Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 19, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,896 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 46% 44% 44% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 48% 47%
Labor 38.0% 34% 34% 34% 35%
Greens 11.8% 10% 10% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 6.6% 7% 9% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 54% 55% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 46% 45% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 12, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,921 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 44% 45% 44% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 48% 47% 48%
Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 8% 9% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 55%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 5, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,922 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 46% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 46% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 7% 8% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 55% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 45% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 28, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,898 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 44% 44% 46% 45%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 38.0% 34% 35% 34% 34%
Greens 11.8% 10% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 8% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 54% 55% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 46% 44% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Rating of Prime Minister during Barack Obama Visit

Nov 28, 2011

Q. How would you rate the performance of the Prime Minister Julia Gillard during the recent visit by US President Barack Obama?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 38% 76% 16% 51%
Total poor 23% 2% 42% 10%
Very good 12% 36% 2% 6%
Good 26% 40% 14% 45%
Average 31% 18% 37% 32%
Poor 8% 15% 5%
Very poor 15% 2% 27% 5%
Don’t know 7% 3% 5% 7%

Overall, the Prime Minister’s performance during the recent visit by US President Barack Obama was rated positively.

38% rated her performance during the recent visit by US President Barack Obama as good and 23% rated it poor. 31% thought it was average.

76% of Labor voters and 51% of Greens voters rated it good, while 42% of Liberal/National voters rated it poor and 37% rated it as average.

43% of women rated her performance goods compared to 33% of men.

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Rating of Opposition Leader during Barack Obama Visit

Nov 28, 2011

Q. How would you rate the performance of the Opposition Leader Tony Abbott during recent visit by US President Barack Obama?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 18% 9% 31% 2%
Total poor 30% 49% 9% 54%
Very good 4% 2% 7%
Good 14% 7% 24% 2%
Average 37% 32% 46% 26%
Poor 14% 17% 7% 24%
Very poor 16% 32% 2% 30%
Don’t know 15% 10% 13% 17%

Overall, the Opposition Leader’s performance during the recent visit by US President Barack Obama was rated negatively.

18% rated his performance during the recent visit by US President Barack Obama as good and 30% rated it poor. 37% thought it was average.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to rate it as average (46%) – only 31% rated it good.

There was little difference between the ratings of men and women.

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Groups that Benefit from Mining Boom

Nov 28, 2011

Q. How much do the following groups benefit from the current boom in Australia’s mineral exports?

Benefit a lot Some benefit A little benefit No benefit Don’t know
Mining company executives 68% 10% 5% 3% 14%
Mining company shareholders 48% 28% 7% 3% 14%
Foreign companies 42% 25% 8% 3% 23%
Federal government 37% 35% 10% 2% 15%
State governments 31% 38% 12% 2% 16%
Regional communities 12% 30% 29% 10% 17%
All Australians 11% 29% 32% 13% 16%

The main beneficiaries of the current boom in Australia’s mineral exports were thought to be mining company executives (68% benefit a lot), mining company shareholders (48%) and foreign companies (42%). Only 11% thought that all Australians benefit a lot and 12% thought regional communities benefit a lot.

Views were mostly similar across demographics.

Labor voters were a little more likely to think that there was a lot of benefit to all Australians (18%) and mining company shareholders (53%).

Liberal/National voters were a little more likely to think that there was a lot of benefit to State Governments (37%) and the Federal Government (46%).

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Groups that Should Benefit from Mining Boom

Nov 28, 2011

Q. And should the following groups receive more or less benefit from the current boom in minerals exports or is the current benefit they receive about right?

Should benefit more Should benefit less Current benefit about right Don’t know
All Australians 68% 1% 15% 16%
Regional communities 58% 6% 19% 17%
State governments 30% 17% 32% 20%
Federal government 27% 23% 30% 20%
Mining company shareholders 12% 28% 41% 18%
Foreign companies 4% 56% 18% 22%
Mining company executives 4% 57% 21% 18%

A majority of respondents think there should be more benefits to all Australians (68%) and regional communities (58%).  A majority also believe there should be less benefit to mining company executives (57%) and foreign companies (56%).

75% of Labor voters, 65% of Liberal/National voters and 84% of Greens voters think all Australians should benefit more.

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