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  • Jun, 2013

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,906 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    13/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    Last week

    3/6/13

    This week

    11/6/13

    Liberal

     

    44%

    45%

    45%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    34%

    35%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    21 Aug 10

     

    4 weeks ago

    13/5/13

    2 weeks ago

    27/5/13

    Last week

    3/6/13

    This week

    11/6/13

    Liberal National

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

  • Jun, 2013

    , ,

    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19
    Jul
    10

    20
    Dec

    14
    June
    11

    12
    Dec

    12
    Jun
    12

    10
    Dec

    14
    Jan
    13

    11
    Feb

    11
    Mar

    15
    Apr

    13
    May

    11 Jun

    Total approve

    52%

    43%

    34%

    34%

    32%

    37%

    41%

    36%

    36%

    34%

    38%

    37%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    40%

    54%

    54%

    56%

    53%

    49%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    54%

    54%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    10%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    10%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    10%

    10%

    Approve

    41%

    33%

    28%

    28%

    26%

    27%

    32%

    29%

    28%

    26%

    28%

    27%

    Disapprove

    17%

    24%

    29%

    25%

    22%

    25%

    23%

    25%

    24%

    23%

    23%

    21%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    16%

    25%

    29%

    34%

    28%

    26%

    30%

    32%

    33%

    31%

    33%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    13%

    11%

    12%

    11%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Julia Gillard’s approval ratings have changed little in the last month. 37% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 54% (unchanged) disapprove – a 1-point change in net rating from -16 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.

    79% of Labor voters approve (up 1%) and 14% disapprove (down 2%).

    By gender – men 35% approve/58% disapprove, women 39% approve/51% disapprove.  In net terms this represents a decline with men (from -21 to -23) and an improvement with women (from -13 to -12).

  • Jun, 2013

    , ,

    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

     

    18
    Jan
    10

    5 Jul

    20
    Dec

    14 June  11

    12
    Dec

    12
    Jun
    12

    10 Dec

    14
    Jan
    13

    11
    Feb

    11
    Mar

    15
    Apr

    13
    May


    11 Jun

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    32%

    32%

    33%

    33%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    40%

    40%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    48%

    53%

    54%

    56%

    57%

    53%

    51%

    52%

    50%

    49%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    32%

    26%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    29%

    30%

    29%

    31%

    30%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    25%

    25%

    24%

    25%

    27%

    22%

    22%

    24%

    18%

    17%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    28%

    30%

    31%

    30%

    31%

    29%

    28%

    32%

    32%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    15%

    14%

    13%

    12%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    10%

    11%

    11%

    Tony Abbott’s approval ratings also remained much the same as last month. 40% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 49% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -10 to -9 over the last 4 weeks, Tony Abbott’s best rating since July 2011.

    80% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 11% (down 2%) disapprove.

    By gender – men 44% approve/47% disapprove, women 35% approve/52% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from -7 to -3 and with women from -13 to -17.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , ,

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5
    Jul
    10

    14 June
    11

    12 Dec

    12 Jun 12

    10 Dec

    14 Jan 13

    11 Feb

    11 Mar

    15 Apr

    13 May

    Total
    11 Jun

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    41%

    39%

    37%

    43%

    42%

    39%

    39%

    37%

    39%

    39%

    82%

    4%

    73%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    36%

    35%

    37%

    34%

    33%

    37%

    39%

    39%

    41%

    40%

    5%

    84%

    7%

    Don’t know

    21%

    24%

    26%

    26%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    22%

    24%

    20%

    21%

    13%

    12%

    20%

    39% (no change) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 40% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 43%/35% and women prefer Julia Gillard 42%/38%.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , ,

    Public funding of political parties

    Q. Currently political parties and candidates receive public funding for election campaigning based on their votes at elections. They can also receive funding in the form of donations from individuals, organisations (including unions) and businesses. There is no limit on donations but amounts of more than $12,000 must be publically disclosed.

    Do you think political parties and candidates should receive some public funding or should they be totally funded by donations?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Should receive some public funding

    29%

    33%

    27%

    51%

    Should be totally funded by donations

    47%

    41%

    53%

    35%

    Don’t know

    23%

    26%

    20%

    14%

    29% agree that political parties and candidates should receive some public funding and 47% think they should be totally funded by donations.

    Those most likely to support some public funding were Greens voters (51%), men (35%), aged 18-34 (34%) and people on incomes over $1,600pw (37%).

  • Jun, 2013

    , ,

    Should donations to political parties be capped

    Q. Should donations to political parties and candidates be unlimited or should it be capped (that is, no organisation or individual should be able to donate more than a specified amount)?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Donations should be unlimited

    17%

    13%

    25%

    10%

    Donations should be capped

    65%

    71%

    61%

    75%

    Don’t know

    17%

    16%

    14%

    15%

    65% think that donations to political parties and candidates should be capped and 17% think they should be unlimited. The highest support for unlimited donations came from Liberal/National voters (25%).

  • Jun, 2013

    , , ,

    Public disclosure of donations

    Q. At what level should donations to political parties and candidates be publically disclosed?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Donations over $1,000 should be disclosed

    36%

    37%

    30%

    51%

    Donations over $5,000 should be disclosed

    26%

    24%

    30%

    28%

    Donations over $12,000 should be disclosed

    17%

    18%

    19%

    11%

    Donations should not have to be disclosed at all

    5%

    6%

    6%

    1%

    Don’t know

    16%

    15%

    15%

    9%

    Only 5% think that political donations should not have to be disclosed – 79% think they should be disclosed at some level. 36% favour disclosure of donations over $1,000 and a further 26% think they should be disclosed over $5,000.

  • Jun, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Forms of intolerance

    Q. For each of the following forms of intolerance, please indicate to what extent you think it is a problem in Australia.

     

    Sept 12

    Total large/ moderate

     

    Total large/ moderate

    A large problem

    Moderate problem

    Small

    problem

    Not a problem at all

    Don’t know

    Racism

    71%

    69%

    29%

    40%

    24%

    5%

    2%

    Religious intolerance

    65%

    54%

    22%

    32%

    32%

    10%

    4%

    Sexism

    45%

    52%

    18%

    34%

    35%

    11%

    3%

    Homophobia

    50%

    51%

    18%

    33%

    33%

    10%

    5%

    Ageism

    44%

    46%

    16%

    30%

    34%

    11%

    9%

    69% think that racism is a major/moderate problem in Australia – a similar result to when this question was previously asked in September last year. Just over half believe that religious intolerance, sexism and homophobia are major/moderate problems. The percentage thinking religious intolerance is a major/moderate problem has dropped 11 points while those thinking sexism is a major/moderate problem has increased 7 points since September.

    Those most likely to think racism a major/moderate problem were women (76%), Greens voters (87%) and Labor voters (75%).

    Those most likely to think sexism a major/moderate problem were women (61%), Greens voters (76%) and Labor voters (69%).

    Those most likely to think homophobia a major/moderate problem were women (61%), Greens voters (74%), Labor voters (61%) and aged 18-34 (57%).

    55% of those aged 55+ think ageism is a major/moderate problem.

    There were no substantial differences between groups on views about religious intolerance.

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