Approval of Tony Abbott

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan

2010

5 Jul 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct
Total approve 37% 37% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36% 42% 38% 39% 37% 39% 40%
Total disapprove 37% 47% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48% 44% 48% 49% 50% 50% 51%
Strongly approve 5% 8% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8% 8%
Approve 32% 29% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29% 34% 32% 33% 29% 31% 32%
Disapprove 20% 23% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25% 23% 23%
Strongly disapprove 17% 24% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23% 19% 23% 25% 25% 27% 28%
Don’t know 26% 16% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% 15% 11% 13% 11% 9%

Tony Abbott’s approval rating has been at a similar level for the past 5 months. 40% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 51% (up 1%) disapprove – no change in his net rating of -11 over the last 5 weeks.

78% (up 4%) of Coalition voters approve and 16% (down 2%) disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/50% disapprove, women 36% approve/52% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 36% 38% 82% 4% 85%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 40% 39% 2% 82% 4%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 24% 23% 16% 14% 11%

38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 3% on last month’s figures (from -4% to -1%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Carbon Tax

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 18 April 23 May 14 June 18 July 1 Aug 19 Sep 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 37% 39% 66% 15% 80%
Total oppose 48% 49% 44% 49% 49% 51% 52% 53% 24% 81% 16%
Strongly support 9% 13% 14% 13% 15% 15% 14% 14% 25% 2% 45%
Support 26% 26% 27% 25% 24% 24% 23% 25% 41% 13% 35%
Oppose 19% 15% 15% 19% 16% 19% 17% 17% 14% 19% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 34% 29% 30% 33% 32% 35% 36% 10% 62% 6%
Don’t know 18% 12% 15% 13% 12% 10% 12% 9% 10% 4% 3%

Views on the carbon pricing scheme have changed very little since June. 39% support the scheme (up 2% since September) and 53% oppose (up 1%).

The only demographic group to support the scheme were aged under 35’s – 46% support/43% oppose. Among those aged 55+, 33% support and 63% oppose.

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Descriptions of Leaders

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Regardless of how you vote, what words would you use to describe the positions taken by Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott on the issue of asylum seekers, including the recent attempt at legislating the deal with Malaysia?

Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
Just playing politics 46% 47% -1
Stubborn 26% 20% +6
Unethical 24% 14% +10
Too soft 21% 7% +14
Populist 13% 14% -1
Cruel 13% 9% +4
Responsible 11% 16% -5
Fair 10% 15% -5
Too hard 10% 6% +4
Balanced 7% 11% -4
Principled 6% 11% -5
Visionary 6% 5% +1

Nearly half the respondents believe that both Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott have been “just playing politics” over the issue of asylum seekers.

The main differences between the leaders positions on asylum seekers were that Julia Gillard was more likely to be considered “too soft” (21% to 7%) and “unethical” (24% to 14%). Julia Gillard was also a little more likely to be considered “stubborn” (26% to 20%).

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Economic Prosperity

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Which one of the following do you believe will be the most important factor in Australia’s economic prosperity over the next 20 years?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
A strong resources sector 29% 29% 35% 18%
Continued growth in China and India 21% 23% 22% 24%
Investment in skills 20% 22% 16% 23%
Prioritising innovation and technology 18% 18% 13% 31%
A strong banking and finance sector 12% 9% 13% 5%

29% believe that a strong resources sector will be the most important factor in Australia’s economic prosperity over the next 20 years and 21% nominate the continued growth in China and India. Labor and Coalition voters were more likely to niominate “a strong resources sector” while 31% of Greens voters nominated “prioritising innovation and technology”.

Those on higher incomes were more likely to nominate “a strong resources sector “  – 36% of those on income $1,600+ pw.

There were no major differences by age group.

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Performance of the Independents

Oct 10, 2011

Q. Regardless of how you vote in federal elections, how would you rate the performance of the following Independent MPs in federal parliament?

Total Good Total Bad Very Good Good Bad Very Bad Don’t know
Rob Oakeshott 23% 34% 3% 20% 16% 18% 42%
Tony Windsor 23% 32% 4% 19% 18% 14% 44%
Andrew Wilkie 24% 34% 3% 21% 16% 18% 42%
Bob Katter 27% 36% 6% 21% 19% 17% 37%

Respondents struggle to rate the performance of the Independents, with the most common response being ‘don’t know’.  However, in the case of Bob Katter, respondents are more likely to have a view, with the ‘don’t knows’ dropping 5 points from about 42% to 37% in Katter’s case.

The performance of Rob Oakeshott, Tony Windsor and Andrew Wilkie are rated as more or less the same with about 23% of respondents regarding their performance as good and 33% regarding it as bad. Bob Katter came out on top by a fraction, with 27% rating his performance as good.

However, in all instances, more respondents rate the performance of the Independents as bad, with Katter also earning the most criticism (36% bad).

Ratings do not vary greatly by state or territory, save that respondents in Queensland are significantly more likely to rate the performance of Bob Katter as good (38% total good). Respondents in NSW are somewhat more likely to rate the performance of Tony Windsor as good (27% total good).

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Independents and Greens holding Balance of Power

Oct 10, 2011

Q. Do you think the independents and Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament has been good or bad for Australia?

7 Mar 11 6 Jun 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good 27% 28% 22% 32% 9% 72%
Total bad 41% 39% 50% 30% 76% 7%
Very good 7% 9% 5% 8% 1% 30%
Good 20% 19% 17% 24% 8% 42%
Neither good nor bad 33% 33% 28% 38% 15% 21%
Bad 22% 21% 23% 22% 27% 5%
Very bad 19% 18% 27% 8% 49% 2%

The majority of respondents seem to regard the independents and the Greens holding the balance of power in Parliament as bad for Australia (50% bad), whilst 22% regard it is good for the country.

Enthusiasm for the independents and the Greens in federal Parliament fell 6 points since last polled in June 2011, from 28% to 22% of respondents regarding it as good for the country.

At the same time, disdain for the situation has risen considerably since June 2011: from 39% to 50% this time around.

Labor voters are almost equally split on the issue of the independents and Greens holding the balance of power, with 32% regarding it to be a good thing, and 30% viewing it as bad.

Lib/Nat voters are the most likely to regard the situation as bad (76%), whereas Greens voters are by far the most likely to regard it as good (72%).

Respondents aged 18-24 (38%) and 25-34 (33%) were significantly more likely to regard the situation as good.

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Pokies Legislation

Oct 10, 2011

Q. The Federal Government has proposed gambling reforms which include “pre-commitment” technology that will require pokies players to have a card registered to their name and pre-programmed to prevent them losing more than a set amount in a 24-hour period. Do you support or oppose this measure?

18 Apr 2011 12 Sept 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 65% 67% 61% 73% 52% 82%
Total oppose 21% 25% 30% 21% 41% 10%
Strongly support 32% 34% 29% 38% 20% 53%
Support 33% 33% 32% 35% 32% 29%
Oppose 12% 13% 15% 13% 20% 5%
Strongly oppose 9% 12% 15% 8% 21% 5%
Don’t know 13% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8%

The majority of respondents support the proposed gambling reforms to include pre-commitment technology on pokies machines around Australia.

However, support for the reform has fallen 6 points to 61% this week, with opposition climbing from 25% to 30% at the same time.

Greens voters are the most likely to support the reform (82%) followed by Labor voters (73%).    Whilst Coalition voters were the least likely to do so, the majority of them nonetheless support the reforms (52%).

Looking at the responses by age, respondents aged 18-24 are the most likely to support the reforms (74%) whilst those aged 55-64 are the most likely to oppose them (42%).

Looking are responses by state and territory, respondents in NSW are the most likely to oppose the reforms, with 37% stating they are either strongly opposed or opposed to the proposed legislation.

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