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  • Jul, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to? 

    Sample size = 1,804 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 11/6/14

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/14

    Last week

    1/7/14

    This week

    8/7/14

    Liberal

     

    35%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    37%

    40%

    40%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    40%

    38%

    38%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    6%

    5%

    6%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    7%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 11/6/14

    2 weeks ago

    24/6/14

    Last week

    1/7/14

    This week

    8/7/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    46%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    54%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Jul, 2014

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,835 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 3/6/14

    2 weeks ago

    17/6/14

    Last week

    24/6/14

    This week

    1/7/14

    Liberal

     

    35%

    36%

    37%

    37%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    41%

    38%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    6%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 3/6/14

    2 weeks ago

    17/6/14

    Last week

    24/6/14

    This week

    1/7/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    47%

    46%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    53%

    54%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Sample size = 1,864 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    23/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    6/8/12

    Last week

    13/8/12

    This week

    20/8/12

    Liberal

    45%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    National

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Aug, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,868 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    16/7/12

    2 weeks ago

    30/7/12

    Last week

    6/8/12

    This week

    13/8/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    8%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    55%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jul, 2012

    , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,857 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    18/6/12

    2 weeks ago

    2/7/12

    Last week

    9/7/12

    This week

    16/7/12

    Liberal

    46%

    45%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    4%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    31%

    31%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    57%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,853 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    28/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    12/6/12

    Last week

    18/6/12

    This week

    25/6/12

    Liberal

    47%

    46%

    46%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    33%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    7%

    9%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    56%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

  • May, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,918 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    23/4/12

    2 weeks ago

    7/5/12

    Last week

    14/5/12

    This week

    21/5/12

    Liberal

    45%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    29%

    30%

    33%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    58%

    57%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    42%

    43%

    44

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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