12 March 2012, 120312, 3q, Carbon Pricing, climate change, environment, Essential Report, peter lewis, trends
It’s only months until a price on carbon takes affect so here are some clues from the polling to help Labor though the difficult times ahead.
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, Carbon Pricing Proposal, Carbon Tax, climate change, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| 7 March | 14 March | 28 March | 18 April | 23 May | 30 May | 14 June | 11 July | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 35% | 65% | 15% | 73% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 48% | 49% | 53% | 20% | 79% | 21% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 23% | 3% | 35% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | 42% | 12% | 38% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 23% | 16% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 34% | 5% | 56% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 7% |
35% (down 3%) support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 53% (up 4%) oppose. It is supported by 65% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters but opposed by 79% of coalition voters.
By age, those aged under 35 split 40% support/43% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/59% oppose.
Carbon Pricing, Carbon Tax, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, tax
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| 7 March | 14 March | 28 March | 18 April | 23 May | 30 May | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 60% | 19% | 68% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 48% | 49% | 28% | 72% | 18% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 24% | 3% | 35% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 36% | 16% | 33% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 10% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 11% | 52% | 8% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 13% |
38% support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 49% oppose – no significant change since the question was asked in May. It is supported by 60% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters but opposed by 72% of coalition voters.
By age, those aged under 35 split 46% support/39% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 31% support/62% oppose.
Carbon Pricing, Carbon Tax, environment, Essential Media, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, tax
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| 7 March | 14 March | 28 March | 18 April | 23 May | 30 May | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 38% | 62% | 17% | 62% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 48% | 22% | 73% | 23% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 26% | 4% | 29% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 36% | 13% | 33% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 23% | 17% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 9% | 50% | 6% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 14% |
38% support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 48% oppose. Although a change from last week’s figures this is much the same as recorded in the April poll. It is supported by 62% of Labor and Greens voters but opposed by 73% of coalition voters.
By age, those aged under 35 split 44% support/35% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/58% oppose.
For those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 60% support and 24% oppose. For those who believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 13% support and 80% oppose
Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| 7 March | 14 March | 28 March | 18 April | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 41% | 63% | 20% | 86% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 19% | 75% | 9% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 22% | 4% | 47% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 41% | 16% | 39% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 23% | 4% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 9% | 52% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 5% | 5% |
41% (+2%) support the introduction of a carbon pricing scheme and 44% (-5%) oppose. This represents a 7% shift in opinion in favour of a carbon pricing scheme since last month and is the highest level of support and lowest level of opposition since the scheme was announced.
Women support the scheme 44%/39%, while men oppose 51%/38%. Younger people tend to support the scheme (aged under 35 – 47% support/35% oppose) while older respondents strongly oppose (aged 55+ – 35% support/55% oppose)
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| 7 March | 14 March | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 34% | 63% | 14% | 56% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 51% | 23% | 80% | 24% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 4% | 29% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 22% | 41% | 10% | 27% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 24% | 13% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 32% | 11% | 56% | 11% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 19% |
Support for the Government’s carbon pricing scheme has fallen over the last 2 weeks. 34% now support the scheme and 51% are opposed.
Opinion has polarized among voters for the major parties. Support among Labor voters has increased from 55% to 63% while opposition from Coalition voters has increased from 73% to 80%. Support has fallen among Greens voters – 2 weeks ago they split 78% support/11% oppose compared to this week’s 56% support/24% oppose.
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
| Last week | This week | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 35% | 38% | 55% | 20% | 78% |
| Total oppose | 48% | 49% | 32% | 73% | 11% |
| Strongly support | 9% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 39% |
| Support | 26% | 26% | 38% | 16% | 39% |
| Oppose | 19% | 17% | 17% | 20% | 6% |
| Strongly oppose | 29% | 32% | 15% | 53% | 5% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
Support for the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme has increased a little since this question was asked last week – from 35% to 38%. The change is due to some previously “undecided” respondents forming a view – opposition has increased 1% and “don’t know” decreased by 5%.
There is majority support from Labor and Greens voters while 73% of Liberal/National voters are opposed.
carbon pollution, Carbon Pricing, carbon pricing scheme, Carbon Tax, EMC, ER, Essential Media, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Would you support or oppose this carbon pricing scheme if the money paid by big polluting industries was used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total support | 54% | 78% | 34% | 80% |
| Total oppose | 30% | 11% | 51% | 7% |
| Strongly support | 17% | 29% | 6% | 39% |
| Support | 37% | 49% | 28% | 41% |
| Oppose | 14% | 8% | 22% | 3% |
| Strongly oppose | 16% | 3% | 29% | 4% |
| Don’t know | 17% | 11% | 15% | 13% |
There was a substantial shift in opinion of the Government’s carbon pricing scheme when respondents were told that the money paid by big polluting industries would be used to compensate low and middle income earners and small businesses for increased prices.
Support increased from 38% to 54% and opposition declined from 49% to 30%. The major shift occurred with Labor voters where support increased by 23% to 78%. Support from Liberal/National voters increased from 20% to 34% while opposition declined 22% to 51%.