47% 44% 44% 43%
Labor 34.1% 33% 34% 37% 37% 38%
Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9%
Other/Independent 10.0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11%
2PP
Liberal/National 54.3% 56% 56% 52% 52% 51%
Labor 45.7% 44% 44% 48% 48% 49%

 

Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017 Oct-Dec 2017   Oct Nov Dec
3,169 3,757 3,723 3,456   1,442 1,146 868
 
43% 42% 43% 40% 39% 43% 40%
36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 37% 40%
9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9%
12% 11% 10% 11% 11% 10% 11%
 
52% 51% 51% 49% 47% 51% 48%
48% 49% 49% 51% 53% 49% 52%

Labor leads the Liberal/National parties on the two-party preferred vote for the first time since the 2015 election – shifting from 51/49 to the LNP in the September quarter to 51/49 to Labor. On first preferences, the LNP is on 40% (down 5.6% since the election), Labor on 39% (up 4.9%) and Greens 9% (down 1.3%).

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