Election engagement

Apr 30, 2019

Q. How much attention have you been paying to the news, advertising and updates from the Federal Election?   

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other
Have not been paying any attention 19% 14% 12% 15% 19%
Have been paying little attention 29% 30% 29% 31% 27%
Have been paying some attention 33% 35% 33% 37% 40%
Have been paying a lot of attention 20% 21% 27% 17% 14%

 

  Total Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
Have not been paying any attention 19% 26% 19% 11%
Have been paying little attention 29% 34% 31% 21%
Have been paying some attention 33% 26% 35% 38%
Have been paying a lot of attention 20% 14% 14% 29%
  • Just under one in five people (19%) say they have not been paying any attention to the election. This was highest among those aged 18-34 (26%).
  • Engagement in the election was lower among those intending to vote for a minor or independent candidate. 19% of these voters say they haven’t been paying any attention the election, and just 14% say they have been paying a lot of attention.
  • Older voters are so far most engaged with the election, with 29% saying they have been paying a lot of attention.
  • Men were more likely than women to say they had been paying a lot of attention to the election (25% to 14%).

News stories

Apr 30, 2019

 Q. What news stories about the campaign have you noticed?

  • The preference agreement between the Liberals and UAP has been dominating the news this week. ‘Clive Palmer’, ‘United Australia Party’ and ‘Preferences’ all received a notable number of mentions.
  • ‘Tax’ was one of the most mentioned issued participants recall seeing in the news this week, along with continuing topics relating to the Budget announcement made earlier in the month.
  • ‘Healthcare’ and ‘Healthcare funding’ have been one of the most noticed policy topics over the past week.

Preferred Prime Minister

Apr 30, 2019

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Mar 2019 Jan 2019 Dec 2018 Nov 2018 Oct 2018 Sep 2018
Scott Morrison 40%   10% 78% 25% 44%   44% 42% 40% 41% 42% 39%
Bill Shorten 31%   62% 10% 38% 15%   31% 30% 29% 29% 27% 27%
Don’t know 29%   27% 12% 37% 40%   26% 28% 31% 29% 31% 34%
  • 40% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (down 4%pts from last month), and 31% thought Bill Shorten would be better (no change from March). 29% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.
  • The results were split by party allegiance, with 78% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister (down 4%pts from March), and 62% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would (down 4%pts from 63% in March).
  • Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (38%) to Scott Morrison (25%).
  • Both men (47% to 32%) and women (33% to 30%) would prefer Scott Morrison to Bill Shorten as Prime Minister.

Perceptions of leaders

Apr 30, 2019

Q. Which party leader would you…?

  Scott Morrison Bill Shorten Unsure
Ask their advice about investing money 37% 21% 42%
Most trust to give your children advice about the future 31% 25% 45%
Most like to go to the pub for a beer with 31% 29% 41%
Most like to go to the footy with 31% 25% 44%
Most like to have over for dinner 30% 28% 42%
Prefer to have negotiate your next pay rise 29% 37% 34%
Think would be more likely to stop and help if your car was stranded 29% 28% 43%
Think would be more likely to lend you $100 if you needed it 26% 31% 43%
Most like to have babysit your children 25% 21% 54%
Most trust to cook a good meal 25% 22% 53%
Most like to go on holiday with 24% 21% 55%
Ask their advice about a personal issue 24% 24% 52%
Most trust to look after your pet 24% 24% 52%
Ask to help you with home renovations 22% 24% 54%

Unsure removed

  Scott Morrison Bill Shorten Difference
Ask their advice about investing money 64% 36% +28
Most like to go to the footy with 56% 44% +12
Most trust to give your children advice about the future 55% 45% +10
Most like to have babysit your children 54% 46% +8
Most like to go on holiday with 53% 47% +6
Most like to have over for dinner 52% 48% +4
Most like to go to the pub for a beer with 52% 48% +4
Most trust to cook a good meal 52% 48% +4
Most trust to look after your pet 50% 50% 0
Ask their advice about a personal issue 50% 50% 0
Think would be more likely to stop and help if your car was stranded 50% 50% 0
Ask to help you with home renovations 48% 52% -4
Think would be more likely to lend you $100 if you needed it 46% 54% -8
Prefer to have negotiate your next pay rise 44% 56% -12
  • Comparing the two party leaders, voters would prefer Scott Morrison to Bill Shorten to ask about investing money (64% to 36%), go to the footy with (56% to 44%) and give their children advice about the future (55% to 45%).
  • Bill Shorten was more trusted to negotiate a pay rise (56% to 44%).

2019 voting method

Apr 30, 2019

Q. Which of the following best describes how you intend to vote at the Federal Election?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other
I will vote at a pre-poll before election day 21% 24% 23% 20% 16%
I will vote by post 12% 14% 12% 13% 9%
I will vote at a polling station on election day 56% 54% 60% 57% 70%
I’m not sure how I will vote 7% 7% 3% 7% 3%
I don’t intend to vote 3% 1% 1% 2% 1%
I intend to vote informal 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%
  • Just over half (56%) of voters intend to visit a polling station on election day, with pre-polling the second most popular option, with 21% intending to do this.
  • Voters of a minor or independent candidate are most likely to wait until election day to register their vote, with 70% indenting to vote at a station on election day.
  • Voters aged 55 and over are most likely to complete a pre-poll vote before election day (29%).

Federal voting intention

Apr 9, 2019

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Q       Total   2 Weeks ago   4 weeks ago   Election
25/03/19 11/03/19 02/07/16
Liberal 36%   35% 34%
National 3%   4% 3%
Total Liberal/National 38%   39% 37% 42.0%
Labor 35%   36% 38% 34.7%
Greens 11%   10% 8% 10.2%
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 5%   7% 7%
Other/Independent 10%   8% 10% 13.1%
2 party preferred    
Liberal/National 48%   48% 47% 50.4%
Labor 52%   52% 53% 49.6%
  1. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

Federal Budget Approval

Apr 9, 2019

Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Budget that was handed down on Tuesday 2nd April? 

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other
NET: Approve 51% 39% 79% 32% 48%
NET: Disapprove 27% 45% 8% 44% 28%
Strongly approve 11% 5% 23% 2% 8%
Somewhat approve 40% 34% 56% 29% 39%
Somewhat disapprove 18% 28% 7% 28% 17%
Strongly disapprove 9% 16% 1% 16% 11%
Don’t know 21% 16% 13% 24% 25%
  • Just over half (51%) of voters approve of the 2019 Budget, with 27% disapproving and 21% unsure.
  • Approval was highest among Coalition voters (79%), males (57%), those aged over 55 (57%), and those with an annual household income of between $52k and $104k (58%).
  • However approval was lowest among Greens (32%) and Labour voters (39%), and those not in paid employment (38%).
  2019 Budget 2018

Budget

2017

Budget

NET: Approve 51% 44% 41%
NET: Disapprove 27% 28% 33%
Strongly approve 11% 5% 5%
Somewhat approve 40% 39% 36%
Somewhat disapprove 18% 19% 23%
Strongly disapprove 9% 9% 10%
Don’t know 21% 28% 25%
  • The 2019 Budget has been met with higher approval than the previous two Budgets. Approval in 2019 is 7%pts higher than last year (44%) and 10%pts higher than 2017.
  • Those disapproving of the Budget is similar in 2019 and 2018 (27% and 28%) and slightly lower in 2017, when 33% disapproved.

Approval of Budget Announcements

Apr 9, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the following measures contained in the Budget?

  NET: Strongly / Somewhat approve NET: Strongly / Somewhat disapprove Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Unsure
Investing $100 billion in national infrastructure spending over the next ten years 76% 13% 30% 46% 9% 5% 11%
Delivering a tax rebate for workers earning up to $90,000 75% 15% 34% 41% 10% 5% 10%
Running a $7.1 billion Budget surplus in 2019-20 62% 20% 27% 35% 15% 5% 18%
Flattening tax rates from 2024, thereby cutting taxes for the highest income earners 42% 47% 14% 28% 19% 28% 12%
Putting $1.5 billion previously allocated to NDIS disability funding back into the general accounts 37% 50% 14% 23% 23% 27% 13%
  • The announcement to invest $100 billion in infrastructure projects was the most popular of those tested, with just over three-quarters (76%) approving. This was closely followed by 75% of voters approving of a tax rebate for workers earning up to $90,000.
  • More people disapproved than approved of the proposals to flatten tax rates (47% vs. 42%) and the re-allocation of NDIS funding (50% vs. 37%).
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