Same sex marriage

Jul 18, 2017

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other Oct 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Aug 2016 Jun 2017 Jul 2017
Should be allowed to marry 61% 72% 55% 74% 42% 59% 64% 58% 62% 60% 63%
Should not be allowed to marry 26% 17% 32% 18% 46% 30% 26% 28% 27% 26% 25%
Don’t know 13% 11% 13% 9% 12% 11% 10% 14% 12% 14% 12%

61% thought that people of the same sex should be able to marry and 26% thought that they should not. Women (66% support) were more likely than men (56%) to support same sex marriage. 81% of 18-24 year olds supported same sex marriage, compared to 46% of over 65 year olds. These results are similar to those of polling over the last few years.

Decision on same sex marriage

Jul 18, 2017

Q. How do you think a decision on legalising same sex marriage should be made?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Should be allowed to marry Should not be allowed to marry
A vote in Parliament where politicians can vote according to their conscience or party policy 23%   28% 22% 39% 18% 29% 12%
A national vote which is binding on Parliament 50%   49% 54% 33% 57% 53% 56%
A non-binding national vote which is followed by a vote in parliament where politicians can vote according to their conscience or party policy 9%   9% 9% 11% 11% 8% 15%
Don’t know 17%   14% 15% 17% 14% 10% 17%

 50% of respondents want a national vote that is binding on Parliament, 23% want a vote in Parliament without a national vote and only 9% want a national vote followed by a vote in Parliament.

Those most likely to favour a vote in Parliament without a national vote were Greens voters (39%), aged 65+ (32%), university educated (29%) and those who support same-sex marriage (29%),

Note – previous poll questions were asked with 2 options – Should be decided by Parliament 29%, Should have a national vote 59%, Don’t know 12%. (last polled July 2017)

Decision on same sex marriage

Aug 25, 2015

Q. Do you think the issue of same sex marriage should be decided by Parliament or should there be a national vote?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Should be allowed to marry

Should not be allowed to marry

Should be decided by Parliament

22%

29%

20%

20%

24%

25%

19%

Should have a national vote

66%

62%

69%

73%

68%

69%

68%

Don’t know

12%

9%

11%

7%

8%

6%

13%

66% favour a national vote on same sex marriage and 22% think the issue should be decided by Parliament.
Support for a national vote is over 60% for all key demographic groups and similar for those in favour and those opposed to same sex marriage.

Same sex marriage laws

Jul 7, 2015

Q. Regardless of your opinion about same-sex marriage, do you think it is likely or unlikely that the laws will be changed in the next few years to allow same-sex marriage?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Feb 2015

Total likely

69%

69%

72%

79%

62%

56%

Total unlikely

20%

20%

19%

13%

28%

28%

Very likely

31%

35%

26%

44%

32%

15%

Likely

38%

34%

46%

35%

30%

41%

Unlikely

14%

16%

13%

12%

12%

22%

Very unlikely

6%

4%

6%

1%

16%

6%

Don’t know

11%

11%

8%

8%

11%

16%

69% think it is likely that the laws will be changed in the next few years to allow same-sex marriage and 20% think it is unlikely.

This is a substantial shift since this question was asked in February.

Those thinking it likely that the laws will be changed has increased 13 percentage points and those thinking it is unlikely has declined 8 percentage points. While expectations that the laws will be changed has increased across the board, it has increased most with Liberal/National voters – from 52% to 72%.

Conscience vote on same sex marriage

Jun 23, 2015

Q. Do you think political parties should treat the issue of same-sex marriage as a matter of personal conscience or as a matter of party policy?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Should be allowed to marry

Should not be allowed to marry

Personal conscience

58%

65%

55%

68%

61%

68%

47%

Party policy

19%

18%

26%

16%

14%

16%

29%

Can’t say

22%

18%

20%

16%

25%

16%

24%

58% think that political parties should treat the issue of same-sex marriage as a matter of personal conscience and 19% as a matter of party policy. 65% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters think it should be a matter of personal conscience compared to 55% of Liberal/National voters. Those in favour of same-sex marriage are more likely to think it should be a matter of personal conscience.

Same sex marriage

Jun 2, 2015

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Nov 2010

Jul 2011

Sep 2012

Oct 2013

Jun 2014

Dec 2014

Feb 2015

Should be allowed to marry

59%

70%

49%

93%

39%

53%

54%

55%

57%

60%

55%

59%

Should not be allowed to marry

30%

21%

38%

3%

51%

36%

35%

36%

31%

28%

32%

28%

Don’t know

11%

9%

13%

4%

9%

11%

11%

9%

12%

12%

14%

13%

`

Total

Men

Women

Aged 18-34

Aged 35-54

Aged 55+

Should be allowed to marry

59%

54%

64%

69%

57%

51%

Should not be allowed to marry

30%

34%

25%

21%

31%

38%

Don’t know

11%

12%

10%

10%

12%

11%

59% agreed that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 30% think they should not. This represents little change since this question was previously asked in February.

Support for same sex marriage is 54% among men and 64% among women. 69% of under 35’s support same sex marriage – while those aged 65+ are split 43% in favour/43% against.

Voting for same sex marriage

Jun 2, 2015

Q. If a political party or candidate supported same-sex marriage would you be more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them or does it make no difference to your vote?

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote Other

Total more likely

34%

46%

21%

78%

16%

Total less likely

22%

15%

28%

2%

41%

Much more likely to vote for them

17%

25%

9%

39%

7%

A little more likely to vote for them

17%

21%

12%

39%

9%

A little less likely to vote for them

7%

6%

9%

1%

10%

Much less likely to vote for them

15%

9%

19%

1%

31%

Makes no difference

40%

36%

49%

19%

42%

Don’t know

4%

3%

2%

1%

1%

34% say they would be more likely to vote for a candidate/party that supported same sex marriage,

22% say they would be less likely and 40% say it would make no difference to their vote.

Those more likely include aged 18-34 (48%) and university educated (39%). Those less likely include aged 65+ (31%).

Same sex marriage

Feb 10, 2015

Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Nov 2010

Jul 2011

Sep 2012

Oct 2013

Jun 2014

Dec 2014

Should be allowed to marry

59%

69%

48%

90%

48%

53%

54%

55%

57%

60%

55%

Should not be allowed to marry

28%

21%

40%

7%

41%

36%

35%

36%

31%

28%

32%

Don’t know

13%

10%

12%

3%

11%

11%

11%

9%

12%

12%

14%

59% agreed that people of the same sex should be allowed to marry and 28% think they should not. This is an increase in support since this question was previously asked in December.

Support for same sex marriage is 50% among men but 68% among women. 67% of under 35’s support same sex marriage – compared to 43% of those aged 65+.

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