Federal voting intention

Jul 18, 2017

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Total   Last week 11/7/17 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 4 weeks ago 20/6/17   Election 2 Jul 16
Liberal 33%   33% 35% 35%    
National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Total Liberal/National 36%   36% 38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 38%   36% 36% 35%   34.7%
Greens 10%   11% 11% 9%   10.2%
Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 3% 3%    
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7%   7% 7% 9%    
Other/Independent 6%   6% 5% 5%   13.1%
2 party preferred              
Liberal National 46%   46% 47% 48%   50.4%
Labor 54%   54% 53% 52%   49.6%

NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 8, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,772 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago11/8/15 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 Last week1/9/15 This week 8/9/15
Liberal   38% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 39% 37% 38% 38%
Greens 8.6% 11% 10% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 10% 10% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago11/8/15 2 weeks ago 25/8/15 Last week1/9/15 This week 8/9/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 49% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 53% 51% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 1, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,799 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 4/8/15

2 weeks ago 18/8/15

Last week 25/8/15

This week 1/9/15

Liberal

36%

38%

38%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

41%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

38%

37%

38%

Greens

8.6%

12%

10%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

2%

1%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

10%

10%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 4/8/15

2 weeks ago 18/8/15

Last week 25/8/15

This week 1/9/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

49%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

51%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 25, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,781 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/7/15

2 weeks ago 11/8/15

Last week 18/8/15

This week 25/8/15

Liberal

36%

38%

38%

38%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

38%

39%

38%

37%

Greens

8.6%

11%

11%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

9%

10%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 28/7/15

2 weeks ago 11/8/15

Last week 18/8/15

This week 25/8/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

47%

48%

49%

Labor

46.5%

53%

53%

52%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 18, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,745 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
21/7/15
2 weeks ago 4/8/15 Last week
11/8/15
This week 18/8/15
Liberal   38% 36% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 39% 40% 41%
Labor 33.4% 38% 38% 39% 38%
Greens 8.6% 11% 12% 11% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/7/15 2 weeks ago 4/8/15 Last week11/8/15 This week 18/8/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 11, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,845 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election
7 Sep 13
  4 weeks ago
14/7/15
2 weeks ago 28/7/15 Last week
4/8/15
This week 11/8/15
Liberal   38% 36% 36% 38%
National 3% 4% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 39% 40%
Labor 33.4% 38% 38% 38% 39%
Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 12% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 8%

 

2 Party Preferred Election
7 Sep 13
  4 weeks ago
14/7/15
2 weeks ago
28/7/15
Last week
4/8/15
This week 11/8/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 47%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 4, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,866 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/7/15

2 weeks ago 21/7/15 Last week

28/7/15

This week 4/8/15
Liberal   38% 38% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 33.4% 39% 38% 38% 38%
Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 11% 12%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

7/7/15

2 weeks ago 21/7/15 Last week

28/7/15

This week 4/8/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 48% 47% 47%
Labor 46.5% 52% 52% 53% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 28, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,793 respondents  

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

30/6/15

2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

21/7/15

This week 28/7/15
Liberal   38% 38% 38% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 41% 41% 40%
Labor 33.4% 39% 38% 38% 38%
Greens 8.6% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 8% 9% 9% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

30/6/15

2 weeks ago 14/7/15 Last week

21/7/15

This week 28/7/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 52% 53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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