Federal politics – voting intention

May 19, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,768 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/4/15 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 Last week12/5/15 This week 19/5/15
Liberal   37% 37% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 41% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 40%
Greens 8.6% 11% 10% 11% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 8%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/4/15 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 Last week12/5/15 This week 19/5/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,795 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal   37% 36% 36% 37%
National 3% 4% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 40% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 17, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,787 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

17/2/15

2 weeks ago 3/3/15

Last week

10/3/15

This week 17/3/15

Liberal

 

36%

37%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

17/2/15

2 weeks ago 3/3/15

Last week

10/3/15

This week 17/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

54%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 10, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,797 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

10/2/15

2 weeks ago 24/2/15

Last week

3/3/15

This week 10/3/15

Liberal

 

36%

38%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

10/2/15

2 weeks ago 24/2/15

Last week

3/3/15

This week 10/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

53%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 13, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal

 

35%

35%

National

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

54%

NB. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 16, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,792 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

35%

35%

National

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

39%

40%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

10%

10%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 18/11/14

2 weeks ago

2/12/14

Last week

9/12/14

This week

16/12/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 25, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,745 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/10/14

2 weeks ago

11/11/14

Last week

18/11/14

This week

25/11/14

Liberal

 

36%

36%

37%

38%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

38%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 28/10/14

2 weeks ago

11/11/14

Last week

18/11/14

This week

25/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 18, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,768 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 21/10/14

2 weeks ago

4/11/14

Last week

11/11/14

This week

18/11/14

Liberal

 

37%

37%

36%

37%

National

3%

3%

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

38%

38%

38%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

4%

4%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 21/10/14

2 weeks ago

4/11/14

Last week

11/11/14

This week

18/11/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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