Statements about politics

Nov 20, 2018

Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree
Political parties in Australia are too ideological 42% 13%   13% 29% 45% 10% 3%
I would consider voting for an independent in the next Federal election 42% 24%   13% 29% 34% 14% 10%
There is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties 38% 29%   12% 26% 32% 22% 7%
We don’t need any new political parties – the Labor, Liberal and minor parties represent the interests of most Australians. 42% 23%   12% 30% 35% 16% 7%
There should be more independents and minor parties in Parliament. 38% 24%   13% 25% 38% 16% 8%
Neither Labor nor the Liberals have a long term plan for Australia. 51% 15%   17% 34% 34% 12% 3%
I have become less interested in politics over the last few years. 47% 24%   18% 29% 29% 17% 7%

 

  Total agree   Firm vote Firm but might change Not firm
Political parties in Australia are too ideological 42%   39% 49% 50%
I would consider voting for an independent in the next Federal election 42%   30% 50% 73%
There is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties 38%   33% 44% 51%
We don’t need any new political parties – the Labor, Liberal and minor parties represent the interests of most Australians. 42%   55% 44% 31%
There should be more independents and minor parties in Parliament. 38%   34% 48% 44%
Neither Labor nor the Liberals have a long term plan for Australia. 51%   46% 56% 67%
I have become less interested in politics over the last few years. 47%   45% 50% 46%

 

This table shows the relationships between the statements about politics and the firmness of voting intention.

Those who might change their vote are much more likely to consider voting for an independent in the next Federal election (50%of firm might change/73% of not firm), think that there is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties (44%/51%) and think neither Labor nor the Liberals have a long term plan for Australia (56%/67%).

There is no significant relationship between firmness of vote and interest in politics.

However, those who would consider voting for an independent were much more likely to agree that political parties in Australia are too ideological (56%), there is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties (56%), there should be more independents and minor parties in Parliament (66%) and neither Labor nor the Liberals have a long term plan for Australia (73%). But they were only a little more likely than average to say they had become less interested in politics over the last few years (55% cf 47%).

Developments in technology

Nov 20, 2018

Q. Overall, do you think technological advances in recent years have been positive for:

  Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know   Total agree Jul 2017 Total disagree Jul 2017
National security 48% 19% 12% 36% 27% 13% 6% 6% 53% 16%
Culture/entertainment 46% 13% 10% 36% 33% 10% 3% 8% 57% 9%
Provision of private services 44% 12% 7% 37% 35% 8% 4% 9% 45% 11%
Provision of government services 41% 17% 6% 35% 35% 12% 5% 8% 50% 14%
Personal safety 39% 22% 8% 31% 34% 16% 6% 6% 49% 16%
Personal relationships 26% 27% 5% 21% 40% 18% 9% 8% 31% 30%
Job security 23% 35% 4% 19% 35% 25% 10% 7% 27% 34%

 

Nearly half the respondents think that technological advances have been positive for national security (48%) and culture/entertainment (46%), However, they were divided over job security (23% agree/35% disagree) and personal relationships (26%/27%).

Since this question was asked last year, there has been a drop in agreement that advances have been positive across all items.

Federal voting intention

Nov 6, 2018

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

     Total   2 weeks ago

23/10/18

4 weeks ago 9/10/18   Election  2 Jul 16
Liberal 33% 36% 34%
National 3% 2% 4%
Total Liberal/National 36%   38% 38%   42.0%
Labor 39%   37% 37%   34.7%
Greens 10% 10% 10% 10.2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6% 7% 7%
Other/Independent 9% 8% 9% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal National 46%   47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 54%   53% 53%   49.6%

 

  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

 

 

Scott Morrison

Nov 6, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Turnbull Aug 2018
Total approve 41%   25% 72% 20% 41%   43% 37% 42%
Total disapprove 37%   58% 12% 63% 40%   28% 31% 42%
Strongly approve 10%   4% 23% 1% 8%   10% 9% 9%
Approve 31%   21% 49% 19% 33%   33% 28% 33%
Disapprove 21%   29% 11% 34% 22%   17% 17% 23%
Strongly disapprove 16%   29% 1% 29% 18%   11% 14% 19%
Don’t know 23%   17% 16% 18% 19%   28% 33% 16%

41% approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister (down 2% from last month) and 37% disapproved (up 9%) – a change in net approval rating from +15 to +4. 23% could not give an opinion.

7% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing, compared to 25% of ALP voters, 20% of Greens and 41% of other voters.

By gender, men were 46% approve/39% disapprove and women 34% approve/34% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Nov 6, 2018

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader? 

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Jun 2018 Mar 2018 Dec 2017 Sep 2017 June 2017 Mar 2017
Total Approve 38% 67% 23% 40% 19%   33% 35% 33% 37% 36% 36% 34% 30%
Total Disapprove 44% 17% 67% 43% 71%   45% 43% 46% 44% 45% 47% 43% 49%
Strongly approve 8% 20% 2% 5% 1% 8% 8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4%
Approve 30% 47% 21% 35% 18% 25% 27% 27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 26%
Disapprove 24% 14% 31% 36% 31% 23% 21% 23% 23% 23% 25% 28% 26%
Strongly disapprove 20% 3% 36% 7% 40% 22% 22% 23% 21% 22% 22% 15% 23%
Don’t know 18%   15% 9% 18% 10%   23% 22% 21% 19% 19% 17% 23% 22%

38% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 5% from last month), and 44% disapproved (down 1%) – a change in net approval rating from -12 to -6.

67% (up 4%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 40% of Greens voters and 23% of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 43% approve/46% disapprove and women 34% approve/41% disapprove.

Preferred Prime Minister

Nov 6, 2018

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Sep 2018 Aug 2018

Turnbull

Scott Morrison 41%   18% 80% 16% 47%   42% 39% 39% 41%
Bill Shorten 29%   59% 7% 46% 16%   27% 27% 29% 27%
Don’t know 29%   2w3% 13% 37% 37%   31% 34% 32% 31%


41% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (down 1% from last month), and 29% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 2%). 29% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 80% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister, and 59% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (46%) to Scott Morrison (16%).

45% of men prefer Scott Morrison and 33% prefer Bill Shorten.

37% of women prefer Scott Morrison and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.

Republic

Nov 6, 2018

Q. Would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jan 2017 Jan 2018 May 2018
Total support 44%   53% 43% 57% 35%   44% 44% 48%
Total oppose 32%   26% 40% 23% 45%   30% 29% 30%
Strongly support 16%   22% 12% 17% 16%   21% 18% 21%
Support 28%   31% 31% 40% 19%   23% 26% 27%
Oppose 15%   14% 20% 12% 15%   18% 14% 17%
Strongly oppose 17%   12% 20% 11% 30%   12% 15% 13%
Don’t know 24%   22% 17% 20% 20%   26% 26% 22%

 

44% support Australia becoming a republic and 32% oppose. 24% have no opinion.

This is a small drop in support (down 4%) for a republic since this question was asked in May.

Younger respondents were a little more likely to support a republic – 50% of those aged under 35 support a republic compared to 43% of aged 35-54 and 39% of those aged 55+.

Perceptions of Royal Family

Nov 6, 2018

Q. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following members of the Royal family?

  Total favour-able Total unfavour-able   Very favour-able Favour-able Neither favour-able nor unfavour-able Unfavour-able Very unfavour-able Don’t know
Queen Elizabeth 61% 10%   29% 32% 26% 5% 5% 3%
Prince Charles 33% 30%   9% 24% 35% 16% 14% 3%
Prince William 68% 9%   32% 36% 20% 4% 5% 3%
Prince Harry 70% 9%   40% 30% 19% 4% 5% 2%

 

  Total favour-able   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
Queen Elizabeth 61%   63% 71% 47% 59%
Prince Charles 33%   33% 45% 27% 24%
Prince William 68%   69% 76% 57% 69%
Prince Harry 70%   74% 76% 64% 69%

 

 

 

 

Overall, perceptions of Queen Elizabeth, Prince William and Prince Harry were highly favourable. 70% had a favourable opinion of Prince Harry, 68% Prince William and 61% Queen Elizabeth.

However, only 33% had a favourable opinion of Prince Charles – with 30% unfavourable and 35% neither.

Liberal/National voters tended to have a more favourable opinion of these members of the Royal family than other voter groups.

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