Preferred Prime Minister

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 May’19 Mar’19
Scott Morrison 46% 44% 44% 43% 39% 44%
Anthony Albanese 25% 28% 26% 25% 32%

(Shorten)

31%

(Shorten)

Don’t know 29% 28% 31% 32% 28% 26%
Base (n) 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,210 1,090

 

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Scott Morrison 46% 48% 44% 41% 44% 52%
Anthony Albanese 25% 32% 19% 29% 23% 24%
Don’t know 29% 20% 37% 29% 33% 24%
Base (n) 1,093 545 548 348 360 385
  • 46% of the public believe Scott Morrison makes the better PM out of the two major party leaders. This is consistent with previous months (August to June), when 44% and 43% considered the current PM to be the better choice.
  • One quarter (25%) believe Albanese would make the better PM, a 3 percentage point drop from last month (28% in July).

Policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees

Sep 17, 2019

Q. To what extent do you support or oppose the Australian Government’s policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Strongly support 25% 30% 20% 13% 23% 36%
Somewhat support 27% 29% 25% 33% 27% 22%
Somewhat oppose 15% 15% 15% 18% 13% 14%
Strongly oppose 17% 16% 17% 18% 16% 15%
Unsure 17% 10% 23% 18% 20% 13%
NET: Support 52% 59% 45% 46% 51% 58%
NET: Oppose 31% 31% 32% 36% 30% 29%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Strongly support 25% 14% 35% 8% 39%
Somewhat support 27% 27% 32% 24% 25%
Somewhat oppose 15% 20% 12% 17% 11%
Strongly oppose 17% 25% 7% 39% 14%
Unsure 17% 15% 14% 13% 10%
NET: Support 52% 40% 67% 32% 64%
NET: Oppose 31% 44% 19% 55% 26%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • Half of participants (52%) support the government’s policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees, with a quarter (25%) strongly supporting this policy.
  • Roughly two-thirds of Coalition (67%) or independent/other (64%) voters support this policy – along with three-fifths of participants on high income (61%).
  • Labor (44%) and Greens (55%) voters are more likely to oppose this policy.

Medivac Bill

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Earlier this year, the Federal Parliament passed legislation to allow doctors, not politicians, to determine the appropriate medical treatment offered to people in offshore detention. This may include medical evacuation (Medivac) transfer to Australia if necessary.

Which of the following statements most closely aligns with your views of this legislation?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 22% 23% 31% 18% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 45% 37% 43% 42% 39%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 20% 21% 10% 19% 31%
Unsure 16% 13% 19% 17% 21% 9%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 32% 12% 50% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 42% 49% 32% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 13% 27% 7% 33%
Unsure 16% 13% 12% 11% 9%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161

 

  Sep’19 Feb’19
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 15%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 30%
Unsure 16% 16%
Base 1,093 1,085
  • Two-fifths of participants (41%) believe that the Medivac legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention – the same level as in Feb’19 (38%).
  • The perception that the legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past has decreased since Feb’19 to now one-fifth (now 21%, was 30%) of participants. At the same time the belief that this legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention has increased from 15% in Feb’19 to 23%.
  • More Coalition voters (49%), men (45%) and participants living in capital cities (44%) believe that this legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention.
  • Whereas, Labor (32%) and Greens (50%) voters, younger (18-34, 31%) and university educated participants (31%) believe this does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention.

Awareness of Climate Strikes

Sep 17, 2019

Q. On Friday 20th September, Student-led strikes are planned to take place across Australia and internationally, to push for governments to act on climate change and move towards renewable energy.

People of all ages will refuse to attend school and/or work to participate in these peaceful protests.

Before today, were you aware these protests were happening?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Yes 35% 41% 30% 35% 29% 42%
No 54% 49% 58% 52% 58% 51%
Unsure 11% 10% 12% 13% 14% 7%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Yes 35% 38% 36% 45% 39%
No 54% 55% 55% 44% 50%
Unsure 11% 8% 9% 11% 11%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • More than half (54%) of participants were not aware that Climate Strikes would be occurring on 20th
  • Participants over 55 years old are more likely to be aware of the Climate Strikes (42%), as are university educated participants (42%).

Intended Involvement with the Climate Strikes

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Which of the following best describes your intended involvement with the protests?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Aware of protests & intend to participate in the protest 6% 7% 4% 9% 6% 2%
Aware of protests & intend to support the protest in some other way (e.g. donating, posting on social media) 11% 13% 9% 19% 8% 6%
Aware of protests & have children or other family members who intend to participate in the protest 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 3%
Aware of protests & will not be involved 18% 21% 16% 7% 15% 31%
Unaware of protests / Unaware 65% 59% 70% 65% 71% 58%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Aware of protests & intend to participate in the protest 6% 7% 3% 18% 6%
Aware of protests & intend to support the protest in some other way (e.g. donating, posting on social media) 11% 14% 7% 20% 14%
Aware of protests & have children or other family members who intend to participate in the protest 4% 5% 2% 8% 7%
Aware of protests & will not be involved 18% 15% 26% 8% 20%
Unaware of protests / Unaware 65% 62% 64% 55% 16%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • 5% of participants surveyed will be participating in the Climate Strikes on 20th September, another 11% will be supporting the strikes in some other way.
  • 18-34 year olds were more likely to participate in the protest (9%) or support it in some other way (19%).
  • Greens voters are most likely to protest themselves (18%) or support the protesters in some other way (20%) as are high income earners (11% and 18% respectively).
  • Those with a university education or in paid employment are also most likely to attend the protest (12% and 8% respectively), support the protesters (17% and 16%) or have family members/children who intend to participate (7% and 6%).
  • 31% of participants over 55s and 26% of Coalition voters do not intend to support the Climate Strikes in any way.

Support for Climate Strikes

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Regardless of your intentions to participate, to what extent do you support or oppose these strikes to push for governments to act on climate change and move towards renewable energy?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Strongly support 26% 29% 22% 37% 22% 19%
Somewhat support 30% 27% 33% 37% 31% 24%
Somewhat oppose 15% 16% 15% 9% 17% 18%
Strongly oppose 15% 19% 11% 3% 11% 29%
Unsure 14% 10% 18% 14% 19% 10%
NET: Support 55% 56% 55% 74% 53% 43%
NET: Oppose 30% 34% 26% 13% 28% 47%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Strongly support 26% 36% 11% 62% 26%
Somewhat support 30% 32% 31% 29% 26%
Somewhat oppose 15% 10% 23% 2% 17%
Strongly oppose 15% 7% 25% 1% 21%
Unsure 14% 15% 10% 6% 9%
NET: Support 55% 68% 41% 91% 52%
NET: Oppose 30% 17% 49% 3% 38%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • 55% of participants support using strike action to push for governments to act on climate change and move towards renewable energy.
  • Greens voters (91%), 18-34 year olds (74%), Labor voters (68%), with a university education (67%) and those in paid employment (69%) were more likely to agree with this statement.
  • Almost half (48%) of those with a secondary school education disagreed with this statement, along with 43% of participants over 55 years of and 41% of Coalition voters.

Lockout Law – NSW only

Sep 17, 2019

Q. NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian has announced her government is looked at relaxing or repealing the lockout laws in the Sydney CBD. The current laws mean that people must be in venues before 1.30am and last drinks are served at 3am.

Do you support or oppose relaxing the lockout laws in the Sydney CBD?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Strongly support 25% 24% 26% 30% 24% 22%
Somewhat support 33% 39% 27% 37% 29% 32%
Somewhat oppose 13% 9% 16% 11% 16% 12%
Strongly oppose 17% 18% 16% 6% 18% 25%
Unsure 12% 10% 15% 16% 13% 9%
NET: Support 58% 63% 53% 67% 53% 54%
NET: Oppose 30% 28% 32% 18% 34% 37%
Base 352 178 174 98 135 119

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention Location
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other Capital City Non-Capital City
Strongly support 25% 26% 25% 36% 26% 25% 24%
Somewhat support 33% 30% 34% 32% 37% 33% 32%
Somewhat oppose 13% 13% 13% 11% 14% 12% 14%
Strongly oppose 17% 17% 21% 11% 17% 16% 19%
Unsure 12% 13% 6% 10% 6% 13% 10%
NET: Support 58% 57% 60% 68% 63% 58% 56%
NET: Oppose 30% 30% 34% 22% 31% 28% 33%
Base 352 97 120 35 60 226 126
  • Three-fifths of participants in New South Wales (58%) support relaxing the lockout laws in the Sydney CBD; with more support from those in paid employment (68%).

Impact of Government policies

Sep 3, 2019

Q. Over the next three years, do you think the policies of the current Government will…

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Make a large positive difference to Australia 12% 14% 11% 15% 11% 11%
Make a modest positive difference to Australia 28% 32% 26% 24% 27% 33%
Make neither a positive nor negative difference to Australia 25% 21% 29% 29% 26% 21%
Make a modest negative difference to Australia 12% 14% 11% 12% 11% 14%
Make a large negative difference to Australia 10% 12% 9% 5% 11% 14%
Unsure 11% 8% 15% 15% 13% 7%
NET: Positive difference to Australia 41% 45% 36% 39% 28% 44%
NET: Negative difference to Australia 23% 26% 20% 17% 22% 28%
Base (n) 1,075 527 548 328 373 374

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention (Lower House)
Labor NET: Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Make a large positive difference to Australia 12% 9% 20% 2% 6%
Make a modest positive difference to Australia 28% 18% 48% 22% 15%
Make neither a positive nor negative difference to Australia 25% 29% 18% 29% 33%
Make a modest negative difference to Australia 12% 20% 5% 17% 13%
Make a large negative difference to Australia 10% 14% 2% 21% 21%
Unsure 11% 11% 5% 9% 13%
NET: Positive difference to Australia 41% 27% 69% 25% 21%
NET: Negative difference to Australia 23% 33% 8% 38% 34%
Base (n) 1,075 336 381 100 137
  • Overall, 41% of people believe the policies of the current Government will make a positive difference to Australia. Of these, 12% expect there to be a large positive difference, and 28% expect a moderate positive difference.
  • Just under a quarter (23%) expect the policies to make a negative difference to Australia.
  • Coalition voters (69%) and men (45%) were most likely to expect the Government’s policies to make a positive difference to Australia.
  • Those intending to vote Labor (33%), Green (38%) and Other (34%) were all more likely to say the policies of the next three years would make a negative difference to Australia.
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