National day

Feb 5, 2019

Q. It has been suggested that Australia should have a separate national day to recognise Indigenous Australians. Do you…?   

Total Labor Liberal + National Greens NET: Other Oct ‘18
Support a separate day and keep Australia Day 37% 43% 36% 41% 28% 36%
Support a separate day to replace Australia Day 15% 18% 11% 34% 9% 14%
NET: Support a separate day 52% 61% 46% 74% 38% 50%
Do not support a separate day 40% 30% 49% 21% 58% 37%
Don’t know 8% 9% 5% 3% 5% 12%

Support for a separate day to recognise Indigenous Australians (either in place, or alongside Australia Day) has increased 2%pts from Oct ’18, from 50% to 52%.

37% support including a separate national day with a further 15% supporting a replacement of Australia Day.

Support for a separate day was highest among Greens (74%) and Labor (61%) voters.

Total Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Support a separate day and keep Australia Day 38% 51% 37% 26%
Support a separate day to replace Australia Day 15% 21% 17% 9%
NET: Support a separate day 52% 72% 54% 35%
Do not support a separate day 40% 21% 36% 59%
Don’t know 8% 7% 10% 6%

Support for a separate day was highest among those aged 18-34, with 72% support. This dropped to 54% support among 35-54 year olds and 35% among those aged over 55.

Australian values

Feb 5, 2019

Q. Which of the following values and characteristics, which would you describe as ‘Uniquely Australian’, ‘Australian, but shared with other countries’ or ‘Not Australian’?

  Uniquely Australian Australian, but shared with other countries NET: Australian value Not Australian
Mateship

Offering help to each other in times of need

52% 45% 97% 3%
Larrikinism

We have a sense of humour and don’t take authority too seriously

64% 29% 93% 7%
‘Fair-go’

People are judged on their merits and everyone has a chance to succeed

46% 47% 93% 7%
Education

Learning and self-improvement should be available to everyone

21% 72% 93% 7%
Freedom of speech

People can say what they what, how they want to

25% 67% 92% 8%
Democracy

The political system provides safety to live peacefully

21% 71% 92% 8%
Hard-working

Individual commitment and dedication is rewarded

25% 66% 91% 9%
Tradition

Care for the land, its wildlife and respect for Indigenous peoples

32% 58% 90% 10%
Innovation

Being creative, modern and moving with the times

19% 71% 90% 10%
Fairness

Everyone is treated equally, regardless of background

26% 63% 89% 11%

While over half of 18-34 years olds believe Larrikinism is a uniquely Australian characteristic (55%), it is lower than those aged 55+ (70%).

  Total

(Uniquely Australian)

18-34 35-54 55+
Larrikinism 64% 55% 65% 70%
Mateship 52% 50% 49% 55%
‘Fair-go’ 46% 42% 45% 50%
Tradition 32% 33% 31% 33%
Fairness 26% 28% 24% 27%
Freedom of speech 25% 26% 21% 28%
Hard-working 25% 29% 21% 25%
Education 21% 24% 18% 22%
Democracy 21% 26% 17% 21%
Innovation 19% 23% 16% 20%

While over half of 18-34 years olds believe Larrikinism is a uniquely Australian characteristic (55%), it is lower than those aged 55+ (70%).

Preferred election results

Feb 5, 2019

Q. Which party do you think each of the following groups would prefer to win the next federal election in 2019?

  Labor Liberal/National Coalition Don’t know
Big business 13% 63% 24%
Mining companies 17% 54% 29%
Major banks 14% 54% 31%
Private health insurance companies 16% 50% 34%
Small business owners 29% 43% 27%
Farmers 30% 39% 31%
The media 25% 32% 43%
Pensioners 42% 28% 30%
People with a disability 44% 22% 34%
Families with young children 50% 21% 30%
People who are unemployed 55% 16% 30%

The majority of people believe big businesses (63%), mining companies (54%), major banks (54%) and private health insurers (50%) would prefer to see a Coalition victory at the next election, whereas they believe families with young children (50%) and those who are unemployed (55%) would welcome a Labor triumph.

Federal voting intention

Jan 15, 2019

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Total   3 weeks ago 5 weeks ago   Election
18/12/18 04/12/18 02/07/16
Liberal 34% 34% 34%
National 4% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 38%   37% 38%   42.0%
Labor 38%   36% 36%   34.7%
Greens 10% 11% 11% 10.2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 7% 7% 7%
Other/Independent 8% 9% 9% 13.1%
2 party preferred
Liberal/National 47%   47% 47%   50.4%
Labor 53%   53% 53%   49.6%
  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Scott Morrison

Jan 15, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct

2018

Sep

2018

Total approve 43%   24% 77% 24% 36%   42% 41% 43% 37%
Total disapprove 39%   62% 13% 53% 49%   34% 37% 28% 31%
Strongly approve 9%   5% 19% 3% 3%   10% 10% 10% 9%
Approve 34%   19% 58% 22% 33%   32% 31% 33% 28%
Disapprove 25%   38% 11% 35% 32%   19% 21% 17% 17%
Strongly disapprove 14%   24% 2% 19% 17%   15% 16% 11% 14%
Don’t know 18%   14% 10% 22% 15%   24% 23% 28% 33%

43% approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister (up 1%pt from last month) and 39% disapproved (up 5%pts from 34% in December). Just under a fifth of people (18%) could not give an opinion of his leadership of the country.

77% (no change from Dec’18) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing, compared to 24% of ALP voters, 24% of Greens and 36% of other voters.

By gender, men were 47% approve/42% disapprove, and of women 38% approve/37% disapprove.

Bill Shorten

Jan 15, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Jun 2018 Mar 2018
Total approve 35% 66% 22% 29% 15% 35%      38% 33% 35% 33% 37%
Total disapprove 47% 21% 68% 41% 73% 43%      44% 45% 43% 46% 44%
Strongly approve 8% 20% 4% 5% 1% 8% 8% 8% 8% 6% 8%
Approve 27% 47% 19% 25% 14% 27% 30% 25% 27% 27% 29%
Disapprove 25% 17% 30% 30% 36% 21% 24% 23% 21% 23% 23%
Strongly disapprove 21% 4% 38% 11% 37% 22% 20% 22% 22% 23% 21%
Don’t know 18% 13% 10% 30% 12% 22% 18% 23% 22% 21% 19%

35% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (no change from last month), and 47% disapproved (up 4%pts from 43%).

66% of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 29% of Greens voters and 122 of Liberal/National voters.

By gender, men were 42% approve/46% disapprove and women 29% approve/47% disapprove. Bill Shorten has positive approval among 18-34 year olds, with 41% approving and 34% disapproving. However 57% of those aged over 55 disapprove of his performance as opposition leader, with just 34% approving.

Preferred Prime Minister

Jan 15, 2019

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018 Sep 2018 Sep 2018
Scott Morrison 42%   16% 77% 25% 48%   40% 41% 42% 39% 39%
Bill Shorten 30%   63% 11% 39% 10%   29% 29% 27% 27% 29%
Don’t know 28%   21% 12% 37% 42%   31% 29% 31% 34% 32%

42% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (up 2%pts from last month), and 30% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 1%pt). 28% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.

The results were split by party, with 77% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister (no change from last month), and 63% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would (up 7%pts from 56% in December).

Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (39%) to Scott Morrison (25%).

Both men (45% vs. 32%) and women (39% vs. 28%) would prefer Scott Morrison to Bill Shorten as Prime Minister.

Crime

Jan 15, 2019

Q. Do you think the following types of crime have increased or decreased over the last few years? 

  NET: Decreased NET: Increased Decreased a lot Decreased a little Increased a little Increased a lot Jan 18 NET: Increased
Drug-related crime 7% 66% 2% 4% 29% 37% 76%
Youth gang crime 7% 65% 2% 5% 26% 38% 70%
Domestic violence 8% 59% 2% 6% 32% 26% 63%
Violent crime (e.g. assault, murder) 10% 55% 2% 8% 32% 23% 60%
Burglary 11% 49% 2% 9% 28% 22% 57%
White-collar crime (e.g. fraud, corporate crime) 8% 48% 2% 6% 29% 20% 55%
Car theft 13% 44% 3% 10% 25% 19% 53%

The majority believe that drug-related crime (66%), Youth gang crime (65%), domestic violence (59%) and violent crime (55%) have all increased over the past few years. Fewer people thought all types of crime were increasing than 12 months ago.

People aged 55+ were more likely to believe crime has increased in the past few years, while those aged 18-34 were less likely.

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