The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

Expected winner

30 Apr 2019

Q. Which party do you expect will win the 2019 Federal election and form Government?       

  Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other
Labor 59% 95% 26% 73% 47%
Liberal/National 41% 5% 74% 27% 53%
  • 59% of voters believe Labor will be victorious over the Liberal/National coalition in the 2019 Federal election. Expectations among supporters of the Labor party are high, with 95% believe Labour will win. The majority of Coalition voters (74%) and those intending to vote for another party/independent candidate (53%) expect the Coalition to form Government following the election.
  • A majority of both men (60%) and women (58%) expect Labor to win the election.
  • Over half of each of the age ranges 18-34 (61%), 35-54 (61%) and 55+ (56%) also expect Labour to form the next Government.
Error: