Changing Leaders – Tony Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election or would the Liberal Party have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott is the best person to lead the Liberal Party to the next election 29% 14% 62%
The Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leaders 47% 65% 25%
Don’t know 24% 21% 13%

47% of respondents thought the Liberal Party would have a better chance of winning the next election if they changed leader – 29% thought Tony Abbott was the best person to be leader.

Liberal/National voters supported Tony Abbott as leader by 62% to 25%. 79% of Greens voters and 49% of other/independent voters thought the Liberal Party should change their leader. Men (34%) and those aged 65+ (34%) were the strongest supporters of Tony Abbott remaining as leader. Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 22 Mar 10
Kevin Rudd 47% 90% 9% 50%
Tony Abbott 30% 3% 80% 30%
Don’t know 23% 7% 11% 19%

47% believe that Kevin Rudd would make the best Prime Minister and 30% preferred Tony Abbott. This is little changed since the last time this question was asked when Kevin Rudd was preferred 50% to 30%.

Men preferred Kevin Rudd by 45% to 38%, whereas women were much less likely to prefer Tony Abbott (Rudd 49%, Abbott 23%).  Greens voters preferred Kevin Rudd 64% to 9%. Comments »

Best Leader – Rudd/Gillard

Jun 21, 2010

Q7. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat 15 Feb 10
Kevin Rudd 36% 56% 26% 45%
Julia Gillard 33% 30% 36% 26%
Don’t know 31% 14% 38% 29%

Respondents were fairly evenly split over whether Kevin Rudd (36%) or Julia Gillard (33%) would make the better Prime Minister. This is a substantial change since this question was last asked in February – Julia Gillard up 7% and Kevin Rudd down 9%.

Labor voters preferred Kevin Rudd (56% to 30%) and Liberal voters preferred Julia Gillard (36% to 26%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard by 62% to 18%.

Men show greater support for Kevin Rudd (40%/33%) whereas women were evenly divided (32%/34%). Comments »

Best Leader – Gillard/Abbott

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Julia Gillard?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Tony Abbott 32% 6% 76%
Julia Gillard 50% 85% 16%
Don’t know 18% 9% 8%

50% believe that Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 32% prefer Tony Abbott.

There were major differences by gender – men preferred Julia Gillard by a margin of 7% (47%/40%) whereas the margin among women was 28% (53%/25%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard 83% to 8%. Comments »

Troops in Afghanistan

Jun 21, 2010

Q. Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat March 09
Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan 7% 7% 7% 14%
Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan 24% 25% 32% 24%
Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan 61% 61% 55% 50%
Don’t know 8% 7% 6% 12%

61% of respondents think Australia should withdraw our troops from Afghanistan, 24% think we should keep the same number and 7% think we should increase numbers. Support for withdrawal of troops has increased by 11% since this question was asked in March last year.

There was majority support for withdrawal of troops across all demographic groups and voter types. 55% of Liberal/National voters, 61% of Labor voters and 75% of Greens voters support withdrawal of Australia’s troops. Comments »

The Doddcast: Canberra Report 21st June

Jun 21, 2010

While Canberra doesn’t look like getting above 15 degrees this week, there’s a chance the term of this government is heating up.

Whether they’re currently half baked or have they been left too long, today’s poll shows that they’re the same stale position they’ve been in for the last week.

Kevin looks like spending the day explaining to the Chinese dep pres what rat fucker means.

Today’s opinion poll will fuel speculation about a mid September poll, with sources suggesting that Kevin Rudd is aware of fact that football finals exist but doesn’t think his team can do any worse than Andrew Johns. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 15, 2010

Federal politics – voting intention

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,850 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 32% 41% 39% 38% 38%
National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 43% 41% 40% 41%
Labor 46% 38% 39% 37% 35%
Greens 10% 10% 9% 12% 14%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 7% 7% 8% 7% 8
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 42% 50% 49% 48% 49%
Labor 58% 50% 51% 52% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Comments »

Party Best at

Jun 15, 2010

Q. Which of the following parties – Labor, Liberal or Greens – do you think is the best party when it comes to –

Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
Representing the interests of Australian working people 42% 27% 6% 25%
Standing up to the big multinational corporations 32% 27% 13% 28%
Handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia 36% 35% 4% 25%
Understanding the needs of the average Australian 29% 27% 9% 35%
Representing the interests of you and people like you 32% 34% 10% 24%
Having a vision for Australia’s future 29% 33% 9% 29%
Taking Australia forward, not backwards 29% 34% 9% 28%
Handling Australia’s relations with other countries 30% 38% 4% 27%
Handling Australia’s economy 30% 42% 3% 25%
Dealing with the issue of immigration 20% 41% 7% 32%
Being honest and ethical 19% 21% 15% 45%
Handling environmental and climate change issues 19% 19% 36% 27%

The Labor Party was thought to be better than the Liberal Party at “representing the interests of Australian working people” (42% to 27%) and “standing up to the big multinational corporations “ (32%/27%).

The Liberal Party was thought to be better than the Labor Party at “dealing with the issue of immigration “ (41% to 20%), “handling Australia’s economy” (42%/30%),  “handling Australia’s relations with other countries” (38%/30%),  “taking Australia forward, not backwards” (34%/29%) and “having a vision for Australia’s future” (33%/29%).

There was little difference between the Liberal and Labor Parties in terms of “handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia”,  “understanding the needs of the average Australian” and “representing the interests of you and people like you”.

36% believed the Greens were best at “handling environmental and climate change issues” and 45% could not nominate a party best at “being honest and ethical”. Comments »