Attributes to Describe the Opposition Leader

Dec 7, 2009

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

Abbott

7 Dec 09

Turnbull

29 June 09

Rudd

7 Dec 09

Abbott lead over Turnbull Abbott lead over Rudd
Intelligent 71% 75% 82% -4% -11%
Hard-working 69% 68% 77% +1% -8%
A capable leader 46% 39% 69% +7% -23%
Demanding 53% 62% 60% -9% -7%
Arrogant 53% 69% 49% -16% +4%
Out of touch with ordinary people 53% 65% 45% -12% +8%
Understands the problems facing Australia 46% 48% 59% -2% -13%
Visionary 34% 26% 48% +8% -14%
Superficial 42% 51% 41% -9% +1%
Good in a crisis 39% 32% 58% +7% -19%
Narrow-minded 52% 51% 36% +1% +16%
Down to earth 46% 25% 55% +21% -9%
Too inflexible 45% 47% 38% -2% +7%
Complacent 31% 38% 38% -7% -7%
More honest than most politicians 31% 16% 49% +15% -18%
Trustworthy 36% * 51% * -15%

*Not asked in June 2009 poll

When it comes to rating Abbott, people think he is intelligent (71%) and hard-working (69%), yet demanding (53%), arrogant (53%) and out of touch with ordinary people (53%).

Abbott scores higher than his predecessor Turnbull in terms of qualities such as being down to earth (+21%), more honest than most politicians (+15%), visionary (+8%), capable leader (+7%) and good in a crisis (+7%).

Males were slightly more likely than females to think that Abbott is superficial (46% v 39%), honest (34% v 28%), visionary (37% v 32%) and down to earth (48% v 43%).

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Malcolm Turnbull’s Future Political Career

Dec 7, 2009

Q. Do you think Malcolm Turnbull should now resign from Parliament, stay in parliament on the backbench until the next election or challenge for the leadership again before the next election?

%
Resign 18%
Stay on backbench 45%
Challenge again 15%
Don’t know 23%

Just under half (45%) think that Malcolm Turnbull should stay in parliament on the backbench until the next election, 18% think he should resign and 15% think Turnbull should challenge for the leadership again before the next election.

Coalition voters were more likely to think that Turnbull should stay in parliament on the backbench (62%), while Green (28%) and Labor (18%) voters were more likely to think Turnbull should challenge again for the leadership.

Males were more likely to think Turnbull should resign (20%) while females were more likely to indicate that they don’t know what Turnbull should do (29%).

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Political Party Positions on the ETS

Dec 7, 2009

Q. Whose position on the ETS and tackling climate change do you most agree with?

%
Kevin Rudd and Labor 24%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 27%
Bob Brown and Greens 17%
Don’t know 32%

When it comes to the position that various parties have on the ETS and tackling climate change, 27% of people agree with the position of Tony Abbott and the Coalition, 24% agree with Kevin Rudd and Labor and 17% agree with Bob Brown and the Greens.  32% of people don’t know which position they agree with regarding an ETS and tackling climate change.

The results followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to agree with Labor’s position (49%), Coalition voters were more likely to agree with the Coalition (67%) and Green voters were more likely to agree with the Green’s position (80%).   30% of Labor voters, 21% of Coalition voters and 9% of Green voters don’t know which position they agree with most.

Males were more likely to agree with the position of Abbott and the Coalition (31%), while females were more likely to indicate that they don’t know (36%).

People aged 55 years and over were more likely to agree with Abbott and the Coalition regarding climate change and an ETS (42%).

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Tony Abbott and Industrial Relations

Dec 7, 2009

Q.  The new Liberal leader Tony Abbott says that the Rudd Government went too far with their industrial relations laws when they got rid of the Howard Government’s WorkChoices laws. Do you agree or disagree?

%
Total agree 37%
Total disagree 45%
Strongly agree 13%
Agree 24%
Disagree 22%
Strongly disagree 23%
Don’t know 18%

45% of people disagree with Tony Abbott’s statement that the Rudd Government went too far with their industrial relations laws when they got rid of the Howard Government’s WorkChoices.   37% agree with Abbott’s statement that the Rudd Government has gone too far with industrial relations reform and 18% don’t know.

Results followed party lines – 76% of Coalition voters agree and 74% of Labor voters disagree with Abbott’s statements regarding the Rudd Government’s industrial relations reforms.   Green voters were more likely to disagree with Abbott (62%).

Males were more likely than females to agree with Abbott’s statement (41% v 33%).   People aged 55 years and over were also more likely to agree with Abbott (47%).

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Federal Politics – Voting Intention

Nov 30, 2009

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

*1979 sample size

2 week average % 2PP 2PP shift from last week
Liberal 31%
National 4%
Total Lib/Nat 35% 42% -3%
Labor 47% 58% +3%
Greens 8%
Family First 3%
Other/Independent 7%

NB.  The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Federal Politics – 2PP Voting Intention – 4 Week Trend

Nov 30, 2009

NB.  The data in the above graph is derived from our weekly first preference voting question.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.

* Sample is the culmination of two week’s data.

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Approval of the Prime Minister

Nov 30, 2009

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?

12 Jan 09 9 Feb 09 30 Mar 09 18 May 09 29 Jun 09 10 Aug 09 28 Sept 09 9 Nov 09 30 Nov 09
Strongly approve 14% 17% 21% 14% 14% 13% 15% 14% 9%
Approve 52% 50% 50% 48% 48% 47% 51% 47% 47%
Disapprove 16% 15% 14% 18% 18% 17% 17% 19% 20%
Strongly disapprove 6% 8% 7% 11% 9% 10% 6% 13% 15%
Don’t know 11% 9% 9% 9% 11% 12% 11% 8% 10%
Total approve 66% 67% 71% 62% 62% 60% 66% 61% 56%
Total disapprove 22% 23% 21% 29% 29% 27% 23% 32% 35%

56% of people surveyed approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister and 35% disapprove.  Kevin Rudd’s approval rating has decreased five percentage points since we last asked this question in November and his disapproval rating has increased three percentage points.  Rudd’s approval rating is the lowest and the disapproval rating is the highest recorded over the last year.

Approval followed party lines – Labor voters were more likely to approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister (91%) while Coalition voters were more likely to disapprove (74%).   21% of Coalition voters approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister.

The net rating (approve minus disapprove) is +21%.

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Approval of the Opposition Leader

Nov 30, 2009

Q. Do you strongly approve, approve, disapprove or strongly disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader?

12 Jan 09 9 Feb 09 30 Mar 09 18 May 09 29 Jun 09 10 Aug 09 28 Sept 09 9 Nov 09 30 Nov 09
Strongly approve 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2%
Approve 37% 29% 25% 28% 20% 20% 24% 26% 23%
Disapprove 21% 26% 31% 28% 31% 30% 35% 30% 33%
Strongly disapprove 9% 17% 17% 21% 26% 28% 18% 20% 22%
Don’t know 29% 24% 24% 21% 19% 20% 21% 20% 19%
Total approve 41% 32% 28% 30% 24% 22% 27% 29% 25%
Total disapprove 30% 43% 48% 49% 57% 58% 53% 50% 55%

25% of people surveyed approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader and 55% disapprove.   Turnbull’s approval rating has decreased four percentage points since we last asked this question and his disapproval rating has seen five percent increase.

Approval followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to approve (41%), while Labor voters were more likely to disapprove (62%).   However, just under half (46%) of Coalition voters disapprove of the job Turnbull is doing as Opposition Leader.

Malcolm Turnbull’s net rating is -30%, compared to -21% earlier this month.

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