State voting intention QLD

Jan 9, 2018

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Nov 2017

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016
Sample 1,873 1,893 2,251 2,386 2,085
First preference vote          
LNP 33.7% 42% 40% 40% 38% 34%
Labor 35.4% 39% 40% 37% 37% 36%
Greens 10.0% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10%
One Nation 13.7% 12%
Katter Party 2.3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 4.9% 8% 10% 12% 15% 7%
2PP      
LNP 48.8% 50% 48% 49% 47% 46%
Labor 51.2% 50% 52% 51% 53% 54%
Jan-Mar 2017 Apr-Jun 2017 Jul-Sep 2017 Oct-Dec 2017   Oct-ober Nov-ember Dec-ember
1,963 2,321 2,319 2,205   919 732 554
         
31% 34% 34% 33% 38% 29% 30%
35% 36% 35% 36% 33% 39% 38%
10% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11%
15% 12% 13% 15% 13% 17% 14%
1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%
8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5%
           
45% 46% 46% 48% 52% 45% 45%
55% 54% 54% 52% 48% 55% 55%

Labor has maintained their lead on 2PP – which dropped a little to 52/47. First preference votes were Labor 36%, LNP 33%, Greens 10% and One Nation 15% – similar figures to the November election.

However, the monthly figures suggest that Labor is enjoying a post-election boost recording a 55/45 2PP for November and December.

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