Australia providing military support in the Middle East

Oct 2, 2019

Q. At the end of August, Australia agreed to provide military support to their allies in the Middle East to protect shipping and trade in the region.

To what extent do you support or oppose Australia’s military involvement in the region?

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Strongly support 16% 13% 25% 11% 13%
Somewhat support 35% 34% 44% 28% 30%
Somewhat oppose 19% 22% 17% 28% 19%
Strongly oppose 15% 20% 7% 19% 24%
Unsure 14% 11% 8% 15% 14%
NET: Support 51% 47% 69% 38% 43%
NET: Oppose 35% 42% 24% 47% 43%
Base 1,097 346 346 115 154
  • 52% of those who support military involvement, are concerned about future conflict, whereas 75% of those who are opposed to military involvement are concerned there could be future conflict in the area.
  • Liberal voters are both more supportive of Australia’s military involvement in the Middle East (69%) and less concerned that this could lead to another conflict (46%).

Concern about possibility of conflict in the Middle East

Oct 2, 2019

Q. To what extent are you concerned that Australia’s military involvement in the Middle East, could mean that we become involved in another conflict in the near future?

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Very concerned 26% 30% 21% 27% 37%
Somewhat concerned 30% 34% 30% 34% 30%
A little concerned 29% 25% 35% 29% 26%
Not concerned at all 7% 4% 11% 5% 5%
Unsure 7% 6% 4% 5% 3%
NET: Concerned 57% 64% 50% 62% 67%
NET: Not concerned 36% 30% 46% 34% 30%
Base 1,097 346 374 115 154

 

Personal safety

Oct 2, 2019

Q. Which of the following is your biggest concern for your personal safety?

  Total Gender Age Oct’17
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Terrorism 21% 19% 22% 23% 22% 17% 33%
Car accident 21% 23% 19% 18% 20% 25% 20%
Effects of climate change 20% 19% 22% 26% 18% 18% 7%
Gang violence 13% 15% 12% 9% 16% 15% 7%
Nuclear warfare 6% 6% 6% 10% 3% 4% 13%
Natural disaster 6% 6% 5% 3% 7% 7% 7%
Family violence 3% 2% 5% 6% 4% 1% 2%
None of these 10% 10% 9% 6% 10% 13%
Base 1,097 552 575 357 366 374 1,032
  • Compared to Oct’17, terrorism has become less of a concern for participant’s personal safety (was 33%, now 21%) and the effects of climate change have become a bigger concern (was 7%, now 20%).
  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Terrorism 21% 20% 25% 13% 17%
Car accident 21% 18% 25% 15% 25%
Effects of climate change 20% 25% 13% 38% 17%
Gang violence 13% 12% 13% 11% 18%
Nuclear warfare 6% 8% 5% 4% 3%
Natural disaster 6% 5% 5% 7% 9%
Family violence 3% 3% 1% 7% 3%
None of these 10% 8% 11% 5% 8%
Base 1,097 346 374 115 154

 

Performance of Scott Morrison

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 Mar’19
NET: Approve 49% 48% 48% 48% 43%
NET: Disapprove 36% 37% 34% 36% 39%
Don’t know 15% 16% 18% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,090

 

TOTAL Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 14% 6% 28% 5% 9%
Approve 36% 25% 55% 17% 27%
Disapprove 20% 27% 8% 30% 31%
Strong disapprove 16% 29% 1% 32% 22%
Don’t know 15% 13% 8% 16% 10%
NET: Approve 49% 31% 83% 23% 36%
NET: Disapprove 36% 56% 9% 61% 54%
Base (n) 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • Just under half of Australians (49%) approve of the job Scott Morrison is doing as PM. This is consistent with the results over the last three months (Aug’19, Jul’19 and Jun’19, all 48%) and 5pts higher than before the start of the Federal election campaign in March (43%).
  • Morrison retains his high approval among Coalition voters (83%). Approval was also high among male (53%), university educated (57%), high income (57%) participants, and those with dependent children (57%).

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 Mar’19

(Shorten)

NET: Approve 36% 38% 39% 35% 38%
NET: Disapprove 31% 29% 24% 25% 44%
Don’t know 33% 33% 37% 39% 18%
Base (n) 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,090

 

TOTAL Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 6% 11% 3% 8% 8%
Approve 30% 45% 25% 26% 28%
Disapprove 22% 11% 32% 21% 24%
Strong disapprove 9% 2% 15% 4% 16%
Don’t know 33% 30% 25% 41% 25%
NET: Approve 36% 56% 28% 34% 35%
NET: Disapprove 31% 14% 47% 25% 39%
Base (n) 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • Approval for Anthony Albanese remains steady in September at 36% but a high proportion of participants continue to be unsure about Albanese’s performance with 33% saying don’t know (down 6pts from June).
  • This uncertainty is also evident among Labor supporters, with 30% still selecting Don’t know.

Preferred Prime Minister

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19 May’19 Mar’19
Scott Morrison 46% 44% 44% 43% 39% 44%
Anthony Albanese 25% 28% 26% 25% 32%

(Shorten)

31%

(Shorten)

Don’t know 29% 28% 31% 32% 28% 26%
Base (n) 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099 1,210 1,090

 

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Scott Morrison 46% 48% 44% 41% 44% 52%
Anthony Albanese 25% 32% 19% 29% 23% 24%
Don’t know 29% 20% 37% 29% 33% 24%
Base (n) 1,093 545 548 348 360 385
  • 46% of the public believe Scott Morrison makes the better PM out of the two major party leaders. This is consistent with previous months (August to June), when 44% and 43% considered the current PM to be the better choice.
  • One quarter (25%) believe Albanese would make the better PM, a 3 percentage point drop from last month (28% in July).

Policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees

Sep 17, 2019

Q. To what extent do you support or oppose the Australian Government’s policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Strongly support 25% 30% 20% 13% 23% 36%
Somewhat support 27% 29% 25% 33% 27% 22%
Somewhat oppose 15% 15% 15% 18% 13% 14%
Strongly oppose 17% 16% 17% 18% 16% 15%
Unsure 17% 10% 23% 18% 20% 13%
NET: Support 52% 59% 45% 46% 51% 58%
NET: Oppose 31% 31% 32% 36% 30% 29%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
Strongly support 25% 14% 35% 8% 39%
Somewhat support 27% 27% 32% 24% 25%
Somewhat oppose 15% 20% 12% 17% 11%
Strongly oppose 17% 25% 7% 39% 14%
Unsure 17% 15% 14% 13% 10%
NET: Support 52% 40% 67% 32% 64%
NET: Oppose 31% 44% 19% 55% 26%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161
  • Half of participants (52%) support the government’s policy of indefinite offshore detention of asylum seekers and refugees, with a quarter (25%) strongly supporting this policy.
  • Roughly two-thirds of Coalition (67%) or independent/other (64%) voters support this policy – along with three-fifths of participants on high income (61%).
  • Labor (44%) and Greens (55%) voters are more likely to oppose this policy.

Medivac Bill

Sep 17, 2019

Q. Earlier this year, the Federal Parliament passed legislation to allow doctors, not politicians, to determine the appropriate medical treatment offered to people in offshore detention. This may include medical evacuation (Medivac) transfer to Australia if necessary.

Which of the following statements most closely aligns with your views of this legislation?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 22% 23% 31% 18% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 45% 37% 43% 42% 39%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 20% 21% 10% 19% 31%
Unsure 16% 13% 19% 17% 21% 9%
Base 1,093 545 548 348 360 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens Independent / Other
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 32% 12% 50% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 42% 49% 32% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 13% 27% 7% 33%
Unsure 16% 13% 12% 11% 9%
Base 1,093 327 392 98 161

 

  Sep’19 Feb’19
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 23% 15%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 41% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 21% 30%
Unsure 16% 16%
Base 1,093 1,085
  • Two-fifths of participants (41%) believe that the Medivac legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention – the same level as in Feb’19 (38%).
  • The perception that the legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past has decreased since Feb’19 to now one-fifth (now 21%, was 30%) of participants. At the same time the belief that this legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention has increased from 15% in Feb’19 to 23%.
  • More Coalition voters (49%), men (45%) and participants living in capital cities (44%) believe that this legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention.
  • Whereas, Labor (32%) and Greens (50%) voters, younger (18-34, 31%) and university educated participants (31%) believe this does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention.
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