Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 2, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,904 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

5/3/12

2 weeks ago

19/3/12

Last week

26/3/12

This week

2/4/12

Liberal

47%

45%

45%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

32%

34%

33%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

54%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

46%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Opinion of Superannuation Increase

Apr 2, 2012

Q. Do you support or oppose the Federal Government’s plan to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20?

 

23 May 2011

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total support

69%

69%

80%

66%

72%

Total oppose

13%

13%

7%

19%

7%

Strongly support

21%

29%

43%

25%

25%

Support

48%

40%

37%

41%

47%

Oppose

10%

8%

4%

12%

3%

Strongly oppose

3%

5%

3%

7%

4%

Don’t know

18%

18%

13%

16%

22%

69% support the Federal Government’s plan to increase superannuation payments from nine per cent to 12 per cent by 2019-20 and 13% oppose – no change since this question was asked in May last year. However, the strength of support has increased with 29% strongly supporting the measure (up 8%).

Support is higher for those aged 35-54 (76%), full-time workers (76%) and those earning over $1,600pw (77%).

Comments »

Cost of Superannuation for Employers

Apr 2, 2012

Q. In the next two years employer superannuation payments will increase by 0.25% per year, and then by 0.5% each year up to 2019 when it reaches 12%. Do you agree or disagree that these increases are reasonable and affordable for employers or should employees bear the cost by accepting lower pay rises?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

This is a reasonable and affordable cost for employers

58%

68%

50%

62%

Employees should bear the cost by accepting lower pay rises

19%

12%

26%

14%

Don’t know

23%

20%

23%

24%

58% think that the yearly superannuation increases are a reasonable and affordable cost for employers and 19% think employees should bear the cost by accepting lower pay rises.

Those most likely to think the increases are a reasonable and affordable cost for employers were aged 25-44 (67%), full-time workers (66%) and those earning over $1,0000pw (64%).

Comments »

Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

Apr 2, 2012

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

 

5 Jul 10

4 Oct 10

7 Feb 11

27 Jun 11

2 Apr 12

Difference

Intelligent

87%

81%

75%

73%

61%

-12%

Hard-working

89%

82%

76%

75%

65%

-10%

A capable leader

72%

59%

52%

42%

38%

-4%

Arrogant

37%

39%

44%

48%

53%

+5%

Out of touch with ordinary people

35%

44%

50%

60%

65%

+5%

Understands the problems facing Australia

68%

55%

52%

44%

41%

-3%

Visionary

48%

38%

30%

26%

25%

-1%

Superficial

51%

52%

54%

+2%

Good in a crisis

61%

46%

46%

41%

36%

-5%

Narrow-minded

28%

35%

43%

46%

53%

+7%

More honest than most politicians

45%

37%

37%

29%

26%

-3%

Trustworthy

49%

42%

40%

30%

25%

-5%

Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (65%), out of touch with ordinary people (65%) and intelligent (61%).

Major changes since this question was asked in June last year were decreases for intelligent (-12%), hard-working (-10%) and an increase of 7% for narrow-minded.

Comments »

Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

Apr 2, 2012

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

 

 

5 Jul 10

4 Oct 10

7 Feb 11

27 Jun 11

2 Apr 12

Change

Intelligent

70%

71%

64%

61%

56%

-5%

Hard-working

76%

78%

72%

75%

68%

-7%

A capable leader

47%

52%

48%

45%

41%

-4%

Arrogant

59%

60%

58%

60%

61%

+1%

Out of touch with ordinary people

57%

53%

54%

57%

54%

-3%

Understands the problems facing Australia

50%

53%

50%

48%

49%

+1%

Visionary

32%

31%

27%

27%

26%

-1%

Superficial

45%

49%

49%

Good in a crisis

40%

42%

41%

40%

36%

-4%

Narrow-minded

56%

53%

51%

54%

54%

More honest than most politicians

33%

32%

31%

32%

30%

-2%

Trustworthy

33%

35%

34%

32%

32%

Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (68%), arrogant (61%) and intelligent (56%).

Major changes since this question was asked in June last year were decreases for hard-working (-7%) and intelligent (-5%).

Comments »

Comparison of Leader Attributes

Apr 2, 2012
 

Julia Gillard

Tony Abbott

Difference

Intelligent

61%

56%

+5%

Hard-working

65%

68%

-3%

A capable leader

38%

41%

-3%

Arrogant

53%

61%

-8%

Out of touch with ordinary people

65%

54%

+11%

Understands the problems facing Australia

41%

49%

-8%

Visionary

25%

26%

-1%

Superficial

54%

49%

+5%

Good in a crisis

36%

36%

Narrow-minded

53%

54%

-1%

More honest than most politicians

26%

30%

-4%

Trustworthy

25%

32%

-7%

Julia Gillard rates higher than Tony Abbott on out of touch with ordinary people (+11%), intelligent (+5%) and superficial (+5%).

She rates lower than Tony Abbott on arrogant (-8%), understands the problems facing Australia (-8%) and trustworthy (-7%).

Comments »

Size of Government

Apr 2, 2012

Q.  Overall, do you think Government in Australia is too large and tries to do too much?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Government is too large

44%

32%

55%

32%

Government is not too large

28%

44%

20%

31%

Don’t know

28%

24%

25%

37%

44% think that Government in Australia is too large and tries to do too much and 28% think it is not too large.

Those most likely to think Government is too large were men (55%), aged 55+ (58%), and Liberal/National voters (55%).

Those most likely to think Government is not too large were aged under 35 (36%) and Labor voters (44%).

Comments »

Type of Government

Apr 2, 2012

Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

An active Government is necessary to provide important public services, and to protect ordinary Australians from unfair policies and practices on the part of large financial and/or industrial groups.

67%

82%

59%

82%

We don’t need big government and extensive regulation of business and finance to take care of these matters:  the market itself can deal with many of these issues on their own.

20%

10%

28%

11%

Don’t know

13%

8%

13%

8%

67% agree more that an active Government is necessary and 20% agree more with the view that the market can deal with many issues.

Strongest support for an active Government came from Labor and Greens voters (82%), women (70%) and aged under 25 (77%).

Comments »

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