Federal politics – voting intention

May 26, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,779 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/4/15

2 weeks ago 12/5/15

Last week 19/5/15

This week 26/5/15

Liberal

36%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

8%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/4/15

2 weeks ago 12/5/15

Last week 19/5/15

This week 26/5/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 28, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,774 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week 20/1/14

This week

27/01/15

Liberal

 

36%

36%

National

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

40%

41%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week 20/1/14

This week

27/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 28, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,772 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 30/9/14

2 weeks ago

14/10/14

Last week

21/10/14

This week

28/10/14

Liberal

 

37%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

3%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 30/9/14

2 weeks ago

14/10/14

Last week

21/10/14

This week

28/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 14, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,805 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/9/14

2 weeks ago

30/9/14

Last week

7/10/14

This week

14/10/14

Liberal

 

35%

37%

38%

38%

National

3%

2%

2%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

41%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

11%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/9/14

2 weeks ago

30/9/14

Last week

7/10/14

This week

14/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 30, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal

 

36%

35%

36%

37%

National

4%

3%

3%

2%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

8%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 2/9/14

2 weeks ago

16/9/14

Last week

23/9/14

This week

30/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,736 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 19/8/14

2 weeks ago

2/9/14

Last week

9/9/14

This week

16/9/14

Liberal

 

37%

36%

36%

35%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

6%

5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 19/8/14

2 weeks ago

2/9/14

Last week

9/9/14

This week

16/9/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 26, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,823 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal

 

38%

38%

37%

36%

National

2%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

5%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 29/7/14

2 weeks ago

12/8/14

Last week

19/8/14

This week

26/8/14

Liberal National

53.5%

49%

49%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

51%

51%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

40%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

42%

42%

41%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Pages:1234567...14»

Sign up for updates

Receive our weekly Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.