Federal voting intention

Apr 12, 2016

If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 
Total
 
Last week
5/4/16
2 weeks ago
29/3/16
4 weeks ago
15/3/16
 
Election 7 Sep 13
Liberal 39% 39% 39% 39%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 42%   42% 43% 42%   45.6%
Labor 35%   37% 38% 36%   33.4%
Greens 11% 10% 9% 11% 8.6%
Palmer United Party 1% 1% 1% 1% 5.5%
Other/Independent 10% 10% 10% 9% 6.9%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 50% 50% 50% 50% 53.5%
Labor 50% 50% 50% 50% 46.5%

NB.  Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 6, 2015

Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q: If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

(sample size = 1,774 respondents)

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15 Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15
Liberal   36% 37% 40% 41%
National 4% 4% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 44% 44%
Labor 33.4% 38% 37% 35% 35%
Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 11% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

8/09/15

2 weeks ago 22/09/15 Last week

29/9/15

This week 6/10/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 49% 52% 52%
Labor 46.5% 52% 51% 48% 48%

NB. Except The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 23, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,756 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 26/8/14

2 weeks ago

9/9/14

Last week

16/9/14

This week

23/9/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 26/8/14

2 weeks ago

9/9/14

Last week

16/9/14

This week

23/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 2, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,802 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal

 

39%

37%

36%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

6%

6%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 5/8/14

2 weeks ago

19/8/14

Last week

26/8/14

This week

2/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


 

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 11, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,916 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

38%

37%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 13/5/14

2 weeks ago

27/05/14

Last week

3/6/14

This week

11/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 3, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,936 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

35%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 6/5/14

2 weeks ago

20/05/14

Last week

27/5/14

This week

3/6/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 27, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,895 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/4/14

2 weeks ago

13/05/14

Last week

20/5/14

This week

27/05/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

38%

37%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

8%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

6%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/4/14

2 weeks ago

13/05/14

Last week

20/5/14

This week

27/05/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 20, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,855 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 22/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal

 

39%

38%

38%

38%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

39%

40%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

9%

8%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

5%

5%%

Other/Independent

6.9%

6%

8%

8%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 8/4/14

2 weeks ago

06/05/14

Last week

12/5/14

This week

19/05/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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