Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 7, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,781 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 9/6/15

2 weeks ago 23/6/15

Last week 30/6/15

This week 7/7/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

38%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Labor

33.4%

40%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 9/6/15

2 weeks ago 23/6/15

Last week 30/6/15

This week 7/7/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Occupation by voting intention

Jun 30, 2015

Q. Which of the following best describes your occupation?

First preference/leaning to

Total

Profess- ional

Manager

Admin or sales

Trades

 

Home duties

Retired

Not working

Student

Labor

39%

39%

27%

36%

42%

 

45%

43%

33%

48%

Liberal/National

41%

41%

48%

50%

39%

 

42%

41%

28%

21%

Greens

11%

11%

15%

9%

4%

 

3%

6%

13%

25%

Other/Independent

9%

9%

11%

6%

15%

 

11%

9%

26%

6%

Those more likely to vote Labor were home duties (45%) and students (48%).
Those more likely to vote Liberal/National were managers (48%), admin/sales (50%) and semi/unskilled workers (46%).

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 16, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,796 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 19/5/15

2 weeks ago 2/6/15

Last week 9/6/15

This week 16/6/15

Liberal

38%

38%

38%

39%

National

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

41%

41%

41%

42%

Labor

33.4%

39%

40%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

8%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

4 weeks ago 19/5/15

2 weeks ago 2/6/15

Last week 9/6/15

This week 16/6/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

52%

52%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

May 19, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,768 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/4/15 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 Last week12/5/15 This week 19/5/15
Liberal   37% 37% 38% 38%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 41% 40% 41% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 40%
Greens 8.6% 11% 10% 11% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 8%

 

2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago21/4/15 2 weeks ago 5/5/15 Last week12/5/15 This week 19/5/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 48% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 52% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 14, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,795 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal   37% 36% 36% 37%
National 3% 4% 4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 41%
Labor 33.4% 39% 40% 39% 39%
Greens 8.6% 9% 10% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
2 Party Preferred Election 7 Sep 13   4 weeks ago
17/3/15
2 weeks ago 31/3/15 Last week
7/4/15
This week 14/4/15
Liberal National 53.5% 48% 47% 47% 48%
Labor 46.5% 52% 53% 53% 52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 17, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,787 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

17/2/15

2 weeks ago 3/3/15

Last week

10/3/15

This week 17/3/15

Liberal

 

36%

37%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

17/2/15

2 weeks ago 3/3/15

Last week

10/3/15

This week 17/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

54%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 10, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,797 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

10/2/15

2 weeks ago 24/2/15

Last week

3/3/15

This week 10/3/15

Liberal

 

36%

38%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

10/2/15

2 weeks ago 24/2/15

Last week

3/3/15

This week 10/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

53%

53%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 13, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal

 

35%

35%

National

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

38%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

10%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 16/12/14

This week

13/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

46%

Labor

46.5%

52%

54%

NB. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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