Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 10, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,077 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

13/8/12

2 weeks ago

27/8/12

Last week

3/9/12

This week

10 Sept 2012

Liberal

46%

46%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

32%

32%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

 

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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