Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 12, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,902 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Liberal

44%

46%

47%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

32%

32%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

11%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

9%

10%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

56%

56%

57%

Labor

50.1%

46%

44%

44%

43%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.