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  • Dec, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,865 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

     

    4 weeks ago

    12/11/13

    2 weeks ago

    26/11/13

    Last week

    3/12/13

    This week

    10/12/13

    Liberal

     

    42%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    44%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    Labor

    33.4%

    35%

    36%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    12/11/13

    2 weeks ago

    26/11/13

    Last week

    3/12/13

    This week

    10/12/13

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    53%

    53%

    52%

    51%

    Labor

    46.5%

    47%

    47%

    48%

    49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

     

    Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader

    2 Sep

    Tony Abbott as Prime Minister

    24 Sep

    22
    Oct

    12
    Nov

    Total approve

    45%

     

    10%

    89%

    9%

    33%

     

    40%

    41%

    46%

    45%

    Total disapprove

    46%

     

    84%

    5%

    85%

    47%

     

    49%

    36%

    35%

    40%

    Strongly approve

    12%

    3%

    27%

    3%

    13%

    14%

    16%

    14%

    Approve

    33%

    7%

    62%

    9%

    30%

    27%

    27%

    30%

    31%

    Disapprove

    20%

    34%

    5%

    19%

    23%

    19%

    13%

    15%

    19%

    Strongly disapprove

    26%

    50%

    *

    66%

    24%

    30%

    23%

    20%

    21%

    Don’t know

    9%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    15%

    10%

    23%

    19%

    16%

    45% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 6%) disapprove. This represents a decline on his rating as Prime Minister over the last four weeks from net +5 to net -1.

    By gender – 50% (no change) of men approve and 43% (up 5%) disapprove; 41% (up 2%) of women approve and 49% (up 7%) disapprove.

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Approval of Bill Shorten

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/ Indep-endent

     

    12 Nov

    Total approve

    39%

     

    66%

    22%

    49%

    24%

    31%

    Total disapprove

    31%

     

    10%

    49%

    20%

    44%

    27%

    Strongly approve

    7%

    17%

    1%

    7%

    1%

    5%

    Approve

    32%

    49%

    21%

    42%

    23%

    26%

    Disapprove

    19%

    9%

    26%

    15%

    27%

    17%

    Strongly disapprove

    12%

    1%

    23%

    5%

    17%

    10%

    Don’t know

    31%

    24%

    29%

    31%

    32%

    43%

    39% approve (up 8%) of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader and 31% (up 4%) disapprove. 31% could not give an opinion. This represents an improvement on his rating as Prime Minister over the last four weeks from net +4 to net +8.

    By gender – 40% (up 6%) of men approve and 35% (up 2%) disapprove; 36% (up 9%) of women approve and 27% (up 6%) disapprove.

  • Dec, 2013

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

     

    22 Oct

    12 Nov

    Tony Abbott

    43%

    7%

    86%

    4%

    42%

    41%

    42%

    Bill Shorten

    33%

    68%

    4%

    62%

    20%

    22%

    27%

    Don’t know

    24%

    24%

    10%

    34%

    38%

    37%

    31%

    43%  (up 1%) think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 33% (up 6%) favour Bill Shorten. 24% (down 7%) could not make a choice.

    Tony Abbott is favoured 48%/31% among men and 38%/35% among women.

  • Dec, 2013

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    Government’s handling of education issues

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Liberal Government is handling education issues?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

    Total approve

    35%

    8%

    70%

    6%

    25%

    Total disapprove

    50%

    82%

    15%

    90%

    52%

    Strongly approve

    8%

    3%

    16%

    2%

    Approve

    27%

    5%

    54%

    6%

    23%

    Disapprove

    21%

    27%

    12%

    24%

    27%

    Strongly disapprove

    29%

    55%

    3%

    66%

    25%

    Don’t know

    15%

    10%

    15%

    4%

    23%

    35% approve and 50% disapprove of the way the Liberal Government is handling education issues.

    Men split 43% approve/45% disapprove compared to women 28% approve/53% disapprove.

  • Dec, 2013

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    Schools under the Liberal Government

    Q. Which schools do you think will be better off under the Liberal Government’s education plan? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

    All schools will be better off

    26%

    7%

    51%

    7%

    17%

    Only private schools will be better off

    26%

    43%

    11%

    30%

    28%

    Only public schools will be better off

    2%

    1%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    No schools will be better off

    22%

    33%

    6%

    49%

    26%

    Don’t know

    25%

    16%

    28%

    12%

    28%

    26% think that, under a Liberal Government, all schools will be better off. 26% think only private schools will be better off and 22% think no schools will be better off, while only 2% think that only public schools will be better off.

    51% of Liberal/National voters think all schools will be better off, 43% of Labor voters think only private schools will be better off and 49% of Greens voters think no schools will be better off.

  • Dec, 2013

    , , ,

    Party trust to handle education

    Q.  Which party would you trust most to ensure a quality education for all children?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

    Labor

    36%

    84%

    5%

    24%

    28%

    Liberal

    33%

    2%

    72%

    3%

    25%

    Greens

    7%

    3%

    1%

    61%

    6%

    Don’t know

    23%

    11%

    23%

    12%

    41%

    36% trust the Labor Party most to ensure a quality education for all children and 33% trust the Liberal Party most. When this issue was last measured in November, 34% favoured the Labor Party and 32% the Liberal Party.

    Those more likely to trust the Labor Party most were aged 35-54 (42%) and people on low incomes (44% of those earning less than $600 pw).

    Those more likely to trust the Liberal Party most were aged 55+ (44%) and people earning more than $1,000 pw (38%).

  • Dec, 2013

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    Politicians commitments

    Q.  Which of the following statements best reflects your view:

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other/

    indep-endent

     

    10 Oct 11

    When a politician makes a statement or commitment they should stick to it no matter what

    28%

    34%

    21%

    47%

    23%

    17%

    As situations change, it is reasonable that politicians change their positions

    41%

    25%

    62%

    24%

    25%

    47%

    Politicians almost always lie – it’s naive to think otherwise

    31%

    41%

    16%

    29%

    51%

    36%

    41% agree that ‘as situations change, it is reasonable that politicians change their positions’. Liberal/National voters are the most likely to take this position.

    31% of respondents agreed with the view that ‘politicians almost always lie – it’s naïve to think otherwise’, and Labor voters are the most likely to take this view.

    28% of respondents felt that ‘when a politician make a statement or commitment they should stick to it not matter what’, with Greens voters the most likely to adopt this view. Since this question was asked in 2011, those agreeing with this statement has increased from 17%.

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