Party trust to handle issues

Oct 29, 2019

Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Liberal Labor Unsure Difference Difference Mar’19
Border Protection 52% 31% 17% +21 +19
Management of the economy 49% 34% 17% +15 +15
Security and the war on terrorism 48% 31% 21% +17 +16
Political leadership 42% 38% 20% +4 +5
Controlling interest rates 41% 32% 27% +9 +12
Managing population growth 40% 34% 26% +6 +10
Ensuring a fair taxation system 39% 43% 18% -4 -1
Treatment of asylum seekers 39% 38% 23% +1 -1
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 37% 46% 17% -9 -3
Ensuring a quality education for all children 37% 44% 19% -7 -8
Standing up to big business 36% 43% 21% -7 -5
Ensuring a quality water supply 36% 38% 26% -2 -2
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 36% 45% 19% -9 -6
Housing affordability 35% 42% 23% -7 -7
Fair wages and workplace conditions 33% 52% 15% -19 -18
Protecting the environment 30% 44% 26% -14 -8
Addressing climate change 29% 44% 27% -15 -10
Base (n) 1,033 1,033 1,033 1,089
  • The Liberal party is most trusted to handle border protection (52%, 21pt higher than Labor), manage the economy (49%, 15pt higher than Labor) and manage security and the war on terrorism (48%, 17pt ahead of Labor).
  • Labor are most trusted to handle fair wages and workplace conditions (52%, 19pt ahead of Liberal), protect Australian jobs and protection of local industries (46%, 9pt over Liberal) and ensure the quality of Australia’s health system (45%, 9pt over Liberal).
  • Labor have increased the trust gap between themselves and the Liberals in addressing climate change since March of this year – Labour now has a 15pt lead over Liberal on this issue up from 10pt earlier this year.
  • Labour have also closed the gap in managing population growth, with a 6pt lag behind Liberals compared to 10pt in Mar’19.

Financial situation

Oct 29, 2019

Q. Which of the following statements best describes your financial situation?

Total Gender Age   Results at Sep’17
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+  
I am financially comfortable 38% 41% 35% 42% 32% 41% 33%
I can manage household bills but struggle to afford anything extra 39% 39% 40% 37% 39% 41% 43%
I feel under financial pressure 22% 19% 25% 19% 29% 17% 20%
Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 4%
Base (n) 1,033 516 517 298 366 369 1,011
  •  Participant’s financial situations have improved since Sep’17 with 38% now saying they are financially comfortable (up 5pt) and 39% (down 4pt) saying they can manage household bills but struggle to afford anything extra.
  • Still 22% (up 2pt from Sep’17) feel under financial pressure.
  • Those aged 35-54 (29%), low income earners (37%) and single people (33%) are more likely to feel under financial pressure, than those aged 18-34 (19%) or 55+ (17%), earning higher incomes (13%) or married/in a de facto relationship (14%).
  • Capital city residents (41%), those with a university education (49%) and high-income earners (58%) are more likely to feel financially comfortable than non-capital residents (32%), those with a lower level of education (31%) and lower income earners (31%).

Spending surplus to delay economic slowdown

Oct 29, 2019

Q. Last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasted that Australia’s national growth rate in 2019 will be 1.7%, lower than the 2.1% estimated earlier in the year.

Some people believe that this economic slowdown could be avoided by spending some of the federal surplus on infrastructure projects. Others think that the surplus shouldn’t be spent at all.

Which of the below is closest to your view?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
The Government should maintain the federal surplus at all costs to reduce the national debt 33% 41% 24% 37% 32% 29%
The Government should stimulate the economy to help prevent a downturn and delay the surplus 56% 53% 58% 49% 54% 64%
Don’t know 12% 5% 18% 14% 13% 8%
Base (n) 1,033 516 517 298 366 369

 

  Total Voting Intention
  Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
The Government should maintain the federal surplus at all costs to reduce the national debt 33% 25% 47% 20% 29%
The Government should stimulate the economy to help prevent a downturn and delay the surplus 56% 66% 43% 62% 59%
Don’t know 12% 9% 10% 18% 12%
Base (n) 1,033 371 401 106 119
  •  Majority of participants (56%) think that the Government should stimulate the economy to help prevent a downturn and delay the surplus, while a third (33%) think the Government should maintain the surplus at all costs.
  • Those over 55 years old (64%), intending to vote Labor (66%) or Greens (62%) are more likely to say the Government should stimulate the economy than 18-34 year olds (49%) and Coalition voters (43%).
  • Participants with dependent children are more likely to say the government should maintain the surplus (40%) than those without dependent children (30%).

Main cause of the IMF downgrade

Oct 29, 2019

Q. What do you think is the main cause of the IMF downgrade of the national economic outlook?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Local factors outside the federal government’s control 10% 12% 7% 16% 8% 6%
Global factors outside the federal government’s control 42% 49% 35% 38% 37% 50%
The federal government’s economic management 29% 28% 31% 25% 35% 28%
Unsure 19% 11% 26% 21% 20% 16%
Base (n) 1,033 516 517 298 366 369

 

  Total Voting Intention
  Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Local factors outside the federal government’s control 10% 10% 12% 6% 6%
Global factors outside the federal government’s control 42% 30% 59% 26% 36%
The federal government’s economic management 29% 41% 14% 36% 37%
Unsure 19% 18% 15% 32% 22%
Base (n) 1,033 371 401 106 119
  • Global factors outside the federal government’s control are seen to be the main cause for the IMF downgrading Australia’s economic outlook (42%), while another 10% of participants believe the cause to be local factors outside the federal government’s control. The federal government’s economic management is seen to be the cause of the downgrade by 29%.
  • Labour voters tend to blame the federal government’s economic management (41%, compared to 14% of Coalition voters). Most Coalition voters blamed global factors (59%) as the cause of the downgrade.

Awareness of and support for Extinction Rebellion

Oct 29, 2019

Q. Before today, had you heard of Extinction Rebellion? / To what extent do you support or oppose the Extinction Rebellion protests to push for governments to act on climate change and move towards renewable energy?

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Yes 42% 41% 41% 52% 45%
No 58% 59% 59% 48% 55%
Base (n) 1,033 371 401 106 119

 

IF AWARE OF THE EXTINCTION REBELLION Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly support 22% 24% 9% 65% 17%
Somewhat support 30% 44% 18% 31% 22%
Somewhat oppose 15% 15% 21% 3% 10%
Strongly oppose 29% 13% 49% 0% 44%
Unsure 4% 5% 3% 1% 7%
NET: Support 52% 68% 27% 96% 39%
NET: Oppose 44% 28% 71% 3% 54%
Base (n) 446 153 170 55 55
  •  42% of participants have heard of Extinction Rebellion and this is highest among Queenslanders (51%).
  • 52% of those who are aware of Extinction Rebellion support their protests to push for governments to act on climate change and move towards renewable energy.
  • Labor (68%) and Greens (96%) voters who are aware of Extinction Rebellion, are more likely than Coalition (27%) voters to support their protests.
  • 18-34 year olds who are aware of Extinction Rebellion, are more likely to support their goals (71%) than those aged over 55 (38%).
  • Queensland residents aware of the Extinction Rebellion are more likely to oppose the protests (58%) than any other state or territory (41%).

Performance of Scott Morrison

Oct 16, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 Mar’19
NET: Approve 47% 49% 48% 48% 48% 43%
NET: Disapprove 38% 36% 37% 34% 36% 39%
Don’t know 15% 15% 16% 18% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,090

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 12% 4% 29% 3% 4%
Approve 34% 21% 55% 19% 32%
Disapprove 19% 29% 9% 26% 21%
Strongly disapprove 19% 32% 2% 36% 25%
Don’t know 15% 14% 6% 16% 18%
NET: Approve 47% 25% 84% 22% 36%
NET: Disapprove 38% 61% 10% 62% 46%
Base (n) 1,088 343 380 107 130
  • There is little change to the approval rating of the Prime Minister this month, with the 47% of participants approving of the job he’s doing is on par with previous months to June 2019 (49% in Oct’19 and 48% in June and July).
  • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 84% approval, compared to just 10% of Coalition voters who disapprove.
  • Males (53%), capital city residents (50%) and participants with a university education (52%) were also more likely to view the PM’s performance positively – than females (40%), non-capital residents (40%) and those with lower levels of education (43%).

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Oct 16, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 Mar’19

(Shorten)

NET: Approve 40% 36% 38% 39% 35% 38%
NET: Disapprove 29% 31% 29% 24% 25% 44%
Don’t know 31% 33% 33% 37% 39% 18%
Base (n) 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,090

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 7% 12% 5% 7% 2%
Approve 33% 44% 32% 34% 22%
Disapprove 21% 14% 26% 19% 29%
Strongly disapprove 9% 3% 15% 5% 13%
Don’t know 31% 27% 23% 35% 33%
NET: Approve 40% 56% 37% 41% 24%
NET: Disapprove 29% 17% 41% 24% 42%
Base (n) 1,088 343 380 107 130
  • Anthony Albanese has 40% approval as Opposition Leader, but just under one third (31%) don’t know how to rate his performance. More respondents are able to provide a rating on Albanese’s performance now, than when he first took over the position in June, when 29% recorded a response of don’t know .
  • Approval with Albanese’s performance is driven by high-income earners (48%), participants with a university education (47%) and males (44%).

Preferred Prime Minister

Oct 16, 2019

Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 May’19 Mar’19
Scott Morrison 43% 46% 44% 44% 43% 39% 44%
Anthony Albanese 28% 25% 28% 26% 25% 32%

(Shorten)

31%

(Shorten)

Don’t know 29% 29% 28% 31% 32% 28% 26%
Base (n) 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,210 1,090

 

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Scott Morrison 43% 48% 39% 42% 40% 48%
Anthony Albanese 28% 30% 25% 29% 25% 29%
Don’t know 29% 21% 36% 29% 35% 23%
Base (n) 1,088 539 549 342 373 373
  • More than two-fifths of participants think that Scott Morrison makes the better PM (43%), which is on par with previous months from June 2019 (from 46% to 43%)
  • 29% don’t know who would make the better PM between Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese.
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