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  • Apr, 2013

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,897 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    18/3/13

    2 weeks ago

    2/4/13

    Last week

    8/4/13

    This week

    15/4/13

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    47%

    44%

    National

    2%

    2%

    2%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    31%

    32%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    11%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    54%

    56%

    56%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    46%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.


     

  • Apr, 2013

    , ,

    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19
    Jul
    10

    20
    Dec

    14 June

    12 Dec

    12
    Mar
    12

    12
    Jun

    10
    Sep

    10
    Dec

    14
    Jan
    13

    11
    Feb

    11
    Mar

    15
    Apr

    Total approve

    52%

    43%

    34%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    35%

    37%

    41%

    36%

    36%

    34%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    40%

    54%

    54%

    61%

    56%

    54%

    53%

    49%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    10%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    7%

    10%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    8%

    Approve

    41%

    33%

    28%

    28%

    24%

    26%

    28%

    27%

    32%

    29%

    28%

    26%

    Disapprove

    17%

    24%

    29%

    25%

    29%

    22%

    27%

    25%

    23%

    25%

    24%

    23%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    16%

    25%

    29%

    32%

    34%

    27%

    28%

    26%

    30%

    32%

    33%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    13%

    11%

    7%

    12%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    34% (down 2%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 56% (no change) disapprove – a 2-point change in net rating from -20 to -22 over the last 5 weeks.

    74% of Labor voters approve (down 1%) and 18% disapprove (up 2%).

    By gender – men 36% approve/57% disapprove, women 32% approve/57% disapprove.  In net terms this represents an improvement with men from -27 to -21 and a decline with women (from -14 to -25).

  • Apr, 2013

    , ,

    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18
    Jan
    10

    5
    Jul

     

    20 Dec

    14
    Jun

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12
    Jun

    10 Sep

    10 Dec

    14
    Jan
    13

    11 Feb

    11 Mar

    15
    Apr

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    32%

    36%

    32%

    32%

    33%

    33%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    48%

    53%

    52%

    54%

    55%

    56%

    57%

    53%

    51%

    52%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    6%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    32%

    26%

    29%

    26%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    29%

    30%

    29%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    25%

    25%

    23%

    24%

    26%

    25%

    27%

    22%

    22%

    24%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    28%

    29%

    30%

    29%

    31%

    30%

    31%

    29%

    28%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    15%

    14%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    12%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    10%

    37% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 52% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -14 to -15 over the last 5 weeks.

    72% (up 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 21% (up 1%) disapprove.

    By gender – men 41% approve/50% disapprove, women 33% approve/55% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from -10 to -9 and with women from -18 to -22.

  • Apr, 2013

    , , , , ,

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5
    Jul
    10

    14 June

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    10 Sept

    10 Dec

    14
    Jan
    13

    11 Feb

    11 Mar

    15
    Apr

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    41%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    40%

    43%

    42%

    39%

    39%

    37%

    81%

    6%

    62%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    36%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    37%

    34%

    33%

    37%

    39%

    39%

    6%

    78%

    6%

    Don’t know

    21%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    24%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    22%

    24%

    13%

    16%

    32%

    37% (down 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott. This is the first time since August 2012 that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard.

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women prefer Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

  • Apr, 2013

    , ,

    Superannuation

    Q. Currently there is no tax on superannuation earnings after retirement. The Federal Government has proposed that earnings over $100,000 a year from superannuation assets will be taxed at 15%. It is expected that this will affect about 16,000 people who have more than $2 million in superannuation.  Do you support or oppose this proposal?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total support

    40%

    58%

    29%

    47%

    Total oppose

    46%

    34%

    61%

    39%

    Strongly support

    15%

    25%

    9%

    19%

    Support

    25%

    33%

    20%

    28%

    Oppose

    21%

    20%

    26%

    22%

    Strongly oppose

    25%

    14%

    35%

    17%

    Don’t know

    13%

    9%

    10%

    13%

    40% support the Government’s proposal to tax superannuation earnings of more then $100,000 per year and 46% oppose.

    Older respondents were more likely to support the proposal – for those aged 55+, 48% supported and 42% oppose while for those aged 35-54, 38% supported and 48% opposed.

    By income, those earning more than $1,600pw were opposed (38% support/54% oppose) while those earning $600-1,000 pw were more likely to support (54% support/35% oppose).

  • Apr, 2013

    , , ,

    Awareness of Assange

    Q. The founder of Wikileaks, Julian Assange, faces extradition from the UK to Sweden for an investigation into sexual assault allegations. In Sweden he will be detained while the investigation continues, and he may be extradited to the United States to face charges relating to WikiLeaks’s release of US diplomatic cables. How much have you read or heard about Julian Assange?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    A lot

    16%

    18%

    13%

    31%

    Some

    38%

    37%

    41%

    41%

    A little

    35%

    35%

    37%

    26%

    Nothing at all

    8%

    8%

    8%

    3%

    Don’t know

    3%

    2%

    1%

    54% said they had read heard a lot or some about Julian Assange. Only 8% had read or heard nothing at all.

    Those most likely to have heard a lot of some about Julian Assange were men (60%), aged 55+ (59%) and Greens voters (72%).

  • Apr, 2013

    , , ,

    Assange for the Senate

    Q. Julian Assange, has announced he will run for the Senate in Victoria in the next Federal election and will also run candidates in other states. How likely would Julian Assange be to make a positive contribution to Federal Parliament?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Very likely

    12%

    13%

    9%

    21%

    Somewhat likely

    20%

    24%

    18%

    40%

    Not very likely

    25%

    25%

    27%

    18%

    Not at all likely

    25%

    25%

    31%

    15%

    Don’t know

    17%

    13%

    16%

    7%

    32% think it is very or somewhat likely that Julian Assange would make a positive contribution to Federal Parliament.

    Those most likely to think he would make a positive contribution were men (38%), aged 25-44 (42%) and Greens voters (61%).

    58% of those who had read or heard a lot about Julian Assange, and 42% of those who had read or heard some thought it was likely he would make a positive contribution to Parliament.

  • Apr, 2013

    , , , , ,

    NBN

    Q. The Government’s NBN (National Broadband Network) is a fast, high capacity fibre network to the home reaching 93% of Australian homes and businesses.

    The Coalition has proposed a broadband plan in which the NBN would be replaced with broadband fibre to local “nodes” (or exchanges) and the existing telephone copper network would connect the rest of the way to homes. This would mean slower broadband speeds than the NBN but cost less to build. Do you support the Government’s or the Coalition’s broadband policy?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Support Government’s policy

    54%

    83%

    31%

    74%

    Support the Coalition’s policy

    23%

    4%

    46%

    7%

    Don’t know

    23%

    12%

    23%

    19%

    54% support the Government’s broadband policy and 23% support the Coalition’s policy.

    For those aged 18-34, 61% support the Government’s policy and 15% support the Coalition’s. 51% of those aged 35-54 and 49% of those aged 55+ support the Government’s policy.

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