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  • Jan, 2013

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,878 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    17/12/12

    This week

    14/01/13

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    National

    3%

    4%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    8%

    8%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    54%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Dec, 2012

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    The past year – political parties

    Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

     

    Total good

    (Dec 10)

    Total bad

    (Dec 10)

    Total good

    (Dec 11)

    Total bad

    (Dec 11)

    Total good

    (Dec 12)

    Total bad

    (Dec 12)

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    The Liberal Party

    33%

    27%

    27%

    30%

    19%

    40%

    5%

    14%

    34%

    27%

    13%

    7%

    The Labor Party

    21%

    47%

    16%

    53%

    15%

    57%

    4%

    11%

    21%

    30%

    27%

    6%

    The Greens

    42%

    21%

    33%

    29%

    14%

    44%

    2%

    12%

    32%

    23%

    21%

    12%

    The independents

    na

    na

    na

    na

    13%

    33%

    2%

    11%

    39%

    18%

    15%

    14%


     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

     

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    Total good

    Total bad

    The Liberal Party

    19%

    40%

    9%

    62%

    37%

    19%

    6%

    69%

    The Labor Party

    15%

    57%

    37%

    35%

    4%

    80%

    23%

    51%

    The Greens

    14%

    44%

    20%

    31%

    6%

    64%

    48%

    9%

    The independents

    13%

    33%

    18%

    24%

    9%

    50%

    31%

    17%

    Respondents were more likely to think it has been a relatively bad year for all political parties. 57% think it has been a bad year for the Labor Party and 40% think it has been a bad year for the Liberal Party.

    Among their own voters 48% (down 22%) think it has been a good year for the Greens , 37% (down 8%) the Liberal Party and 37% (up 2%) the Labor Party.

     

    Compared to last year’s results, all parties figures have declined – The Greens net +4% to -30%, Liberals from net -3% to -21% and Labor from net -37% to -42%.

  • Dec, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,799respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    7/11/12

    2 weeks ago

    19/11/12

    Last week

    26/11/12

    This week

    3/12/12

    Liberal

    43%

    43%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    46%

    46%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    8%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,888 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    24/9/12

    2 weeks ago

    8/10/12

    Last week

    15/10/12

    This week

    22/10/12

    Liberal

    45%

    44%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    35%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size =  2,100 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week 01/10/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    44%

    45%

    44%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    47%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    38.0%

    34%

    35%

    36%

    37%

    Greens

    11.8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    7%

    7%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 10/09/2012

    2 weeks ago 24/09/2012

    Last week

    01/10/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    55%

    55%

    53%

    53%

    Labor

    50.1%

    45%

    45%

    47%

    47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Sep, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1992 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    27/08/12

    2 weeks ago

    10/9/2012

    Last week 17/09/2012

    This week

    Liberal

    46%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    47%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    32%

    34%

    34%

    35%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 27/08/12

    2 weeks ago

    10/9/2012

    This week

    17/09/2012

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Sep, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,871 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    6/8/12

    2 weeks ago

    20/8/12

    Last week

    27/8/12

    This week

    3/9/12

    Liberal

    46%

    46%

    46%

    44%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    49%

    49%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    33%

    32%

    32%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    57%

    56%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    43%

    44%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Jun, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,830 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    14/5/12

    2 weeks ago

    28/5/12

    Last week

    4/6/12

    This week

    12/6/12

    Liberal

    47%

    47%

    47%

    46%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    50%

    50%

    50%

    49%

    Labor

    38.0%

    30%

    33%

    33%

    32%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    7%

    7%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    57%

    57%

    56%

    56%

    Labor

    50.1%

    43%

    43%

    44%

    44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. + or – 2%.

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